X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings NFL DFS: Week 2 Price Analysis & Picks

Trey Lance - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Hey, RotoBallers! It's Jon Anderson. I'm coming up from the baseball world to gasp for air - and grabbing an NFL DFS piece. Hopefully, I will do this weekly moving forward!

What you'll get in this piece is an early or mid-week look at the week two projections. I have a decent little NFL projection model going and it's pretty good at picking out some of these strong DFS plays.

We are looking at the DraftKings NFL DFS main slate on Sunday, September 18th. This analysis and picks will get stronger as we get deeper into the season as more data and clarity comes to the front. Let's dive into it!

Featured Promo: Our friends at RIVAL Fantasy have created fun and unique DFS games including over/under contests and Fantasy Bingo. Use promo code BALLER to get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($199 value), and a $50 risk-free deposit. Play Now!

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Notable QB's not on the slate:

Those are the first, second, third, and fifth-highest projected QBs on the slate by my model, so we have an opportunity here to pay down at QB.

Now, if you don't want to pay down at QB, the man for you is:

Lamar Jackson ($7,400) vs. Dolphins

Lamar threw the ball 30 times in week one but had just 17 completions. The good news was this his average depth of pass attempt led the slate (12 yards). He threw for three touchdowns, which was pretty key for his fantasy day since he only ran for 17 yards on six attempts. I wouldn't expect him to be under 20 yards rushing again. The biggest appeal with Lamar will always be the solid floor of points he offers with the rushing and passing ability he possesses. He's the top QB on the slate if we aren't considering the price, but of course, we are considering the price, which makes these names very interesting for week two.

Trey Lance ($5,700) vs. Seahawks

Lance had a pretty miserable week one against the Bears. There is reason to forgive him for that, as the weather was just abysmal. That led to a price drop on Lance, and now we can have him for just $5,700 on this slate without a ton to love at Quarterback.

I'm not a huge #FootballGuy, so I'm not going to make predictions about how the loss of Elijah Mitchell affects Lance, but it's certainly possible that it will result in a few more carries for him - which is the main reason we like him for fantasy. He ran the ball 13 times in week one, a large number, and turned that into 54 yards. The projection on him this week is about eight carries for 42 yards and about a 33% chance at a touchdown. If he can do that and have even a decent game through the air, he's going to smash the price tag.

Daniel Jones ($5,100) vs. Panthers

Digging out a decent QB score for $5,000 is a huge boon for any DFS lineup, and Jones could offer us that this week. He also has a little bit of rushing upside, and he carried it six times for 25 yards in week one. He only threw the ball 22 times but was decent with those tosses with a 77% completion rate and two touchdowns, but the ADoT was low at 5.5. It's always possible that the Giants completely dud offensively, which is never what you want for the QB, and it's also possible that all of the damage is done by Saquon Barkley. All things considered, Jones projects pretty well here.

 

Other QBs projecting well: Matthew Stafford vs. Falcons, Derek Carr vs. Cardinals

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey ($8,900) vs. Giants

It was a really disappointing 2022 debut for CMC, who scored just 15.7 DraftKings points. That lackluster score seemed to mostly be due to the troubles the Panthers had moving the ball, and that's certainly a concern moving forward as well. However, McCaffrey handled 10 of the 13 running back carries and saw four targets on his 21 routes run. It wasn't the typical elite usage we see from McCaffrey, but it's still really good stuff and there's no reason to think he won't be the usual workhorse RB we've come to know.

The best part of all of this is that the low score kept his price down below $9,000. Comparatively, Jonathan Taylor's price came way up to $9,900. CMC's projection is right there with Taylor's, his floor is higher, and you get him for $1,000 cheaper.

Saquon Barkley ($7,300) vs. Panthers

Barkley has the third-highest projection on the slate and the second-best value mark by my model. He posted league-best usage in week two in plenty of measures, with his 18 carries and seven targets. He showed his home-run hitting upside with a 68-yard tote, and he added a touchdown and a two-point conversion. What a day. You could certainly argue that he should be a $8,500 back right now, but we can get him for just $7,300 for at least one more week.

Darrell Henderson ($5,700) vs. Falcons

Henderson is the model's top value running back, projecting for 16.6 points at this price. The problem here is that we can't be as confident with his usage given the presence of Cam Akers. It is a decent bet that Akers just isn't healthy enough to carry a significant part of the load, but it's also quite possible that they are just easing him in and he'll slowly take away usage from Henderson.

All we know for sure right now is that Henderson consumed 13 of the Rams' 17 running back carries and added five targets. He's a capable back in a good offense, and if we're projecting him for anything close to the usage he had in week one, this is a great play against Atlanta.

Chase Edmonds ($5,200) vs. Ravens

Edmonds was handed the ball 12 times and caught all four of his targets in week one, showing that he's for sure the lead man in Miami. The downside is that the Dolphins were very pass-heavy in that first week, leading the league in pass rate over expectation. That tampers down his projection a bit, but it's not too often we get a bell cow-ish running back at this price. The Ravens are tough to score fantasy points against given how much clock they use, but Edmonds is considerable at this price.

 

Other RBs projecting well: Joe Mixon vs. Cowboys, Swift vs. Commanders, Fournette vs. Saints

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Wide Receivers

This is the position we really have to nail in PPR, and we saw that in week one with so many huge scores from the league's best receivers.

Cooper Kupp ($9,900) vs. Falcons

He is tied with Taylor as the most expensive piece on the slate, but for good reason. We all know what Kupp did last year, and he certainly picked up right where he left off in week one. The Super Bowl MVP went for 13 catches, 128 yards, and a touchdown on his 15 targets. He is probably the safest asset on the slate here, although you could argue that the price is overly prohibitive here. If you only pull a 15-20 from Kupp, that's going to be pretty tough for your lineup overall - but again, few players have safer floors here.

Davante Adams ($8,600) vs. Cardinals

He's the only other wide receiver projecting over 20, so I wanted to include him here. There is definitely something to be said for not worrying as much about price-considered value with these top studs because the floor and ceilings are so important. Anyways, Adams looked just fine in his first game away from Green Bay, leading the league with 17 targets. He also had a 10.4 ADoT, which is a pretty huge number given he was peppered with so many targets. That led him o put up 177 air yards, another league-leading number.

It seems right now that Adams will continue to be a legitimate WR1, and you can have him way cheaper than Kupp this week.

Ja'Marr Chase ($8,000) vs. Cowboys

The bronze medal wide receiver is Chase, who went for 16 targets in week one. That was majorly helped by the nature of that game, as the Bengals ran 96 plays - a number they are unlikely to replicate again this entire season. That said, his 108 air yards and 66 routes run are elite marks and we know how good this guy is.

Bonus: Tee Higgins would be a great play if he is cleared, and Tyler Boyd will be firmly in play as well if he's not.

Brandin Cooks ($6,000) vs. Broncos

He's the top value on the model at just $6,000. He continued to do what he does, racking up tons of targets (12) and air yards (131). Also in Cooks fashion, he was somewhat inefficient on that usage with just seven catches and 82 yards with no touchdowns. The floor is shaky here given the offense he plays on, but the ceiling is outrageous for this price tag. He's a superb GPP play.

DJ Moore ($5,700) vs. Giants

Moore is the second best value on the board by my projections, and yeah - this price seems pretty weird. Moore doesn't have a ton of upside, and rarely gets red zone looks, but he's been one of the most consistent and reliable fantasy receivers of the last handful of years. He saw six targets in week one but caught just three of them for 47 yards as the Panthers' offense struggled in Baker Mayfield's team debut. You would have to imagine that things get better for them as Mayfield get his land legs, and Mayfield's veteran presence and accuracy should, in theory, boost Moore's profile. I don't think he'll be under $6,000 for long - so we can jump on here especially in cash lineup builds.

Christian Kirk ($5,700) vs. Colts

A dozen targets for the Jaguars' new receiver. He went off for 117 yards, but couldn't find the endzone. It seems like Kirk is going to be a very popular target of Trevor Lawrence's, and this $5,700 price tag probably won't stick around for long. The Colts' defense is a tougher one to face, but the price and ceiling outweigh that, making Kirk a good play in all formats.

