Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


ADP Showdown - Drew Brees vs. Russell Wilson

Many fantasy owners these days employ the strategy of waiting on drafting quarterbacks until the mid to late rounds. With the amount of talent that is available early at running back and wide receiver, it's better to attack those positions. After the top 3-4 QBs are off the board, a case could be made that the players after are all in the same mixed bag. The point differential among the players down to QB16 is small enough (83.4 FP) that you could make the case that any could help you win a title. No longer does getting the right QB make or break your fantasy season. It's more about how well you can build a complete team through the draft.

Two QBs that you will be faced with are very similar but oh so different in terms of what they can bring to your fantasy roster. Drew Brees and Russell Wilson are mainstays among the Top 10 at the position, and the 2019 season should be no different. Brees brings the classic pocket-QB mentality to an offense with upside in passing yardage. While Wilson limits his attempts, is very efficient, and brings the upside of a running QB to your team. Owning either one of these QBs gives you the safety of knowing that you have a locked-in starter each week. Sure, there may be some ups and downs through the season, but you will see that among all the QBs.

But which of these two QBs will be the best option for your team come draft day? That is what I aim to down as I dive into the numbers. Then give you an answer on who to drat in this ADP Showdown.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!


Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

ADP: QB7 (78th Overall)

The 2018 season was another year for Brees finishing inside the top-10 at the position. But he finished outside the top-seven for the second consecutive year and could only manage six top-10 scoring weeks on the year. He finished outside the top-10 in pass attempts, completions, and yardage for the first time since 2019. That shows that since the team brought in Alvin Kamara, the Saints offense has become more balanced. Also, with the defense no longer being one of the worst units in the league, Brees no longer benefits from playing with a deficit. Still, even if the numbers have somewhat regressed, he still brings to the table a consistent option that will finish as a quality starter in fantasy.

Heading into the 2019 season, don't expect to see many changes in what the Saints do on offense. They have found success with this balanced attack and as long as the defense plays well, it will limit the opportunities for Brees. He is surrounded by a wealth of talent. Kamara is a weapon out of the backfield, while Michael Thomas is among the elite receivers in the league. The secondary players on this offense (Jared Cook, Tre'Quan Smith, Tedd Ginn) are players that go overlooked on any other offense. But playing for the Saints and with Brees ups their values. Brees should continue to find success in 2019 playing against the 17th ranked schedule for QBs. There will be big weeks for him, but also a few duds. But nothing that you shouldn't be able to work around as a fantasy owner.


Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

ADP: QB8 (79th Overall)

Coming off of a stellar 2017 season (finished as QB1), Wilson fell off to QB9 last season. The Seahawks moved to a more run-based attack and it showed as Wilson's attempts (427) were his lowest since 2013. His touchdown totals from the last two seasons (34 and 35) are primed for a regression in this offense in 2019. It's hard to maintain that level of efficiency when the attempts continue to drop. Also, Wilson remains one of the most sacked QBs in the league at a rate of 10.7% of his dropbacks. Showing that the offensive line will continue to be a problem for this team.

As we enter the 2019 campaign, what we saw from the Seahawks offense a year ago will likely be the same this season. The run game behind Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny will be highly focused upon, which will again limit the attempts for Wilson. Outside of Tyler Lockett, the receiving corps is largely unproven and doesn't bring much excitement. If rookie D. K. Metcalf can come in and be that true number two target in this offense, it could help to add some upside to the passing attack. But at the end of the day, the Seahawks will continue to do what they do best. Control the clock with a balanced offense and rely on the defense to keep them in games. Not exactly the mantra you want to hear for your QB1 in fantasy.



Call me a traditionalist all you want, but I feel that having a QB as your starter that is in a high-powered offense leads to success. That is exactly what we have in this showdown. Brees, coming from the uptempo Saints offense, going against Wilson and his ball-control Seahawks offense.

Sure, both are trending in the wrong direction with scoring, but Brees still can be a top QB in fantasy. Unfortunately, I don't see that from Wilson this year. So if I am faced with the decision and the time is right to draft my QB, give me Brees all day for 2019.

More ADP Showdown Articles

Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.

More Recent Articles


Bases Loaded Podcast: Early Round Values

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@BraffZ) and they discuss early round values. They go through and highlight a few players that are going inside the top 150 in ADP that offer a great chance to return profit. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast... Read More

Second Year Pitcher Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More

Relief Pitchers to Target for Holds

Hold on... there are fantasy leagues that reward middle relievers, not just starters and closers? Yes, there are, and leagues that reward holds are one of the fastest-growing segments of fantasy baseball as real baseball continues to diminish the role of the starter in favor of building deep bullpens with multiple relievers that throw 95+... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a different strategy if you wish to truly compete. Rankings themselves are a different beast altogether, as category specialists like Mallex Smith and Dee Gordon (stolen bases), Kyle Schwarber and Franmil Reyes (home runs),... Read More

ADP Showdown – Matt Olson vs Paul Goldschmidt

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

As the season draws near, we realize more and more that it's draft season. There is a large portion of fantasy baseball busy with mock drafts, rankings, sleepers, and more mock drafts. The Dynasty community, on the other hand, is looking to continue their dominance, rebuild, or in a worst-case scenario, stick their hands up... Read More

Six Undervalued Draft Targets for Mixed Leagues

Heading into 2020, there are a number of players who had poor 2019 campaigns that should bounce back strong. Some of these players are presently undervalued by fantasy owners for one reason or another. In this article, I'll identify a few such players who should outperform their current ADP in 2020. While each of these... Read More

Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy baseball season is here! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, Best Ball formats are a great way to get a head start on the players that look to be ADP risers this season. One key... Read More

Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Draft Avoids (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy baseball season is here! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, Best Ball formats are a great way to get a head start on the players that look to be ADP risers this season. An underrated... Read More

Nine AL Rookies Ready to Leap Into Starting Lineups

Every year, there are those rookies who we expect to make a splash right away. Think Kris Bryant, Ronald Acuna, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge--those guys. Once we make it through all the service time manipulation shenanigans, there are always youngsters ready to snatch roster spots immediately, and 2020 is no exception. Below are nine of... Read More

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Spin Rate

Spin rate has become one of the most recognizable Statcast metrics, with supporters of a given pitcher highlighting his spin rates to make their case. Unfortunately, the baseball world has done a lousy job conveying what spin rate really means. The result has been a ton of owners who know that spin rate exists, but... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Khris Davis

The Oakland Athletics finished 2019 with a record of 97-65, which was good for a second-place finish in the AL West and a second-consecutive wildcard birth. They did this despite a statistically down season from their superstar, Khris Davis. Davis struggled mightily in 2019 by slashing .220/.293/.387 with 23 HR, 73 RBI, 61 R, and... Read More

ADP Cost Analysis: Trey Mancini vs. Christian Walker

One of the most important skills in a fantasy draft is the ability to identify a player with similar value at a lower ADP. When you're able to find similar production at a lower cost, this allows you to use an earlier pick to fill out other areas of your roster, resulting in a stronger... Read More

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. Stay on top of all closer depth... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More