Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Starting Pitcher Deep Sleepers for AL-Only Leagues

Finding deep sleepers is one of the most fun and important things to do when it comes to draft prep. As you come towards the end of a draft you want to take players who have upside or potential to provide a lot of draft day value.

That is what a draft is all about, finding the value that other owners don’t see and turning that into an advantage for yourself. Below are a couple of starting pitcher targets for AL-only or deep mixed leagues 2020.

Note: all ADP is set in the date range of 3/1/20-4/15/20.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!


Spencer Turnbull, Detroit Tigers (ADP 372)

Looking from the outside in, Spencer Turnbull seemed to have a below-average 2019. He finished with a 3-17 record with a 4.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Underlying factors make him more appealing, he had a 2.47 K/BB, .258 expected batting average against, and a 3.99 FIP. Turnbull becomes even more interesting because of his lengthy arsenal and the movement of his pitches.

Four-Seam Fastball

Turnbull’s four-seam was his go-to pitch when he was in need of a strike. While he utilized it very well and it even caused above-average swinging strikes he does need to work on his command. He does tend to leave this pitch in the heart of the zone and he really needs to paint the edges more. If Turnbull could do that with his breaking stuff we could see him reach a whole other level.


Turnbull actually had a great slider last year as it provided a 35.9 O-Swing%, 15.3 SwStr%, and .221 batting average against (BAA). He also was learning to utilize it better as left-handed hitters were this pitches weakness. He lowered the usage and started throwing it more versus right-handed hitters, which show he knows how to make adjustments.


Turnbull’s sinker can become one of the better pitches in the league. It is a power sinker that he throws as fast as 97.9 MPH and has really great vertical and horizontal movement. The sinker comes with gruesome-looking stats though, as it produced a -11.1 pVAL, 175 wRC+, and .346 BAA. That BAA should drop as it came with a .386 BABIP but clearly Turnbull needs to learn to utilize the pitch better and when he should be throwing it. On the plus side, his sinker did provide a lot of weak contact with a 65.6 GB% and 5.4 Barrel%. This pitch could be and should be much better in 2020.


Turnbull’s curveball presents great horizontal movement with a -8.3 drop on the pitch. It was also very unlucky last year as its underlying stats in terms of xBA, xSLG, and xwOBAcon all show positive regression. He possesses solid command and creates a lot of weak contact, making his curveball a likely bright spot for the upcoming season.

With some bad luck last year and a rather impressive arsenal, Spencer Turnbull seems poised to surprise a lot of people in 2020. His ADP of 372 makes him essentially free and a great spot to take some risk for the back end of your rotation.


Trent Thornton, Toronto Blue Jays (ADP 573)

Trent Thornton had a very lackluster 2019 as he produced a 4.84 ERA, 4.59 FIP, 13.0 K-BB%, and 1.41 WHIP. None of those are great numbers, in fact, all of them are below average. So why the love?

Trent Thornton certainly has strikeout upside. For instance, look at his last start of the year against the Tampa Bay Rays. He finished with a stat line of five innings pitched with eight strikeouts. In fact, he had eight starts where he had seven strikeouts or more. We are going to look at Thornton a little differently than Turnbull because he seems to be working on some new pitches.

In 2019, Thornton mainly threw a four-seam, cutter, slider, curveball, and splitter. The four-seam fastball isn’t bad as it is his go-to strike pitch. The cutter is pretty filthy in terms of swing and miss stuff but it does give off some pretty hard contact. Hitters had trouble with his slider and it should improve in 2020. The curveball has decent movement but not true swing and miss stuff. The splitter was rather lethal as it provided a .122 batting average against with a 1 wRC+ against.

The reason for the short summary of his pitches is because Thornton looks to be overhauling his arsenal. If you are a subscriber to the Athletic, make sure to read this piece written by Eno Sarris. In the article, Eno goes through all of the Blue Jays pitchers and his conversations with them. Thornton was definitely intriguing. Notably, Thornton’s curveball was much better in the last month of 2019, the reason being that he went to two different curveball grips. At times the RPMs on his curveball were at the top of the league.

Another pitch Eno talks about is Trent Thornton’s new one-seam fastball. This pitch has an insane movement where it has tremendous vertical and horizontal movement, as you can see by the video in the article.

To recap, with new grips on his curveball that showed great results and a new fastball we can see Thornton break out in 2020. Thornton was close in 2019 in terms of stuff and really shined at times but adjustments had to be made. It certainly looks like he is heading in the right direction.


When you are finding those deep sleepers you need to look for intricacies within players. For instance, with Turnbull, it is the deep arsenal with room to improve and with Thornton, it’s him working on new pitches for his arsenal. Small things like these could mean everything when it comes to a potential breakout. Thank you for reading and please let us know if you have any questions!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


DeeJay Dallas9 mins ago

Limps To The Locker Room
Alex Iafallo10 mins ago

Nearing Return
Kenneth Walker III17 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Martin Fehervary20 mins ago

Won't Be Ready To Play Monday
Jaylen Waddle25 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Alex Pietrangelo30 mins ago

Still Out Monday
Hayden Hurst33 mins ago

Done For Rest Of Week 13
Jack Eichel41 mins ago

A Doubt For Monday
Jimmy Garoppolo42 mins ago

Won't Return On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo49 mins ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Jordan Kyrou50 mins ago

Battling An Illness
Treylon Burks3 hours ago

Ruled Out Sunday
Trae Young3 hours ago

Practices On Sunday
James Harden3 hours ago

On Pace To Play Monday
Brandon Bolden3 hours ago

Josh Jacobs, Brandon Bolden Officially Active In Week 13
Alex Caruso3 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Mikal Bridges3 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Joe Mixon3 hours ago

Not Cleared In Time For Week 13
NFL3 hours ago

Ja’Marr Chase Officially Active Sunday
Doug McDermott3 hours ago

Josh Richardson Out On Sunday
Courtland Sutton3 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Lamar Jackson3 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out Sunday
Deebo Samuel3 hours ago

Trent Williams Officially Active Sunday
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Returns Versus Bears
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Treylon Burks4 hours ago

Evaluated After Scary Hit
Lamar Jackson4 hours ago

Questionable To Return Sunday
Josh Jacobs6 hours ago

Will Play In Week 13
Zay Jones6 hours ago

Travis Etienne Jr., Zay Jones Active In Week 13
Darius Slayton6 hours ago

Active For Week 13
Michael Carter6 hours ago

Officially Out Against Vikings
Bryan Reynolds7 hours ago

Pirates Offered Bryan Reynolds Franchise-Record Deal
Dansby Swanson7 hours ago

Cubs, Phillies Showing Interest In Dansby Swanson
Mitchell Marner9 hours ago

Sets New Record With 19-Game Point Streak
Kasperi Kapanen9 hours ago

Hits His Second Career Hat Trick
Connor McDavid9 hours ago

Tallies Two Goals, Two Assists Saturday
Radko Gudas9 hours ago

Lasts For Just Two Minutes Saturday
Darcy Kuemper9 hours ago

Forced Off Early
Petr Mrazek9 hours ago

Suffers Another Groin Injury
Artturi Lehkonen9 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Anfernee Simons9 hours ago

Explodes For Career-High 45 Points
Andrew Wiggins10 hours ago

Scores Season-High 36 Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander10 hours ago

Returns With A 33-Point Effort
Pascal Siakam10 hours ago

Gets A Double-Double With Assists
Terry Rozier10 hours ago

Delivers 26 Points Saturday
Bobby Portis10 hours ago

Leads Bucks To Victory Saturday
Tim Hardaway10 hours ago

Jr. Hits Knicks With Eight Treys
Juancho Hernangomez10 hours ago

Exits With An Ankle Sprain
Jeremy Sochan17 hours ago

Out Versus The Suns On Sunday
Jakob Poeltl17 hours ago

Remains Out Versus Phoenix
Torrey Craig17 hours ago

Sidelined For Meeting With The Spurs
Mikal Bridges18 hours ago

Probable Against San Antonio
Chris Paul19 hours ago

Won't Be Back On Sunday
Herbert Jones19 hours ago

Sitting Again Versus The Nuggets
Brandon Ingram19 hours ago

Out Against Denver
Jeff Green19 hours ago

Questionable Against The Pelicans
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Will Play Saturday
Brayden Schenn1 day ago

Good To Go Saturday
Josh Manson1 day ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Anton Lundell1 day ago

Unavailable Saturday
Thatcher Demko1 day ago

Out For Six Weeks
Lawson Crouse1 day ago

Returns For Coyotes
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Out As A Healthy Scratch
Bryan Reynolds1 day ago

Requesting A Trade
Kyle Gibson1 day ago

Orioles Agree With Kyle Gibson
Eddy Alvarez1 day ago

Brewers Sign Eddy Alvarez
Brandon Nimmo1 day ago

Yankees Have Met With Brandon Nimmo
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets, Yankees Interested In Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Jameson Taillon1 day ago

Mets, Rangers In On Jameson Taillon
Noah Syndergaard1 day ago

Orioles Meet With Noah Syndergaard
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets Now Looking At Justin Verlander
Trea Turner1 day ago

Padres Have Met With Trea Turner Twice
Kevin Holland1 day ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory
Stephen Thompson1 day ago

Set To Headline Main Event
Bryan Barberena1 day ago

Will Highlight Co-Main-Event Matchup
Rafael Dos Anjos1 day ago

Rafael dos Anjos In Saturday's Co-Main Event
Johnny Gaudreau1 day ago

Has Another Multi-Point Performance
Patrik Laine1 day ago

Returns With A Two-Goal Effort
Matt Schnell2 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Hoping To Be A Tough Out
Matheus Nicolau2 days ago

Can Continue To Make Strides In The Division
Jacob deGrom2 days ago

Signs Five-Year Deal With Rangers
Jason Castro2 days ago

Announces His Retirement
Lewin Díaz2 days ago

Lewin Diaz Claimed By Orioles
Andrew Cave2 days ago

Phillies Claim Jake Cave Off Waivers From Orioles
Sergei Pavlovich2 days ago

Can Secure Fifth Straight Win Saturday
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Yankees In On Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Chris Martin2 days ago

Agrees With Red Sox
Jesse Winker2 days ago

Abraham Toro Heading To Brewers
Kolten Wong2 days ago

Mariners Acquire Kolten Wong From The Brewers
Tai Tuivasa2 days ago

Facing Off Against Dangerous Heavyweight
Jack Hermansson2 days ago

Looking For Victory Over Rising Star
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For Huge Test Saturday
Kyle Daukaus2 days ago

Looking For Big Finish Saturday
Zack Britton2 days ago

Should Be Full-Go For Spring Training
Salvador Perez2 days ago

White Sox Looking To Trade For Salvador Perez?
Eryk Anders2 days ago

Hoping To Prevent Losing Skid On Saturday