X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Late-Round Running Backs To Outperform ADP

Training camps are in progress, and many of you are participating in drafts as Week 1 kickoffs approach. You will develop a strategy before you begin building each roster. But it is recommended that you remain flexible in your decision-making based upon the flow of each draft.

Your treatment of the running back position will be critical since your backs will play an integral role in determining the success of your teams. Some of you have adopted the "Robust RB" approach, and are aggressively pursuing backs during the early rounds. Other fantasy GMs might decide to select only one back during the initial rounds (Modified-Zero RB), while some of you might ignore the position completely during the first five rounds (Zero RB).

But regardless of how you construct your rosters during the early and middle rounds, the decisions that you make in the late rounds will also determine your prospects of capturing a league championship. This article will examine running backs that are being selected in Round 10 or later that should outperform their current ADPs.

Featured Promo: Our friends at RIVAL Fantasy have created fun and unique DFS games including over/under contests and Fantasy Bingo. Use promo code BALLER to get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($199 value), and a $50 risk-free deposit. Play Now!

 

James White, New England Patriots

ADP: 202, RB57

The man, the myth, the legend. James White came to the world just to become the bright light leading those slotted in the running back position that wanted to broaden the horizons of the position. And so he did by becoming the ultimate pass-catching RB of the last few seasons. That might be too poetic for what White truly is as a fantasy asset, I know, but I hope you get where I come from and how valuable of a player White has always been for his often-cheap price.

White's ADP only kind of caught up to his exploits in the past two campaigns, the lone two of his seven-year career in which it topped 128 (!). Makes sense, considering he had overperformed his ADP in all four prior seasons with averages of 11.4 FPPG and an incredible 2018 season in which he put up career-year numbers to the tune of 276 PPR points, an RB7 finish, and a monster 17.3 fantasy points per game average. Obviously, he went on to regress in 2019 and 2020, but he was still very valuable as a high-end RB2 and then almost-RB3 last season.

The presence of Cam Newton in New England turned White into a less-used player out of the backfield, and that might stay the same in 2021, or maybe not depending on how much time it takes for Mac Jones to get the starting role. Even on a lesser usage profile, though, White still got 97 opportunities in 2020 and that would only go up to his prior levels (162 and 217 opps. in the prior two seasons) the minute Jones take the reigns of the offense.

PFF projects White to a much higher finish (RB38) than his ADP would make you believe (RB57), which makes the pass-catching tailback one of the biggest steals at this point through the 2021 draft season and a top-three in terms of potential ROI only behind Tevin Coleman and Cordarrelle Patterson. Draft White while you can before fantasy GMs realize the opportunity they're letting slip through their fingers.

 

Tevin Coleman, New York Jets

ADP: 204, RB59

The fact that the Jets drafted an RB in Michael Carter this past draft--with a fourth-round pick--had us thinking about a great opportunity for the rook heading into 2021. The Jets, though, also feature Ty Johnson (they traded for him last year) and Tevin Coleman on their roster after signing the latter as a free agent this very summer. No news related to Carter has come out of training camp, but Coleman's ADP has been murdered by his drafting this offseason. Coleman's ADP has gone up steadily, though, as fantasy GMs have come back to their senses and are starting to realize (again) that he could be the real deal of this backfield and quite a value play all things considered.

Coleman's upside isn't at the level of a league-winning rusher, of course, but the Jets' backfield is still as open as it's ever gotten. Coleman was always a bargain to my eyes and even with his recent ADP surge, I still have him as a very valuable pick for those trying to fill their RB corps late in drafts. I don't think I need to mention that fading Michael Carter at his stupid 103 ADP is the thing to do here while getting shares of Coleman, of course.

PFF has a projection of 139+ PPR points for Coleman in 2021. That would have Coleman finishing the season as the RB34, a low-end RB3 and weekly FLEX play for those who get him. That's absolutely insane considering Coleman's ADP of RB59. Only one other RB has a higher ROI projection right now while slotted as the RB1/RB2 in his team's depth chart (Cordarrelle Patterson) but I'm pretty sure we'd agree Coleman has the higher floor/ceiling of the two.

 

Kenyan Drake, Las Vegas Raiders

ADP: 129, RB40

It looks like having Josh Jacobs in tow isn't enough for the Raiders, who went on and signed RB Kenyan Drake to (seemingly) back Jacobs up in 2021. Not the most expensive of deals they signed him to, but not a peanuts-cheap one either. Anyway, for our fantasy purposes, Drake might be the ultimate league-winning play. As a sort of insurance callup were Jacobs to suffer an injury, Drake is a great option for the Raiders. Drake had a rough start to his career but he's found himself in the past three seasons, ranking inside the top-17 RBs in all of them while playing for both the Dolphins and Cardinals.

Drake is a virtual lock to average 10+ FPPG if we look at his resume and factor his new role into the equation. The opportunities will be cut down from those he's gotten in his prior three seasons, obviously, but PFF is giving him a projection of 177 opportunities in 2021 that rank fourth among non-RB1 players.

At his current 129 ADP (yes, available in the 10th round and later in most 12-team-league drafts), I don't think there are many backups as good as Drake for the upcoming season. Drake projects to finish as the RB29 while he's getting off draft boards as a super-low RB40. Must pounce on the Matrix glitch while it remains unfixed, folks.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Bogdan Bogdanovic1 hour ago

Questionable Against Denver
Jordan Martinook1 hour ago

Nets a Hat Trick In Hurricanes Win
De'Andre Hunter1 hour ago

Out Against The Nuggets
Clint Capela1 hour ago

May Not Play Versus Denver
Kirill Kaprizov1 hour ago

Picks Up Three Points Thursday
Dennis Smith1 hour ago

Jr. Won't Play Against The Wizards
LaMelo Ball2 hours ago

Out Again On Friday Night
Nick Paul2 hours ago

Scores Two Goals In Tampa Bay Win
Tage Thompson2 hours ago

Collects Three Points In Sabres Loss
Nathan MacKinnon2 hours ago

Carries Colorado To Victory Thursday
Tim Hardaway5 hours ago

Jr. Finding Success In The Starting Lineup
Zach Eflin5 hours ago

Agrees With The Rays
Luka Doncic5 hours ago

Continues Dominant Scoring Versus Pistons
John Collins6 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Jakobi Meyers6 hours ago

Officially Active For Week 13
Justin Fields7 hours ago

Practices In Full On Thursday
Christian McCaffrey7 hours ago

Says He'll Play In Full In Week 13
Mike Brosseau7 hours ago

Avoids Arbitration With Brewers
Kris Bryant7 hours ago

Rockies Optimistic About Kris Bryant
MLB7 hours ago

Shintaro Fujinami Officially Posted
Franklin Barreto7 hours ago

Signs With Nationals
Jake Oettinger7 hours ago

Returns Thursday Night
Robert Thomas7 hours ago

Back For Blues Thursday
Elvis Merzlikins7 hours ago

Available Again
Patrik Laine8 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Columbus Lineup
Brendan Gallagher8 hours ago

Won't Play Thursday
Travis Konecny8 hours ago

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Buffalo Bills8 hours ago

Von Miller Lands On Injured Reserve
Alex Pietrangelo8 hours ago

Could Return Saturday
Wendell Carter10 hours ago

Jr. Hopes To Return In 1-2 Weeks
Khris Middleton10 hours ago

Set For Season Debut Friday
Christian Wood10 hours ago

Questionable On Thursday
Jaden Ivey10 hours ago

Remains Questionable Thursday
Doug McDermott10 hours ago

Suffers An Ankle Injury
Jalen Smith10 hours ago

Exits With A Facial Injury
Jakobi Meyers11 hours ago

Expected To Play Thursday
Matthew Boyd14 hours ago

Agrees With Tigers
Trevor Rosenthal14 hours ago

Says He's Healthy
Miguel Diaz14 hours ago

Tigers Re-Sign Miguel Diaz
Anthony Gose14 hours ago

Re-Signs With Guardians
Mitch Haniger14 hours ago

Red Sox, Rangers Serious About Mitch Haniger
Devin Booker15 hours ago

Becomes Fourth 50-Point Scorer This Season
John Wall15 hours ago

Scores Season-High 26 Points
Jordan Clarkson15 hours ago

Enjoys Hot Shooting Night On Wednesday
Malik Monk15 hours ago

Has Another Strong Game Off Of The Bench
Tyrese Haliburton15 hours ago

Struggles Against Sacramento
Justise Winslow15 hours ago

Has Strong Outing In Losing Effort
Anthony Davis15 hours ago

Posts Another Double-Double In Win
Connor McDavid18 hours ago

First To 40 Points
Max Domi18 hours ago

Notches Two Power-Play Goals
Logan Couture18 hours ago

Stays Hot With An Assist
Chris Kreider18 hours ago

Finishes Off Ottawa
Filip Hronek18 hours ago

Finishes November With 14 Points
Dylan Cozens18 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Against Detroit
Calle Jarnkrok18 hours ago

Sustains A Groin Injury
Tyler Bertuzzi18 hours ago

Suffers A Hand Injury
Leon Draisaitl23 hours ago

Strikes Twice In Oilers Win
Sean Murphy1 day ago

Guardians Pursuing Sean Murphy
Stone Garrett1 day ago

Nationals Agree To One-Year Deal With Stone Garrett
Jasseel De La Cruz1 day ago

A's Sign Jasseel De La Cruz To Minor-League Deal
Seth Johnson1 day ago

Hoping To Pitch Late In 2023
Carlos Duran1 day ago

Edgardo Henriquez Have Tommy John Surgery
Aaron Judge1 day ago

Yankees Have Made Big Offer To Aaron Judge
Damien Harris1 day ago

Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Aaron Rodgers1 day ago

Packers Expect Aaron Rodgers To Play In Week 13
Los Angeles Rams1 day ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out Against Seattle
Matthew Stafford1 day ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 13
Christian McCaffrey1 day ago

Not Practicing
Jaylen Warren1 day ago

Ready To Play
Lewin Díaz1 day ago

Pirates Designate Lewin Diaz For Assignment
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Designated To Return
Toronto Blue Jays1 day ago

Blue Jays Announce Don Mattingly As Bench Coach
Joe Mixon1 day ago

Returns To Practice
Dallas Goedert1 day ago

Expected To Return In Week 15
Ja'Marr Chase2 days ago

Preparing To Play This Week
Raheem Mostert2 days ago

Should Return In Week 13
Najee Harris2 days ago

' Injury Isn't Serious
Travis Etienne Jr.2 days ago

Jaguars Optimistic About Travis Etienne Jr.
Kyle Pitts2 days ago

Out For The Year
Willson Contreras2 days ago

Astros Plan To Meet With Willson Contreras
Shelby Miller2 days ago

Dodgers Agree To MLB Deal With Shelby Miller
Carlos Rodón2 days ago

Mets Interested In Carlos Rodon
Jakobi Meyers2 days ago

Says He'll Play Thursday
Aaron Rodgers2 days ago

Plans On Playing In Week 13

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP