5 years agoInjuries prevent Rich Hill from being an elite fantasy pitcher, but the 39-year-old has posted a 21.1% K-BB% over the past five seasons while maintaining a desirable batted-ball profile. Hill relies on called strikes to rack up strikeouts, throwing in the zone about 50% of the time while keeping low z-swing (65%) and z-contact (81.9%) rates. Since Hill has kept a relatively constant pitch mix and approach over the past few years, he should be a safe bet to once again post a strikeout rate between 25% and 30% in 2020. Given Hill’s approach, it is somewhat concerning that he left the Dodgers for the Twins this offseason. The Dodgers have supplied Hill with strong pitch framers over the past few years, but Hill’s primary catcher next year figures to be Mitch Garver, whose pitch framing was mediocre last season (48.2% strike rate). If, however, the Twins opt to use Alex Avila as Hill’s primary catcher, then Hill should see a bump in his performance. Injuries will again affect Hill’s value in 2020 as he’s expected to be sidelined until June, but fantasy owners should never expect more than 100 innings out of Hill. It isn't as concerning that his missed innings comes at the beginning of the year. Overall, Hill should be expected to throw around 80-100 quality innings with an ERA below 4.00, a high strikeout rate, and a low walk rate. Daily fantasy players should invest in Hill when Avila is behind the plate, and he’s a solid full-season option at an ADP of 381.--Sam Chinitz