🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Overrated and Underrated Shortstops: Week Three

Selling high on Ian Desmond and Xander Bogaerts, and looking for alternatives in Eugenio Suarez and Marcus Semien.

If you have not yet started fretting about your team's underperformance, good for you. But it'll likely sink in soon -- this sinking feeling that you're losing ground with no way to catch up. And the guys pulling you like quicksand, in a series panicked transactions, will be the first to go.

Fortunately, some of your lame ducks may actually warrant being dropped at this point. Your investment keeps you holding on -- you spent $15, or maybe a 6th-round draft pick, on them -- but sometimes you need to cut bait sooner than later and eat what will eventually be a sunk cost.

Neither of the overrated shortstops presented here should be considered completely lost causes. But they may be the kind of players you can flip for better pieces at different positions, leaving you the option to invest in one of the underrated shortstops as a replacement.

 

Overvalued Shortstops

Xander Bogaerts, BOS SS
91% owned, per Fleaflicker

It's nice to see Bogaerts running more frequently than he did last season, and half of his hits have gone for extra bases. In his early-season small sample, it also appears he has held on to his plate discipline gains, which should help buoy his triple-slash line like it did last year.

Bogaerts has no semblance of the batted ball skills he flashed during last year's breakout, though. Lauded for his ability to spray to all fields, Bogaerts is back to his pull-happy ways -- a trend that does not bode well for someone who (1) hits a lot of ground balls, (2) does not hit the ball especially hard, and (3) hits a lot of infield pop flies.

All are hallmarks of guys who, were it not for speed, hit for meager batting averages on balls in play (BABIPs). It was already outlandish to expect Bogaerts to repeat his .372 mark from 2015; it may be equally so to expect the .330-ish mark that the prominent projection systems expect from him. That makes him a .280 hitter at best with power and speed that barely cracks double digits. To the people holding out for a power spike: it's nowhere on the horizon, so you may be waiting a while.

Ian Desmond, WAS SS
76% owned

Aside from the fact that he is on pace for 12 RBI and a .000 isolated power (ISO), Desmond looks the same as he did last year in terms of plate discipline, which could charitably be described as "bad." (The 2013 version of Desmond is but a distant memory.) It's a slow start for him, but there's no reason to think he won't repeat what he did last year, save any concerns about him entering his 30s.

Unfortunately, his double-digit power and speed combination barely earned him a top-15 spot among shortstops last year. Copy-pasting his 2015 stats into his 2016 line would likely produce an equivalent result -- or worse, given baseball appears to be entering a new Golden Age of Shortstops.

His ownership is plummeting, and rightfully so. Ironically, this makes for a nice buy-low opportunity in deeper leagues where the potential for a 20-15-.250 season is actually not a bad thing. But in shallow formats, you may still be able to get a nice return on Desmond while finding a cheap, comparable alternative from the waiver wire to replace him.

 

Undervalued Shortstops

Eugenio Suarez, CIN SS/3B
61% owned

Marcus Semien, OAK SS
56% owned

Both have hit four home runs to date. Both are expected to hit 16 to 17 home runs, steal eight to 10 bases, and hit roughly .250 for the rest of the season. That's not bad for two shortstops, let alone hitters in general, drafted well outside the top-200 hitters, per NFBC ADP.

Clumping together is logical here because they profile so similarly, as evidenced by the aforementioned rest-of-season projections. And this is no fluke, either -- Suarez launched 13 home runs in a mere 398 plate appearances last season, and Semien's plus offensive value when not focusing on improving his defense is well-documented.

This author would have preferred Semien to start the year, given his propensity to run a little more often and a slightly (but not significantly) better walk rate (BB%). Now, this author prefers Suarez, who has basically halved his strikeout rate (K%), waning himself off his reliance on a lofty BABIP. He also has hit second in Cincinnati's order in every game; hitting in front of Joey Votto is a best-case scenario when entrenched in an otherwise anemic lineup.

Meanwhile, Semien continues to bat ninth because only Bob Melvin knows what's going on in Bob Melvin's mind. He earned a lone chance to bat second on Saturday and botched it by going hitless in five at-bats. Until Melvin acknowledges how much more valuable Semien to his lineup than other hitters, his value will be artificially suppressed by a sheer lack of volume. To attest: despite hitting four home runs, Semien has only six runs and RBI apiece.

In exchange for Desmond, we are talking a few stolen bases that we can't guarantee Desmond will even steal. In exchange for Bogaerts, we are talking more power and 30 points of batting average. The differences in production are small, is this author's point. If Suarez and Semien are still around in deeper leagues, they won't be for much longer, given they are arguably fringe top-10 shortstops from here on out.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Haydn Fleury

Cleared to Play
Simon Nemec

to Miss "Some Time"
Jake Evans

Back for Canadiens Saturday
Ilya Lyubushkin

Returns to Stars Lineup Saturday
Roope Hintz

Good to Go Saturday
Charlie Lindgren

Activated From Injured Reserve
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Available Against Oilers
William Nylander

a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Christian McCaffrey

Questionable for Sunday With Back Injury
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers' "Optimism Has Run Out" on Brandon Aiyuk
Philip Rivers

Will Start on Sunday Against the Seahawks
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
De'Von Achane

Expected to Play Monday Night
Rome Odunze

Bears Optimistic Rome Odunze Will Play in Week 15
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
Cason Wallace

Off Injury Report Saturday
Keyonte George

Erupts for Career-High 39 Points Against Memphis
Bones Hyland

Exits Early With Knee Contusion
Isaiah Joe

To Miss Fourth Straight Game
Isaiah Hartenstein

Removed From Injury Report
Austin Reaves

To Be Re-Evaluated In One Week With Calf Strain
Logan O'Connor

Still Not Ready for Season Debut
Lukas Dostal

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ

Arseni Gritsyuk Ruled Out for Weekend's Action
Connor Bedard

Ruled Out for Saturday
Zeev Buium

Canucks Acquire Zeev Buium From Wild
Marco Rossi

Moves to Vancouver
Quinn Hughes

Traded to WIld
Joel Embiid

Available Against Indiana
Ja Morant

Back on Friday Night
Rickard Rakell

Available Saturday
Tre Jones

is Returning on Friday
Coby White

Cleared for Action Versus Hornets
Jake Ferguson

Listed as Questionable for Week 15
Bo Horvat

Ruled Out for Saturday
Tre Johnson

to be Limited in Return on Friday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Could Return Monday
Geno Smith

Officially Ruled Out for Week 15
Victor Hedman

to Be Out Until February
Kenny Pickett

to Start in Week 15 Against Eagles
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Available on Friday
Jared McCann

to Miss Three Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
Tyrese Maxey

Under the Weather on Friday
Josh Jacobs

Officially Questionable to Face the Broncos
Victor Wembanyama

Expected to Return on Saturday
Stuart Skinner

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Anthony Edwards

Sidelined on Friday Evening
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Questionable for Week 15
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
T.J. Watt

Officially Ruled Out for Monday Night
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Davante Adams

to be Questionable, Expected to Play on Sunday
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Rome Odunze

Questionable for Sunday
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out for Sunday
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact
T.J. Watt

Undergoes Surgery for Collapsed Lung
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
Kennedy Nzechukwu

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 112
King Green

Returns At UFC Vegas 112
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 112 Main Card
Jake Ferguson

on Track to Play in Week 15
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
Jayden Daniels

Cleared for Contact
Tee Higgins

Ruled Out Against Ravens
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Week 15, Expected Back This Year
Josh Jacobs

"Feeling Pretty Good," Will Practice on Friday
Daniel Gafford

Still Unlikely to Play Friday
Khris Middleton

Misses Second Straight Game
Collin Sexton

Sidelined Again Versus Bulls
Coby White

On Track To Suit Up Versus Charlotte
Tre Jones

Expected To Play Friday Vs. Hornets
Ayo Dosunmu

to Miss Friday's Game Vs. Hornets
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody
CFB

Joe Klanderman Joining Baylor Coaching Staff
CFB

Kentucky Hiring Jay Bateman as Next Defensive Coordinator
Si Woo Kim

Closes 2025 With Strong Finish Among Putting Woes
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Rebound in 2026 After Down Year Off the Tee
Brian Harman

2025 Season a Step Back Despite Spring Win
Sam Burns

' Elite Putting Headlines a Solid 2025 Season
Sepp Straka

Ends Stellar 2025 Campaign on a High Note
Robert MacIntyre

Closes Out a Steady 2025 Campaign
CFB

Chip Kelly Interviews for Georgia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

Louisville Receiver Chris Bell has a Torn ACL
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
CFB

Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
Justin Rose

Turns Back the Clock in 2025
CFB

Jim Knowles Expected to be Hired as Tennessee's Defensive Coordinator
Harris English

Enjoys Solid Finish at Hero World Challenge
CFB

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles Not Being Retained at Penn State
CFB

Indiana's Stephen Daley Done for Season After Post-Game Injury
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Kyle Finnegan

Tigers, Kyle Finnegan Agree on Two-Year Deal
Bo Bichette

Red Sox Out on Bo Bichette For Now
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Extend Manager Rob Thomson Through 2027 Season
Michael King

the Mets' Top Rotation Target?
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Could Move Back to Leadoff Spot
CFB

Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
CFB

Bryan Harsin, Justin Wilcox Candidates for Washington State Head Coach Job?
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Agrees to Deal With the Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber

Returning to Phillies on Five-Year Deal
CFB

Ole Miss Hiring John David Baker as Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Ty Howle the Top Target for Virginia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
Shohei Ohtani

to be Used More as Traditional Starting Pitcher Next Year
Yordan Alvarez

to Become Full-Time DH in 2026?
Mason Miller

Padres Plan to Keep Mason Miller in the Bullpen
Ranger Suárez

Orioles Interested in Signing Ranger Suarez
Anthony Volpe

Yankees Don't Expect Anthony Volpe to be Ready in April
Gerrit Cole

Targeting a Return in May/June
Rory McIlroy

Ends 2025 as the Year's Most Unburdened Player
Aaron Rai

Needs to Figure Out Putting Woes This Offseason
Jordan Spieth

Plays Better on Paper in 2025 Than Results Show
PGA

Chris Gotterup Needs to Find Better Touch and Consistency This Offseason
Hideki Matsuyama

Ends 2025 Season With a Bookend Victory
Scottie Scheffler

Comes Up Just Shy of Hero World Challenge Victory
Merab Dvalishvili

Drops A Decision At UFC 323
Petr Yan

Reclaims Bantamweight Title
Alexandre Pantoja

Era Ends With Gruesome Injury
Joshua Van

Becomes Second-Youngest UFC Champion
Brandon Moreno

Suffers His First TKO Loss
Brandon Moreno

Tatsuro Taira Becomes First Fighter To Finish Brandon Moreno
Henry Cejudo

Payton Talbott Retires Henry Cejudo
Henry Cejudo

Retires After UFC 323 Loss
Jan Blachowicz

Bogdan Guskov Vs. Jan Blachowicz Ends In A Majority Draw
San Francisco Giants

Jeff Kent Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP