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Week 16 Dynasty Matchup Analysis

Dynasty owners don’t play week to week, they play long term. However, dynasty owners still need to analyze different aspects of weekly matchups to determine the best time to sell or buy a player.

Make sure you don’t buy that hot rookie too soon and don’t sell the aging veteran too late. Each week, I will analyze different matchups across fantasy football with a dynasty frame of mind.

Let's take some time to see what matchups might pique the interest of dynasty league owners for Week 16 of the 2017 season. Here are some Week 16 matchup previews for dynasty league owners to monitor.

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Falcons at Saints

Julio Jones vs Marshon Lattimore

This will be the second time this year Julio Jones and Marshon Lattimore go head to head. Earlier this week both players were announced as Pro Bowlers. The rookie Lattimore held his own during the first matchup in Week 14. One of the big differences this time, is the game will be in New Orleans instead of Atlanta. It is very hard to beat the Saints in New Orleans and having the home crowd in their favor could be a difference with the performance of the Falcons players.

In Week 14, Jones caught three of five targets for 73 yards and no touchdowns when covered by Lattimore. When being covered by another player, Jones had two catches for 25 yards. I would say the scale slightly tipped in the favor of Jones during the first matchup. Jones sits at third in the NFL with 1,215 receiving yards, but it had been one heck of a roller coaster season. He only has three games with 100 or more receiving yards, one of which was a colossal 12 catch, 253 yard performance in Week 12. Tampa Bay was not able to stop Jones during that matchup, but was able to make adjustments and hold him to three catches for 54 yards last week. Will the Saints be able to make the adjustments and take Jones out of the game plan this time around?

Lattimore is going to be amped up for this matchup. The Saints are at home, with the division on the line and Lattimore was just announced as a Pro Bowler. He is going to give one of his best performances of the year. Jones may have gotten the better of Lattimore during the last matchup, even if it was by a slight edge. He also had an interception and help Matt Ryan to a 64.6 rating when he threw the ball his way. Overall this season, Lattimore is the fourth overall CB according to Pro Football Focus, with a grade of 91.7. Wide Receivers have only had a rating of 37.5 when lining up across from Lattimore this season. You’ll see plenty of spotlights highlighting these two on Sunday.

What to watch for:

This is going to be a matchup we see for many more years. This matchup has direct implications on the NFC South and Wild Card.  The Saints will need a win to keep pace with the Panthers while the Falcons are just a game behind the two. Jones actually has pedestrian numbers against the Saints during his career. He has 1011 yards in 12 games against the Saints, good for 84.25 yards per game. That is the least amount of yards Jones has against any NFC South opponent. The road ahead doesn’t appear to be any brighter with Lattimore patrolling one side of the field. I have been selling on Jones for quite some time now. He is still a very good receiver, but for fantasy purposes, I don’t see him as a top five WR anymore. I think Lattimore will also get the best of Jones in this matchup as well.

 

Dolphins at Chiefs

Jarvis Landry vs Chiefs Secondary

The Dolphins are not playing for anything this week. The Chiefs have finally reemerged in the AFC South after a disappointing middle portion of the season. The Dolphins still want to play spoiler for teams looking to move on, but going into Arrowhead and getting a win will be difficult to do. For as bad as the Dolphins offense has been this year, there has been at least one bright spot.

Jarvis Landry continues to be one of the most underrated players in football. For fantasy football owners, his value used to lie within PPR leagues. He is a legit WR1 option in PPR leagues, finishing as the WR13 and WR9 the past two seasons and is currently the WR5. He is currently second in the league with 98 receptions, but 20th in receiving yards with 844. It’s odd that Landry is on pace to break his career high in receptions but has his lowest yard totals since his rookie season. The reason is a career low in yards per reception. Landry has a career average of 10.5 yards per reception but is only averaging 8.6 in 2017. He has been able to supplement the yards with a career high in touchdowns. If Landry can catch two TDs in the next two weeks, he could finish with double digit TDs for the first time.

Kansas City is giving up an average of 256.6 receiving yards per game in 2017, 26th in the NFL. This is their lowest ranking since 2005 when they gave up 241.4 yards a game and ranked 29th. It’s safe to say the Chiefs are missing Eric Berry who went down with an Achilles injury in Week 1 against New England. Marcus Peters is back to himself this year after a disappointing 2016. He is currently tied for third in the NFL with five interceptions and currently has a grade of 83.8 by Pro Football Focus, 23rd overall for CBs. His attitude has been less then desired by the Chiefs and fans this season. He was suspended two weeks ago after throwing a referee’s flag into the stands during a loss to the Jets.

What to watch for:

I am expecting a big day for Landry and not just because he is playing in one of my championship matchups. Peters will be shadowing either Kenny Stills or Devante Parker on the outside and won’t be near Landry in the slot. The passing game for the Dolphins will be in full effect on Sunday to keep up with the Chiefs who seem to be clicking on all cylinders again. Landry may not get a touchdown in this matchup, but the receptions and yards will more than likely be there. These are the kind of matchups that receivers need to dominate in order to taken seriously as a WR1 by fantasy owners. When you have a plus matchup, take advantage.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Anderson

Likely Out Monday
Cedric Coward

Remains Out Vs. Kings
Kawhi Leonard

Cleared to Play Sunday
Jalen Suggs

Misses Second Straight Game
Shohei Ohtani

Throws Live Batting Practice on Sunday
Patrick Williams

Available Against Knicks
Rhys Hoskins

Guardians Sign Rhys Hoskins to Minor-League Deal
Deni Avdija

Good to Go Against Suns
Tre Jones

Josh Giddey, Tre Jones Facing Minute Caps Sunday
Jack Brannigan

Exits After Getting Hit in the Face
Nick Richards

Active Sunday Against Knicks
Dairon Blanco

Being Evaluated for Head Injury
Grayson Allen

Jalen Green Active, Grayson Allen Sidelined Sunday
Aidan Miller

is Dealing with Back Soreness
Keyonte George

Faces Game-Time Decision Monday
Naz Reid

Out, Joan Beringer to Start Vs. 76ers
Lauri Markkanen

Probable to Return Monday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out Monday Against Rockets
Jamal Murray

Good to Go on Sunday
Brandon Lowe

Could Be Poised for Banner Year in Pittsburgh
TJ Friedl

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Bryson Stott

Remains a High-Floor, Low-Ceiling Second Base Option
Anfernee Simons

Won't Face the Knicks
Mitchell Robinson

Sitting on Sunday
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Set to Return to the Leadoff Spot in 2026
Myles Turner

Back on Sunday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Will Bat Leadoff in 2026
Kristaps Porzingis

Ruled Out on Sunday
Joey Logano

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Tyler Reddick

on Pole After Qualifying Rained Out at EchoPark Speedway
Chase Elliott

Could Chase Elliott Be Worth Rostering At EchoPark Speedway?
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Christopher Morel

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Taylor Walls

is Making Spring Debut on Sunday
Lenyn Sosa

Likely Headed Towards Bench Role
Joe Ryan

is Dealing with Back Inflammation
William Byron

Is William Byron Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Jordan Westburg

has Uncertain Timetable to Return
Rondale Moore

Passes Away
Denny Hamlin

Is Worth Consideration for EchoPark Speedway DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski

Is A Tournament Option for DFS At EchoPark Speedway
NASCAR

Is Bubba Wallace Rosterable In DFS At EchoPark Speedway?
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Ross Chastain

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Anfernee Simons

Exits Early In Loss To Detroit
Kristaps Porzingis

On Track To Play Sunday
Shaedon Sharpe

Remains Unavailable Sunday
Tyler Samaniego

Dealing with Back Tightness
Cam Schlittler

Throws Bullpen Session on Saturday
Cody Freeman

to Miss Significant Time with Back Fracture
Javonte Williams

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Jonathon Long

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Daniil Tarasov

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Evan Rodrigues

Set to Return Next Week
Aaron Ekblad

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Pavel Zacha

Cleared for Action
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Jonathan Lekkerimaki Needs Season-Ending Shoulder Surgery
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Matt Rempe

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Filip Chytil

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Connor McDavid

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Tage Thompson

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Travis Etienne Jr.

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Zach Charbonnet

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Curt Cignetti Agrees to New Deal With Indiana, Will Earn $13.2 Million Per Year
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Returns to Practice
Josh Morrissey

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Sidney Crosby

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Sean Strickland

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Uros Medic

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Geoff Neal

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Melquizael Costa

A Favorite At UFC Houston
Dan Ige

An Underdog At UFC Houston
Logan Cooley

Sheds Non-Contact Jersey
Maxwell Crozier

to Miss 10 Weeks After Surgery
Kirill Marchenko

Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Petr Mrazek

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
Rashee Rice

Accused of Assault by Long-Time Girlfriend
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Top Form at Riviera
Keegan Bradley

Looking to Build Momentum at Riviera
J.J. Spaun

Putting a Major Concern at Riviera
Sepp Straka

May Have Tough Time at The Genesis Invitational
Shane Lowry

Trending Up Entering the Genesis Invitational
Justin Rose

Off Most Radars at The Genesis Invitational
Robert MacIntyre

a Long Hitter to Watch at Riviera Country Club
Jake Knapp

Red-Hot Heading to Riviera
Min Woo Lee

Attempts to Build Momentum After Pebble Beach
Harry Hall

an Unknown for The Genesis Invitational
Matt Fitzpatrick

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Wyndham Clark

Not Likely to Contend at Genesis Invitational
Ludvig Aberg

Might Find the Genesis Invitational More Challenging
Harris English

Carries Strong Form to Riviera
Patrick Cantlay

Eyes Another Strong Week at The Genesis Invitational
Daniel Berger

Needs Short Game to Show Up at Riviera
Sam Burns

Hopes Return to Form Continues at Riviera
Collin Morikawa

Riding Wave of Victory Into Riviera
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Have Repeat Success at The Genesis Invitational
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Find Paydirt at Riviera
Xander Schauffele

Rounding into Form Before Genesis Invitational
Mike Evans

Will Return in 2026
Kenneth Walker III

Seahawks Not Expected to Use Franchise Tag on Kenneth Walker III
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