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The Baller Ranks: Top 101 Starting Pitchers Weekly Rankings

Nick Mariano's Baller Ranks is a weekly fantasy baseball rankings list for the top 101 starting pitchers. He ranks and analyzes updated pitcher values for Week 4.

Welcome to the Week 4 Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks, where we take a look weekly at where the top 101 SPs stand moving forward in this strange sprint season. You can check out my weekly Top 101 Relief Pitcher Baller Ranks as well.

David Emerick rolled out an introduction to our Baller Ranks here -- I suggest you read for a full explanation of our purpose, but the TL;DR is here we're providing a one-stop-shop for pitcher and hitter valuation. We'll explore value produced to-date, their current standing, and provide context with analysis.

And for those who want stats like the usual 5x5 categories, strikeout rates, Called + Swinging Strike rates, xwOBA and more on a decked-out spreadsheet, we've got you covered - you can view the full Week 4 Top 101 SP Baller Ranks core sheet here.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 4

Rank $ Tier Player EV $PV Trend Notes
1 43.0 1 Gerrit Cole 3.2 43.0 0.0 ▬ Love to see 10 K's on Sat, but not qualifying for W burns.
2 37.0 1 Jacob deGrom 5.6 37.0 0.0 ▬
3 34.0 1 Shane Bieber 7.8 33.0 1.0 ▲ This year's No. 1 SP? In top-heavy AL Central, could be.
4 29.0 2 Mike Clevinger -1.0 31.0 -2.0 ▼
5 28.0 2 Jack Flaherty 2.7 28.0 0.0 ▬ Hard to wait for STL to play again, I get it.
6 28.0 2 Walker Buehler -2.5 26.0 2.0 ▲
7 27.0 2 Luis Castillo 6.2 26.0 1.0 ▲ Early ratio troubles, but laughable .415 BABIP & still big K's.
8 27.0 2 Patrick Corbin 3.0 25.0 2.0 ▲
9 25.0 2 Carlos Carrasco 2.1 23.0 2.0 ▲ Classic Cookie, love to see him healthy.
10 25.0 2 Clayton Kershaw 0.2 16.0 9.0 ▲ Healthy and sharp, SP1.
11 24.0 2 Max Scherzer 3.5 34.0 -10.0 ▼ No injury is minor in such a short season.
12 23.0 2 Trevor Bauer 6.9 13.0 10.0 ▲
13 23.0 3 Sonny Gray 5.5 14.0 9.0 ▲
14 21.0 3 Lance Lynn 5.4 22.0 -1.0 ▼
15 20.0 3 Yu Darvish 6.3 19.0 1.0 ▲
16 17.0 3 Zack Greinke 4.0 17.0 0.0 ▬
17 15.0 3 Chris Paddack 2.8 14.5 0.5 ▲
18 14.5 3 Zack Wheeler 1.6 14.0 0.5 ▲
19 14.0 3 Frankie Montas 6.1 12.0 2.0 ▲ Eventually he'll give up a HR, but he's always beaten his xFIP.
20 14.0 3 Aaron Nola 3.7 12.5 1.5 ▲
21 14.0 3 Brandon Woodruff 4.7 13.0 1.0 ▲
22 13.0 4 Kenta Maeda 3.2 11.0 2.0 ▲
23 13.0 4 Tyler Glasnow -0.3 20.0 -7.0 ▼ Not working deep, took lumps on Saturday but 3.35 xFIP.
24 12.5 4 Lucas Giolito 0.7 19.0 -6.5 ▼
25 12.0 4 Stephen Strasburg #N/A 15.0 -3.0 ▼ Set to debut Aug. 9, hope for a strong 75-pitch outing.
26 12.0 4 Jose Berrios 1.3 13.0 -1.0 ▼
27 12.0 4 Lance McCullers Jr. -1.0 12.0 0.0 ▬
28 11.0 4 Blake Snell 0.4 12.0 -1.0 ▼ Stretching out more, looked extremely sharp w/ 5 no-hit IP.
29 11.0 5 Charlie Morton 1.4 11.0 0.0 ▬ Stock stablized with decent start, velo coming back.
30 11.0 5 Dinelson Lamet 3.4 11.0 0.0 ▬
31 10.0 5 Zac Gallen 1.3 10.0 0.0 ▬
32 10.0 5 Kyle Hendricks 5.4 9.5 0.5 ▲
33 10.0 5 Jesus Luzardo 2.4 9.0 1.0 ▲
34 9.5 5 Max Fried 4.9 8.5 1.0 ▲
35 9.5 6 Andrew Heaney 3.3 8.5 1.0 ▲
36 9.5 6 Nate Pearson 1.4 8.0 1.5 ▲ Not afraid of MLB hitters, Pearson's the real deal.
37 9.0 6 Julio Urias 3.5 9.5 -0.5 ▼ He's done okay, but you'd like to see more K's.
38 9.0 6 Hyun-Jin Ryu 1.4 8.0 1.0 ▲ Bounceback start gives some hope, but skepticism remains.
39 9.0 6 German Marquez 6.2 6.0 3.0 ▲ Early victory laps coming, I'm hopeful, but Coors is scary.
40 8.5 6 Ross Stripling 1.7 6.0 2.5 ▲
41 8.5 6 Dylan Bundy 5.6 5.0 3.5 ▲ The .184 BABIP will rise, but that 2.5% BB rate!
42 8.5 6 Aaron Civale 5.3 4.5 4.0 ▲ Another late-round value pick cruising up the charts.
43 8.0 6 James Paxton 0.4 10.0 -2.0 ▼
44 8.0 6 Garrett Richards 2.4 5.0 3.0 ▲ Hit a bump against LAD, but 3.57 FIP, 16/5 K/BB is solid.
45 7.0 7 Robbie Ray -3.3 9.0 -2.0 ▼ Here come some plummeting arms.
46 6.0 7 Madison Bumgarner -0.4 9.0 -3.0 ▼
47 5.0 7 Luke Weaver -2.8 8.0 -3.0 ▼
48 5.0 7 Matthew Boyd 0.1 8.5 -3.5 ▼
49 4.5 7 Jordan Montgomery 0.0 4.5 0.0 ▬
50 4.5 7 Sean Manaea 2.1 3.5 1.0 ▲
51 4.5 7 Dylan Cease -1.3 2.5 2.0 ▲
52 4.5 7 Masahiro Tanaka 2.8 3.0 1.5 ▲
53 4.5 7 Spencer Turnbull 3.7 4.0 0.5 ▲ Two strong starts vs. good CIN lineup, can he punish PIT?
54 4.0 7 Chris Bassitt 4.8 2.5 1.5 ▲
55 4.0 8 Adrian Houser 1.2 2.5 1.5 ▲
56 3.5 8 Josh Lindblom 1.6 3.0 0.5 ▲
57 3.5 8 Nathan Eovaldi 3.0 2.0 1.5 ▲
58 3.5 8 Mike Minor 2.5 4.0 -0.5 ▼
59 3.0 8 Griffin Canning 1.6 2.0 1.0 ▲
60 3.0 8 Corbin Burnes 1.8 2.0 1.0 ▲ 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 BB, 8 K on Saturday. You love to see it.
61 3.0 8 Kyle Gibson 0.9 1.5 1.5 ▲
62 2.5 8 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2 1.5 1.0 ▲
63 2.5 8 Dustin May 3.1 1.0 1.5 ▲
64 2.5 8 Cristian Javier 3.2 1.5 1.0 ▲
65 2.0 8 Spencer Howard 0.0 1.0 1.0 ▲
66 2.0 8 Austin Voth 0.8 1.0 1.0 ▲
67 2.0 8 Alec Mills 1.4 0.0 2.0 ▲
68 2.0 9 Zach Plesac 7.4 1.0 1.0 ▲
69 2.0 9 Framber Valdez 4.4 1.0 1.0 ▲ 19/3 K/BB ratio, 55.1% groundball rate, 2.09 FIP. Hello!
70 1.5 9 Tyler Chatwood 3.8 1.5 0.0 ▬ Buy low. Pounding strike zone, victim of .417 BABIP.
71 1.5 9 Dallas Keuchel 3.9 0.0 1.5 ▲
72 1.5 9 Jon Lester 1.4 1.0 0.5 ▲
73 1.5 9 Anthony DeSclafani 3.6 0.0 1.5 ▲ Two scoreless starts in the books. 1 BB is great, .172 BABIP.
74 1.5 9 Tyler Mahle 3.1 0.0 1.5 ▲
75 1.5 9 Kevin Gausman 2.7 1.0 0.5 ▲
76 1.5 9 Joe Musgrove -1.3 3.5 -2.0 ▼ Erratic command, lower velo, start pushed back. Not good.
77 1.5 9 John Means -0.6 1.0 0.5 ▲
78 1.5 9 Brady Singer -0.2 1.0 0.5 ▲
79 1.5 9 Jon Gray 2.9 1.0 0.5 ▲ Whiffs way down, living off .204 BABIP.
80 1.0 9 Pablo Lopez 3.1 0.0 1.0 ▲
81 1.0 10 Steven Matz -1.3 1.0 0.0 ▬
82 1.0 10 Alex Cobb 1.4 1.0 0.0 ▬
83 1.0 10 Johnny Cueto -0.5 1.0 0.0 ▬
84 1.0 10 Merrill Kelly 2.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ He doesn't believe in issuing walks anymore?
85 1.0 10 Kyle Freeland 2.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
86 1.0 10 Kris Bubic 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲
87 1.0 10 Randy Dobnak 3.3 0.0 1.0 ▲
88 1.0 10 Marco Gonzales 1.7 0.0 1.0 ▲
89 1.0 10 Zach Davies 3.1 1.0 0.0 ▬
90 1.0 10 Matt Shoemaker -1.3 1.0 0.0 ▬
91 1.0 10 Dakota Hudson -0.9 1.0 0.0 ▬
92 1.0 10 Jonathan Loaisiga -0.9 1.0 0.0 ▬
93 1.0 10 Brandon Bielak 1.4 0.0 1.0 ▲
94 1.0 10 Touki Toussaint 2.3 0.0 1.0 ▲
95 1.0 10 Antonio Senzatela 3.9 0.0 1.0 ▲ Early 6.9% BB rate, 10.2% SwStr are 3 pct. point swings from '19
96 1.0 10 Yusei Kikuchi 4.3 1.0 0.0 ▬
97 1.0 10 Elieser Hernandez 1.1 0.0 1.0 ▲
98 1.0 10 Asher Wojciechowski -0.1 0.0 1.0 ▲
99 1.0 10 David Peterson 1.6 0.0 1.0 ▲
100 1.0 10 Kyle Wright -0.6 0.0 1.0 ▲ If this continues, we may see Ian Anderson very soon.
101 1.0 10 Anibal Sanchez -1.2 1.0 0.0 ▬

Starting Pitcher Movers of Note

Carlos Carrasco (SP, Indians): We can wax poetic about Shane Bieber but we can’t let Cookie go without some love. Part of his move up into the heart of Tier 2 comes from others dropping, but he’s earned it too. Firing on all cylinders, Carrasco is benefitting from a .237 BABIP (.308 career) but has looked marvelous against Cincinnati and Minnesota -- strong lineups -- as well as undressing the Royals in his 2020 debut. Batted-ball luck can’t create a 23/6 K/BB ratio out of thin air. No one expects the 1.00 WHIP days to last, I hope, but Carrasco is an established veteran in a favorable pitching spot on Cleveland.

While I have him ahead of arms with higher ceilings, I value his stability against Clayton Kershaw, who just returned to action and carries an elevated re-injury risk, Max Scherzer, who has a minor quad issue, and Mr. Bauer, who looks amazing but is as volatile as they come. I just wanted to make my rationale clear.

Trevor Bauer (SP, Reds): Bauer and Sonny Gray are climbing in tandem thanks to outstanding early performances. We’ve seen both of them light the world on fire for seasons at a time, but Bauer’s electric 2018 was followed by a dud ‘19. Yes, he struck out 253 in 213 frames, but the 4.48 ERA had a 4.34 FIP and 4.14 SIERA behind it. Spin rates are up with Driveline's Kyle Boddy on the consultant payroll.

As with most early success stories, Bauer is also enjoying a low BABIP (.167), but the 46.4% strikeout rate with what would be a career-low 5.8% walk rate speaks to someone in total command of the zone. Interestingly, Bauer’s only throwing his first pitch for a strike 52.2% of the time thus far, not something you associate with big K’s and low walks. I’m siding with the results for now, but the hits will start falling, and being behind in counts too often isn’t conducive to long outings and long-term success.

Tyler Glasnow (SP, Rays): Glasnow’s control wasn’t there on Saturday against a dangerous Yankees lineup, which tagged him for four runs over 2 ⅔ innings. He would throw just 40 of his 71 pitches for strikes, but he also had horrid luck (.571 BABIP on the day). His 5.56 ERA has a frigid 5.20 FIP behind it, and the 3.35 xFIP points to three homers allowed in just 11 ⅓ IP this year. That 2.38 HR/9 comes after an incredible 0.59 HR/9 in ‘19, but if command has slipped then some pitches are going to find barrels.

German Marquez (SP, Rockies): Marquez has beaten up the Rangers, A’s, and Giants, with his best start coming at Coors (vs. SFG). The .239 BABIP and 7.1% HR/FB rate are far from his usual ~.310 BABIP and 16% HR/FB mark, but the 2.05 FIP and 2.96 SIERA are encouraging. Obviously a pitcher can be both good and lucky. 

He’s another arm that’s attacking the zone (73.3% first-strike rate!) and has more than doubled his changeup usage (3.2% to 7.9%). With a 49% fastball usage, he’s another arm backing off the heat. We’ll see how long his secondaries can play up in the thin air, but we know he has top-10 stuff thanks to 2018. You must accept a lower floor due to Coors, though.

Dylan Bundy (SP, Angels): Bundy’s left Baltimore and has unlocked a new level of production. This alone isn’t shocking, but the degree of production thus far definitely is. He’s leaning on his slider more, throwing it nearly as much as his four-seamer in 2020 (29.3% Slider, 32.8% Four-Seamer, per Baseball Savant). The xBA on his slider is .083 thus far, with only one hit surrendered across 84 thrown. It was a strong pitch last season too (.152 BA & .167 xBA, thrown at a 22.8% clip) but the Halos are encouraging it further. Blend in Max Stassi’s excellent pitch framing with this reliance on breaking balls and you’ve got a strong profile.

Matthew Boyd (SP, Tigers): Boyd is simply too hittable right now. Yes, the .417 BABIP is still a joke and it will come down. But he’s always had homer issues and that 1.84 HR/9 is right next to last year’s 1.89 rate. His first-strike rate was 64.3% last season, helping usher in the 30.2% strikeout rate. That F-Strike mark is down to 52.1%, dragging along a mediocre 18.3% strikeout rate.

His pitch mix and velocities are steady with last year, but the command simply looks off. One cannot rely on him at the moment, and the short season doesn’t reward patience as much. Burning roster spots on those searching for mechanical answers gives us less wiggle room for dancing around the COVID-19 absences as well. Mix in that Detroit is unlikely to provide many wins and it’s hard to be a Boyd backer in 2020.

Corbin Burnes (SP/RP, Brewers): Burnes made good on promises Saturday, striking out eight over 5 ⅓ innings of one-run ball. This comes after two appearances (one start, one relief) of under four innings each, so it’s nice to see Milwaukee stretch him out. While only six hits across 12 ⅓ frames look good, his eight walks in that span (5.84 BB/9) means he’ll be in serious trouble if command slips towards last year’s level at all. He’s got massive putaway stuff, but the threat of walks and homers loom large.



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Yordan Alvarez

has Chance to Return Next Weekend
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Signs Three-Year Extension
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Opts into Player Option
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Heads to Injured List
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Carted Off on Sunday
Bryce Harper

Faces Live Pitching
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Remains Out on Sunday
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Bojan Bogdanovic Retiring From Basketball
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Declines Player Option
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Signing Three-Year Extension
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Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
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NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
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Getting Second Chance With Texans
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Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Yordan Alvarez

Eyeing Return Before All-Star Break
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Declining Player Option
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
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Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
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Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
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Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
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Fans 11 in One-Hit Gem
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Returning to Toronto
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Dominant in Victory
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Gets Team Option Picked Up
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Staying in Portland
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Recieves Qualifying Offer
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Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
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Jeremy Pena Out of Lineup Saturday
Sam Merrill

Sticking with Cavaliers
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Staying in Miami
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
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to Undergo Shoulder Surgery
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez in Guardians Lineup on Saturday
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
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Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
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Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
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Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
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Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
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Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Ty Dillon

Could Benefit from Kaulig Speed
Cody Ware

Rarely Enough Attrition at Atlanta for Cody Ware to Seriously Contend
Ryan Blaney

Is Always Strong at Atlanta
Joey Logano

Wins Pole, Looking for Third Atlanta Win
Isaac Okoro

on the Move to Chicago
Chase Burns

Slated to Make Next Start on Monday
Lonzo Ball

Traded to Cleveland
Dylan Sampson

Being Used as a Receiver
Carson Schwesinger

Figures to be in Full-Time Role in 2025
Cedric Tillman

Should Have Full-Time Role
Bryce Young

Looking More Comfortable, Showing More Intensity
Charlie Coyle

Blue Jackets Acquire Charlie Coyle and Miles Wood From Colorado
Jack Quinn

Signs Up for Two More Years with Sabres
Brandon Saad

Stays in Vegas on One-Year Deal
Trent Frederic

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Josh Naylor

Exits Friday's Contest Early with Neck Stiffness
Emil Heineman

Shipped to the Islanders
Noah Dobson

Traded to Montreal
John Tavares

Agrees to Four-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Sam Bennett

Signs Eight-Year Extension with Panthers
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Islanders Select Matthew Schaefer With No. 1 Pick in NHL Draft
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Jose Berrios Tosses Seven Scoreless Innings in Fourth Win
Nick Martinez

Flirts With No-Hitter, Settles for Win
Gary Sánchez

Gary Sanchez Homers, Reaches Five Times in Onslaught
Trea Turner

Blasts Two Homers, Steals Base
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Ron Washington to Remain on Medical Leave for Rest of the Season
Jeremy Peña

Imaging Negative on Jeremy Pena's Ribs on Friday
Spencer Steer

Slugs Three Home Runs in Win
Ace Bailey

to Report to Utah on Saturday
Sonny Gray

Tosses Complete-Game Shutout
Justin Edwards

Sixers Agree on a New Contract
Naz Reid

Agrees to a New Contract with Minnesota
Aaron Rodgers

Roman Wilson Could Fit Nicely With Aaron Rodgers
Josh Simmons

on Schedule to Open the Year as a Starter
Micah Parsons

Contract Length an Issue for Cowboys, Micah Parsons
Denver Broncos

Broncos Unsure How Their Running Back Room Will Look
Russell Wilson

Not the Only Leader in Giants Clubhouse
Jae'Sean Tate

Rockets Want to Bring Back Jae'Sean Tate
Jihaad Campbell

to Begin at Inside Linebacker
Josh Conerly Jr.

to Play Right Tackle for Now
Tyleik Williams

Expected to Fill Big Role Right Away
Malaki Starks

Should Make an Immediate Impact
James Pearce Jr.

Impressing the Falcons
Jaxson Dart

has "Excellent" Spring
Donovan Jackson

has Inside Track on Starting Job
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
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Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
Daniil Tarasov

Panthers Bring in Daniil Tarasov
Frederick Gaudreau

Kraken Pick Up Frederick Gaudreau From Wild
SJ

Sharks Buying Out Marc-Edouard Vlasic
Jamie Benn

Stays in Dallas on One-Year Deal
Reilly Smith

Signs New One-Year Deal with Vegas
Michael Kesselring

Traded to Sabres
Josh Doan

Moves to Buffalo
JJ Peterka

Mammoth Acquire JJ Peterka
Evander Kane

Traded to Canucks
Michael Thorbjornsen

Returns in Detroit at Rocket Classic
Adam Hadwin

Could Struggle Over the Weekend in Detroit
Cam Davis

Hopes Detroit Magic Can Spark Turnaround
Matt Wallace

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Rocket Classic
Joel Dahmen

Not Cutting it Lately
Michael Kim

Searching for Spark at Rocket Classic
Rasmus Hojgaard

a High-Ceiling Play in Rocket Classic
Matt McCarty

a Wild Card Heading into Detroit
Emiliano Grillo

Rolling into the Summer Season
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Looking for More Magic at Rocket Classic
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Brings High Upside to Detroit Golf Club
Max Greyserman

Could Make Noise at Rocket Classic
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a Strong Value Play at Rocket Classic
Eric Cole

Hoping for Better Times at Rocket Classic
Beau Hossler

Searching for Form at Rocket Classic
PGA

Byeong Hun An in Good Form Heading into Rocket Classic
Cameron Young

Looking For Redemption and Possible First Career Victory in Detroit
Collin Morikawa

is The Headliner This Week in Detroit For Good Reason
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Alex Noren Finishes Tied For 30th at Travelers Championship
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Misses The Cut at RBC Canadian Open
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Becomes a Duck
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Moves to Philadelphia
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Traded to Blackhawks
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF