🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Overrated and Underrated Shortstops: Week Three

Selling high on Ian Desmond and Xander Bogaerts, and looking for alternatives in Eugenio Suarez and Marcus Semien.

If you have not yet started fretting about your team's underperformance, good for you. But it'll likely sink in soon -- this sinking feeling that you're losing ground with no way to catch up. And the guys pulling you like quicksand, in a series panicked transactions, will be the first to go.

Fortunately, some of your lame ducks may actually warrant being dropped at this point. Your investment keeps you holding on -- you spent $15, or maybe a 6th-round draft pick, on them -- but sometimes you need to cut bait sooner than later and eat what will eventually be a sunk cost.

Neither of the overrated shortstops presented here should be considered completely lost causes. But they may be the kind of players you can flip for better pieces at different positions, leaving you the option to invest in one of the underrated shortstops as a replacement.

 

Overvalued Shortstops

Xander Bogaerts, BOS SS
91% owned, per Fleaflicker

It's nice to see Bogaerts running more frequently than he did last season, and half of his hits have gone for extra bases. In his early-season small sample, it also appears he has held on to his plate discipline gains, which should help buoy his triple-slash line like it did last year.

Bogaerts has no semblance of the batted ball skills he flashed during last year's breakout, though. Lauded for his ability to spray to all fields, Bogaerts is back to his pull-happy ways -- a trend that does not bode well for someone who (1) hits a lot of ground balls, (2) does not hit the ball especially hard, and (3) hits a lot of infield pop flies.

All are hallmarks of guys who, were it not for speed, hit for meager batting averages on balls in play (BABIPs). It was already outlandish to expect Bogaerts to repeat his .372 mark from 2015; it may be equally so to expect the .330-ish mark that the prominent projection systems expect from him. That makes him a .280 hitter at best with power and speed that barely cracks double digits. To the people holding out for a power spike: it's nowhere on the horizon, so you may be waiting a while.

Ian Desmond, WAS SS
76% owned

Aside from the fact that he is on pace for 12 RBI and a .000 isolated power (ISO), Desmond looks the same as he did last year in terms of plate discipline, which could charitably be described as "bad." (The 2013 version of Desmond is but a distant memory.) It's a slow start for him, but there's no reason to think he won't repeat what he did last year, save any concerns about him entering his 30s.

Unfortunately, his double-digit power and speed combination barely earned him a top-15 spot among shortstops last year. Copy-pasting his 2015 stats into his 2016 line would likely produce an equivalent result -- or worse, given baseball appears to be entering a new Golden Age of Shortstops.

His ownership is plummeting, and rightfully so. Ironically, this makes for a nice buy-low opportunity in deeper leagues where the potential for a 20-15-.250 season is actually not a bad thing. But in shallow formats, you may still be able to get a nice return on Desmond while finding a cheap, comparable alternative from the waiver wire to replace him.

 

Undervalued Shortstops

Eugenio Suarez, CIN SS/3B
61% owned

Marcus Semien, OAK SS
56% owned

Both have hit four home runs to date. Both are expected to hit 16 to 17 home runs, steal eight to 10 bases, and hit roughly .250 for the rest of the season. That's not bad for two shortstops, let alone hitters in general, drafted well outside the top-200 hitters, per NFBC ADP.

Clumping together is logical here because they profile so similarly, as evidenced by the aforementioned rest-of-season projections. And this is no fluke, either -- Suarez launched 13 home runs in a mere 398 plate appearances last season, and Semien's plus offensive value when not focusing on improving his defense is well-documented.

This author would have preferred Semien to start the year, given his propensity to run a little more often and a slightly (but not significantly) better walk rate (BB%). Now, this author prefers Suarez, who has basically halved his strikeout rate (K%), waning himself off his reliance on a lofty BABIP. He also has hit second in Cincinnati's order in every game; hitting in front of Joey Votto is a best-case scenario when entrenched in an otherwise anemic lineup.

Meanwhile, Semien continues to bat ninth because only Bob Melvin knows what's going on in Bob Melvin's mind. He earned a lone chance to bat second on Saturday and botched it by going hitless in five at-bats. Until Melvin acknowledges how much more valuable Semien to his lineup than other hitters, his value will be artificially suppressed by a sheer lack of volume. To attest: despite hitting four home runs, Semien has only six runs and RBI apiece.

In exchange for Desmond, we are talking a few stolen bases that we can't guarantee Desmond will even steal. In exchange for Bogaerts, we are talking more power and 30 points of batting average. The differences in production are small, is this author's point. If Suarez and Semien are still around in deeper leagues, they won't be for much longer, given they are arguably fringe top-10 shortstops from here on out.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Matthew Stafford

Racks Up Highest Yardage Total in Over a Decade
Puka Nacua

Delivers Career-Best Performance on Thursday Night Football
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Friday Night
Joel Embiid

on the Injury Report for Friday Due to an Illness
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
Anthony Davis

Cleared to Play Versus Detroit
Jakobi Meyers

Jaguars Agree to Three-Year Extension With Jakobi Meyers
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Thursday Night
LaMelo Ball

Available Against Atlanta
Trae Young

on a Minutes Restriction on Thursday
Michael Kesselring

Available After 14-Game Absence
Tyrese Maxey

Off the Injury Report for Friday Night
Peyton Krebs

Good to Go Thursday
Norman Powell

Good to Go Against Brooklyn
Jake Bean

Set for Surgery, Out Indefinitely
Mike Matheson

Misses Second Straight Game Thursday
Mitchell Robinson

Won't Suit Up Against Indiana
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Back for Lightning Thursday
Josh Hart

Sidelined on Thursday Evening
Ryan McDonagh

Available Thursday
OG Anunoby

Available Against Indiana
Karl-Anthony Towns

Out on Thursday Night
Artemi Panarin

a Game-Time Call Thursday
Devin Neal

Placed on Injured Reserve, Will Not Return in 2025
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
Norman Powell

Upgraded to Probable
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out Thursday
LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Probable for Thursday
Trae Young

Will Play Thursday Against the Hornets
Christian Watson

Questionable for Week 16
Gabe Vincent

Will Miss at Least a Week
Josh Jacobs

Listed as Questionable for Saturday Night
T.J. Watt

Unlikely to Play in Week 16
D'Andre Swift

Questionable to Face the Packers
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 16
Jawhar Jordan

Could be in for Significant Workload Against Raiders
Rome Odunze

Expected to Miss Third Straight Game
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 16
Sebastian Aho

Leads Hurricanes to Victory With Three-Point Period
Joel Hofer

Notches Third Shutout of the Season
Jordan Martinook

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Puka Nacua

Brother Charged With Stealing NBA Player's SUV
Jonathan Marchessault

Exits Early Wednesday
Evan Rodrigues

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Lars Eller

to Miss at Least Three More Weeks
Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Matthew Tkachuk

Status Uncertain for Winter Classic
Tyson Foerster

Ruled Out for Five Months
Quinton Byfield

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Available Against Kings
Pavel Dorofeyev

Good to Go Wednesday
Shea Theodore

Out Against Devils
Jack Eichel

Misses First Game of the Season Wednesday
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP