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Target Risers and Potential Breakouts for Week 12

Entering Week 12, the theme of today’s column is players who have shaken off injuries, slumps, or downright bad starts to the season to hopefully get hot at the right time.

As always, the NFL is an attrition league and injuries to other weapons can have a tremendous impact on the target share of the players who are able to weather the storm and remain on the field.

In this week’s edition of Target Risers and Potential Breakouts we put some of the biggest and most surprising target totals under the microscope and try to make sense of what happened in Week 11, and attempt to project what we can expect from these players going forward.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Rising Target Grabbers

WIDE RECEIVERS

Dez Bryant (WR, DAL) - 14 Targets

The early returns on the post-Ezekiel Elliott Dallas Cowboys are not good, although to be fair it may have been the loss of left tackle Tyron Smith that hit Dak Prescott and company the hardest. By any measure, Dez Bryant has been one of the biggest busts in fantasy football at the wide receiver position, but it’s not for lack of volume. Dez sits at fifth among wide receivers in overall targets (97) and tied for first in red zone targets (17), but has still managed to simply tread water as the WR22 for the season in PPR formats. In this contest, Bryant managed just 8 catches for 63 yards. Far from a disastrous performance, his raw target share keeps Dez as a locked-in WR2 as fantasy owners hope he can flash some upside down the stretch. A home date against the Chargers is on tap for Week 12 and Dez has posted some big days in Thanksgiving games, so fantasy owners can hope that trend continues in 2017.

Keenan Allen (WR, LAC) - 13 Targets

Reeling in a whopping 12 catches for 159 yards and a pair of touchdowns, Keenan Allen’s blowup line in an absolute butt-kicking of the Nathan Peterman-led Buffalo Bills netted him over 40 fantasy points in PPR formats. The WR star of Week 12 more than doubled the fantasy point total from his previous season-high when he caught nine passes for an even 100 yards against the Dolphins in Week 2. Allen’s 40.2 fantasy points against the Bills account for over 25% of his seasonal fantasy output, despite being just one of his ten games played. A popular 2017 bounce-back candidate, Keenan Allen’s hot start was derailed by a streak of five straight games with less than 11 fantasy points entering Sunday’s action, but hopefully this will jump start him to a strong finish.

Corey Coleman (WR, CLE) - 11 Targets

For the second straight season, a small sample of Coleman’s talent tantalized fantasy owners only to be derailed by a broken hand. While the second-year player didn’t manage to make fantasy waves as a rookie upon his late season return in 2016, in that instance he walked into a passing game boasting a WR who was having a terrific season in his own right in Terrelle Pryor. In 2017, it is apparent that no Cleveland Browns WR is going to stand in the way of a Corey Coleman breakout. While he’s far from a sure thing, his first game back after an 8-week absence saw him command 11 targets, catching six for 80 yards against what had been an absolute shut down Jacksonville defense. There’s plenty of reason to buy in to Coleman as an upside WR3 going forward, even with Deshone Kizer at the helm. Coleman had 16.3 and 14 PPR points in each of the games he has both started and finished in 2017.

Davante Adams (WR, GB) - 10 Targets

For as devastating as the installment of Brett Hundley as quarterback of the Packers has been for Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams has arguably not missed a beat. In five games with Aaron Rodgers under center, Adams averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game. In five games with Brett Hundley under center, Adams has averaged 14.5 fantasy points per game. In Week 11, Adams reeled in 8 of 10 targets for 126 yards, his most efficient output with Hundley at QB. Kept alive by volume for the time being, I don’t think any Adams owners will be in a position to complain if Rodgers manages to return for the fantasy playoffs. The icing on the cake is that Adams is tied with Dez Bryant for the league lead among wide receivers in red zone targets with 17. He’s a locked in WR2.

Brandin Cooks (WR, NE) - 9 Targets

Catching 6 of 9 targets for 149 yards and a touchdown on Sunday’s Mexico City showdown with the Oakland Raiders, Cooks has now amassed 12 catches on 20 targets for 223 yards and a score in the two games since Chris Hogan has been sidelined with a shoulder injury. Notoriously coy about injuries, the Patriots haven’t yet given us any particular reason to believe that Chris Hogan will be returning to the lineup in Week 12’s matchup with Miami. Cooks has been a disappointment to this point in the season as Chris Hogan has represented a player with a fairly redundant skill set and has likely sapped much of his production through the season’s first two months. Now, as something like the last vertical threat standing, Cooks is arguably even a high-end WR1 until further notice.

Jamison Crowder (WR, WAS) - 8 Targets

Things seem to have turned for Crowder, as the third year pro was off to an extremely disappointing start to the season after a slow finish in 2016, but has begun to show signs of life in recent weeks. Over his last three games, Crowder has been targeted 13, 11, and 8 times, and finished as PPR WR6, WR33, and WR21 respectively. During this mini-breakout, the Redskins have also sustained season-ending injuries to WR Terrelle Pryor, RB Chris Thompson, and RB Rob Kelley, while Jordan Reed has also been shelved with a hamstring issue for much of that span. With so many weapons going down around him Crowder seems to be asserting himself at the right time and realistically presents WR3 value, with a very solid PPR floor for the rest of the season as a staple for Kirk Cousins over the middle of the field.

 

TIGHT ENDS

Jimmy Graham (TE, SEA) - 11 Targets

When the Seahawks added Graham ahead of the 2015 season, it was easy to envision a scenario where he became Russell Wilson’s primary weapon, all over the field, but especially in the red zone. After a hugely disappointing season in which he managed only a pair of TDs through 11 games played before a suffering a devastating injury to his patellar tendon in 2015, Graham came back healthy in 2016 and finished fourth among fantasy TEs, but he still wasn’t quite lighting up the stat sheet like we had been accustomed to seeing in his New Orleans days. Graham’s seven catches for 58 yards, a TD, and a 2-point conversion from Monday night’s game represented his eighth straight contest with double digit fantasy points in PPR and Graham’s night could have been even bigger had he managed to haul in Wilson’s desperation heave on a third down play in the second quarter that went through his hands. Now with seven TD receptions over his last six games, and sitting on a league-leading 22 red zone targets, it’s possible to make an argument for Graham as the TE1 overall going forward.

 

Potential Week 12 Breakouts

Kenny Golladay (WR, DET)

Although it’s hard to imagine a fantasy team contending for a playoff spot having their back to the wall to the point where Golladay is a serious consideration on a Thanksgiving day game against Minnesota’s tough secondary, I would be remiss if I did not acknowledge that he does have some very real breakout appeal down the stretch and even as soon as this week. With Xavier Rhodes more likely to follow Golden Tate and Marvin Jones, Golladay could have an opportunity for big plays down the field. He has at least 52 yards in 3 of the 5 games he has played this season and could play his way into high-ceiling WR3 territory in the fantasy playoffs. Available in 89% of Yahoo leagues, he’s a particularly appealing stash for fantasy players on providers that allow you to drop bench players after they have played- as is the case on Yahoo. At least add him to your bench to see what happens, and consider him strongly in Thanksgiving DFS.

Josh Doctson (WR, WAS)

Although he is one of the most added players over the last 24 hours, Josh Doctson is still available in 73% of Yahoo leagues and presents some serious breakout potential on Thursday night against the Giants. With Terrelle Pryor on IR, Doctson is now essentially the undisputed deep threat of note for the Redskins going forward. Head coach Jay Gruden has alluded to the possibility that monster games should be coming for the second-year wideout as he has always figured to be the future WR1 for the Redskins. Kirk Cousins has thrown long TD passes to wide receivers Maurice Harris and Ryan Grant over the last two weeks, and coming off of a career high 81 yards receiving against the Saints in Week 11, if Doctson can get behind the defense on Sunday night, a WR1 performance is very possible.

JD McKissic (RB, SEA)

The Seattle Seahawks backfield either has the worst conditioning coach in the NFL or is absolutely snake-bitten by the worst injury luck in recent memory. Chris Carson, Thomas Rawls, Eddie Lacy, CJ Prosise, and now Mike Davis have played significant roles in the Seattle backfield, only to leave games with injuries to various body parts, with varying degrees of severity. Enter swiss-army knife JD McKissic, a converted WR who, at this point in the season, is the only RB on the Seahawks roster who has managed to escape injury in every game in which he was active. After Rawls was a healthy scratch in Week 11, suggesting a potential youth movement in Seattle, head coach Pete Carroll went with the tandem of JD McKissic and freshly-promoted Mike Davis. Davis and McKissic both showed very well in the split backfield, but Davis regrettably suffered an ankle injury that is expected to keep him out of an attractive matchup at San Francisco in Week 12. Although McKissic will likely share backfield duties with the uninspiring veteran duo of Lacy and Rawls, at least in PPR formats, he’s arguably the best play of the three. As the passing back, he should lead the team in RB snaps and has seen his catch total rise from 2 > 3 > 5 > 6 over the past four weeks. In a pinch, McKissic, who is available in 84% of Yahoo leagues, can be fired up as an RB2/Flex with upside against a 49ers defense giving up the most fantasy points to the running back position.

 

More Week 12 Lineup Prep




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Agrees to Contract Adjustment with Texans
Chris Brooks

Carries Buy-Low Dynasty Appeal into 2026
Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
NFL

NFL Unlikely to Expand to 18 Regular-Season Games by 2027
Sahith Theegala

Searching For Swing at Charles Schwab Challenge
Lamar Jackson

in Attendance at OTAs This Week
Bucky Irving

Expected Back in the Summer or Fall
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
Jalen Tolbert

Does Jalen Tolbert Have Short-Term Dynasty Appeal?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Travis Etienne Jr.

Is Travis Etienne Jr. Still a Dynasty RB1 Following Change of Scenery?
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Extension Solidifies His Dynasty Outlook
Devin Singletary

Faces a Difficult Path to Relevance
Jordan Whittington

Does Jordan Whittington Have Any Dynasty Value Left?
Caleb Williams

Bears Want Caleb Williams to "Do Less"
Xavier Worthy

Has Xavier Worthy Become a Post-Hype Dynasty Sleeper?
DeMario Douglas

A Playing-Time Blockage Could Make DeMario Douglas a Dynasty Drop Candidate
Elijah Sarratt

Can Elijah Sarratt Emerge From the Middle Rounds of Dynasty Rookie Drafts?
Antonio Williams

a Borderline First-Round Pick in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
Joe Flacco

a Low-Cost Dynasty Handcuff with Immense Upside
Evan Mobley

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 15 Points
James Harden

Wants to Stay in Cleveland
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Committed to Cavaliers
Mikal Bridges

Cools Off in Game 4 Against Cavaliers
OG Anunoby

Active on Both Ends in Blowout Win
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads Knicks in Scoring During Series-Clincher
Jalen Brunson

Named Eastern Conference Finals MVP
Ivan Demidov

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Lane Hutson

Records Power-Play Goal in Game 3 Loss
Frederik Andersen

Enjoys Another Easy Night at the Office in Game 3
Shayne Gostisbehere

Scores First Postseason Goal
Taylor Hall

Ends Four-Game Goal Drought
Andrei Svechnikov

Scores Game 3 Winner in Overtime
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Falling Out of Favor Already in Dynasty Formats?
Roman Wilson

Worth Holding in Dynasty Leagues After Offseason Additions?
Luke McCaffrey

a Cut Candidate in Dynasty Leagues
Roman Hemby

Does Roman Hemby Have a Chance to Make Raiders Roster?
NFL

Eric McAlister Worth Drafting in Rookie-Only Dynasty Leagues?
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder is Ruled Out for Game 4 on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Nets Could Trade Michael Porter Jr.
Ajay Mitchell

is Ruled Out for Game 5
Jalen Williams

is Tagged as Questionable for Game 5
Valeri Nichushkin

Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin Uncertain for Game 4
Oliver Kapanen

Sitting as Healthy Scratch Monday
Max Domi

Out Indefinitely Due to Offseason Surgery Complications
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
Devon Toews

Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
Brett Howden

Nets 10th Postseason Goal
Mitchell Marner

Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Mark Stone

Returns With Multi-Point Effort
Valeri Nichushkin

Exits Early Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon

Hurt in Game 3 Loss
Isaiah Hartenstein

Provides Steady Production in Defeat
Chet Holmgren

Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
Stephon Castle

Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
De'Aaron Fox

Records Double-Double as Spurs Even Series
Victor Wembanyama

Sets Tone Early as Spurs Force a Pivotal Game 5
Jamal Murray

Earns First Career All-NBA Selection
Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
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Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
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Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
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Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
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Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
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