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Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft Analysis - Rounds 16-20

In this space, we will close out our ongoing analysis of RotoBaller's Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft by recapping the final rounds, 16-20.

We recently gathered 12 dynasty league experts and RotoBaller writers to conduct a week-long email draft in order to evaluate early ADP values and give readers a sense of what to expect this fall.

If you haven't done so yet, start with our analysis of the first round here. We're reviewing each round in order to give you the best advice on how to approach your early drafts and determine when to target players.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Way Too Early Mock Dynasty Draft Analysis

Note: this mock draft was completed on March 11 via MFL10's email draft system.

Round 16

The 16th round presented an interesting mix of veteran and rookie running backs, with Hood and McNichols going ahead of established backs like Stewart and Gore. The best value of them all may turn out to be Rex Burkhead, who looks to claim LeGarrette Blount's role as goal-line back in New England. Torrey Smith and Cordarrelle Patterson had terrible production in 2016, but a change of scenery make both tremendous sleeper candidates.

 

Round 17

The first pick of round 17, Mitch Trubisky, could turn out to be one of the top picks in the upcoming NFL Draft. One would guess that his fantasy stock will rise once he has a team to call home, especially if there is a clear path to early playing time. A pair of Clemson Tigers, including Heisman winner Deshaun Watson, are finally taken late in the round. There is serious bounce back potential with current Jaguar, Blake Bortles, and former Jag, Julius Thomas. Pierre Garcon stands out as one of the best picks in this section of the draft, despite what would appear to be a serious downgrade in team situation.

 

Round 18

Let the tight end run commence! Rookies Hodges and Butt were followed by another popular sleeper, Jack Doyle, and later Vance McDonald. I have totally opposing opinions on the quarterbacks selected in this round. Garoppolo is a smart choice as a breakout candidate, while A.J. McCarron figures to have limited upside, even if he somehow manages to find a starting job.

 

Round 19

A couple of reclamation projects at receiver, Michael Floyd and Dorial Green-Beckham, are lottery tickets in the second-to-last round of this draft. DeShone Kizer was once considered a possible first-round prospect, but a poor combine showing has made him less appealing and available at the tail end of fantasy drafts. The order kickers are drafted is usually meaningless, but it was interesting to see Roberto Aguayo taken ahead of Mr. Reliable, Stephen Gostkowski.

 

Round 20

It's hard to imagine a Manning being labeled Mr. Irrelevant, but that's how this draft played out with Eli as the 240th overall pick. Chris Ivory and Chris Thompson look to be throwaway picks in the final round, as both are likely to be replaced in their respective offenses next season. Pat Mahomes is the last rookie selected at #230 overall - a move that could be valuable depending on his landing spot.

 

Best Picks

Frank Gore (RB, IND) 16.10, 190 overall

33 year-old running backs aren't a hot commodity in any fantasy draft, but this is an exception. Even taking into account the dynasty format, the 16th round is pretty late for Frank Gore after he ran for 1,025 yards and scored eight total touchdowns last season. There is still no threat to his starting job, so he could easily be a low-end RB2 once again. If the Colts finally draft a replacement, Gore still makes for an adequate fantasy backup at this point in the draft.

Pierre Garcon (WR, SF) 17.07, 199 overall

On the surface, moving to a 2-14 team in San Francisco with Brian Hoyer at QB would seem to be a bad career move. However, Garcon currently looks to be the top receiver in a Kyle Shanahan offense and we know how that often turns out. Don't forget that during Shanahan's last season as OC in Washington, Garcon led the team with a league-leading 113 receptions for 1,346 yards. If the Niners manage to land Kirk Cousins in a much-rumored trade... watch out for Garcon to rocket up to high-end WR2 status.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB, NE) 18.05, 209 overall

Sure, he only has two NFL starts under his belt and is stuck behind one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time, but that could all change very quickly. The Bears' signing of Mike Glennon seems to have eliminated them from the Hunt for Jimmy G, but there is a good chance some team (hopefully not the Browns) will make a deal to secure him as their starter. This was the perfect place to take a chance on someone like Garoppolo and could prove to be a savvy move.

Biggest Reaches

Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, PHI) 19.05, 221 overall

It's hard to call any 19th round selection a reach, but DGB doesn't even warrant drafting any more. Last season was his chance to show that he had the talent to be a starter, but he flopped instead. He managed to collect less yards (392) on more targets (36) than in his rookie season with Tennessee. The additions of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith make him an afterthought in Philadelphia.

A.J. McCarron (QB, CIN) 18.08, 212 overall

There is the possibility that McCarron gets traded to a team desperate for a starter. I just don't see it happening. At best, he may get to engage in open competition on a team like the Browns or Jets, but he would then have to win that competition. In fact, even if he were guaranteed to start all 16 games next season, it would still be hard for me to drum up much interest here. He was adequate filling in for Andy Dalton in 2015, completing 66.4% of his passes with a 6/2 TD/INT rate, but any team willing to throw him out there certainly won't have a receiver the caliber of A.J. Green. Hard pass.

Conclusion

The last five rounds of our dynasty mock saw nine QB, 15 RB, 15 WR, 10 TE, five kickers and six defenses selected. including 12 rookies.

Mock drafts are always an interesting exercise in gauging how fellow fantasy owners value players. Our next exercise will be a rookie-only mock to be held shortly after the NFL draft. For those who compete in devy leagues or want to know how this year's rookie crop is being valued, you'll want to follow our continuing analysis closely.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
New York Giants

Giants, GM Joe Schoen Agree on a Multi-Year Extension
Andrew Thomas

Giants Managing Multiple Injuries for Andrew Thomas
Cam Ward

Loses 10 Pounds in the Offseason
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Tucker Kraft

a Top Trade Target in Dynasty Leagues?
Cedric Tillman

Falling Out of Favor in Cleveland
Emmett Johnson

the Handcuff to Roster in Kansas City?
Devaughn Vele

Could Dynasty Managers Sell High on Devaughn Vele Early in the Season?
Brenen Thompson

a Perfect Fit for Chargers, Rising in Dynasty Leagues?
Jonathan Taylor

Is Jonathan Taylor Still a High-End Dynasty Option?
Malik Nabers

' Recovery Timeline Still Unclear
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Comfortably Into His Dynasty Prime
Saquon Barkley

Still a Capable League-Winner at a Sunken Dynasty Cost
Jack Campbell

Signs Four-Year Extension with Lions
Matthew Stafford

Signs One-Year Extension with Rams
Evan Mobley

Fills the Box Score in Game 2 Loss
James Harden

Held to Two Assists Thursday
Donovan Mitchell

Leads Cavaliers in Scoring in Game 2 Defeat
Karl-Anthony Towns

Records Double-Double in Game 2 Win
Sebastian Aho

Picks Up an Assist in Series-Opening Loss
Mikal Bridges

Adds 19 Points as Knicks Grab 2-0 Lead
Jalen Brunson

Hands Out 14 Assists in Game 2 Win
Seth Jarvis

Needs 33 Seconds to Score in Game 1 Loss
Josh Hart

Erupts for Playoff Career-High 26 Points in Game 2
Jaccob Slavin

Struggles in Game 1 Against Canadiens
Jakub Dobes

Sharp in Game 1 Victory
Cole Caufield

Bags Two Points in Impressive Road Win
Juraj Slafkovsky

Opens Conference Finals With Three-Point Performance
Nick Suzuki

Notches Three Assists in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Jrue Holiday

Wants to Stay in Portland
Ayo Dosunmu

Timberwolves Hope to Bring Back Ayo Dosunmu
Dylan Harper

Considered Questionable for Friday Night
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Game 3
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
Alex Tuch

Hopes to Remain in Buffalo
Sidney Crosby

Wants to Play for "as Many Years as Possible"
Troy Terry

Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
Arber Xhekaj

Scratched for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Finals
Jakub Dobes

Seeks More Success Against Hurricanes
Frederik Andersen

Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Devin Vassell

Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
Dylan Harper

Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
Tomas Hertl

Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
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Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
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Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
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Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
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Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
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UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
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Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
RANKINGS
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RANKINGS

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