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Overrated/Underrated Week 12: Pick Up Duvall, Davis, Taylor

The landscape among outfielders has changed quite a bit since the season started. Half the battle in fantasy baseball is navigating the waiver wire and surviving injuries the best you can. Some marquee outfielders have hit the disabled list recently. Jose Bautista, Hunter Pence, Yasiel Puig, Josh Reddick, Jorge Soler... the list goes on.

Fortunately, there are plenty names on the waiver wire who could not only serve as suitable stopgaps but also permanently replace your struggling starters as it is. You can find power and speed -- not in abundance, mind you, but they're there if you know where to look. We're here to help.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

 

Add These Free Agents

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C)

 

Adam Duvall, CIN OF
44% owned, via Fleaflicker

If you're not familiar with Duvall, you should be. He's currently tied with Nolan Arenado and Mark Trumbo for the league lead in home runs -- as a rookie. Duvall's not really a late bloomer -- he always demonstrated massive power throughout the minors but was buried in the Giants' farm system. A trade to Cincinnati helped give him the chance at playing time he always needed but could never have.

Duvall actually profiles very similarly to Trumbo, who offers power and almost nothing else. Duvall's plate discipline leaves even more to be desired than Trumbo's miserable approach, but his batted ball profile suggests there might be even more thump in his bat. Duvall hits a ton of fly balls, he likes to pull the ball, and he hits the ball hard. Thus, his peripherals suggest the power is legitimate, in case we ever doubted his minor league track record.

The strikeouts are concerning, but Chris Davis and Chris Carter make a living on slugging and whiffing. Duvall isn't quite as extreme, but he comes close. Without the walks, he becomes something of a liability in on-base percentage (OBP) formats, especially if he suffers a dry spell. But there's no reason Duvall should be unowned in any league -- he may already be one of the game's premium power bats.

I'd drop _______ for Duvall: Carlos Gomez (72% owned), Shin-Soo Choo (61% owned), Byron Buxton (52% owned)

 
Rajai Davis, CLE OF
16% owned, via Fleaflicker

To be clear, Davis has always been this good. He just never saw much playing time; he has mostly been used as the larger half of a platoon, given his weakness versus right-handed pitchers. Even in part-time duty, Davis has stolen 20-or-more bases in every season -- except for last year, during which he fell just short of the threshold.

Well, the Cleveland Indians' outfield was in shambles to begin the season, leaving Davis with the opportunity to take a job and run (no pun intended). Run, he has, playing virtually every day and leapfrogging into second place in the league for stolen bases. As aforementioned, the speed was always there. It seemed to taper off last year, but he mostly suffered from a poor conversion rate (69% successful) that seemed to suggest he was slowing down. Even Old Man Time can't slow Davis down.

But Davis also hits for power, too. Since 2012, Davis has posted home run totals that extrapolate into the double-digits for a full season. He's a little ahead of pace this year, so expect the pace to slow considerably from here on out. Still, Davis could wind up with a .250, 12-homer, 45-steal season under his belt as the 83rd outfielder drafted in NFBC leagues. He has been underrated for years. Don't let him be underrated now.

I'd drop _______ for Davis: Ender Inciarte (49% owned), Eddie Rosario (44% owned), Howie Kendrick (42% owned)

 
Michael Taylor, WAS OF
11% owned, via Fleaflicker

After yesterday's huge performance, Taylor sits pretty with six home runs, 10 stolen bases and a .243 batting average. Taylor's horrendous plate discipline is hard to stomach, and it forced him to endure the first couple months of the season beneath the Mendoza Line. But Lady Luck's pendulum swings in Taylor's favor this month, as his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) has crawled up into an appropriate territory (.318) for his skill set.

Taylor always flashed his tools in the minors, so his combination of power and speed should come as no surprise. He profiles as a 15-homer, 25-steal guy this year -- with room for growth, should he ever earn a full-time starting gig (which probably won't happen, honestly, given his very serious strikeout problem). The batting average is a dealbreaker in standard formats, but the power and speed plays up in deeper leagues, where you sometimes have to take the good with the bad.

I'd drop _______ for Taylor: Nick Markakis (25% owned), Angel Pagan (21% owned), Brock Holt (21% owned)

 

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Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




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24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Brandon Miller

Unavailable on Monday
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Lonzo Ball

Ruled Out on Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Steven Adams

Out Against Jazz
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Darius Garland

Unavailable Monday
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Kristaps Porzingis

Out of Action Versus Pistons
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
Daniel Gafford

Sidelined Again on Monday
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

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