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College Football Picks Against the Spread: Expert Betting Predictions for Tuesday, October 14 Through Friday, October 17 (Week 8)

College Football Rankings, CFB DFS Picks, NFL Draft

Mike's Week 8 college football betting picks against the spread for Tuesday, October 14, Wednesday, October 15, Thursday, October 16, and Friday, October 17, 2025. Free CFB betting predictions, odds analysis, and ATS picks from RotoBaller.

Week 7 saw carnage at every level. Drew Allar's season is over, and James Franklin's Penn State career is over after three straight losses. Officiating may have affected the outcome of games in Auburn and Boulder. Two coaches, aside from Franklin, were also fired on Sunday.

We have our largest week of college football so far this season with 59 FBS vs. FBS games. 10 of those occur before Saturday, so there won't be a dull moment this week!

These 10 games contain some big ones and provide places to win some money before another big Saturday of college football betting. We'll get those picks made, then take a look back at Week 7. I think I had a decent week aside from having a dumbass attack and picking Oklahoma.

 

CFB Betting Picks for Week 8

I will pick every college football game every week. Not a top five. Not a top 10. All of them. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread. I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other (European) football.

I think you should know who you're listening to. I've been doing this since 2014, and I have most of my record available for viewing here. This can help you determine which teams I usually pick correctly or incorrectly, as the case may be.

 

New Mexico State at Liberty (-9.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

The Flames are struggling, but not this much.

Pick: Liberty -9.5

 

Arkansas State at South Alabama (-7.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

There's no juice at all on 7.5. Vegas really thinks this will be a 7-point game. I'll take it a step further and say the Red Wolves win outright.

Pick: Arkansas State +7.5

 

Florida International at Western Kentucky (-9.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

FIU's offense is sometimes exciting. Western Kentucky is exciting all the time!

Pick: Western Kentucky -9.5

 

Delaware (-2.5) at Jacksonville State

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

The Gamecocks should be able to ride Cam Cook to a win at home. Would I bet on it? Probably not.

Pick: Jacksonville State +2.5

 

UTEP (-2.5) at Sam Houston

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Sam Houston almost took out Jacksonville State at its surrogate home last week. They get over the hump this week against the worst QB situation left in FBS.

Pick: Sam Houston +2.5

 

Tulsa at East Carolina (-16.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

I don't like lines like this, but Tulsa isn't very good. We've seen what ECU can do.

Pick: East Carolina -16.5

 

Louisville at (2) Miami (FL) (-13.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

This line has nearly doubled since the open. The Miami love is real and warranted, but damn, this feels high. I can believe 10, but 14? I don't know...

Pick: Louisville -13.5

 

(25) Nebraska (-7.5) at Minnesota

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

One of the best trophies in the sport! I'm a little shocked it's this high, but with the way Minnesota played against Purdue, I believe it.

Pick: Nebraska -7.5

 

San Jose State at Utah State (-3.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

I want no part of that Spartans' defense. Walker Eget throws for 400. Spartans still lose.

Pick: Utah State -3.5

 

North Carolina at California (-9.5)

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

The Tar Heels are likely the worst Power 4 team.

Pick: California -9.5

 

CFB Betting Picks - Last Week's Results

I promised transparency, and you will get it, warts and all. I don't like to be wrong, but I will admit when I am. Why listen to someone if they won't admit the good or the bad? I know this week was better than last week, but I also know that I was burned by a lot of close games just in the ones I've watched so far. I'm just trying to break even at this point.

You can track my wins and losses on this sheet. I have everything updated from 2014-18 and 2023-present. I'm still looking for missing articles from 2019 and 2020 to get a running total of all of my picks. Winners against the spread will be in bold. My result will follow.

Missouri State (-2.5) at Middle Tennessee State: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

A missed extra point in the second quarter ended up blowing this for me. Jacob Clark's days as the starter for the Bears are over. This is Deuce Bailey's team now.

Liberty (-1.5) at UTEP: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

UTEP was so bad that they ended up going back to Malachi Nelson for a bit in this game.

Louisiana Tech (-6.5) at Kennesaw State: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Louisiana had no chance after Blake Baker went down. In all fairness, they weren't playing all that well before the injury either.

East Carolina at Tulane (-6.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

I really want to thank Jon Sumrall for going for the touchdown instead of a field goal to secure this cover with under a minute left. I wish more coaches would do this instead of just taking the field goal for granted and not trying to get in the end zone.

Jacksonville State (-7.5) at Sam Houston: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

This was a rough way to lose for Sam Houston. It's bad enough that they have to play an hour away from campus in 2025 for home games...

Southern Mississippi (-3.5) at Georgia Southern: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

I'm still mad that the Eagles blew this. They held a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter and were up 21 at halftime.

(24) South Florida (-1.5) at North Texas: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

This is Byrum Brown's world. We're all just living in it.

Rutgers at Washington (-10.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

The Rutgers defense is a problem, and not in a good way. Demond Williams Jr. had his first career 400-yard passing game. It likely won't be his last.

Fresno State (-6.5) at Colorado State: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Where in the world did this come from? E.J. Warner had his best passing day of the year, but the three interceptions proved costly.

(1) Ohio State (-14.5) at (17) Illinois: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

This was a tough day for the Ohio State offense, but the defense forced three turnovers to keep this game out of reach.

(8) Alabama (-2.5) at (14) Missouri: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

Missouri played a good game, but the Alabama defense held the Missouri run game in check. Ty Simpson still flourished despite minimal contributions from Ryan Williams.

Pittsburgh at (25) Florida State (-10.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

18-year-old freshman Mason Heintschel went into Tallahassee and handed Florida State its eighth consecutive ACC loss. Do you still think this team can leave the conference? Pitt converted three fourth downs on the clock-bleeding drive to seal this.

UCLA at Michigan State (-7.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

In any properly run universe, UCLA would have already offered Tim Skipper the job. Not only is UCLA playing well, but they should make a bowl game and have an outside shot at making the College Football Playoff. This was regarded as the worst UCLA team in history before Skipper took over.

Jerry Neuheisel has done a great job with this offense, but Skipper is making the right calls at the top. He's the one who installed Neuheisel as the playcaller.

Stanford at SMU (-18.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

Stanford was able to move the ball in this game, but it didn't translate to points.

Central Florida at Cincinnati (-10.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

Cam Fancher likely should have been starting for Central Florida over Tayven Jackson. The UCF defense did a good job on Cincinnati, but this never really felt like a close game. If only UCF had missed the two-point conversion in the fourth quarter. That would have hit the cover.

Houston (-14.5) at Oklahoma State: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

You can't say the Pokes don't have a fun fanbase. Let's hope this turns into a new tradition.

Louisiana at James Madison (-17.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

Don't blame Alonza Barnett III. He's still a well-oiled machine.

Charlotte at Army (-18.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

That garbage touchdown by Charlotte with eight seconds left, their only score of the game, blew this. This is one of the worst ways to lose.

Miami (OH) (-11.5) at Akron: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

I should have known better.

Toledo (-10.5) at Bowling Green: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

Every MAC team already has three losses. It's a crazy year in the Midwest.

Washington State at (4) Mississippi (-31.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

Mississippi has close wins against Arkansas, Kentucky, and now a below-average Washington State team. Are they the next paper tiger to be shredded?

Northern Illinois (-2.5) at Eastern Michigan: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

This was an ugly win, but dammit, I still love that field!

Massachusetts at Kent State (-2.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

What does it say for UMass when they lose to a bottom-five FBS team by 36 points? We have seen several programs make the jump in recent years with a good measure of success. Not UMass. They have 20 wins combined in the last 10 years.

(7) Indiana at (3) Oregon (-7.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

This is probably the biggest win in Indiana football history, so we'll allow it. Just kidding. I NEVER have a problem with rushing the field as long as fans are respectful to the losing team. The Virginia fan who flipped off Thomas Castellanos...he can have a ticket. The guy is feeling bad enough. Celebrate your team's win and leave him alone.

This is a new era of Indiana football, and I really hope that Curt Cignetti doesn't leave. College football needs this. Yeah, it's cool when Alabama, Florida State, etc., are good. It's better when new dynasties are born.

I felt the same way about Boise, even though their springboard was taking out Oklahoma. I feel the same way about Clemson, even though sometimes Dabo is so cringeworthy and annoying. Indiana needs this, but so does college football as a whole.

(6) Oklahoma (-1.5) vs. Texas at Dallas: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

This one hurts. I can handle losing to Texas if we play a decent game and they are just better. Texas was better at every single position on the field on Saturday. If we had played as we did in the first half in the second half and still lost, fine. I accept that. What I don't accept is the complete lack of effort in the second half.

Texas wanted this game more, and it showed. The defense looked elite. The offensive line for Texas looked better than I've seen all year. It's tough to admit, but there are no excuses. Texas was the better team, and that defense deserves a lot of credit.

Thankfully, the officiating on the punt return wasn't around for the rest of the game. Those were the only really bad calls (or non-calls) that I saw.

Virginia Tech at (13) Georgia Tech (-14.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

That stupid two-point conversion after the first touchdown ended up deciding the spread... Even if Virginia Tech had just kicked the extra point in the fourth quarter. Brutal...

North Carolina State at (16) Notre Dame (-23.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

The Pack did a good job of limiting the Irish in the first half. They got run over in the second half.

(22) Iowa State (-2.5) at Colorado: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

I try not to get after officials unless it's really bad, like in the Georgia-Auburn game, but this was ridiculous. Throwing the flag, then picking it up because Colorado intercepted it? I understand Colorado fans are a lot, but come on! This was horrible and completely changed the course of the game.

It's one thing not to throw the flag at all, but to throw it and then pick it up? That's rough. That said, Iowa State likely still loses the game. The Colorado defense did very well against Rocco Becht. They had no answer for Abu Sama III.

Northwestern at Penn State (-21.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

I had a feeling this would happen, so I did lay a small bet on the Northwestern money line. I don't know if the pressure became too much for James Franklin, but the writing was on the wall. I never thought that they would pay him nearly $50 million to go away, but information that came out on Monday reveals that the buyout is manageable for Penn State.

There were many, myself included, who believed in this version of Penn State. Instead, Drew Allar not only returned to college when he would have been a first-round pick, but he also didn't get a chance at redemption in 2025.

I feel for Penn State, and I also wish them luck. Many programs have taken a wrong turn, firing a moderately successful coach and making a wrong hire in his place. It has set many programs back decades.

It's not like it used to be. Whatever coach Penn State comes up with, his players will be able to follow him to Penn State at will without sitting out a season.

I feel particularly bad for Allar because he's going to miss out on millions by coming back for a 3-3 swan song.

Nebraska (-6.5) at Maryland: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

Do moral victories still count for Maryland? They have lost the last two games at home by a combined seven points. Nebraska wins yet another one-score game. Calling Michigan a one-score game is a bit disingenuous. In true one-score games, Nebraska hasn't lost one in nearly a year.

That was unthinkable under Scott Frost. Not only was the team accustomed to it, but they also accepted and expected it. That culture is now gone. Even if Matt Rhule leaves for home, the culture will largely stick around.

Wake Forest (-2.5) at Oregon State: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

Trent Bray getting fired was probably deserved, but it's hard to blame him. The football team was consistently good in the Pac-12 until some bigwigs at rich universities carved up the conference in a back room and left the Beavers out in the cold.

What was done to Washington State and Oregon State is inexcusable. I do understand why Oregon State needed to go a different way heading into the new Pac-12. Bray was fired, but it's not really his fault. The Pac-12 failed him.

TCU (-1.5) at Kansas State: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Kansas State is finally playing like the team most of us thought they were coming into the season. Better late than never, I guess. The bad news is that the loss in Farmageddon in Ireland is still a conference loss.

Air Force at UNLV (-6.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

It was a great day for Anthony Colandrea. If UNLV had a defense, the Rebels would be an interesting dark-horse College Football Playoff pick.

Appalachian State (-2.5) at Georgia State: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

App State getting throttled by Boise caused me to leave this game alone. I should have trusted my instincts.

Old Dominion (-14.5) at Marshall: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

It was Carlos Del Rio-Wilson who stole the show, not Colton Joseph. Can you imagine where Marshall would be if Del Rio-Wilson had started all season? Marshall is likely 5-1 with a closer loss to Georgia.

Ball State at Western Michigan (-8.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

How in the Wide Wide World of Sports did Ball State beat Ohio?

Navy (-10.5) at Temple: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

I want to see Navy play UNLV. The last team with the ball wins!

Arkansas at (13) Tennessee (-12.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

The Vols had this covered going into the fourth quarter. Once again, Tennessee has problems closing. Slowing the offense obviously does not work. You have to go with what got you there. This is going to bite them very soon.

UAB at Florida Atlantic (-4.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

Honestly, I would like to know what UAB was expecting with that roster. Was this really all Trent Dilfer's fault?

Florida at (5) Texas A&M (-7.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

James Franklin was the domino that no one thought would fall due to the huge buyout. Will Penn State's courage enable Florida to get rid of Billy Napier?

It is worth noting that the Gators had the toughest schedule in 2024 and the second-toughest schedule this year. I would assume the Gator brass expected the team to be competitive in those games. This is not what they had in mind.

Iowa (-3.5) at Wisconsin: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

The worst part about this is that Iowa hit the over all by itself. It has been a long time since Wisconsin looked this bad. Just in case you wanted to know...

Collection plates were circulating among all the churches in Madison on Sunday morning. The fans have had enough.

San Jose State (-2.5) at Wyoming: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

That's what I get for believing again. I'm shocked that Wyoming scored 35 points in a game. I thought they may not score that in the entire month of October...

Louisiana-Monroe (-2.5) at Coastal Carolina: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

Coastal switching to Samari Collier may not be a long-term solution either. What was curious was that Coastal didn't go back to MJ Morris, but they used all three of the other quarterbacks on the roster.

Kansas at (9) Texas Tech (-14.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Texas Tech is maybe the most complete team I've seen all year. They are right up there with Indiana. The problem is that the schedule isn't good. Tech still plays the three worst teams in the Big 12 this year.

(10) Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

I have no dog in this fight, but I'm going to offer an unpopular opinion: that was a fumble. The still photo doesn't tell the whole story. In fact, it lends credence to the fumble call. Where the officials screwed up was in calling the play dead. This should have been a Georgia touchdown.

Unfortunately, Auburn has officials like these in its games. However, the two in the booth have added kerosene to the fire...and continue to do so! The completely legal Sategna play against Oklahoma was mentioned and deemed illegal again, after being disproven, by the two in the booth.

The only people Sategna was hidden from were the Auburn defense, because they were too busy flapping gums with Deion Burks to realize that Sategna was split out wide. Sategna checked with the official to make sure he was on the line. I think that the official knows the rules better than the commentators.

If Auburn wants to lay blame for this loss, try the 15 yards of offense in the entire second half. I hate bad officiating as much as the rest of you, but Georgia dominated after halftime.

(15) Michigan at USC (-2.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

The injury to Justice Haynes didn't affect this game. Jordan Marshall's stats were nearly identical. It was Michigan's defense getting gouged by a walk-on freshman. Behold the reign of King Miller I in Los Angeles.

Purdue at Minnesota (-7.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3

Forget the cover, Minnesota probably should have lost this game outright...to Purdue...AT HOME.

Clemson (-13.5) at Boston College: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

Easy money. This Clemson offense is a force against bad defenses. There are plenty more to come.

Rice at UTSA (-9.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

I should have bet more on this. UTSA is 21-0 at the Alamodome in conference play under Jeff Traylor. This is the UTSA offense that I know and love!

South Carolina at (11) LSU (-9.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

There's a reason I only put one point on this. I thought it might be a 10-point game.

(18) BYU (-1.5) at Arizona: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2

It doesn't get any more entertaining than this. The spread was about right. It took two overtimes to settle this one. Once again, Bear comes out on top.

Troy at Texas State (-7.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

The nighttime was the right time for our Saturday. It was another overtime thriller in San Marcos with Troy coming out on top in a wild one.

New Mexico at Boise State (-16.5): MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

I thought this might be a little high. It was. Boise won by 16 instead of 17, but it took 21 fourth-quarter points for the Broncos to pull away.

(21) Arizona State at Utah (-7.5): HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4

I should have maxed this out. I thought that the Sun Devils would still put up a little bit of a fight without Sam Leavitt. I was wrong.

San Diego State (-7.5) at Nevada: HIT!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5

The San Diego State Pac-12 title and College Football Playoff berth will hit like crack in 2026.

Utah State (-1.5) at Hawaii: MISS!

Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1

Micah Alejado is a bad man. This was the best the Hawaii offense has looked all season, and all of the receivers aren't even healthy yet. Look out!

 

College Football Betting Season Results

I needed to dig myself out of the Week 4 hole.  Another solid week went a long way towards my goal. I went 31-25 this week to put me at 170-177 on the 2025 season. I should have gained some points back as well. Let's check!

The weekly totals follow the bet. Season totals are in parentheses.

1. 5-3 (24-18) = 6
2. 10-7 (57-69) = -24
3. 9-9 (60-51) = 27
4. 3-5 (22-30) = -32
5. 4-1 (12-9) = 15

I finally had a good week with the max bets. Only Chokelahoma failed me. I made 15 points this week, but I am still eight points down on the season. It's better than what it was. If you take out the horrible Week 4, I am up 46 points on the season.

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