X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

One-Hit Wonder? Recent Fantasy Football Breakouts to Sell in 2024 Dynasty Leagues

Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dave Ventresca analyzes several recent fantasy football breakout players that managers should consider selling in their dynasty fantasy football leagues.

There’s nothing more fun than watching a player have a breakout season on your dynasty fantasy football team. It can be the ace in the hole needed to capture that elusive dynasty championship.

While we have seen breakout performances launch players into superstardom, there are also times when they fizzle out after a banner year. One-hit wonders happen more often than we’d like to see. It’s important to identify these players and move them off your dynasty roster before their value completely tanks.

Make sure you follow RotoBaller on X and check out RotoBaller.com for all your fantasy football needs. Here are five recent fantasy football breakouts to consider selling in your dynasty fantasy football league.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2023 was a true breakout season for White as he finished as the PPR RB4.

Even though White delivered the goods for fantasy managers, things get a little concerning when we look under the hood. Among 49 rushers with at least 90 carries, White finished:

42nd in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF/ATT)
49th in Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE)
44th in Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) Rushing Grade
28th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
40th in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Explosive Run Percentage (EXP RUN %)

Here is how White finished in these same metrics as a rookie in 2022 (among 48 rushers with 90+ carries):

46th in MTF/ATT
39th RYOE
46th in PFF Rushing Grade
41st in Elusive Rating
38th in Exp Run %

Two years in, we have enough data to say White is a below-average back at the NFL level. It may only be a matter of time until his inefficiency catches up with him. He also enters the third year of his rookie deal, and we are nearing the point of a possible contract extension. However, White is already 25 years old. He was an older running back prospect, so it’s unclear if the Buccaneers will entertain an extension. This just feels like the perfect opportunity to sell high on White if you can find a suitor.

 

Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins

Tagovailoa was finally able to stay healthy and play a full 17-game season. He set career highs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. It all culminated with a QB9 finish.

While he was a fine option, we likely witnessed Tagovailoa’s ceiling. He does not offer any rushing upside as he’s never had more than 128 rushing yards in a season. He also hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since 2021. Unless Tagovailoa is consistently throwing 30+ touchdowns and close to 5,000 yards, it’s hard to envision him ever delivering a top-five finish.

Tagovailoa is ranked as RotoBaller’s dynasty QB16. If you can move him to break into the next tier of quarterbacks, that’s the preferred move. Players like Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray are the perfect targets. Their value is down in the dynasty community, but they have already proven to have a higher ceiling than Tagovailoa.

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mayfield is coming off a career year where he set personal bests in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. The problem is that last year’s offensive coordinator, Dave Canales, is now coaching the Carolina Panthers. We previously saw Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith have a career year under Canales only to regress in 2023 when Canales departed for Tampa Bay. A total collapse for Mayfield is unlikely, but there’s a strong likelihood he regresses now that his offensive coordinator is gone.

In single-quarterback leagues, you won’t get much of a return for Mayfield. Superflex leagues are a different story, though. KeepTradeCut estimates his trade value is an early 2024 second-round rookie pick. This is worth exploring if there’s a player with more upside in rookie drafts you prefer to Mayfield. You could even try to trade Mayfield plus something else to tier up for a better quarterback. Either way, it’s best to try and get him off your roster.

 

Zack Moss, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Moss was called into action while Colts starter Jonathan Taylor missed the first four weeks due to a contract holdout. Ironically, the highlight of Moss’s year came in Taylor’s first game of the season. Moss ran for 165 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 5 victory over the Tennessee Titans.

He set career highs in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and receptions. After showing potential as a three-down workhorse back, the Cincinnati Bengals scooped up Moss in free agency and signed him to a two-year, $8 million deal.

Before last year, Moss had never handled more than 112 carries or ran for more than 481 yards in a season. He may not be able to carry a full starter's workload for an entire season, or he may prove ineffective in a lead role similar to what we saw with Tony Pollard in Dallas. The Bengals also have second-year back Chase Brown on the depth chart. He flashed upside at the tail end of last year, and the coaching staff has indicated they want him more involved in 2024.

While the Bengals did make a point to sign Moss, a two-year deal isn’t much of an investment. There’s no reason to think the Bengals will be stubborn with him when they also have Brown. Moss showcased abilities with the Colts few believed he possessed, but this just feels like a situation where a player overachieved and will come crashing back down to Earth.

 

Gus Edwards, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

After starter J.K. Dobbins went down with an Achilles injury in Week 1, Edwards stepped up as the starting back for the Baltimore Ravens. He delivered his best season as a pro and scored a whopping 13 rushing touchdowns. Edwards also had a career-high 810 rushing yards on 198 attempts. It’s worth pointing out that his 4.1 yards per carry was far and away the worst of his career.

Now, some of that can be attributed to the amount of goal-line touchdowns he scored. However, when we look under the hood, things get a little complicated.

Among RBs with 90+ carries Edwards ranked:

31st in MTF/ATT
18th in RYOE
28th in PFF’s Rushing Grade.
46th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
25th in EXP RUN %

Overall, we’ve got a mixed bag of results. Edwards didn’t finish exceptionally high in any metric, nor was he a super-efficient player. Yet, he did have a productive 2023 season thanks to volume and a career high in touchdowns.

After the Ravens opted to sign Derrick Henry, Edwards signed a two-year, $6.5 million deal with the Los Angeles Chargers. He steps into a great situation as the Chargers have a clear hole at running back. General manager Joe Hortiz also recently described Edwards as a bell-cow back.

That all sounds good, but Edwards enters his age-29 season and his underlying metrics are middling at best. If he struggles to start the season, the Chargers could experiment with other options on the roster or look elsewhere altogether.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Anthony Rizzo

Retires
Cameron Champ

the Ultimate Wild Card at Procore
Cameron Young

Looks to Extend Momentum in Napa
Davis Thompson

Searching for a Spark at Procore
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Reignite Form at Procore
Mackenzie Hughes

Aims for Another Strong Showing at Procore
Luke Clanton

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Napa
Seamus Power

Looking to Overcome Poor Course History at Procore
Joe Highsmith

Hoping to Find Form in Napa
Jadeveon Clowney

Visiting With the Cowboys on Wednesday
Masyn Winn

Will Require Offseason Knee Surgery
Kristaps Porzingis

Reportedly Still Not Completely Healthy
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Reportedly on the Trade Block
Andre Drummond

Future in Philadelphia in Doubt
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Helps Greece Reach Semis at EuroBasket
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Posts Historic Triple-Double
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For 15 at Wyndham Championship
Bud Cauley

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied for Seventh at Tour Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 25th at Tour Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 19th at Tour Championship
Keith Mitchell

Misses Cut at Wyndham Championship
Ben Griffin

Finishes Tied for 10th at Tour Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for Second at Tour Championship
Gary Woodland

Could Hang Around at Procore Championship
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 12, Earns 12th Win on Tuesday
Karl Vilips

Ready for Napa Valley This Weekend
Taylor Montgomery

Heating Up at the Right Time
Jackson Koivun

May Be a Little Rusty at Procore Championship
Doug Ghim

Looking to Rise Up at Napa Valley
Christian Watson

Agrees to One-Year Contract Extension
Josh Giddey

Re-Signs With Bulls for Four Years
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Joins Informal Skate
William Eklund

Skates With Sharks
Owen Power

Back at 100 Percent
Tyler Seguin

Cleared for Action
Mathew Barzal

Good to Go for Season Opener
Will Smith

Returns to Dodgers Lineup on Tuesday
Dustin Wolf

Signs Seven-Year Extension
Kyle Stowers

Dealing With Strained Side
Kyle Tucker

Placed on Injured List With Calf Strain
Jauan Jennings

Considered Day-to-Day, has a Chance to Play in Week 2
Jalen Carter

Receives One-Game Suspension, Will be Eligible for Week 2
Bo Bichette

Goes on Injured List With Knee Sprain
George Kittle

Placed on Injured Reserve
Tyreek Hill

Accused of Domestic Violence
Jauan Jennings

Avoids Serious Shoulder Injury
Garrett Crochet

Shuts Out the Athletics
Royce Lewis

Launches Two Homers Monday Night
NBA

Mason Jones Takes His Talents to Australia
NBA

Talen Horton-Tucker Joins Reigning EuroLeague Champions
New York Knicks

Malcolm Brogdon on Knicks' Radar
Andrew Wiggins

Attracting Interest From Lakers
Miami Heat

Heat Interested in Reunion With Precious Achiuwa
Tyler Glasnow

Fans 11 in Seven No-Hit Innings Monday
Slade Cecconi

Takes No-Hitter Into Eighth Inning Monday
Max Muncy

Batting Cleanup in Return to Dodgers
New York Knicks

Ben Simmons Reportedly Declined Knicks' Contract Offer
Younghoe Koo

Falcons Auditioning Kickers, Could Replace Younghoe Koo
Denver Broncos

Sean Payton Says Broncos Need to be Better With Run-Pass Balance
Tank Bigsby

Eagles Acquiring Tank Bigsby From Jaguars on Monday
George Kittle

Likely Out 3-5 Weeks, Could Land on Injured Reserve
Chase Burns

to be Activated on Friday
Brock Purdy

Dealing With Multiple Injuries, Could Miss Week 2
Tyler Glasnow

Cleared to Start on Monday
Logan O'Hoppe

Placed on Concussion Injured List
Christian Yelich

Returning on Monday
Elias Pettersson

Feeling "Good" Ahead of Season
NHL

Alex Formenton Rejoins Swiss Team
NHL

Grigori Denisenko Heads Back Home
CAR

Kevin Labanc Joins Hurricanes for Tryout
Ross Colton

Healthy for Start of Season
Daniel Palencia

Cubs Place Daniel Palencia on Injured List With Shoulder Strain
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Returning on Monday
Sean Murphy

Done for the Year With Hip Labral Tear
Alec Bohm

Lands on Injured List With Cyst in his Shoulder
Trea Turner

Going on Injured List, Phillies Hope to Have him Back for Playoffs
Brock Bowers

Considered Day-to-Day With Knee Injury
Jonathan Taylor

is "Good" After Taking a Hit to his Neck in Week 1
Caio Borralho

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Nassourdine Imavov

Extends Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy

Gets Submitted
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Taps Out Mauricio Ruffy
Russell Wilson

Remains the Giants Starter
Paul Craig

Retires After UFC Paris Loss
Denny Hamlin

Earns his First Cup Victory at Gateway
Kyle Larson

Damage Ruins Kyle Larson's Chance At a Top Finish at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Scores his Third Top-10 Finish at Gateway
Joey Logano

Maintains his Perfect Top-Five Streak at Gateway
Ryan Blaney

Struggles and Recovers for a Top-Five Finish at Gateway
Modestas Bukauskas

Scores First-Round Knockout
Bolaji Oki

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Xavier Worthy

Week-to-Week with Dislocated Shoulder
Mason Jones

Scores Comeback Win
Rhys McKee

Suffers Third-Round TKO Loss
Axel Sola

Successful In His UFC Debut
Robert Ruchała

Robert Ruchala Unsuccessful In His UFC Debut
William Gomis

Bounces Back In The Win Column
Derrick Henry

Scores Twice but has Costly Fumble on Sunday
Lamar Jackson

Shines With Three Total Touchdowns in Loss to Bills
Keon Coleman

Leads the Team With 11 Targets on Sunday
Josh Allen

Totals Four Touchdowns in Win Over Ravens
Chase Elliott

Gets Lucky but Still Has Best Run at Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wins Stage 2, but Was Let Down by Strategy
Tyler Reddick

Despite Bad Luck, Tyler Reddick Does What he Needed to Do
Chase Briscoe

Recovers from Incident with Daniel Suarez to Finish Second
William Byron

Late Caution Foils William Byron's Shot at Gateway Victory
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates Targets in Seattle, Records 124 Receiving Yards in Week 1
Jayson Tatum

"Moving Around Way Better"
Ryan Blaney

Should Contend at Gateway
Denny Hamlin

Fastest in Qualifying, the Favorite to Win at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption at Gateway
Joey Logano

Has Been Elite at Gateway
Austin Cindric

Should Be On Your Radar at Gateway
AJ Allmendinger

Could Be a Sleeper Again at Gateway
Tyler Reddick

Southern 500 Near-Miss Makes Tyler Reddick a Stronger Option for Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace a Likely Gateway Contender
Alex Bowman

a Long Shot to Advance in Playoffs
Austin Dillon

Richard Childress Racing Looks Slower at Gateway, Which Will Hurt Austin Dillon
Shane Van Gisbergen

Starts 18th in Gateway Debut
Jeremy Swayman

Ready to Get Back on Track
Connor McDavid

Aiming for More Goals
NJ

Luke Glendening Signs Tryout Deal With Devils
Dylan Harper

Hoping to be Ready for the Opener Versus Dallas
EDM

Derek Ryan Retires From Hockey
Connor Zary

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Flames
Carey Price

Canadiens Trade Carey Price to Sharks
Caio Borralho

Set For A Title Eliminator Bout
Nassourdine Imavov

Looks To Earn A Title Shot
Mauricio Ruffy

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set For UFC Paris Co-Main Event
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Paul Craig

In Dire Need Of Victory
Mason Jones

Set for Main-Card Bout
Bolaji Oki

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Rhys McKee

Set To Open Up UFC Paris Main Card

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP