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Fight Night 95: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament.

And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship.

Anyway, Jason and I will be taking a look at the main card for Fight Night 95. We will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers. We will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records.

Justin's Record: 38-15

Jason's Record: 30-23

Without anymore waiting, here are our picks and analysis for the main card at Fight Night 95.

 

Godofredo Pepey vs Mike De La Torre

 

Justin’s Pick

Pepey is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC to watch. He’s extremely unpredictable, as he has already won fights with a flying knee and a flying triangle choke. He gets a matchup against Mike De La Torre, who loves to stand and throw. Pepey is coming off a tough lose against Darren Elkins, who is one of the best grinders in the UFC. That isn’t the type of fighter that De La Torre is, which will work in favor of Pepey. Ultimately, De La Torre and Pepey will throw for a little before Pepey ends the fight with a flash knockout.

Godofredo Pepey via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Godofredo “Pepey” Pepey is definitely one of the most electric fighters in the UFC, but electricity does not always win fights. Mike “El Cucuy” De La Torre will come in with a gameplan, but it is tough to gameplan around someone that uses such out-of-the-box techniques. Ultimately, Pepey has the slight advantage. It is rare, but the element of surprise will have an impact in this fight. I do not think this will be so cut-and-dry, like Justin, but Pepey will find a way to win, even if the first two or three flash knockouts do not work.

Godofredo Pepey via Submission, 2nd Round

 

Thiago Santos vs Eric Spicely

 

Justin’s Pick

Santos and Spicely are both coming off tough loses. Santos has only lost to top talent in his last few fights, and he was on a four-fight win streak before losing to Gegard Mousasi. Spicely suffered the first loss of his career, as he was submitted by Sam Alvey, who has found his groove recently. Spicely is an elite submission artist, while Santos is an elite striker. Santos has serious power in both his punches and kicks, and that could cause problems for Spicely. While I do believe Spicely has good potential in his career, he’s unlikely to be able to take Santos to the ground, which will result in the second loss of his career.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

This is simply a bad matchup for Eric “Zebrinha” Spicely. Thiago “de Lima Marreta” Santos is out of his league in terms of power and finishing ability. Spicely needs to get this fight to the ground, and that is not going to happen. He is not going to be able to stand with Santos, and this should result in a very exciting knockout. This is one of the easiest fights on the card to predict. Barring a major mistake on Santos part, he will start his winning streak this Saturday.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Francisco Trinaldo vs Paul Felder

 

Justin’s Pick

This is an interesting matchup. Trinaldo is coming into this fight with six consecutive wins, and he has looked outstanding recently. Felder has been able to get back on track recently after two tough losses to two solid opponents. If Felder can keep his distance and use his spinning attacks, he’ll have the advantage over Trinaldo. On the other hand, Trinaldo has to work his way close to Felder and wear him down in the clinch. Trinaldo has displayed the ability to wear opponents down with power punches, clinch work, and takedowns. This is the most likely scenario to play out, and Trinaldo will be able to outpoint Felder in this fight.

Francisco Trinaldo via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

If Francisco “Massaranduba” Trinaldo can get his hands on Paul “The Irish Dragon” Felder, he is going to win this fight. Unfortunately for Trinaldo, Felder knows this already. He is going to keep his distance, and the longer he keeps his distance the more likely it is that he hits Trinaldo with a very powerful knockout punch or kick. Felder defends takedowns rather well, and he is going to out strike Trinaldo on his feet. As long as he does not get put up against the cage, he should be able to work his way to a finish.

Paul Felder via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Roy Nelson vs Antonio Silva

 

Justin’s Pick

Both of these fighters are nearing the end of their careers, and they have been on losing skids recently. The only difference is that Nelson has proven that his chin can still hold up. He was hit with a few huge shots by Derrick Lewis, but that wasn’t enough to knock him out. Silva, on the other hand, has been knocked out in five of his last seven fights, and he has fought fighters with much less power than Nelson. While Nelson has been fighting extremely conservatively recently, his game plan will likely be to attack Silva’s glass jaw. This will be Silva’s last fight in the UFC after Nelson knocks him out.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva deserves quite a bit of respect for his impressive UFC career, but Justin is likely right. This could very well be his last fight. Roy “Big Country” Nelson has a ton of knockout power, and he rarely losses when fighting against another knockout fighter, especially a fighter with the chin of Silva. This should be a very entertaining main card fight, as these fighters are going to throw until one of them goes down. The more likely scenario is that Nelson remains standing at the end of the fight.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Renan Barao vs Phillipe Nover

 

Justin’s Pick 

This is Barao’s fight to lose. He has been skidding recently, but Nover is a giant step down in competition from fighters like T.J. Dillashaw and Jeremy Stephens. Barao has the takedown defense to keep this standing, and he has a huge edge in striking. He should have no problems picking Nover apart for fifteen minutes, as he works his way back into the win column. He’s one of the safer fighters on this card, as Nover doesn’t have the finishing capability to stop Barao, and he’s highly unlikely to be able to beat him on the judge’s scorecards.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick 

This should be an easy fight for Renan “The Baron” Barao. Phillipe “The Filipino Assassin” Nover simply does not have the finishing ability that is necessary to defeat someone like Barao. Barao will keep this fight standing, and he is going to out strike Nover on his way to a decision victory. He does have some finishing potential, but even if he does knockout Nover, that will not change the outcome of this fight. Barao is going to win, plain and simple.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

 

Cris Cyborg vs Lina Lansberg

Justin’s Pick 

Until someone actually defeats Cyborg, there just isn’t a real reason to pick against her. She has dominated everyone and anyone in her path, as she has won 16 consecutive fights. She has stopped six of her last seven opponents in the first round, as well. Lina Lansberg has been impressive in her career, but she has not fought anyone nearly as powerful as Cyborg. There’s a reason Cyborg has a -885 finish prop this week. She will be able to handle Lansberg with relative ease.

Cris Cyborg via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Justin is correct. Yes, Ronda Rousey was undefeated, much like Cyborg, and she was defeated by Holly Holm, but Holm had elite kickboxing talent. Lina Lansberg is not going to be able to stop Cyborg. She is going to finish her in the first round without a problem. This is the easiest fight on the card to predict. There will be a few people who claim that Lansberg defeats Cyborg only to say that they said it, if it were to happen, but the chances are so slim that it isn’t even worth it. This fight, at least according to Vegas, was over before it even started.

Cris Cyborg via KO, 1st Round

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Pat Freiermuth

Steelers Restructure Pat Freiermuth's Contract
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Jordan Mason

a Short-Term Dynasty Depth Piece
Dontayvion Wicks

Can Dontayvion Wicks Stand Out in Another Crowded Offense?
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty Value Back on the Rise
Juwan Johnson

an Overlooked Buy Candidate for Contending Dynasty Managers
Kimani Vidal

Easily Acquirable as a High-Value Insurance Back
Evan Mobley

Tallies Series-High 24 Points on Saturday
Donovan Mitchell

Struggles at the Line Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Continues Playmaking Surge on Saturday
OG Anunoby

Delivers Clean Shooting Line Saturday
Mikal Bridges

Fills Box Score in Game 3 Win
Jalen Brunson

Pushes Knicks Closer to NBA Finals
Orlando Magic

Magic Interview Jeff Van Gundy for Head-Coaching Position
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
Mark Jankowski

Contributes Two Assists in Game 2 Victory
Eric Robinson

Scores in Second Consecutive Game
Nikolaj Ehlers

Tallies Two Goals as Hurricanes Bounce Back Saturday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Magic Reportedly Have Giannis Antetokounmpo on Their Radar
Ajay Mitchell

Won't Play Sunday
Dylan Harper

Not on Injury Report for Game 4
De'Aaron Fox

Off the Injury Report Ahead of Game 4
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Sunday Night
Ja'Tavion Sanders

a Dynasty Dart Throw With Potential Untapped Upside
Geno Smith

a Low-Cost Dynasty Add Who Still Comes with Risk
C.J. Stroud

Still a Capable and Undervalued Dynasty QB2
Bhayshul Tuten

More Big Plays in 2026 Could Transform Bhayshul Tuten into a Dynasty Steal
Joe Mixon

Is Joe Mixon's NFL Career Over?
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
RJ Harvey

to be Relegated to Third-Down Role After Rookie RB Addition?
Baker Mayfield

A Lot of Uncertainty Surrounding Baker Mayfield Going into Fourth Year in Tampa
Brian Robinson Jr.

a Must-Have Handcuff in Dynasty Leagues?
Sam LaPorta

Could be Excellent Buy-Low Candidate for Risk-Tolerant Managers
Jordyn Tyson

on a "Maintenance Plan" During Offseason Workouts
Kenneth Walker III

One of Dynasty's Biggest Risers for 2026
D'Andre Swift

an Underappreciated Dynasty Buy Candidate
Ray Davis

Still a Dynasty Stash Despite a Lack of Standalone Value
Travis Kelce

Now a Low-Cost Dynasty Rental
DJ Moore

a Reasonable Buy Candidate Now That Dynasty Market Has Cooled
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Devin Vassell

Posts 20 Points in Game 3 Loss
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From Deep in Friday's Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Held to Four Rebounds in Game 3 Loss
Jaylin Williams

Catches Fire From Deep Friday
Jared McCain

Drops Playoff-High 24 Points in Game 3
Nazem Kadri

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Guides Thunder to 2-1 Series Lead
Ajay Mitchell

Does Not Return in Game 3 Win
Ross Colton

Nets Lone Avalanche Goal Friday Night
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Assist Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Focuses on Playmaking in Friday's Win
Jack Eichel

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing in Game 2 Win Friday
Ivan Barbashev

Amasses Three Points as Golden Knights Grab 2-0 Series Lead
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Rudy Gobert

Earns Eighth All-Defensive First-Team Selection
Victor Wembanyama

Headlines 2025-26 All-Defensive First Team
Frederik Andersen

Hurricanes Keep Faith in Frederik Andersen
Devon Levi

Attracting Interest From Senators
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Game 2 Against Golden Knights
Ben Hutton

Scratched for Game 2 Against Avalanche
Mark Stone

Won't Play Friday
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
Cale Makar

Remains Out Friday
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Sebastian Aho

Picks Up an Assist in Series-Opening Loss
Seth Jarvis

Needs 33 Seconds to Score in Game 1 Loss
Jaccob Slavin

Struggles in Game 1 Against Canadiens
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF