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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Divisional Round games scheduled on January 23rd 2022. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Rams @ Buccaneers: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Tom Brady more than 295.5 passing yards and Matthew Stafford more than 279.5 passing yards
Brady is going to be relied upon heavily in the passing game if the Bucs are going to win. The Rams' run defense has been stout as they have allowed an average of just 78 rushing yards per game to running backs, which ranked ninth-best in the league. They also have not allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 4, so the Bucs will certainly be looking to air it out. The Rams pass defense has been a bit more suspect as they have allowed an average of 261 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, which happens to rank ninth-worst in the league. In their last meeting back in Week 3, Brady threw 55 passes, completing 41 of them for 432 yards. I am not sure Brady gets quite that high in this one, but he could throw for 350 yards.
The Rams had plenty of success on the ground Monday night against the Cardinals, which kept Stafford to just 202 passing yards. That should not be the case this week. In 2021, the Bucs ranked first in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed to running backs, which should help them keep Cam Akers and Sony Michel in check. They did, however, allow quarterbacks to average 253 passing yards per game, which ranked 13th-worst in the league. These two teams also met back in Week 3 and Stafford threw for 343 passing yards. The Rams are also slight underdogs in this game, which could lead to some additional passing.
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Bills @ Chiefs: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Josh Allen over 41.5 rushing yards and Travis Kelce over 71.5 receiving yards
Josh Allen has gone over this total in four straight games, including a 66 rushing yard performance in last week's Wild Card win over the New England Patriots. A big part of his game is moving the ball on the ground as he has averaged over seven carries for nearly 45 rushing yards per game on the season. He has also rushed for over this total in four of his five playoff games in his career. In his last two meetings against the Chiefs, he has combined for 18 carries and 147 rushing yards while eclipsing this total in both of those games.
Travis Kelce has his number set a bit high against a defense that ranked fifth-best in terms of receiving yards allowed to the tight end position, but the Bills did not go up against a tough group of tight ends in 2021. When Kelce faced them in a blowout back in Week 5, he was targeted 10 times and hauled in six receptions for 57 yards. Other than that, Kyle Pitts and Rob Gronkowski are probably the two best tight ends they have faced and they combined for over 130 receiving yards in two of the previous six weeks. Kelce is going to be relied upon heavily in this game as the Bills cover wide receivers quite well also, ranking first in the league in terms of yards allowed. Kelce and Mahomes have played nine playoff games together and Kelce has eclipsed this total in six of them including each of their previous four games.
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