MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (4/13/2026)

April 13, 2026

Jamie's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/13/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Aaron Judge, Jose Ramirez, Brandon Nimmo, and Willson Contreras.

It's Monday, which is also the day to set your seasonal lineups! Hopefully, your year-long leagues are going swimmingly to start, even though some first-round picks are not remotely living up to their hype to begin the year. I'm here today to bring you four HR prop bets I like, and I have some extra money to burn after almost taking down an NBA GPP last night (slight self-pat on the back for navigating the last day's chaos). If you were with us in the RotoBaller Discord, you hopefully profited too!

Tonight begins new MLB matchups around the league, and there are some things to note. There's a warm front moving across the country, which is going to bring up some high temps starting tomorrow. This should positively affect the batters to a significant degree. In addition, we're back to Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, which is a launching pad for hitters, and the Yankees' offense looks to end their five-game skid after starting the year 7-1.

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Monday, April 13, 2026. Always make sure to shop around and find the best odds! If you are interested, check out the RotoBaller Discord and see what the rest of the staff is playing every day

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/13/2026)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Monday, April 13.

Aaron Judge OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+225 DraftKings)

The lowest-hanging fruit isn't so low-hanging right now. Judge, like most of his Yankee teammates, has struggled out of the gate (although Judge hit a big homer yesterday as the Yankees attempted a ninth-inning comeback). Judge's HR prop odds are something to notice today, as he usually sits somewhere in the +150 to +175 range when he's hitting.

Despite Judge's slow start, he's still barreling the ball at an elite rate (22.2%), and it's much higher against lefties (37.5%). This is consistent with last year's stats as well, where Judge nuked lefties for a 32.6% barrel rate, 1.279 OPS, and a .447 ISO. The wind is blowing straight out to left-center in Yankee Stadium right now, and the forecasted temperature looks like it will be a balmy 73 degrees at gametime.

AARON JUDGE TWO-RUN HOMER IN HIS FIRST AT BAT AT THE STADIUM IN 2026! pic.twitter.com/XBVxvedHXW

— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) April 3, 2026

Yusei Kikuchi has been a thorn in the Yankees' side in recent years, but he too has scuffled to begin the season with a 6.75 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Kikuchi has limited the power thus far this season, but that's always plagued him in the past. Over the past three seasons, Kikuchi has given up 1.37 HR/9 to RHB, so I'm liking Judge to go deep tonight and get his team back on track.

Brandon Nimmo OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+500 Bet365)

It's not a surprise that bettors and DFS players will be looking to this game to stack the Rangers, as they travel to the ultimate hitters' paradise of Sutter Health Park, which is the minor-league stadium the A's are calling home right now. If that weren't enough, it's expected to be warm with not much wind.

Luis Severino will take the hill for the Athletics, and last year he was one of the splits-iest pitchers that ever splitsed concerning home starts versus road. Severino had a 6.01 ERA at home vs. a 3.02 road ERA, and his .345 wOBA allowed was almost 80 points higher than his road mark. Severino also only struck out 16.8% of lefties he faced, which could spell trouble with what the Texas Rangers put at the top of their lineup.

All this talk seems like it should point immediately to Corey Seager (and I like him, too), but I prefer Nimmo at much better odds. Nimmo is out-hitting Seager right now, and batting first will give him a higher likelihood of grabbing an extra at-bat on the road.

Nimmo is making solid contact against righties to start the season in Texas (only 19% K rate against them) while Corey Seager sits at a 35% mark. His .619 SLG against RHP is elite, and his 1.016 currently leads the Rangers' hitters. Nimmo has 10 hits and two homers over his last four games. I think a double-dip of him AND Seager is a way to play this one, and betting Nimmo to hit a leadoff homer is even saucier.

Jose Ramirez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+500 TheScore)

Congrats to Ramirez, who just became the first Guardian ever to homer against all 29 other Major League ballclubs. And congrats to you, if you happened to bet him to do so on that day! I didn't, but I DID still reap the benefit as he was my cash 3B in DFS, and I will certainly be placing a bet on him to go yard today.

Ramirez is an all-world hitter in general, but he's made a career of smashing lefty pitchers. Over the past two seasons. Ramirez has posted a .422 wOBA and .298 ISO against LHP, and he had a 25% barrel rate with only a 4.8% K% against them last season. It's a perfect recipe for him to go deep, and the weather in St. Louis is going to help.

Matthew Liberatore still comes with a prospect pedigree, but his struggles to miss bats are not going to do him any favors here. Liberatore is at a paltry 14.3% K rate to start the season (11.3% against RHB), and he's also allowing 2.3 HR/9 to kick off this young season.

José Ramírez has hit a home run against every opposing team in Major League Baseball 👏 pic.twitter.com/6d59DNO4eS

— js9innings (@js9inningsmedia) April 11, 2026

Willson Contreras OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+530 DraftKings)

Willson Contreras has been quite the soap opera this week, but it certainly hasn't affected his bat as he has seven hits and seven RBIs over his past four games. The Red Sox are taking on the Twins in Minnesota, and even that city will be positively affected by the warm front moving across the country.

Bailey Ober is a reverse-split pitcher that can be attacked despite his still having a higher K rate against same-handed hitters. For his career, Ober has allowed a 48.7% FB rate and 1.65 HR/9 to RHB, so the likelihood of the ball leaving the park at least once is high.

I'm willing to put my money on Contreras, who is seeing the ball incredibly well right now, and who has barreled RHP for an 18.5% rate along with a .512 SLG. The Red Sox have an IRT pushing five runs despite struggling offensively, and it's also largely because the Twins traded away almost their entire bullpen at the deadline last season. Boston (and Contreras) should have nine innings of upside to put up some crooked numbers here.

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