X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

One-Hit Wonder? Recent Fantasy Football Breakouts to Sell in 2024 Dynasty Leagues

Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dave Ventresca analyzes several recent fantasy football breakout players that managers should consider selling in their dynasty fantasy football leagues.

There’s nothing more fun than watching a player have a breakout season on your dynasty fantasy football team. It can be the ace in the hole needed to capture that elusive dynasty championship.

While we have seen breakout performances launch players into superstardom, there are also times when they fizzle out after a banner year. One-hit wonders happen more often than we’d like to see. It’s important to identify these players and move them off your dynasty roster before their value completely tanks.

Make sure you follow RotoBaller on X and check out RotoBaller.com for all your fantasy football needs. Here are five recent fantasy football breakouts to consider selling in your dynasty fantasy football league.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller’s Dynasty content delivers year-round dynasty fantasy football rankings, trade advice, rookie analysis, and player outlooks. Build a title-winning roster with sleepers, stash targets, and our full dynasty fantasy football guide.

 

Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2023 was a true breakout season for White as he finished as the PPR RB4.

Even though White delivered the goods for fantasy managers, things get a little concerning when we look under the hood. Among 49 rushers with at least 90 carries, White finished:

42nd in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF/ATT)
49th in Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE)
44th in Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) Rushing Grade
28th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
40th in Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Explosive Run Percentage (EXP RUN %)

Here is how White finished in these same metrics as a rookie in 2022 (among 48 rushers with 90+ carries):

46th in MTF/ATT
39th RYOE
46th in PFF Rushing Grade
41st in Elusive Rating
38th in Exp Run %

Two years in, we have enough data to say White is a below-average back at the NFL level. It may only be a matter of time until his inefficiency catches up with him. He also enters the third year of his rookie deal, and we are nearing the point of a possible contract extension. However, White is already 25 years old. He was an older running back prospect, so it’s unclear if the Buccaneers will entertain an extension. This just feels like the perfect opportunity to sell high on White if you can find a suitor.

 

Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins

Tagovailoa was finally able to stay healthy and play a full 17-game season. He set career highs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. It all culminated with a QB9 finish.

While he was a fine option, we likely witnessed Tagovailoa’s ceiling. He does not offer any rushing upside as he’s never had more than 128 rushing yards in a season. He also hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since 2021. Unless Tagovailoa is consistently throwing 30+ touchdowns and close to 5,000 yards, it’s hard to envision him ever delivering a top-five finish.

Tagovailoa is ranked as RotoBaller’s dynasty QB16. If you can move him to break into the next tier of quarterbacks, that’s the preferred move. Players like Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray are the perfect targets. Their value is down in the dynasty community, but they have already proven to have a higher ceiling than Tagovailoa.

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mayfield is coming off a career year where he set personal bests in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. The problem is that last year’s offensive coordinator, Dave Canales, is now coaching the Carolina Panthers. We previously saw Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith have a career year under Canales only to regress in 2023 when Canales departed for Tampa Bay. A total collapse for Mayfield is unlikely, but there’s a strong likelihood he regresses now that his offensive coordinator is gone.

In single-quarterback leagues, you won’t get much of a return for Mayfield. Superflex leagues are a different story, though. KeepTradeCut estimates his trade value is an early 2024 second-round rookie pick. This is worth exploring if there’s a player with more upside in rookie drafts you prefer to Mayfield. You could even try to trade Mayfield plus something else to tier up for a better quarterback. Either way, it’s best to try and get him off your roster.

 

Zack Moss, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Moss was called into action while Colts starter Jonathan Taylor missed the first four weeks due to a contract holdout. Ironically, the highlight of Moss’s year came in Taylor’s first game of the season. Moss ran for 165 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 5 victory over the Tennessee Titans.

He set career highs in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and receptions. After showing potential as a three-down workhorse back, the Cincinnati Bengals scooped up Moss in free agency and signed him to a two-year, $8 million deal.

Before last year, Moss had never handled more than 112 carries or ran for more than 481 yards in a season. He may not be able to carry a full starter's workload for an entire season, or he may prove ineffective in a lead role similar to what we saw with Tony Pollard in Dallas. The Bengals also have second-year back Chase Brown on the depth chart. He flashed upside at the tail end of last year, and the coaching staff has indicated they want him more involved in 2024.

While the Bengals did make a point to sign Moss, a two-year deal isn’t much of an investment. There’s no reason to think the Bengals will be stubborn with him when they also have Brown. Moss showcased abilities with the Colts few believed he possessed, but this just feels like a situation where a player overachieved and will come crashing back down to Earth.

 

Gus Edwards, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

After starter J.K. Dobbins went down with an Achilles injury in Week 1, Edwards stepped up as the starting back for the Baltimore Ravens. He delivered his best season as a pro and scored a whopping 13 rushing touchdowns. Edwards also had a career-high 810 rushing yards on 198 attempts. It’s worth pointing out that his 4.1 yards per carry was far and away the worst of his career.

Now, some of that can be attributed to the amount of goal-line touchdowns he scored. However, when we look under the hood, things get a little complicated.

Among RBs with 90+ carries Edwards ranked:

31st in MTF/ATT
18th in RYOE
28th in PFF’s Rushing Grade.
46th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
25th in EXP RUN %

Overall, we’ve got a mixed bag of results. Edwards didn’t finish exceptionally high in any metric, nor was he a super-efficient player. Yet, he did have a productive 2023 season thanks to volume and a career high in touchdowns.

After the Ravens opted to sign Derrick Henry, Edwards signed a two-year, $6.5 million deal with the Los Angeles Chargers. He steps into a great situation as the Chargers have a clear hole at running back. General manager Joe Hortiz also recently described Edwards as a bell-cow back.

That all sounds good, but Edwards enters his age-29 season and his underlying metrics are middling at best. If he struggles to start the season, the Chargers could experiment with other options on the roster or look elsewhere altogether.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Uchenna Nwosu

Seahawks Place Uchenna Nwosu on PUP List
Taylor Decker

Alim McNeill, Taylor Decker Placed on PUP List
Tyrion Davis-Price

Titans Waive Tyrion Davis-Price
Tre Harris

Chargers Relying on Tre Harris to Be Starting X Receiver
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Micah Parsons

Will Become Highest-Paid Non-QB
MarShawn Lloyd

Vying for RB2 Role
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith Finds End Zone in First Training Camp Practice
Tyler Shough

Pushing for Fully Guaranteed Rookie Deal
Ar'Darius Washington

Goes on PUP List
Lamar Jackson

to be Even Better in 2025?
Tre Harris

Agrees to Terms on Rookie Deal
Justin Herbert

Off to Good Start at Training Camp
Jameson Williams

Earning Rave Reviews from Lions Coaches
Christian Mahogany

Expected to Start for Lions
Zach Allen

an Extension Candidate in Denver?
Zaire Franklin

May Miss Start of Training Camp
Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Returning to Portland
Mason Taylor

to Play "Crucial" Role in Jets' Offense
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
T.J. Watt

Once Again Becomes Highest-Paid Non-QB
RJ Harvey

Reaches Agreement on Four-Year Rookie Contract
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Believe Rashee Rice Will Receive Two- to Four-Game Suspension
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Hit In Pinky In All-Star Game, X-Rays Negative
MLB

NL All-Stars Win On Tie-Breaker Home Run Swing-Off
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF