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Ahead of The Game - College Devy Prospects (Week 4 Edition)

Matt Wispe looks at the top fantasy devy prospects for Week 4 of the college football season. Monitor these NCAA players for dynasty fantasy football leagues.

Week three was a bucket of joy from a fan perspective. There were one possession games, highly competitive matchups between ranked teams, and even major upsets. And it's a good time to hold onto those memories as we approach week four.

Week four is typically not the best slate of games from a competitive stand point. Traditional powers typically schedule a lower tier team in order to get a final tune up before conference play.

And for the most part that's the case, but for some of the more compelling prospects, there are competitive games this weekend. So today we'll feature a few unknowns, as well as two players in competition for the top spot at their respective positions.

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Quarterback

Drew Lock, QB Missouri

Week 4 - vs Georgia (9/22)

There was a case to be made that Lock could have left following his 2017 campaign, but with that class being relatively loaded, he opted to return for his final season of collegiate eligibility. By doing so, he could turn from a mid-pack QB prospect into the QB1 for the class.

Year G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int
2015 12 129 263 49 1332 5.1 4 4 8
2016 12 237 434 54.6 3399 7.8 7.9 23 10
2017 13 242 419 57.8 3964 9.5 10.2 44 13

Lock enters the week sixth in the nation in passing yard and tied for fifth in passing touchdowns. Lock has improved in nearly every statistical category each season

Year G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int
2018 3 78 113 69 1062 9.4 10.9 11 1

Lock's 10.9 AY/A start to the season is promising because it shows continued growth, but his completion percentage appears slightly unsustainable. Had Lock left school last season, he likely would have been drafted around the same position as Mason Rudolph and Kyle Lauletta. With this year's class much less top-heavy, there's a possibility that he'll be discussed with a first round pick, assuming he maintains his current numbers.

 

Running Back

Darrell Henderson, RB Memphis

Week 4 - vs. South Alabama (9/22)

It's somewhat rare to identify a member of a true committee as someone potentially special, but Henderson looks the part.

Darrell Henderson G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2016 13 87 482 5.5 5 20 237 11.9 3
2017 12 130 1154 8.9 9 24 226 9.4 2

There are a few statistics that jump out when looking at Henderson's 2017 campaign. First is his 8.9 yards per carry which led to him breaking 1,000 yards on just 130 carries. Second is his 2.0 receptions per game with a nearly ten yard average. Lastly, is his 11 touchdowns on less than 160 total touches. Henderson appears to be highly efficient and that's translated this season, as well.

Darrell Henderson G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2018 3 36 521 14.5 6 4 90 22.5 1

Henderson is slightly off his 2.0 reception per game average, but there's no slowing down his rushing and touchdown efficiency. Already at 7 touchdowns through 3 games, he appears to be a prolific scorer when he gets the ball in his hands. And while I expect his rushing yardage efficiency to regress, he's still likely to be above eight yards per carry at the end of the year and that will stand out in a crowd.  Henderson's size shouldn't be a concern, but his level of competition might be. If he chooses to declare for the draft, the postseason process will be critical. If his eye-popping stat lines turn into high level athleticism, he could find himself drafted and as a third round rookie pick in dynasty leagues.

Juwan Washington, RB San Diego State

Week 4 - vs Eastern Michigan (9/22)

San Diego State has been producing NFL prospects at the RB position for the past few seasons and they may have found another one in Juwan Washington. He won't have the career success of his predecessors, but if he can maintain his efficiency, he could generate similar excitement.

Juwan Washington G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2016 12 55 441 8.0 6 3 72 24 1
2017 13 127 759 6.0 7 3 39 13 0

Washington doesn't have the ideal usage in the passing game, but consecutive seasons at or above six yards per carry helps minimize those concerns. In addition to his efficiency in the run game, Washington has spent some time returning kickoffs and his 24.9 yard average would indicate that he's athletic enough to become a viable option at the next level.

Juwan Washington G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2018 3 87 452 5.2 5 5 47 9.4 0

Washington has one more year of eligibility remaining after this season. Based on early indications, it doesn't appear that he'd be highly coveted enough to make the leap a year early, but if he does, there could be some sneaky late-round value .   However, at only five-foot-seven, there will be real concerns about his ability to handle the same workload at the NFL level, but similar questions were raised about Philip Lindsay last season so there's reason to hope.

 

Wide Receiver

Greg Dortch, WR Wake Forest

Week 4 - vs Notre Dame (9/22)

Dortch may turn out to be my biggest preseason blind spot as he is playing like one of the top receivers in the country. If he continues to amass stats at his current pace, his size may not matter during his evaluation process.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2017 8 53 722 13.6 9 0.20 0.28 0.24

Dortch didn't quite reach the ideal 0.30 dominator rating for the season, but his TD share is impressive considering his size. His 20 percent market share of receiving yards leaves a little to be desired, but he's already improved on that during his 2018 campaign.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2018 3 28 336 12 1 0.40 0.17 0.28

Dortch is only a redshirt sophomore so while he's eligible to declare for the draft, it's not super likely that he will declare. But if he can produce enough to secure his position on late day two, there may not be a reason to return for another season. Dortch may fly under the radar in dynasty or devy leagues because of his stature, but his usage in 2018 would put him in an elite tier, if he can maintain. If he stays one more season, look to stash him on devy rosters. If he declares for the draft, don't forget about him at the end of round two of rookie drafts.

Penny Hart, WR Georgia State

Week 4 - vs Western Michigan (9/22)

A small receiver out of a non-traditional power. I'm starting to see where my blind spot lies. Hart has been one of the nation's best producing receivers when healthy.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2015 13 72 1109 15 8 0.25 0.28 0.27
2016 2 8 61 7.6 1 0.02 0.06 0.04
2017 12 74 1121 15 8 0.35 0.51 0.43

Two 1,000 yard seasons is nothing to scoff at and there's reason to believe that he could have had another successful season during his missing 2016 campaign. Owning more than a 30 percent market share of yards puts Hart among the top dominators in the country and a third year over a 0.30 dominator rating would position him well to be a later-round selection in the 2019 NFL draft.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2018 3 12 134 11 1 0.24 0.33 0.28

The biggest concern for undersized small-school prospects is the potential to not receive a combine invite. Historically, failing to receive a combine invite has been a major red flag for future success in fantasy. There's no reason to sound the panic alarms just yet because there's no indication that the NFL is ignoring him, but it's a thing to track. If Hart receives a combine invite, then he should be considered at the back end of rookie drafts.

 

Tight End

Noah Fant, TE Iowa

Week 4 - vs Wisconsin (9/22)

If you're already plugged into the devy community, then you've been waiting to see this name. And, in the interest of full disclosure, so have I. Fant entered 2018 as the clear cut top TE option for fantasy and we've reached a match up worthy of featuring him.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2016 6 9 70 7.8 1 0.04 0.06 0.05
2017 12 30 494 16.5 11 0.20 0.40 0.30

Fant's status as the standout receiving TE in the class is tied to his touchdown prowess in 2017. A 40 percent share of TDs not only stands out among his position, but would be considered great at any receiving position.

G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2018 3 12 140 11.7 2 0.22 0.67 0.44

Fant is almost guaranteed to be the top TE taken in rookie drafts in 2019. He's not the next Vernon Davis, but he's probably going to be considered in the same range as O.J. Howard.  And even in a WR-heavy draft class like 2019, he should be an option at the back end of the first round of rookie drafts.

More NCAA Football Analysis




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Play in Week 13
Bucky Irving

Trending Toward Suiting Up
Chris Olave

Should Play Vs. Dolphins
P.J. Washington

Ruled Out Versus Clippers
Trae Young

"Progressing Well," Will be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Isaiah Hartenstein

Sidelined a Minimum of 10-14 Days
Daniel Gafford

Resting Against Clippers
Jalen Duren

Won't Play Versus Miami
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Anthony Davis

Ruled Out on Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Shedeur Sanders

Could Start for Browns for the Rest of the Season
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Darren Waller

Activated from Injured Reserve, Will Play in Week 13
Amon-Ra St. Brown

"Day-to-Day" With Ankle Injury, Status for Week 14 Unclear
Neemias Queta

Uncertain for Saturday's Game in Minnesota
Derrick White

Expected to Suit Up Versus Timberwolves
Jaylen Brown

Might Miss Saturday's Game
Tyler Warren

Added to Injury Report, Questionable With Illness
Baker Mayfield

Expected to Play in Week 13
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

to Return Saturday
Mattias Samuelsson

in Concussion Protocol
Kyle Palmieri

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Lukas Dostal

Ruled Out for 2-3 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Test Confirm Low-Ankle Sprain for Amon-Ra St. Brown
Anthony Davis

Available, Will be on a Minutes Restriction
Kyle Monangai

Leads Bears Backfield in Impressive Week 13 Performance
D'Andre Swift

Goes Over 100 Rushing Yards, Finds End Zone in Win Over Eagles
A.J. Brown

Goes Over 100 Yards Again, Scores Twice on Friday
Kyshawn George

Returns to Lineup After One-Game Absence
Paul George

Set To Start Friday Against Nets
Kevin Huerter

Set to Return Against Charlotte
Jarrett Allen

Back in Action on Friday
Coby White

Cleared for Action on Friday
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Suiting Up Against Charlotte
Trey Murphy III

Uncertain For Saturday's Matchup
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Returning Versus Knicks
Jaden Ivey

Set To Play Against Orlando
Adem Bona

Back on Friday Night
Andrew Nembhard

Won't Play Versus Washington
Kenneth Walker III

Good to Go for Week 13
Brian Thomas Jr.

Good to Go Sunday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Questionable for Week 13
Bucky Irving

Fully Practices Friday, Listed as Questionable for Week 13
Omarion Hampton

Ruled Out for Week 13
Baker Mayfield

Practices in Full Friday, Listed as Questionable for Week 13
Kirill Marchenko

Misses Third Straight Game
Drake London

Officially Ruled Out for Week 13
Jaden Schwartz

to Miss Six Weeks
Chris Olave

Officially Questionable to Play in Week 13 Due to Back Injury
Andre Burakovsky

Set to End Three-Game Absence
Alvin Kamara

Will Not Play in Week 13
William Nylander

Out Friday With Illness
Ryan Hartman

Returns to Action Friday
Brady Tkachuk

Officially Available Friday
Mike Matheson

Signs Five-Year Extension
Brady Tkachuk

Aims to Return Friday
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Makai Lemon, Skyler Bell Named Biletnikoff Award Finalists
Shohei Ohtani

to Play for Team Japan in 2026 World Baseball Classic
Colorado Rockies

Warren Schaeffer to Stick Around as Rockies Manager in 2026
CFB

Chris Bell Out for Rivalry Matchup Against Kentucky

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