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Overrated/Underrated Week 12: Pick Up Duvall, Davis, Taylor

The landscape among outfielders has changed quite a bit since the season started. Half the battle in fantasy baseball is navigating the waiver wire and surviving injuries the best you can. Some marquee outfielders have hit the disabled list recently. Jose Bautista, Hunter Pence, Yasiel Puig, Josh Reddick, Jorge Soler... the list goes on.

Fortunately, there are plenty names on the waiver wire who could not only serve as suitable stopgaps but also permanently replace your struggling starters as it is. You can find power and speed -- not in abundance, mind you, but they're there if you know where to look. We're here to help.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

 

Add These Free Agents

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C)

 

Adam Duvall, CIN OF
44% owned, via Fleaflicker

If you're not familiar with Duvall, you should be. He's currently tied with Nolan Arenado and Mark Trumbo for the league lead in home runs -- as a rookie. Duvall's not really a late bloomer -- he always demonstrated massive power throughout the minors but was buried in the Giants' farm system. A trade to Cincinnati helped give him the chance at playing time he always needed but could never have.

Duvall actually profiles very similarly to Trumbo, who offers power and almost nothing else. Duvall's plate discipline leaves even more to be desired than Trumbo's miserable approach, but his batted ball profile suggests there might be even more thump in his bat. Duvall hits a ton of fly balls, he likes to pull the ball, and he hits the ball hard. Thus, his peripherals suggest the power is legitimate, in case we ever doubted his minor league track record.

The strikeouts are concerning, but Chris Davis and Chris Carter make a living on slugging and whiffing. Duvall isn't quite as extreme, but he comes close. Without the walks, he becomes something of a liability in on-base percentage (OBP) formats, especially if he suffers a dry spell. But there's no reason Duvall should be unowned in any league -- he may already be one of the game's premium power bats.

I'd drop _______ for Duvall: Carlos Gomez (72% owned), Shin-Soo Choo (61% owned), Byron Buxton (52% owned)

 
Rajai Davis, CLE OF
16% owned, via Fleaflicker

To be clear, Davis has always been this good. He just never saw much playing time; he has mostly been used as the larger half of a platoon, given his weakness versus right-handed pitchers. Even in part-time duty, Davis has stolen 20-or-more bases in every season -- except for last year, during which he fell just short of the threshold.

Well, the Cleveland Indians' outfield was in shambles to begin the season, leaving Davis with the opportunity to take a job and run (no pun intended). Run, he has, playing virtually every day and leapfrogging into second place in the league for stolen bases. As aforementioned, the speed was always there. It seemed to taper off last year, but he mostly suffered from a poor conversion rate (69% successful) that seemed to suggest he was slowing down. Even Old Man Time can't slow Davis down.

But Davis also hits for power, too. Since 2012, Davis has posted home run totals that extrapolate into the double-digits for a full season. He's a little ahead of pace this year, so expect the pace to slow considerably from here on out. Still, Davis could wind up with a .250, 12-homer, 45-steal season under his belt as the 83rd outfielder drafted in NFBC leagues. He has been underrated for years. Don't let him be underrated now.

I'd drop _______ for Davis: Ender Inciarte (49% owned), Eddie Rosario (44% owned), Howie Kendrick (42% owned)

 
Michael Taylor, WAS OF
11% owned, via Fleaflicker

After yesterday's huge performance, Taylor sits pretty with six home runs, 10 stolen bases and a .243 batting average. Taylor's horrendous plate discipline is hard to stomach, and it forced him to endure the first couple months of the season beneath the Mendoza Line. But Lady Luck's pendulum swings in Taylor's favor this month, as his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) has crawled up into an appropriate territory (.318) for his skill set.

Taylor always flashed his tools in the minors, so his combination of power and speed should come as no surprise. He profiles as a 15-homer, 25-steal guy this year -- with room for growth, should he ever earn a full-time starting gig (which probably won't happen, honestly, given his very serious strikeout problem). The batting average is a dealbreaker in standard formats, but the power and speed plays up in deeper leagues, where you sometimes have to take the good with the bad.

I'd drop _______ for Taylor: Nick Markakis (25% owned), Angel Pagan (21% owned), Brock Holt (21% owned)

 

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Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ajay Mitchell

Cleared to Return Sunday
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyshawn George

Iffy for Sunday
De'Anthony Melton

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Jaxson Hayes

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

to Return From Knee Injury Sunday
Jock Landale

in Danger of Missing Another Game Sunday
Vince Williams Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
Robert Williams III

Inactive on Sunday
Jerami Grant

to Sit Out Fifth Consecutive Game
Brandin Podziemski

Probable to Play Sunday
Jakob Poeltl

to Miss Another Game Sunday
RJ Barrett

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Paul George

Probable for Meeting With Former Team
Joel Embiid

Won't Play on Sunday
Josh Hart

to Miss at Least Two More Games
Kevin Love

Resting on Saturday
Ace Bailey

Misses Saturday's Action
Mohamed Diawara

Starting on Saturday Night
Gary Trent Jr.

Sits Out Second Straight Game
Bam Adebayo

Ruled Out Again on Saturday
TreVeyon Henderson

Clears Concussion Protocol, Will Play in Week 17
Davante Adams

Downgraded to Doubtful for Week 17
Ryan McDonagh

Misses Saturday's Action
Jordan Kyrou

Jimmy Snuggerud Back for Blues Saturday
Tanner Jeannot

Misses First Game of the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Won't Play on Saturday
Elias Pettersson

Ready to Return Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Available Against Kings
Jack Eichel

Still Out Saturday
Ilya Sorokin

Lands on Injured Reserve
Bo Horvat

Returns to Action Saturday
Kimani Vidal

Inactive on Saturday
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Maxx Crosby

Done for the Season
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
George Kittle

"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice on Friday
Josh Allen

Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Malik Willis

Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
Lamar Jackson

Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
David Montgomery

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Travis Sanheim

Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator

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