Nico Collins ($4,100) vs. Broncos

Lots of people thought Collins would do more than he did in week one, seeing just three targets and catching two balls for 26 yards. That was disappointing. He did run 32 routes, the second-most on the team, and posted a strong 11.3 ADoT. It's a risky play, as is any wide receiver priced like this, but he's a viable punt given the salary and how much he's on the field.

 

Other WRs projecting well: Mike Evans vs. Saints, Allen Robinson vs. Falcons, Julio Jones vs. Saints, Hunter Renfrow vs. Cardinals

 

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Tight Ends

Travis Kelce and Dallas Goedert are off the slate, weakening the field a bit. Let's look at some of the best tight ends in the projections.

Mark Andrews ($6,400) vs. Dolphins

A pretty disappointing week one for Andrews as the wide receivers did a ton of damage, but he saw seven targets and a great 14.1 ADoT. It's a little tougher to pay up at tight end on this slate, but Andrews upside is unmatched at the position here.

Tyler Higbee ($4,200) vs. Falcons

He quietly seeped up 11 targets in week one, although it's hard to imagine that would keep going that way given what we saw from his last year and the addition of Allen Robinson. That said, Robert Woods has departed so it is a bit of a new-look offense, and maybe Higbee will take up more of the Woods role than Robinson will. We don't know for sure, but we do know that a tight end at $4,200 coming off a double-digit target game is pretty pleasurable.

T.J. Hockenson ($4,700) vs. Commanders

Seven targets in week one, and we saw last year how big this guy's ceiling is. The projections prefer Higbee straight away, but Hockenson is always in play for GPPs.

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Marquise Brown15 mins ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Justise Winslow31 mins ago

Expected To Play On Sunday
Mike Conley38 mins ago

Will Miss Another One On Saturday
Dalano Banton50 mins ago

Remains Out Versus Dallas
Fred VanVleet58 mins ago

Returning Against Mavs
Yuta Watanabe1 hour ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Chris Paul1 hour ago

Out Again On Saturday Evening
Alperen Sengun1 hour ago

Upgraded For Meeting With OKC
Logan Thompson2 hours ago

Expected To Start Saturday
Bruno Fernando2 hours ago

Out On Saturday
Josh Richardson2 hours ago

Remains Out Versus The Lakers
Keita Bates-Diop2 hours ago

Out On Saturday Night
Aleksander Barkov2 hours ago

Will Be A Game Time Saturday Due To Illness
Anthony Davis2 hours ago

Questionable Versus San Antonio
LeBron James2 hours ago

Probable For Rematch With Spurs
Alexandar Georgiev2 hours ago

Likely To Start Saturday
Justin Fields3 hours ago

Bears Could Hold Justin Fields Out To Avoid Long-Term Damage
Green Bay Packers4 hours ago

David Bakhtiari Questionable For Week 12
Odell Beckham Jr.4 hours ago

Not Expected To Play Until Late December
Ja'Marr Chase4 hours ago

Officially Out On Sunday
Deebo Samuel4 hours ago

Dealing With "Different" Hamstring Issue
David Krejci6 hours ago

Scores Twice In Bruins Win
Kirill Kaprizov6 hours ago

Extends Scoring Run With Two Points
Darcy Kuemper6 hours ago

Shuts Out Calgary
Lucas Raymond6 hours ago

Posts Two Assists In Friday's Win
Nikita Kucherov6 hours ago

Racks Up Three Assists
Shea Theodore6 hours ago

Logs Two Assists Versus Seattle
Jason Robertson6 hours ago

Takes Over League Lead In Goals
Shake Milton9 hours ago

Goes Close To A Triple-Double
Jerami Grant9 hours ago

Explodes For Career-High 44 Points
Kevin Durant9 hours ago

Finishes A Losing Effort With 36 Points
Bam Adebayo9 hours ago

Scores Season-High 38 Points
Trae Young9 hours ago

Goes Off For Season-High 44 Points
Giannis Antetokounmpo9 hours ago

Can't Be Stopped By Cavs
Josh Giddey9 hours ago

Flirts With A Triple-Double
Brandon Ingram9 hours ago

Suffers A Toe Injury
Anthony Davis15 hours ago

Posts Double-Double On Friday
Carlos Santana20 hours ago

Pirates Agree With Carlos Santana On Friday
Demarcus Robinson23 hours ago

Devin Duvernay, Demarcus Robinson Questionable
Rondale Moore23 hours ago

Officially Out In Week 12
Raheem Mostert23 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful Against Texans
Deebo Samuel23 hours ago

Questionable To Face The Saints
Josh Jacobs23 hours ago

Questionable To Play In Week 12
Mike Williams23 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Cardinals
John Klingberg23 hours ago

Considered Day-To-Day
TB23 hours ago

Alex Barre-Boulet Gets A Look After Impressing In The AHL
Ross Colton23 hours ago

Ready For Action Again
Kyle Okposo23 hours ago

Returns From A Six-Game Absence
Yegor Chinakhov24 hours ago

Returns For Columbus
Kyle Palmieri24 hours ago

Remains Out Friday
Linus Ullmark24 hours ago

Suffers An Upper-Body Injury
Narciso Crook24 hours ago

Red Sox Sign Narciso Crook To Minor-League Deal
Denyi Reyes1 day ago

Mets Sign Denyi Reyes
Kyle Allen1 day ago

Confirmed As Week 12 Starter
Kadarius Toney1 day ago

Chiefs Rule Out Kadarius Toney
Leonard Fournette1 day ago

Listed As Doubtful
Jerry Jeudy1 day ago

KJ Hamler Ruled Out For Week 12
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Cardinals Optimistic About Marquise Brown's Return
Kyler Murray1 day ago

Ready To Return Against Chargers
Greg Dortch1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision For Week 12
Lamar Jackson1 day ago

Should Play In Week 12
Justin Fields1 day ago

Questionable To Face Jets
Milwaukee Brewers1 day ago

Blake Perkins Signs With Brewers
Elliot Soto1 day ago

Twins Re-Sign Elliot Soto
Los Angeles Angels1 day ago

Angels Sign Jacob Webb
Xander Bogaerts1 day ago

Padres Looking At Xander Bogaerts?
Brandon Nimmo1 day ago

Rays Among Teams Interested In Brandon Nimmo
Michael Conforto1 day ago

Cubs Considering Michael Conforto
Evan Rodrigues2 days ago

Ruled Out For Friday
Thomas Chabot2 days ago

Possibly Returning Friday
Brandon Duhaime2 days ago

Likely Out Friday
Marc-Andre Fleury2 days ago

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Hoy Park2 days ago

Red Sox Acquire Hoy Park From Pirates
Chad Wallach3 days ago

Angels Re-Sign Chad Wallach
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Rockies Interested In Cody Bellinger
Carlos Rodón3 days ago

Rangers Have Serious Interest In Carlos Rodon
Aaron Judge3 days ago

Giants Expected To Make Formal Offer To Aaron Judge
Bryce Harper3 days ago

Undergoes Tommy John Surgery
Hoy Park3 days ago

Pirates Designate Hoy Park For Assignment
Joely Rodríguez3 days ago

Red Sox Sign Joely Rodriguez
Hunter Renfroe3 days ago

Brewers Acquire Janson Junk In Hunter Renfroe Trade
Brandon Nimmo4 days ago

Giants Interested In Brandon Nimmo, Cody Bellinger
Trea Turner4 days ago

"Likely" Phillies' Top SS Target
Hunter Renfroe4 days ago

Angels Trade For Hunter Renfroe Tuesday
Ion Cutelaba5 days ago

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss In Main Event
Kennedy Nzechukwu5 days ago

Shines In Main Event Spotlight
Chase Sherman5 days ago

Escapes Finishing Loss And Makes It To Decision
Waldo Cortes-Acosta5 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Andre Fialho5 days ago

Takes Second Loses In As Many Contests
Muslim Salikhov5 days ago

Returns To Winning Ways With TKO Stoppage
Danny Roberts5 days ago

Continues To Slide With First Round Loss