X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

One-Hit Wonder? Recent Fantasy Football Breakouts to Sell in 2024 Dynasty Leagues

Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dave Ventresca analyzes several recent fantasy football breakout players that managers should consider selling in their dynasty fantasy football leagues.

There’s nothing more fun than watching a player have a breakout season on your dynasty fantasy football team. It can be the ace in the hole needed to capture that elusive dynasty championship.

While we have seen breakout performances launch players into superstardom, there are also times when they fizzle out after a banner year. One-hit wonders happen more often than we’d like to see. It’s important to identify these players and move them off your dynasty roster before their value completely tanks.

Make sure you follow RotoBaller on X and check out RotoBaller.com for all your fantasy football needs. Here are five recent fantasy football breakouts to consider selling in your dynasty fantasy football league.

Editor's Note: Explore RotoBaller’s Dynasty Fantasy Football hub for year-round dynasty rankings, trade tips, rookie analysis, and long-term player outlooks. Dominate your league with our sleepers, stash targets, and dynasty draft advice. Click here for Dynasty rankings and strategy.

 

Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2023 was a true breakout season for White as he finished as the PPR RB4.

Even though White delivered the goods for fantasy managers, things get a little concerning when we look under the hood. Among 49 rushers with at least 90 carries, White finished:

42nd in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF/ATT)
49th in Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE)
44th in Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) Rushing Grade
28th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
40th in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Explosive Run Percentage (EXP RUN %)

Here is how White finished in these same metrics as a rookie in 2022 (among 48 rushers with 90+ carries):

46th in MTF/ATT
39th RYOE
46th in PFF Rushing Grade
41st in Elusive Rating
38th in Exp Run %

Two years in, we have enough data to say White is a below-average back at the NFL level. It may only be a matter of time until his inefficiency catches up with him. He also enters the third year of his rookie deal, and we are nearing the point of a possible contract extension. However, White is already 25 years old. He was an older running back prospect, so it’s unclear if the Buccaneers will entertain an extension. This just feels like the perfect opportunity to sell high on White if you can find a suitor.

 

Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins

Tagovailoa was finally able to stay healthy and play a full 17-game season. He set career highs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. It all culminated with a QB9 finish.

While he was a fine option, we likely witnessed Tagovailoa’s ceiling. He does not offer any rushing upside as he’s never had more than 128 rushing yards in a season. He also hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since 2021. Unless Tagovailoa is consistently throwing 30+ touchdowns and close to 5,000 yards, it’s hard to envision him ever delivering a top-five finish.

Tagovailoa is ranked as RotoBaller’s dynasty QB16. If you can move him to break into the next tier of quarterbacks, that’s the preferred move. Players like Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray are the perfect targets. Their value is down in the dynasty community, but they have already proven to have a higher ceiling than Tagovailoa.

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mayfield is coming off a career year where he set personal bests in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. The problem is that last year’s offensive coordinator, Dave Canales, is now coaching the Carolina Panthers. We previously saw Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith have a career year under Canales only to regress in 2023 when Canales departed for Tampa Bay. A total collapse for Mayfield is unlikely, but there’s a strong likelihood he regresses now that his offensive coordinator is gone.

In single-quarterback leagues, you won’t get much of a return for Mayfield. Superflex leagues are a different story, though. KeepTradeCut estimates his trade value is an early 2024 second-round rookie pick. This is worth exploring if there’s a player with more upside in rookie drafts you prefer to Mayfield. You could even try to trade Mayfield plus something else to tier up for a better quarterback. Either way, it’s best to try and get him off your roster.

 

Zack Moss, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Moss was called into action while Colts starter Jonathan Taylor missed the first four weeks due to a contract holdout. Ironically, the highlight of Moss’s year came in Taylor’s first game of the season. Moss ran for 165 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 5 victory over the Tennessee Titans.

He set career highs in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and receptions. After showing potential as a three-down workhorse back, the Cincinnati Bengals scooped up Moss in free agency and signed him to a two-year, $8 million deal.

Before last year, Moss had never handled more than 112 carries or ran for more than 481 yards in a season. He may not be able to carry a full starter's workload for an entire season, or he may prove ineffective in a lead role similar to what we saw with Tony Pollard in Dallas. The Bengals also have second-year back Chase Brown on the depth chart. He flashed upside at the tail end of last year, and the coaching staff has indicated they want him more involved in 2024.

While the Bengals did make a point to sign Moss, a two-year deal isn’t much of an investment. There’s no reason to think the Bengals will be stubborn with him when they also have Brown. Moss showcased abilities with the Colts few believed he possessed, but this just feels like a situation where a player overachieved and will come crashing back down to Earth.

 

Gus Edwards, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

After starter J.K. Dobbins went down with an Achilles injury in Week 1, Edwards stepped up as the starting back for the Baltimore Ravens. He delivered his best season as a pro and scored a whopping 13 rushing touchdowns. Edwards also had a career-high 810 rushing yards on 198 attempts. It’s worth pointing out that his 4.1 yards per carry was far and away the worst of his career.

Now, some of that can be attributed to the amount of goal-line touchdowns he scored. However, when we look under the hood, things get a little complicated.

Among RBs with 90+ carries Edwards ranked:

31st in MTF/ATT
18th in RYOE
28th in PFF’s Rushing Grade.
46th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
25th in EXP RUN %

Overall, we’ve got a mixed bag of results. Edwards didn’t finish exceptionally high in any metric, nor was he a super-efficient player. Yet, he did have a productive 2023 season thanks to volume and a career high in touchdowns.

After the Ravens opted to sign Derrick Henry, Edwards signed a two-year, $6.5 million deal with the Los Angeles Chargers. He steps into a great situation as the Chargers have a clear hole at running back. General manager Joe Hortiz also recently described Edwards as a bell-cow back.

That all sounds good, but Edwards enters his age-29 season and his underlying metrics are middling at best. If he struggles to start the season, the Chargers could experiment with other options on the roster or look elsewhere altogether.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Jalen Thompson

Heading into Last Year With Cardinals?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Najee Harris

Suffers Eye Injury in Fireworks Mishap
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Jarquez Hunter

Picking Up Rams Offense Quickly
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Kirk Cousins

Feels Misled by Falcons
Bijan Robinson

Says Falcons Have "Outlandish Goals" for the Running Game
Luther Burden III

Bears Expect Luther Burden III to be Ready for Training Camp
Cole Kmet

an Unlikely Trade Piece
Tony Pollard

Titans Hope to Balance Rushing Attack With Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Quentin Johnston

Not Assured of Starting Role
Cordarrelle Patterson

on the Roster Bubble in Pittsburgh?
Shedeur Sanders

Not Assured of Roster Spot in Cleveland?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Hoping For More Downfield Opportunities
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome on the Trade Block?
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Zach Tom

An Extension Candidate in Green Bay
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Kyren Williams

Rams Not Willing to Pay Kyren Williams Top-Market Money?
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Chet Holmgren

Agrees to Rookie Max Extension
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Jhoan Duran

Unavailable Due to Illness
Shane McClanahan

Tosses Clean Frame in First Rehab Appearance
Jacob Wilson

Day-to-Day After HBP
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to be Reassessed Wednesday
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Malaki Branham

Traded to Washington
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Blake Wesley

Moves to Washington
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Kelly Olynyk

on the Move Again
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Anthony Davis

Recovering From Eye Surgery
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Cal Raleigh

Continues Historic Homer Pace Tuesday
Jacob Wilson

Exits Early On Tuesday With Left Hand Contusion
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
Luis Garcia

Fans Four in Rehab Outing
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF