Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

FanDuel NBA DFS Lineup Picks (2/26/18): Daily Fantasy Basketball Advice


By Chensiyuan (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

I'll be honest, I am starting to get the multi-sport cravings again. The beautiful thing about hoops is that, up through the Super Bowl, we always have another sport to play and having that really decreases the chances you get burnt out on one sport. February changes all that, and it's been a long, short month of basketball if you catch my drift. One way to forget about the looming baseball season is to take a look at this lovely slate we have to feast on tonight. Ten games on the board for Monday and tip/lock takes place at 7:30 - an extra half-hour to prepare. Don't forget to keep an eye on the news wire then as well - don't want to get tripped up by a late scratch before your night even starts.

There are some awesome games scheduled these evenings - from a watch-ability and fantasy perspective. But let's talk Vegas lines and insights before player analysis. I wasn't using hyperbole when I said this slate is glorious - nine of the 10 games feature over/unders of 210+, and four of those nine are 220+. I can't recall such a large slate where 80% of the games feature attractive totals and I sure as hell can't recall a time where four of those games are 220+ - an elite figure. Those four - Suns at Pelicans (231), Warriors at Knicks (230), Lakers at Hawks (223.5) and Magic at Thunder (220) all have some stack-ability, just be wary of blowout potential. I happen to think the blowout potential is pretty high in the cases of Warriors at Knicks and Thunder at Magic, but that doesn't mean the game is a complete avoid. Outside of those core four, I love the Bulls at Nets matchup in the mid-tier, as the spread there is just three points and the over is listed currently at 217.5.

Below you will find our daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for FanDuel on 2/26/18. These DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options, to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. You can also read more DFS lineup picks for DraftKings and other sports too.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NBA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS tools, Lineup Optimizer and daily Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

FanDuel DFS Guards

Emmanuel Mudiay - PG, vs GSW ($4,500)

Mudiay has a chance to return serious plus-value in this game context. As a starter, he's a bit under-priced and while the Warriors can be strong defenders, the point guard position is where they're weakest and this game has a strong chance to be very high scoring. In short - the positives and potential upside outweigh the risk here. Ever since he's donned the Knicks uniform, he's been a solid fantasy contributor. He's managed to beat his salary implied total in seven of his last 10 games and has an impressive .99 FanDuel points per minute in that stretch. The Warriors have allowed 2.8 points above salary above expectations to opposing point guards this season, and I like Mudiay's chances to continue the trend.

Elfrid Payton - PG, at NOP ($7,500)

A chance of scenery has done wonders for Payton's consistency. The wiry point has managed to beat salary based expectations in seven of his last 10 games, and by an impressive margin of nearly five points per night on average. He disappointed slightly in his last two appearances (managed to hit value, but barely) and I'm hoping that can keep his ownership a bit lower than usual this evening despite the excellent game context. In this matchup, you have two of the five fastest teams in the NBA according to pace metrics, and with both defenses being so porous, the opportunity for baskets at the rim will be plentiful. It's not a surprise this game features the highest total of the evening at 231. As a stat-stuffer, Payton has the ability to throw up a triple-double nearly any night. This evening, he should see 30+ minutes and carry his normal Usage rate somewhere between 20-22%.

Kent Bazemore - SG, vs LAL ($5,900)

I think this is the type of game context that Bazemore can thrive in. We already know Vegas has pegged this as one of the highest scoring affairs of the evening, and if it's to get anywhere near that ceiling, the core of Bazemore, Dennis Schroder and John Collins probably had something to do with it. Kent has been a little disappointing in his last five games, but when he's missed value he's missed by a small margin. Tonight, he finds himself in a spot against one of the fastest teams in the league (extra possessions!) that struggles defensively (especially against shooting guards - 17th in DVP, 25th in defensive efficiency) and he figures to have a good chance to fill it up with his 25% Usage rate. With the up and down pace and extra possessions, I also like Bazemore's chances of racking up a steal or three here. The Lakers are the second worst team in the league when it comes to turnovers per 100 possessions, averaging 15.9 through Monday morning.

Other FanDuel DFS Guards to Consider: Trey Burke - PG, vs GSW ($4,900); Dennis Schroder - PG, vs LAL ($7,000); Jrue Holiday - SG, vs PHX ($8,500); Wesley Matthews - SG, vs IND ($5,000)

 

FanDuel DFS Forwards

Paul George - SF, vs ORL ($8,700)

George's shooting woes have created an incredible discount on his price tag. Just a little over a week ago, George was priced at 10k and was all the way up at $9,500 just four days ago. He shot 1-for-14 from the field his last time out, and I'm willing to bet he puts that game behind him tonight with a big bounce back. The Magic are horrendous defensively, and they really struggle with talented wings. They rank 24th in DVP against small forwards and 29th in defensive efficiency. Paul and his 34-38 minutes, 5-6 rebounds per game and 26% Usage rate projection could seriously wreak havoc tonight in Oklahoma City.

John Collins - PF, vs LAL ($5,800)

With the news that Ersan Ilyasova will sit out until a buyout-decision is reached, we should shift our attention to The Bishop John Collins for our mid-tier power forward needs. Collins has averaged over 26 minutes in his last three games (over 30 in the two most recent) with Ilyasova sidelined, and seeing as he's averaged over 1 FanDuel point per minute this season, this is a great spot to target him in before the price shoots up. He crushed value in all three of those games, and tonight's matchup is really, really attractive. The Lakers currently rank 29th and 28th, respectively, in DVP and defensive efficiency versus power forwards this season.

Other FanDuel DFS Forwards to Consider: David Nwaba - SF, at BKN ($5,000); Josh Jackson - SF, at NOP ($4,600); Derrick Favors - PF, vs HOU ($5,800); Carmelo Anthony - PF, vs ORL ($5,700)

 

FanDuel DFS Centers

Alex Len - C, at NOP ($5,200)

With the news that Tyson Chandler is Doubtful again with a lingering injury, I am all in on Alex Len as a value and upside play. There is excellent game context here as both these teams are high flying and terrible from a defensive efficiency standpoint. Len is a traditional five man, but he's athletic enough to run and he should see 25+ minutes. For the season, he's averaged 1.16 FanDuel points per minute. That's a very strong figure, and if he sees 30 minutes (a number he's surpassed of late) he can reach 8-10x return on the investment.

Other FanDuel DFS Centers to Consider: Anthony Davis - C, vs PHX ($12,500); Julius Randle - C, at ATL ($7,700)

 

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts




DFS Premium Subscription



Get a free trial of our powerful Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and Lineup Optimizers & Generators with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy sports.
Sign Up Now!




More Recent Articles

 

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Jo Adell

The most coveted type of player in fantasy baseball is the batter who can hit home runs, steal bases and hit for contact. Stolen bases are harder to find, as more big-league teams are opting to take a cautious approach to baserunning. Additionally, batting average has declined because hitters are striking out more often, as... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis - Gleyber Torres vs. Corey Seager

Fantasy baseball players acquire draft position through osmosis. The more drafts that take place, the larger sample we gain of how owners of all experience levels feel about someone. Granted, inexperienced players often rely on rankings from experts, which goes to form ADP into something resembling common rankings, but the outcome is unimpeachable, collected data... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis – Aaron Nola vs Lance Lynn

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Regression Candidates: Breakout Outfielders

Every season in MLB you can count on the fact that you will have breakout performances from players. Sometimes these breakout performances can be seen coming a mile away and sometimes they catch you entirely by surprise. Regardless of which type of breakout we see, you will almost always have to pay up for that... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - Quality Start Episode 1

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) and Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) of the Turn Two Podcast come together for a new co-pod series called "Quality Start". This will be a joint effort and episodes will be found on Bases Loaded as well as the Turn Two Podcast. We are joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) as well for this one.... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More


Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More


ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More


Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More


ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More