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Overrated/Underrated Week 12: Pick Up Duvall, Davis, Taylor

The landscape among outfielders has changed quite a bit since the season started. Half the battle in fantasy baseball is navigating the waiver wire and surviving injuries the best you can. Some marquee outfielders have hit the disabled list recently. Jose Bautista, Hunter Pence, Yasiel Puig, Josh Reddick, Jorge Soler... the list goes on.

Fortunately, there are plenty names on the waiver wire who could not only serve as suitable stopgaps but also permanently replace your struggling starters as it is. You can find power and speed -- not in abundance, mind you, but they're there if you know where to look. We're here to help.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

 

Add These Free Agents

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C)

 

Adam Duvall, CIN OF
44% owned, via Fleaflicker

If you're not familiar with Duvall, you should be. He's currently tied with Nolan Arenado and Mark Trumbo for the league lead in home runs -- as a rookie. Duvall's not really a late bloomer -- he always demonstrated massive power throughout the minors but was buried in the Giants' farm system. A trade to Cincinnati helped give him the chance at playing time he always needed but could never have.

Duvall actually profiles very similarly to Trumbo, who offers power and almost nothing else. Duvall's plate discipline leaves even more to be desired than Trumbo's miserable approach, but his batted ball profile suggests there might be even more thump in his bat. Duvall hits a ton of fly balls, he likes to pull the ball, and he hits the ball hard. Thus, his peripherals suggest the power is legitimate, in case we ever doubted his minor league track record.

The strikeouts are concerning, but Chris Davis and Chris Carter make a living on slugging and whiffing. Duvall isn't quite as extreme, but he comes close. Without the walks, he becomes something of a liability in on-base percentage (OBP) formats, especially if he suffers a dry spell. But there's no reason Duvall should be unowned in any league -- he may already be one of the game's premium power bats.

I'd drop _______ for Duvall: Carlos Gomez (72% owned), Shin-Soo Choo (61% owned), Byron Buxton (52% owned)

 
Rajai Davis, CLE OF
16% owned, via Fleaflicker

To be clear, Davis has always been this good. He just never saw much playing time; he has mostly been used as the larger half of a platoon, given his weakness versus right-handed pitchers. Even in part-time duty, Davis has stolen 20-or-more bases in every season -- except for last year, during which he fell just short of the threshold.

Well, the Cleveland Indians' outfield was in shambles to begin the season, leaving Davis with the opportunity to take a job and run (no pun intended). Run, he has, playing virtually every day and leapfrogging into second place in the league for stolen bases. As aforementioned, the speed was always there. It seemed to taper off last year, but he mostly suffered from a poor conversion rate (69% successful) that seemed to suggest he was slowing down. Even Old Man Time can't slow Davis down.

But Davis also hits for power, too. Since 2012, Davis has posted home run totals that extrapolate into the double-digits for a full season. He's a little ahead of pace this year, so expect the pace to slow considerably from here on out. Still, Davis could wind up with a .250, 12-homer, 45-steal season under his belt as the 83rd outfielder drafted in NFBC leagues. He has been underrated for years. Don't let him be underrated now.

I'd drop _______ for Davis: Ender Inciarte (49% owned), Eddie Rosario (44% owned), Howie Kendrick (42% owned)

 
Michael Taylor, WAS OF
11% owned, via Fleaflicker

After yesterday's huge performance, Taylor sits pretty with six home runs, 10 stolen bases and a .243 batting average. Taylor's horrendous plate discipline is hard to stomach, and it forced him to endure the first couple months of the season beneath the Mendoza Line. But Lady Luck's pendulum swings in Taylor's favor this month, as his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) has crawled up into an appropriate territory (.318) for his skill set.

Taylor always flashed his tools in the minors, so his combination of power and speed should come as no surprise. He profiles as a 15-homer, 25-steal guy this year -- with room for growth, should he ever earn a full-time starting gig (which probably won't happen, honestly, given his very serious strikeout problem). The batting average is a dealbreaker in standard formats, but the power and speed plays up in deeper leagues, where you sometimes have to take the good with the bad.

I'd drop _______ for Taylor: Nick Markakis (25% owned), Angel Pagan (21% owned), Brock Holt (21% owned)

 

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Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Quinten Post

Set to Suit Up Versus Philadelphia
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Will Play on Thursday Night
Joel Embiid

Back on Thursday Night
Al Horford

Available on Thursday
Jonathan Kuminga

Cleared for Action on Thursday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out of Action Thursday
Terance Mann

Available Versus Utah
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
Paul George

Will Not Play Against the Warriors
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Questionable for Thursday
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Will Not Play Thursday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Noa Essengue

Out for the Season
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected To Miss 2-4 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

Won't Play in Week 14 After Having Shoulder Surgeries
Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
Mike Evans

Practicing Again Thursday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable With Rib Contusion
Marcus Smart

Sidelined Thursday Against Raptors
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Kyren Williams

Expected to Play in Week 14
Davante Adams

Expected to Play Despite Missing Wednesday's Practice
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Woody Marks

Texans Say Woody Marks Will be Fine
Rasmus Ristolainen

to Miss at Least One More Week
Drew Doughty

Logs Full Practice Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Jeff Skinner

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Petr Mrazek

Out 2-3 Weeks
Tyler Seguin

Likely Done for the Season
Neal Pionk

Returns to Jets Lineup
J.J. McCarthy

Practices in Full, on Track to Return in Week 14
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Mark Andrews

Agrees to Three-Year Extension With Ravens
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night
Omarion Hampton

"on Track and Looking Good" for Week 14
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
Joey Bosa

Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Bryce Young

Panthers Expected to Pick Up Bryce Young's Fifth-Year Option
Deshaun Watson

Browns Opening Practice Window for Deshaun Watson
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
Alexander Wennberg

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP