X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Baseball Hitters to Buy and Sell for Week 12

By james_in_to on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

RotoBaller analyzes some buy / sell fantasy fantasy baseball hitters for week 12. These hitters are either undervalued or are at their peak and should be sold.

In this week's buy / sell, we look at some sleeper hitters who can very likely be bought cheaply right now, as well as some overvalued  hitters you should consider trading away. But first, there will be a little gloating over last week's buy candidate, who went off in a historic way...

 

Hopefully You Listened To Me....

Well, Lonnie Chisenhall certainly made a statement on Monday. A five for five night with three HR and nine RBI is about the best game I can remember for a hitter (pretty nice weekly numbers too). For those of you who took my advice last week and picked him up, enjoy a killer start to your fantasy week. I wish I could have picked him up myself, but in a 16-team league, a guy like Lonnie got picked up around May 5th. I bet a few personal bests were broken in the 40-yard dash to a computer after Chisenhall's monster night.

 

Hitters To Buy In Trades

Carlos Santana (C) - Indians

By SD Dirk on Flickr (Originally posted to Flickr as "Carlos Santana") [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

There is only one direction to go for Carlos Santana, and that is up. His abysmal .187 BABIP is 85 points below his career average and his .169 batting average is 76 points below what you would expect from Santana. The reason both are that low is because he is not making solid contact with the ball, evidenced by a 48.9 GB% compared to his 43.2% career average.

He has shown pristine plate discipline with a .98 BB/K ratio, which will keep him on base even though his .338 OBP is lower than what is expected of him based on his stats from previous seasons. His .148 ISO is down a little bit, but you couldn’t tell from that fact that he has hit seven HR already.

Expect Santana to return to form and put up another 20+ HR 70 RBI season.

 

Jayson Werth (OF) - Nationals

Despite Jayson Werth's mediocre stats this season, there are some positive signs that better days are ahead for him.  Despite his career average BABIP of .331, the last two seasons he has hit for .356 and .358.  It is entirely possible that Werth's .337 BABIP this year will continue to rise and bring his .293 AVG over the .300 mark.  It looks even better that he is hitting less ground balls and more fly balls compared to his career averages (36.6% vs. 38.3% and 42.9% vs. 40.6%, respectively).

Most importantly, his HR/FB rate is very low right now even though he's hitting the ball just as far as he did last year.  Expect his HR/FB rate to rise, along with his .120 ISO, which should rebound near his career average of .192, Werth will be a top fantasy baseball OF option for the rest of the year. Expect to see Werth's wRC+ rise above his current 122.

 

Curtis Granderson (OF) - Mets

Curtis Granderson has seven professional seasons with 136 at-bats or more. Of those seven seasons, Granderson hit under 20 HR in only one of them, and that season he hit 19. According to his declining ISO (currently sitting at .161), it would be close again this year. However, Granderson has eight homeruns already and looks to be well on track to top 20 again.

His plate discipline has improved to a decent .51 BB/K ratio and even with a 39.5% GB%, Granderson’s 107 wRC+ has proven he can still be productive in fantasy baseball.

 

Hitters To Sell In Trades

Alex Rios (OF) - Rangers

Alex Rios currently has a ridiculous .394 BABIP that compliments his .335 batting average. Both are extremely high compared to his career averages of .312 and .281, respectively. Rios has very little plate discipline this year, represented by a .38 career BB/K ratio.

Rios’ HR numbers are way down this year, too. This isn’t visible in his .157 ISO, but glaring in his diminished FB% of 32.0%, down from 34.9% last year. His GB% has also risen to 44.2% from a 42.8% average.

Rios could be facing a slump of Dan Uggla proportions but is as valuable as any fantasy baseball outfielder right now.

 

Angel Pagan (OF) - Giants

By james_in_to on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Angel Pagan is very similar to Alex Rios. His .354 BABIP and .321 batting average contrast his career averages of .320 and .284, respectively. His GB% is up to 44.8% compared to his 40.0 average and his FB% is down to 28.1% from 38.2%.

Unlike Rios, Pagan has a bigger concern of a declining Spd score. Pagan’s career average Spd score is 7.3 and this year he has a 5.9. That isn’t too surprising for a guy who is turning 33 in 22 days. Despite his 11 SB already on the season, I would be very surprised to see him surpass 25 this year.

Although he has declining speed and is overdue for a slump, Pagan can still help you with runs, runs batted in and batting average. Right now, he can be sold at a premium and should be traded for high value.

 

Chase Utley (2B) – Phillies

Unlike Rios and Pagan, Chase Utley isn’t treading water supported by a decent amount of SB. Very similar to both of them, however, Utley’s .351 BABIP and .314 BA are bloated compared to his career .308 BABIP and .288 BA. In his fifth season removed from the 30-20 season of 2009, Utley is only excelling in R and RBI these days. His batting average isn’t bad, but without any HR or SB, Utley has once again been over drafted (average 108 in ESPN leagues).

Surprisingly, Utley’s BB/K ratio has lowered to below .50. Also, his HR/FB ratio has shrunk to a disappointing 5.6% this year. Don’t expect Utley to put up any outstanding numbers in the R or RBI departments for the diminished Phillies and without any HR or SB to compliment what he is already doing well, Utley will put up disappointing numbers to owners.

If you currently own any of the three guys being sold this week, don’t panic. All three are experienced players that can hold their own. However, all three are looking at some rough roads ahead and if you want to get the jump on your league, you’ll get them at premiums now.

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF