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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on July 14th, 2019. Austyn Varney's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
Welcome to Sunday baseball on DraftKings! Last night was a fun one, but we must move on and take on today's fun afternoon slate. DK has some huge tournaments on the table and have a $777 to win $100K promo tournament that will be a fun one.
We have a full slate of games on our hands, but our friends over at DK have trimmed down the main slate to just nine game. It'll let us focus in on these games and dig deep for some value. Jacob deGrom is the most expensive arm on the slate and he has a phenomenal match-up with the worst team in baseball. We also have some gas can arms that should be picked on, but Vegas only has one team projected over five runs. Let's dive in!
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 7/14/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @VarneyDFS.
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DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Jacob deGrom - NYM @ MIA - $10,800
You have to love deGrom on the expensive end tonight. There isn’t a game you have to pay up for and the match-up is impeccable. We all know the Marlins are the worst hitting team in baseball, sporting s team .269 wOBA and striking out 27% of the time. Last years Cy Young award winner has looked the part recently, going six + innings in seven straight outings and K’ing 61 in the process. He’s one of the leagues most dominant pitchers vs righties and this Marlins lineup is full of them. The ballpark is huge and deGrom has pitched well in Miami historically. His price isn’t high enough to consider a fade in any format.
Jose Quintana - CHC vs. PIT - $7,300
Quintana is always ready to give up a bunch of runs, but he’s also a guy you can pencil in for five to six absolutely dominant starts per season. Those extreme games happen when his curveball is working and he can spot it. He’s throwing his changeup a career high 11% as well and hitters have posted a superb 34% K rate against it. The Pirates strikeout the 2nd most of any team in the league vs southpaws at 26% and are league average in terms of power against. Josh Bell is worse against lefties and so is Reynolds. Quintana is always a risky proposition, but he’s way too cheap and you know Maddon will throw him 100 pitches if he’s coasting.
DraftKings DFS Infielders
C - Gary Sanchez - NYY vs. TOR - $4,300
Gary Sanchez should be the most expensive catcher on every single slate. I don't care who he's facing or where. He's the best hitting catcher in all of baseball and it's not close. So far in 2019, Sanchez has boasted a .355 combined wOBA with 24 home runs in under 300 at-bats. He now faces off with Marcus Stroman, who's an average righty that the Yankees have seen a ton. Vegas expects him to get rocked and have the Yanks with an projected total over six runs. Sanchez is too cheap on DK and he'll be plugged into 100% of my lineups.
1B - Anthony Rizzo - CHC vs. PIT - $4,600
Rizzo and the Cubbies face off with Trevor Williams tonight, who's allowed a .340 wOBA to opposing lefties and nine home runs in just over 60 at-bats. Anthony Rizzo is one of the best bats in baseball, sporting a .401 wOBA against righties with a .263 ISO and 46% hard contact rate. The Cubs are expected to put up five plus runs in this one and Rizzo will be a part of it. He's certainly pricey, but your options are limited on this slate and Rizzo is one of those guys that can break the slate.
2B - Cavan Biggio - TOR @ NYY - $4,500
Masahiro Tanaka is by no means one of the weaker links on any slate, but he does struggle against lefties and this ballpark exaggerated the struggle. He's given up a .355 wOBA on the season to lefties and a .377 in Yankee Stadium. Biggio on the other hand, has spored a .354 wOBA since coming to the majors and has hit all six of his home runs against them. Second base is easily one of the weaker positions of the night and Biggio fills in with some low-owned upside that won't cost you much.
SS - Adalberto Mondesi - KC vs. DET - $4,900
Shortstop is another one of the weaker positions, and Adalberto Mondesi is the model of consistency. He has the most triples in baseball and is a threat to steal a base every time he gets on. His upside comes with speed and you'll see him eclipse 15+ DK points regularly without any power. Tonight, the Royals face off with Jordan Zimmerman. Zimmerman has allowed a .403 wOBA to lefties and strikes out just over five batters per nine innings. The Royals are another squad with n implied total over five runs and the juice is on the over. Mondesi won't be highly owned and has a ton of upside if the offense clicks.
3B - Mike Brosseau - TB @ BAL - $3,200
Brosseau is consistently producing since coming up from the minors and it may be time to ride the wave. A combined .451 wOBA with a .500+ vs right-handers. Eshelman is a below average pitcher and the Rays are expected to put up nearly six runs. Camden Yards is a huge ballpark upgrade for the Rays and they've shown ow much it can help. The ball has been flying in Baltimore as of late and this game is going to run over the projected total. The Rays are a top stack and will hopefully garner less than 20% ownership.
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
OF - Juan Soto - WAS @ PHI - $5,200
Jake Arrieta is a name that many won't touch, but he's not a very good pitcher at this point. Against left-handers, Arrieta has allowed a .387 wOBA and a whopping 11 home runs in just 46 innings of work. The stadium doesn't help, either, ranking 6th in baseball for left-handed power. Soto has been one of the best sources of left-handed power in baseball and he's posted a .388 wOBA against. He's definitely expensive, but you have the money to spend and it just comes down to prioritizing.
OF - Austin Meadows - TB @ BAL - $4,400
Meadows is a bit cheaper than Soto and has similar upside. The Rays are expected to put up five + runs and I personally think the over gets reached easily. The ballpark factor is huge for them, going from spacious Tropicana Field to one of the best hitting environments in baseball in Camden Yards. Eshelman doesn't have much of a sample size, but he's not been great in the minors and will be followed by the league's third worst bullpen. Meadows is dangerous and not as expensive as Soto.
