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Week 15 Rankings Analysis - Pierre Camus vs Industry Consensus

Pierre Camus' Week 15 fantasy football rankings analysis for the 2017 NFL season. He compares his rankings to industry consensus for QB, RB, WR, TE.

Lose one elite QB, gain another back. There was a seismic shift in the fantasy values of several players in Philadelphia and Green Bay this week with the unfortunate injury by Carson Wentz and the joyful return of Aaron Rodgers. The rankings will reflect as much, but also must take into consideration what position each team finds itself in. With just three games left, the playoff race is shaping up and certain teams have a lot more to play for than others. Keep this in mind when deciding between players for those flex spots.

As an expert ranker for RotoBaller and FantasyPros, I'll put my own personal rankings out on the table for you here and show you how they stack up against the consensus of the other 100+ experts at FantasyPros. Each week, I'll list my Top 10 per position, plus a few notable players that have risen or fallen in my rankings more than the expert consensus this week. In other words, it's where I zig when the others zag.

Note: all rankings are for standard leagues and all opinions are my own. If you have questions, comments, or incoherent ramblings related to fantasy sports, hit me up on Twitter @pfunk00 to continue the conversation.

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Week 15 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

I remember not too long ago when Ben Roethlisberger wasn't even in my top 10! That's because it was two weeks ago. Ben seems to not be completely done and ready to be put out to pasture, as many thought after his five-interception game against Jacksonville in Week 5. He is averaging 362 yards and three touchdowns per game over the last four contests and now gets to feast against a hurting Patriots defense that was lit up by Jay Cutler. Yeah, he's the QB1 this week.

Aaron Rodgers should immediately jump into the top tier of quarterbacks because he appears healed and as an upper-body injury, it won't affect his mobility in any way. He resides just outside the top-five because of a somewhat tough matchup on the road in Carolina. That said, if you have him then don't hesitate to play him because of the long layoff.

Blake Bortles now jumps into the starting QB conversation come fantasy playoff time, just as Tom Brady is exiting it. How poetic. The Texans aren't forcing turnovers (four in the last five games combined) and shouldn't impede Bortles on the path to fantasy stardom this week. This shouldn't be a surprise if you were checking strength of schedules months before the season began. Bortles gets the Texans, 49ers, and Titans to close the year and could be even better next week than he is in Week 15.

Deviation from expert consensus

This isn't the time to get cute at the QB position, so you're going to stick with your stud if you have one. Dak Prescott has recaptured that status as the Cowboys finally figured out how to play without Zeke. Prescott's opponent, the New Vegas Raiders, are 25th in pass yards allowed per game, even though they haven't faced many top QBs this season. He gets a slight nod over Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers since he has the least tough road matchup by far.

I'm down on Cam Newton this week for a couple reasons I've already broken down. First, I just don't trust him. He's been boom or bust all year; as I said earlier, this isn't the time for risk-taking at the most important position. Second, he's actually played far worse at home this season. Some expect this to suddenly become a shootout now that Rodgers is back (only three others game currently have a higher over/under), but that's not necessarily going to be the case. The Panthers may try to slow things down offensively by leaning more on Jonathan Stewart, who has been vulturing Newton's goal-line rushes the last couple of weeks anyway.

The Chargers haven't allowed more than 220 passing yards to a team in the last month. I don't see Alex Smith being the one to top that mark against a defense that has turned into one of the elite units in the league.

 

Week 15 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

I believe I will be the highest expert on Jay Ajayi this week, but upon calling him a top-1o back for Week 15 before Week 14 was even over, I have to stick to my guns. The theory is that a more-involved Ajayi, who saw 15 carries last week, will finally run the ball 20+ times in an Eagles uniform and have his way with the most generous run defense in the land, the New York (insert derogatory expletive here) Giants. If that's the case, why shouldn't he leapfrog inconsistent players like Carlos Hyde, Christian McCaffrey, and even Kareem Hunt?

Deviation from expert consensus

DeMarco Murray is another once-great fantasy RB from a year ago that has largely been dismissed. The 49ers allow the highest percentage of passing yards to running backs, which works in Murray's favor as the pass-catching back. Game flow should definitely benefit him as well, unless Jimmy Garoppolo suddenly proves to be much more than we bargained for.

Jamaal Williams will still be the starter in Green Bay, but there should be some legit concerns as to how often they will stick with the run now that their gunslinger is back. The Packers were notorious for abandoning the run until they had no choice but to keep it on the ground to protect Brett Hundley. I still consider Williams a low-end RB2, but project him to do far worse than the previous couple of weeks.

Samaje Perine is the starting RB by default--let's not forget that. He had a nice two-game stretch, but has been miserable otherwise. This team looks headed the way of the (insert ridiculous comparison here) Giants, with players calling out their coach in public and letting down on the field. I'd steer clear unless you have no better options.

Frank Gore was a hero last week in the snow, but he's just gotta be exhausted. That, and he faces a Denver defense that hasn't been too bad against the run. He's a lower-end flex consideration, but that's it.

 

Week 15 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

Julio Jones and DeAndre Hopkins swap places this week, as Jones faces the team he torched for 253 yards in Week 12, while Hopkins goes up against the best pass defense in the NFL. You can't bump Hopkins out of the WR1 ranks, especially considering he went for 55 yards and a touchdown earlier this year versus the Jags.

Jordy Nelson is a sight for sore eyes, as many fantasy owners will rejoice in Rodgers' return. Nelson should have a field day against CB James Bradberry, who has yielded more total yards than any other corner this season.

Deviation from expert consensus

It's not particularly controversial to list Larry Fitzgerald or Jordy Nelson in the top 10, so let's focus on the sleepers. Emmanuel Sanders has suffered from horrible quarterback play all year. That hasn't necessarily changed, but Trevor Siemian at least has been competent most of the time, with the exception of two horrible games. Indianapolis is a mess all around, but has a glaring weakness in the secondary most of all. Sanders figures to have a choice matchup with Kenny Moore this weekend and could be a value play in tournaments, as well as a WR3 in PPR leagues.

I like Nelson Agholor to serve as an outlet valve for Nick Foles, who will not need to press the issue downfield against the (insert insulting adjective here) Giants. Just because Carson Wentz is out and they won't need to pass much this weekend doesn't mean the receivers lose all value. Keep Agholor plugged in for your playoff run, at least for Week 15.

Brandin Cooks' value is inexorably tied to Tom Brady. So, if the theory is that Brady isn't putting forth his best effort in December as the Pats cruise to another division title, then doesn't that hurt Cooks? He's only caught three passes the last two games against mediocre division opponents Miami and Buffalo. Pittsburgh's once-great defense is yielding far more points to opponents the last three games, but they aren't doing worse in terms of passing yards, giving up an average of 237 pass yards per game in that span. Cooks doesn't read as an WR1 to me this week, especially with Chris Hogan a full go.

 

Week 15 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

Yes, that is Ricky Seals-Jones at TE10. Told you I was going bold. The Skins are trying to join the Giants and Broncos as worst defense against tight ends and RSJ is only real pass-catching threat at the position in Arizona. In fact, Washington is second in terms of percentage of passing yards going to tight ends. He disappeared last week, but has remained efficient when involved, averaging 19 yards per reception. With no Adrian Peterson again, facing a team with a decent offense on the road, I expect Arizona to have to air it out more than they have been lately; Seals-Jones could be one of the main beneficiaries.

Deviation from expert consensus

Jack Doyle gets to face the TE-friendly defense of the Broncos and this time he'll be in the cozy indoor comforts of Lucas Oil Stadium with a 0% chance of snow. He managed to score the only touchdown of the game for Indy last week, but should see a much higher number of receptions this week.

I'm sticking with David Njoku as a streaming option after the Packers bottled him up last week. He is nursing some injuries, so this is definitely subject to change.

Who's going to score at TE for the Bucs this week, Cameron Brate or O.J. Howard? Who knows? I'm not playing the guessing game with that team any more and can't trust Howard, even though he brought in 54 yards and a score against the Lions. This week's opponent, the Atlanta Falcons, have only ceded three touchdowns to tight ends all year.

 

More Week 15 Lineup Prep


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Josh Hart

Sidelined for Fourth Straight Game
Kyshawn George

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Friday
Joel Embiid

Cleared to Play Thursday vs. Mavericks
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ruled Out for At Least Four Weeks
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
D'Angelo Russell

Ruled Out Thursday With Illness
George Kittle

Listed as Questionable for Week 18
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Active Versus Nets
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Trending Towards Playing
Clint Capela

Steven Adams and Clint Capela Sidelined Thursday
Miles Wood

Blue Jackets Place Miles Wood on Injured Reserve
Dak Prescott

May Not Play Full Game in Week 18
Conor Garland

to Miss One Week
Egor Demin

Won't Suit Up Against Houston
Marco Rossi

to Miss at Least One Week
Ace Bailey

Still Out on Thursday Night
Tari Eason

Active on Thursday
Yegor Chinakhov

Set for Penguins Debut Thursday
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out on Thursday
Tanner McKee

Will Start for Eagles in Week 18
Shayne Gostisbehere

Misses Third Consecutive Game Thursday
Keyonte George

Unavailable on Thursday
Michael Porter Jr.

Out on Thursday
Auston Matthews

Returns From One-Game Absence
Josh Allen

Trending Towards Resting in Week 18
William Nylander

Remains Out Thursday
Lamar Jackson

Will Officially Return in Week 18
Tobias Harris

Won't Suit Up Against Miami
Lauri Markkanen

on the Injury Report for Thursday Night
Keyonte George

Battling an Illness, Might Miss Thursday's Game
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Won't Play on Thursday Evening
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal
Jordan Love

Clears Concussion Protocol, Won't Start in Week 18
George Kittle

"Absolutely" Expects to Play in Week 18
Clayton Tune

to Start for Packers in Week 18
Chris Olave

Ruled Out for Week 18
Tom Wilson

Wraps Up 2025 With Gordie Howe Hat Trick
Valeri Nichushkin

Nets Second Career Hat Trick
Frank Vatrano

to Miss Six Weeks With Shoulder Injury
Conor Sheary

Noah Laba Exit With Injuries Wednesday
Brayden McNabb

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Wednesday
Miles Wood

Exits Early Wednesday
Gavin Brindley

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Michael Porter Jr.

Battling Illness, Questionable Thursday
Joel Embiid

Likely to Play Thursday
Anthony Davis

Available Thursday
Coby White

to Miss at Least One Week
Davante Adams

Not Expected to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Won't Play in Week 18
Aaron Rodgers

Considering Playing Beyond 2025?
Sean Monahan

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Zach Werenski

Misses Fourth Straight Game Wednesday
Dougie Hamilton

Questionable Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Play in Week 18
Ilya Lyubushkin

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Lyon

to Miss "Bit of Time"
Erik Cernak

Rejoins Lightning Lineup Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
CFB

Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
CFB

Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
Stefon Diggs

Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
CFB

Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
CFB

Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
CFB

Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
CFB

Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator

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