MLB DFS Picks Today: Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy and Tips For FanDuel, DraftKings (7/11/25)

July 11, 2025

Jamie's top DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks for today, Friday, 7/11/25. His favorite daily fantasy baseball lineup sleepers and value picks for DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.

It's the final weekend before the All-Star break, and ALL 15 TEAMS are playing tonight on the main slate! This night is full of top starting pitchers, stackable offenses, and narratives galore, so let's hop right in. The RotoBaller chat on Discord is already humming, so come join our awesome community.

A few notes of business - as the break approaches, be on the lookout for random days off as teams try to get their players extra days to get healthy. Also, we're officially in #HugWatch mode, as the trade market is expected to pick up. Again, our RotoBaller crew will be analyzing it all for you.

This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 7/11/2025, with the slate starting at 7:05 PM EST. The lineup picks will showcase elite players, mid-priced options, and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. Monitoring injury news and today's MLB starting lineups is always essential.

DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Tarik Skubal, SP - DET ($12,000 DK/$11,500 FD)

There are aces galore at the top of the pitching pool tonight, and we may be choosing between the opposing starting pitchers in the All-Star game. It's tempting to immediately gravitate to Paul Skenes, who is $1,500 cheaper on DK and $500 less on FD, but a deeper look shows Tarik Skubal is worth spending the extra cash.

Skubal, if you can believe it, has been significantly better this year than last year's Cy Young campaign. He has a 33.9% K rate and 42.1% GB rate to go along with a sparkling 1.87 FIP, and his 4.7 WAR leads all starting pitchers once again. Skubal has double-digit K's in five of his last 11 starts and has pitched shutouts in three of his last five.

Tarik Skubal is somehow even better than he was last year. pic.twitter.com/G5hveFcwm1

— Gravel (@Gravel_sense) July 6, 2025

The Mariners are an above-average K matchup for southpaws (ninth-highest K rate in the split), and are coming off a devastating loss to the Yankees, where they blew a five-run lead after 7.1 innings of no-hit ball from Bryan Woo. Paul Skenes faces Joe Ryan in his matchup, and we know the Pirates do not get him wins (Skenes is 4-7 despite a 1.94 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Chase Burns, SP - CIN ($7,500 DK/$8,800 FD)

Even if you take the cheaper option of Skenes (or Ryan) over Skubal, you're going to need a cheap SP2 to maximize your lineup without completely punting on offense. Chase Burns is the perfect way to achieve this, as his price does not nearly reflect his K upside.

After Burns' blowup against the Red Sox, a video came out later that showed he was tipping his pitches. The Reds caught it immediately, and Burns responded with a solid seven strikeouts and one run allowed to the Phillies in 4.2 innings.

Here is the Red Sox broadcast talking about Chase Burns possibly tipping his pitches. #Reds pic.twitter.com/mDJuWpIOF4

— Reds Daily (@RedsDaily4) June 30, 2025

Burns has not been lucky in the matchups. Outside of Boston, he's faced two powerful offenses in the Yankees and Phillies, and tonight gets as good a draw as a pitcher can get against the hapless Rockies. Colorado has the second-highest K rate against RHP, and Burns has struck out 30.6% of batters faced in his young career.

Others To Consider (Cash/GPP):

• Paul Skenes, SP - PIT ($10,500 DK/$11,000 FD)
• Joe Ryan, SP - MIN ($10,000 DK/$10,300 FD)
• Max Scherzer, SP - TOR ($7,000 DK/$8,100 FD)

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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Elly De La Cruz, SS - CIN ($5,700 DK/$3,800 FD)

Speaking of the Reds/Rockies game, don't forget to target Cincy hitters as well. The Rockies are sending German Marquez to the hill, which is always fun for DFS. Marquez's peripherals show he's been better than his ERA, but he's still only posting a 15.3% K rate and 37.3% GB rate. Not great, Bob.

Cincinnati is as marginal a park upgrade as Rockies' pitchers can get, so it's... a Coors game here? The Reds are rocking an IRT of 5.7 runs right now, and Elly De La Cruz should be right in the heart of the scoring. The big Reds' slugger has consecutive multi-hit games, and has a .379 wOBA and .243 ISO against RHP this year. He's also already at 18 homers and 23 steals for the season.

Jose Ramirez, 3B - CLE ($5,600 DK/Game is NOT on FD)

This game is part of a doubleheader and is NOT on the FD slate. For that reason, I almost chose not to write it up, but Jose Ramirez is my top overall hitter, and I need to emphasize the importance of including him in DK cash lineups. One could even argue that he's underpriced.

Ramirez is blistering right now. Over the past three games, he has three homers, three SBs, a double, six runs scored, and six RBIs. Ramirez has a .224 ISO against RHP this season, and doesn't lose the platoon edge when this game gets into the bullpen.

The Chicago pitching staff is no match for Ramirez. Jonathan Cannon has a career 4.69 FIP and 17.5% K rate, and is backed by a bullpen that ranks 29th in FIP. I'm betting a fourth-straight homer game as well at +320.

Nick Kurtz, 1B - ATH ($4,900 DK/$3,400 FD)

Once again, we have teams playing in Sacramento, where it'll be 100 degrees with winds blowing slightly out. In this Triple-A park, it's utter paradise for hitters, and you'll want to attack both sides of this affair. Nick Kurtz continues to rake in his rookie season for the Athletics, and I'm willing to keep attacking against Max Scherzer.

Scherzer is a no-doubt Hall-of-Famer, but as he approaches his 41st birthday, the numbers are declining. With his K rate down, pitching to contact in this park can lead to fireworks. Kurtz has bashed RHP since getting called up, with a .402 wOBA, .329 ISO, and 44.6% HHR. He's still underpriced.

Others To Consider (CASH/GPP): 

• Ketel Marte, 2B - ARI ($5,800 DK/$3,800 FD)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 1B - TOR ($5,500 DK/$3,200 FD)
• Gunnar Henderson, SS - BAL ($4,500 DK/$3,300 FD)

DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Aaron Judge, OF - NYY ($6.500 DK/$4,800 FD)

Aaron Judge completed a thrilling Yankees comeback last night with a walk-off sac fly against the Mariners! This has no bearing on the slate, but I still wanted to say it :). Judge is an elite play tonight against Chris Flexen, who has made a career of being awful in the reverse split.

AARON JUDGE WALK OFF FOR THE WIN ‼️

WHAT A SLIDE BY VOLPE 🔥

(via @MLB)pic.twitter.com/tkYc62Lmjh

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) July 11, 2025

Flexen's 0.83 ERA is not real at all (3.58 FIP), and he's only got a 13.9% K rate. Flexen has also allowed a career .362 wOBA and 1.47 HR/9 to RHB, and Judge has a .469 wOBA and .351 ISO in the reverse-split. The Cubs' bullpen is good, but Judge should have plenty of shots at fireworks on this night.

Jarren Duran, OF - BOS ($4,700 DK/$3,700 FD)

Jarren Duran faces a tough pitcher in Drew Rasmussen, but his barrel rate is way up over the last 10 games, and he's been leading off against RHP. Duran is currently on a 10-game hitting streak as he attempts to help Boston back into the playoff race (or at least build up his trade value).

Duran has been great in the platoon split this year, with a .378 wOBA and .241 ISO against RHP. Rasmussen's GB rate is over 50%, but his 22% K rate is currently a career low. If he's pitching to more contact, he can be attacked, and Vegas has Boston pegged for an IRT of 4.6 runs.

Nathan Lukes, OF - TOR ($3,700 DK/$2,600 FD)

The Blue Jays are an elite stack tonight, and Nathan Lukes has found himself a home in the leadoff spot. He has three multi-hit games in his last seven, and gets the platoon edge against Luis Severino. Lukes has a .355 wOBA against RHP this season, and may get five plate appearances in the best park environment on the slate.

Speaking of this park, Severino's struggles there are well-documented (he certainly hasn't been shy about it). Severino has a 7.04 ERA at home as opposed to 3.04 on the road this year, and he's also given up twice as many homers. Luke's is a perfect cash option, and can be a cheap headliner for stacks.

Others To Consider (CASH/GPP): 

• Juan Soto, OF - NYM ($5,900 DK/$3,700 FD)
• George Springer, OF - TOR ($5,300 DK/$3,400 FD)
• Jackson Chourio, OF - MIL ($4,700 DK/$3,400 FD)

DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks

1. New York Yankees vs Chris Flexen

Flexen is likely not going to get a lot of length in this game. His high for innings pitched is four, and his high pitch count for the season is 60. However, we can fully attack him out of the gate, and hopefully get some solid matchups in the middle of the Cubbies' pen. Flexen's meager 13.9% K rate will not play well at Yankee Stadium, and New York has an IRT of 5.2 runs.

Favorite Combo: Dominguez, Judge, Stanton, Chisholm Jr.

2. Toronto Blue Jays vs Luis Severino

The Blue Jays are my favorite stack of the evening against Severino, whose ERA is four runs higher at home than it is on the road. Toronto gets an insane park upgrade, traveling to the Triple-A park in Sacramento, and sports an IRT of 5.8 runs, which is the highest on the slate.

Favorite Combo: Lukes, Springer, Guerrero Jr., Barger

3. Cincinnati Reds vs German Marquez

The Reds are right on the heels of Toronto's top IRT with a 5.7 mark of their own, and have speed/power hitters up and down the lineup that can make Marquez's night miserable. Marquez has just over a 15% K rate, and isn't getting that much of a park upgrade going from Colorado to Cincinnati. The Reds have some very affordable players.

Favorite Combo: Friedl, De La Cruz, Lux, Steer

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