Chris Conley (WR, JAX) - Week 4 Waiver Wire Pickups

September 23, 2019

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver (WR) Chris Conley is a fantasy football waiver wire pickup to target as a free agent addition for Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season.

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues

OWNED IN: 20% of Leagues

ANALYSIS: After an average season in Kansas City last year, considering his playing time and opportunities, Chris Conley signed with Jacksonville this summer. In his two best seasons in 2016 and 2018, he finished averaging 6.0 PPR points per game, but he never was a big part of the Chiefs' attack. The expectations weren't much higher entering 2019 as he would have to battle with a receiving corps already featuring Dede Westbrook, D.J. Chark, Marqise Lee, and Keelan Cole. The only positive seemed to be the move to a lesser offense in Jacksonville that could potentially give him more chances. And it's working exactly that way for him.

The pecking order of the Jaguars receiver is not set in stone nor has a clear leader, but rather is a three-headed monster with Westbrook (20 targets), Chark (18) and Conley (15) being the most targeted wideouts. Of the three, Conley ranks second in yards with 200 on 12 completions, averaging 16.7 yards per catch and having a touchdown to his name already. With Westbrook struggling to start the season, a potential move to WR2 or even WR1 could be on the horizon for Conley.

Truth be told, though, Conley started like a rocket and has lowered his pace as the season has advanced. He posted 21.7 PPR points in Week 1 but followed those with 11.3 and 5.0 performances. You may think those marks make him droppable and not worthy of consideration, but he's been equally effective on fewer opportunities. His Yards per Target have yet to fall under 10.0 and this past week he racked up 30 yards on just two receptions. He also was a little banged up in the Week 3 game against the Titans, which limited his outcome.

All in all, Conley looks like an improved player over the one we saw in Kansas City. The underlying numbers tell a story in which Conley is--at a minimum--the No. 2/3 option of Jacksonville's offense. The fact that he has regressed a bit as the season has progressed and put up only 5 PPR in Week 3 makes him a good buy-low candidate for Week 4. He shouldn't be more than a flex in your lineup, but depending on how injury-related news around the league affects your roster, you may find useful having him on your bench ready to line him up against Denver at the very least.