Top NFL Betting Expert Picks for Week 7 (10/20/19)

The Texans took down the Chiefs last week by outscoring them 28-7 after the first quarter. Deshaun Watson wasn’t spectacular, but there were quite a few scoring opportunities left on the board by Will Fuller. Somehow, Carlos Hyde continues to be serviceable thanks to high volume. Add in that DeAndre Hopkins hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1, and this offense has left a lot on the table.

The Colts are coming off their bye week, which allows Marlon Mack to get completely healthy. Despite taking down Kansas City in Week 5, neither Mack, nor T.Y. Hilton really stood out. Jacoby Brissett has solidified himself as a capable starting quarterback, but also one that won't completely take over a game. However, if his weapons show up, this offense is top 10 in the league. 

Both teams most recent games involve beating the Chiefs, which speaks strongly about the defenses more than anything. However, with Indy fresh off the bye week, and Houston putting up 84 points in their past two games, both teams should be ready to hit on all cylinders. I look at it as both teams are readily capable of scoring 24 points each.

The Vikings just took down the Eagles, and they did so through the air. These are things you didn't expect to say just three weeks ago. Kirk Cousins threw enough touchdowns (four) to make the general public think he's good, while Stefon Diggs came out of the doghouse to catch three of them. Defensively, Minnesota is tough, allowing just 15.3 points per game over the last three games. However, it's all up front as Trae Waynes and Xavier Rhodes haven't been great this season.

Detroit got hosed last week, but they covered so all is well, unless you're a Lions fan. On another note, who doesn't love a good revenge game? Matthew Stafford coming back home after throwing for just 265 yards and no touchdowns, while Kerryon Johnson rushed for just 34 yards is what you should be targeting. These two guys alone are sure to bounce back. 

Since the beginning of 2018, the Lions are 5-2 against the spread coming off a loss, while the Vikings are just 3-7-1 ATS after a win. Keep in mind that Cousins isn't good, so he'll likely come back down to earth this week. Add in that the Lions and their entire fan base have an "us against the world" mantra going right now, so I'm looking for them to come out swinging on Sunday. 

Philadelphia was starting to gain some ground and then they got sent packing by Minnesota. Miles Sanders is starting to take on more of a role in the offense, which should benefit the unit. However, with a road matchup this week, Carson Wentz’s home/road splits seem to point that the 26-year-old will be hindered in Jerry’s World.

The Cowboys have come crashing down to earth after a 3-0 start. The losses to New Orleans and Green Bay were understandable, but a Week 6 loss to the Jets is inexplicable. Of course, losing Amari Cooper (quad) was a tough break for the passing game, and there’s a chance he’ll miss this one too. Alternatively, Ezekiel Elliott has been hit-or-miss, which has also been the story of Dak Prescott’s career.

Sunday Night Football unders are hot this year, as the total in all six games has gone under. Combine the chance of Cooper missing for Dallas, and Wentz struggling on the road and these two will be feeling each other out early. I'm going to follow the SNF under trend and expect these divisional rivals to slug it out.