Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Sizing Up NFL Rookies That Flopped

Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Now that the NFL regular season is behind us, it's time to look back and reflect on some of the things that happened.

This was a weird year for rookies in the NFL, with some poor play from all the non-Mac Jones quarterbacks and some uneven play at other positions.

Let's take a look at some of the rookies who struggled and try to figure out a) what went wrong and b) if things will get better.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2022. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!


Trevor Lawrence - QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

We're only going to talk about one quarterback and that quarterback is Trevor Lawrence, because of all the disappointments at QB, he was the most disappointing relative to expectations.

Lawrence was...well, bad. Let's not sugarcoat this. 2021 was a disaster for Lawrence, one of the most hyped QB prospects in years.

For example, there was an eight-game span where Lawrence threw one touchdown. Not averaged one touchdown. He threw a TOTAL of one touchdown. ONE. Between Week 9 and Week 16, Trevor Lawrence had one touchdown pass, which came in Week 12 against the Falcons.

The Jaguars being a complete disaster because of Urban Meyer is a big part of this, but even that doesn't fully account for some of Lawrence's numbers. Per PlayerProfiler, he ranked:

  • 33rd in yards per attempt
  • 29th in accuracy rating
  • 1st in interceptable passes
  • 33rd in true completion percentage
  • 35th in true passer rating

It was not good. Blame playcalling and the offensive line and the situations, sure, but also blame Lawrence at least a little. There were a couple of good games mixed in and he ended the year with a strong showing in an upset win over the Colts, but it was a disappointing year overall. He missed throws. He couldn't keep drives alive. It didn't go well.

Will 2022 Go Better? If you still believe that Trevor Lawrence is a great prospect, then you have to believe he starts to show that next year. The situation in Jacksonville is unlikely to be objectively good, but it should be better simply by it not being the 2021 Jags anymore. I think he'll have some better games, will throw actual touchdowns sometime, and be a decent fantasy QB2, but I don't see him making a huge leap yet. Maybe in 2023, the Jags will have something good built around him that'll let Lawrence show his talent.


Kadarius Toney - WR, New York Giants

Toney had some really good games, but injuries limited him to 10 games. He had two really good showings, with six catches for 78 yards against the Saints and then 10 catches for 189 against Dallas.

He wouldn't break 40 yards again after that, though.

Toney seems like someone who could be really effective in a role where he's the diet version of Deebo Samuel. Of course, we don't know what the Giants are going to look like in terms of coaching and if the new system would use him like that, but the talent is definitely there.

Will 2022 Go Better? Assuming he's healthy, I'd say so. Toney is probably the second-most talented receiver on this team. If he plays most of the season, he'll be someone who'll usually deliver some really solid results in fantasy, with occasional big games.


Terrace Marshall Jr. - WR, Carolina Panthers

Marshall was targeted six times in Week 1. He never saw that many looks again.

Even factoring in that Marshall missed time with a foot injury, 2021 was extremely disappointing. A big part of that is the Panthers were just completely inept when it came to the passing game, as just three teams threw for fewer yards than Carolina did.

Will 2022 Go Better: Betting on Marshall to make a leap next year is betting on the Panthers' passing game as a whole to make a leap and...well, at this moment, I can't trust that to happen. Maybe the team will find a quarterback that can utilize Marshall (and D.J. Moore), but I'm not prepared to bet on any receivers on this team at this point.


Rondale Moore - WR, Arizona Cardinals

Rondale Moore played 14 regular-season games. He had four games with more than 50 receiving yards, and two of those games happened to be his first two NFL games. A popular sleeper pick, he opened the year looking like someone who was going to fulfill that destiny.

But he only played 29 percent of the snaps in Week 1 and 46 percent in Week 2. He was getting chances, but he was still playing less than half the snaps on a contending team. Contending teams don't really trust rookie wideouts much, and factoring in the mid-season trade for Zach Ertz, it makes sense why Arizona didn't look to Moore as much as people wanted.

Will 2022 Go Better: It definitely should.

A.J. Green, Christian Kirk, and Antoine Wesley are all free agents. I'd be a little surprised to see both Green and Kirk back, which would move Moore up a bit in the pecking order. He's either the No. 2 or No. 3 receiver on this team next year, something that boosts his value a ton. Green, for instance, had 92 targets this year. Some of that was because DeAndre Hopkins missed seven games, but even if we estimate that the No. 3 guy gets targeted 80ish times, that's a jump over what Moore saw this year. He'll be viewed as a preseason sleeper again next year, but I think it'll actually pan out in 2022.


Dee Eskridge - WR, Seattle Seahawks

Eskridge missed a whole bunch of games, landing on the IR with a concussion. He ended up returning in Week 10, but never had more than four targets in any game. His best showing was in Week 13 when he was targeted three times, catching all three for 35 yards and a score.

It's easy to diagnose what went wrong for Eskridge: he was hurt for the early part of the season and by the time he returned, there just wasn't a lot available for him.

Will 2022 Go Better? It has to, but I don't really have high hopes. The Seahawks have never thrown the ball enough to justify a fantasy investment in the No. 3 wideout, and unless the team moves on from Tyler Lockett or D.K. Metcalf, Eskridge won't have much value, though I expect his real-life value will rise.


Tutu Atwell - WR, Los Angeles Rams

With Josh Reynolds gone, there was theoretically room for Atwell to make an impact as the third receiver with Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. But Van Jefferson took on that role, and when Woods got hurt, the team brought in Odell Beckham Jr. Atwell never really had a chance, with his season ending after eight games with a shoulder injury. When healthy, he had 10 offensive snaps and no targets and worked exclusively as a return man.

Beckham is a free agent, but even if he leaves, Atwell likely enters 2022 as the No. 4 wideout, assuming Woods is good to go next year.

Will 2022 Go Better: Well, one reception would mean things technically went better, so...yes? But Atwell felt like a one-dimensional project when he was drafted in the second round and he still feels like that after one season, especially when that season was essentially lost.

These rookies were flops in 2021 but some have a chance to bounce back in their second season. Stay tuned to RotoBaller all offseason to get the best draft prep for 2022 fantasy football.

Ed. note: Thanks to Justin for not including Trey Sermon as a reminder of how much I drafted him this season.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts




Stephen Curry3 mins ago

Out Versus Utah
Myles Turner13 mins ago

Questionable Against The Timberwolves
Tyrese Haliburton22 mins ago

Questionable Against Minnesota
Dennis Smith32 mins ago

Jr. Still Plagued By Sprained Ankle
LaMelo Ball39 mins ago

Won't Be Back Versus Brooklyn
Ben Simmons47 mins ago

Still Out On Wednesday
Jalen Suggs1 hour ago

Out Again On Wednesday
John Wall1 hour ago

Getting The Night Off Against Orlando
Luke Kennard1 hour ago

Resting Versus Orlando
Taijuan Walker1 hour ago

Agrees To Four-Year Deal With Phillies
Norman Powell2 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Anthony Davis2 hours ago

Exits Tuesday's Matchup Against Cavs
Mitch Haniger3 hours ago

Agrees With The Giants On Three-Year Deal
Cody Bellinger4 hours ago

Cubs, Cody Bellinger Agree On One-Year Deal
Greg Dortch5 hours ago

Cardinals Hopeful Rondale Moore, Greg Dortch Return This Week
Jimmy Garoppolo5 hours ago

Will Avoid Surgery, Could Return In Playoffs
Baker Mayfield5 hours ago

Claimed By The Rams
Shane Wright6 hours ago

Set To Re-Enter Seattle Lineup
Sean Monahan6 hours ago

Questionable For Tuesday
Derick Brassard6 hours ago

Rejoins Senators Lineup
Alex Iafallo6 hours ago

Ready To Go Tuesday
Jonathan Toews6 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Maxime Comtois6 hours ago

Returns For Anaheim
Sidney Crosby6 hours ago

Evgeni Malkin Expected To Play
Andrew Heaney7 hours ago

Rangers Sign Andrew Heaney
Victor Oladipo7 hours ago

Has A Chance To Play On Tuesday
Emmanuel Clase7 hours ago

Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Jalen Suggs7 hours ago

Remains On The Sidelines With Ankle Issue
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7 hours ago

Questionable Against Dallas
Edwin Díaz7 hours ago

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever Of The Year
Michael Porter7 hours ago

Jr. Out Again On Tuesday
Kyle Lowry7 hours ago

Uncertain To Play On Tuesday
Endy Rodriguez7 hours ago

Getting Close To Big-League Debut
Jimmy Butler7 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined Against Detroit
Sean Murphy7 hours ago

Diamondbacks Interested In Sean Murphy
Josh Bell8 hours ago

Lands With The Guardians
Ezequiel Tovar8 hours ago

"Tracking" Towards Being Opening Day Shortstop
Evan Longoria8 hours ago

Talking To Five Teams
Xander Bogaerts8 hours ago

Red Sox Remain Engaged On Xander Bogaerts
David Dahl8 hours ago

Padres Sign David Dahl To Minor-League Deal
Jarlín García8 hours ago

Pirates Sign Jarlin Garcia
Vince Velasquez8 hours ago

Agrees With Pirates
Willson Contreras8 hours ago

Cardinals Among Favorites For Willson Contreras
David Njoku9 hours ago

Browns Expect David Njoku To Play In Week 14
Jace Peterson9 hours ago

A's, Jace Peterson In Agreement On Two-Year Contract
Tommy Kahnle9 hours ago

Signs With Yankees
Cody Bellinger9 hours ago

Blue Jays In On Cody Bellinger
Lamar Jackson9 hours ago

Dealing With PCL Knee Sprain
Cade Cavalli10 hours ago

Penciled Into Starting Rotation
Dylan Moore10 hours ago

To Have Core-Muscle Surgery
Elias Pettersson14 hours ago

Completes Three-Point Night With Game-Winner
Nazem Kadri14 hours ago

Picks Up Three Points
Artemi Panarin14 hours ago

Helps To Set Up Two Goals
Jordan Kyrou14 hours ago

Returns With Two Points
Shea Theodore15 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists
Alex Newhook15 hours ago

Scores Twice Versus Philadelphia
Nathan MacKinnon15 hours ago

Exits With Injury
Andrew Nembhard15 hours ago

Leads Pacers Past Warriors
Luka Doncic15 hours ago

Stuffs The Stat Sheet In Just 29 Minutes
Tyus Jones15 hours ago

Shines Versus Miami
Joel Embiid15 hours ago

Has A 39-Point Night Against Charlotte
Courtland Sutton1 day ago

Deemed Day-To-Day
Hayden Hurst1 day ago

Doubtful For Week 14
Kailer Yamamoto1 day ago

Returns To Action Monday
Artturi Lehkonen1 day ago

Misses Monday's Matchup
Darcy Kuemper1 day ago

Considered Day-To-Day
David Savard1 day ago

Out With An Upper-Body Injury
Brendan Gallagher1 day ago

Set To Miss Two Weeks
Ryan McDonagh1 day ago

Ruled Out For 2-4 Weeks
Artem Zub1 day ago

Out With A Broken Jaw
Lamar Jackson1 day ago

Week-To-Week With Knee Injury
Treylon Burks1 day ago

' Status Uncertain With Concussion
Kenneth Walker III1 day ago

Has Foot/Ankle Strain
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Will Undergo MRI
D'Onta Foreman1 day ago

Expected To Be Ready For Week 14
Kevin Holland1 day ago

Takes The Loss In Saturday's Main Event
Stephen Thompson1 day ago

Earns Victory In Main Event
Bryan Barberena1 day ago

Unable To Secure A Win Saturday
Rafael Dos Anjos1 day ago

Rafael dos Anjos Takes Co-Main Event By Submission
Matt Schnell1 day ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Takes The Loss Saturday
Baker Mayfield1 day ago

Panthers Cut Ties With Baker Mayfield
Matheus Nicolau1 day ago

Continues Run With TKO Victory
Lamar Jackson1 day ago

Could Miss Time With Knee Sprain
Tai Tuivasa1 day ago

Suffers Second Straight Loss
Sergei Pavlovich1 day ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory With Knockout Win
Jack Hermansson1 day ago

Ends 2022 With Losing Record
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Makes Most Of Opportunity With TKO Victory
Kyle Daukaus2 days ago

Has His Night Come To An Early End
Eryk Anders2 days ago

Gets It Done With A Second TKO Performance
Kenneth Walker III2 days ago

May Have Avoided Serious Injury
Tua Tagovailoa2 days ago

Ankle Injury "Not Serious"
Desmond Ridder2 days ago

Smith Doesn't Rule Out Desmond Ridder Start Moving Ahead
Jimmy Garoppolo2 days ago

Breaks Foot, Done For The Year
Sam Ehlinger2 days ago

Won't Suit Up On Sunday Night
Nick Foles2 days ago

Active On Sunday Night
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Trevon Diggs Will Play In Week 13
Kevin Holland4 days ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory
Stephen Thompson4 days ago

Set To Headline Main Event
Bryan Barberena4 days ago

Will Highlight Co-Main-Event Matchup
Rafael Dos Anjos4 days ago

Rafael dos Anjos In Saturday's Co-Main Event
Matt Schnell4 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Hoping To Be A Tough Out
Matheus Nicolau4 days ago

Can Continue To Make Strides In The Division
Sergei Pavlovich4 days ago

Can Secure Fifth Straight Win Saturday
Tai Tuivasa4 days ago

Facing Off Against Dangerous Heavyweight
Jack Hermansson4 days ago

Looking For Victory Over Rising Star