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Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft Analysis - Rounds 16-20

In this space, we will close out our ongoing analysis of RotoBaller's Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft by recapping the final rounds, 16-20.

We recently gathered 12 dynasty league experts and RotoBaller writers to conduct a week-long email draft in order to evaluate early ADP values and give readers a sense of what to expect this fall.

If you haven't done so yet, start with our analysis of the first round here. We're reviewing each round in order to give you the best advice on how to approach your early drafts and determine when to target players.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Way Too Early Mock Dynasty Draft Analysis

Note: this mock draft was completed on March 11 via MFL10's email draft system.

Round 16

The 16th round presented an interesting mix of veteran and rookie running backs, with Hood and McNichols going ahead of established backs like Stewart and Gore. The best value of them all may turn out to be Rex Burkhead, who looks to claim LeGarrette Blount's role as goal-line back in New England. Torrey Smith and Cordarrelle Patterson had terrible production in 2016, but a change of scenery make both tremendous sleeper candidates.

 

Round 17

The first pick of round 17, Mitch Trubisky, could turn out to be one of the top picks in the upcoming NFL Draft. One would guess that his fantasy stock will rise once he has a team to call home, especially if there is a clear path to early playing time. A pair of Clemson Tigers, including Heisman winner Deshaun Watson, are finally taken late in the round. There is serious bounce back potential with current Jaguar, Blake Bortles, and former Jag, Julius Thomas. Pierre Garcon stands out as one of the best picks in this section of the draft, despite what would appear to be a serious downgrade in team situation.

 

Round 18

Let the tight end run commence! Rookies Hodges and Butt were followed by another popular sleeper, Jack Doyle, and later Vance McDonald. I have totally opposing opinions on the quarterbacks selected in this round. Garoppolo is a smart choice as a breakout candidate, while A.J. McCarron figures to have limited upside, even if he somehow manages to find a starting job.

 

Round 19

A couple of reclamation projects at receiver, Michael Floyd and Dorial Green-Beckham, are lottery tickets in the second-to-last round of this draft. DeShone Kizer was once considered a possible first-round prospect, but a poor combine showing has made him less appealing and available at the tail end of fantasy drafts. The order kickers are drafted is usually meaningless, but it was interesting to see Roberto Aguayo taken ahead of Mr. Reliable, Stephen Gostkowski.

 

Round 20

It's hard to imagine a Manning being labeled Mr. Irrelevant, but that's how this draft played out with Eli as the 240th overall pick. Chris Ivory and Chris Thompson look to be throwaway picks in the final round, as both are likely to be replaced in their respective offenses next season. Pat Mahomes is the last rookie selected at #230 overall - a move that could be valuable depending on his landing spot.

 

Best Picks

Frank Gore (RB, IND) 16.10, 190 overall

33 year-old running backs aren't a hot commodity in any fantasy draft, but this is an exception. Even taking into account the dynasty format, the 16th round is pretty late for Frank Gore after he ran for 1,025 yards and scored eight total touchdowns last season. There is still no threat to his starting job, so he could easily be a low-end RB2 once again. If the Colts finally draft a replacement, Gore still makes for an adequate fantasy backup at this point in the draft.

Pierre Garcon (WR, SF) 17.07, 199 overall

On the surface, moving to a 2-14 team in San Francisco with Brian Hoyer at QB would seem to be a bad career move. However, Garcon currently looks to be the top receiver in a Kyle Shanahan offense and we know how that often turns out. Don't forget that during Shanahan's last season as OC in Washington, Garcon led the team with a league-leading 113 receptions for 1,346 yards. If the Niners manage to land Kirk Cousins in a much-rumored trade... watch out for Garcon to rocket up to high-end WR2 status.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB, NE) 18.05, 209 overall

Sure, he only has two NFL starts under his belt and is stuck behind one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time, but that could all change very quickly. The Bears' signing of Mike Glennon seems to have eliminated them from the Hunt for Jimmy G, but there is a good chance some team (hopefully not the Browns) will make a deal to secure him as their starter. This was the perfect place to take a chance on someone like Garoppolo and could prove to be a savvy move.

Biggest Reaches

Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, PHI) 19.05, 221 overall

It's hard to call any 19th round selection a reach, but DGB doesn't even warrant drafting any more. Last season was his chance to show that he had the talent to be a starter, but he flopped instead. He managed to collect less yards (392) on more targets (36) than in his rookie season with Tennessee. The additions of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith make him an afterthought in Philadelphia.

A.J. McCarron (QB, CIN) 18.08, 212 overall

There is the possibility that McCarron gets traded to a team desperate for a starter. I just don't see it happening. At best, he may get to engage in open competition on a team like the Browns or Jets, but he would then have to win that competition. In fact, even if he were guaranteed to start all 16 games next season, it would still be hard for me to drum up much interest here. He was adequate filling in for Andy Dalton in 2015, completing 66.4% of his passes with a 6/2 TD/INT rate, but any team willing to throw him out there certainly won't have a receiver the caliber of A.J. Green. Hard pass.

Conclusion

The last five rounds of our dynasty mock saw nine QB, 15 RB, 15 WR, 10 TE, five kickers and six defenses selected. including 12 rookies.

Mock drafts are always an interesting exercise in gauging how fellow fantasy owners value players. Our next exercise will be a rookie-only mock to be held shortly after the NFL draft. For those who compete in devy leagues or want to know how this year's rookie crop is being valued, you'll want to follow our continuing analysis closely.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Kevin Coleman Jr.

in the Right Place for Opportunities
Josh Cameron

has Long-Term YAC Upside in Liam Coen's Offense
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Have No Plans to Sign Rashee Rice to Long-Term Extension
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
Cole Payton

Dynasty Managers Will Have to be Patient with Cole Payton
Taylen Green

Does Taylen Green's Speed Get Him on the Dynasty Radar?
Jack Endries

Is Jack Endries the Tight End of the Future in Cincinnati?
CJ Daniels

a Developmental Stash in Dynasty Leagues
Garrett Nussmeier

a Low-Risk Target with Upside in Dynasty Leagues?
Jam Miller

Has Sneaky Value if He Can Earn a Roster Spot
Justice Hill

a Dynasty Drop Candidate Wherever He's Still Rostered
J'Mari Taylor

Is J'Mari Taylor Worth a Taxi-Squad Spot in Deep Dynasty Leagues?
Greg Dulcich

Has a Lack of Competition Made Greg Dulcich a Dynasty Sleeper?
Carson Beck

a Worthy Investment in the Later Rounds of Rookie Drafts
Devon Toews

Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
Brett Howden

Nets 10th Postseason Goal
Mitchell Marner

Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Mark Stone

Returns With Multi-Point Effort
Valeri Nichushkin

Exits Early Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon

Hurt in Game 3 Loss
Isaiah Hartenstein

Provides Steady Production in Defeat
Chet Holmgren

Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
Stephon Castle

Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
De'Aaron Fox

Records Double-Double as Spurs Even Series
Victor Wembanyama

Sets Tone Early as Spurs Force a Pivotal Game 5
Isaac Guerendo

Could be a Drop Candidate in Dynasty Leagues in 2026
Jayden Higgins

' Dynasty Arrow is Pointing Up With Clear Path to WR2 Role in Houston
Jakobi Meyers

a Sell-High Candidate in Dynasty Formats?
Drake Maye

to Make a Big Leap in 2026 in Second Season With Josh McDaniels?
Jamal Murray

Earns First Career All-NBA Selection
Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Cason Wallace

Joins Starting Unit Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Doesn't "Feel Great" Entering Game 4
Jalen Williams

Won't Play Sunday
Christian Watson

Is Christian Watson on the Verge of a Legitimate Breakout?
Khalil Shakir

Dynasty Value in Decline
Travis Hunter

Still a Risky Buy, Even at his Sunken Dynasty Cost
Gunnar Helm

a Dynasty Sleeper with Room to Grow
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Evan Mobley

Tallies Series-High 24 Points on Saturday
Donovan Mitchell

Struggles at the Line Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Continues Playmaking Surge on Saturday
OG Anunoby

Delivers Clean Shooting Line Saturday
Mikal Bridges

Fills Box Score in Game 3 Win
Jalen Brunson

Pushes Knicks Closer to NBA Finals
Orlando Magic

Magic Interview Jeff Van Gundy for Head-Coaching Position
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
Mark Jankowski

Contributes Two Assists in Game 2 Victory
Eric Robinson

Scores in Second Consecutive Game
Nikolaj Ehlers

Tallies Two Goals as Hurricanes Bounce Back Saturday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Magic Reportedly Have Giannis Antetokounmpo on Their Radar
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Nazem Kadri

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Ross Colton

Nets Lone Avalanche Goal Friday Night
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Assist Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Focuses on Playmaking in Friday's Win
Jack Eichel

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing in Game 2 Win Friday
Ivan Barbashev

Amasses Three Points as Golden Knights Grab 2-0 Series Lead
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF