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Fight Night 95: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament.

And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship.

Anyway, Jason and I will be taking a look at the main card for Fight Night 95. We will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers. We will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records.

Justin's Record: 38-15

Jason's Record: 30-23

Without anymore waiting, here are our picks and analysis for the main card at Fight Night 95.

 

Godofredo Pepey vs Mike De La Torre

 

Justin’s Pick

Pepey is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC to watch. He’s extremely unpredictable, as he has already won fights with a flying knee and a flying triangle choke. He gets a matchup against Mike De La Torre, who loves to stand and throw. Pepey is coming off a tough lose against Darren Elkins, who is one of the best grinders in the UFC. That isn’t the type of fighter that De La Torre is, which will work in favor of Pepey. Ultimately, De La Torre and Pepey will throw for a little before Pepey ends the fight with a flash knockout.

Godofredo Pepey via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Godofredo “Pepey” Pepey is definitely one of the most electric fighters in the UFC, but electricity does not always win fights. Mike “El Cucuy” De La Torre will come in with a gameplan, but it is tough to gameplan around someone that uses such out-of-the-box techniques. Ultimately, Pepey has the slight advantage. It is rare, but the element of surprise will have an impact in this fight. I do not think this will be so cut-and-dry, like Justin, but Pepey will find a way to win, even if the first two or three flash knockouts do not work.

Godofredo Pepey via Submission, 2nd Round

 

Thiago Santos vs Eric Spicely

 

Justin’s Pick

Santos and Spicely are both coming off tough loses. Santos has only lost to top talent in his last few fights, and he was on a four-fight win streak before losing to Gegard Mousasi. Spicely suffered the first loss of his career, as he was submitted by Sam Alvey, who has found his groove recently. Spicely is an elite submission artist, while Santos is an elite striker. Santos has serious power in both his punches and kicks, and that could cause problems for Spicely. While I do believe Spicely has good potential in his career, he’s unlikely to be able to take Santos to the ground, which will result in the second loss of his career.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

This is simply a bad matchup for Eric “Zebrinha” Spicely. Thiago “de Lima Marreta” Santos is out of his league in terms of power and finishing ability. Spicely needs to get this fight to the ground, and that is not going to happen. He is not going to be able to stand with Santos, and this should result in a very exciting knockout. This is one of the easiest fights on the card to predict. Barring a major mistake on Santos part, he will start his winning streak this Saturday.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Francisco Trinaldo vs Paul Felder

 

Justin’s Pick

This is an interesting matchup. Trinaldo is coming into this fight with six consecutive wins, and he has looked outstanding recently. Felder has been able to get back on track recently after two tough losses to two solid opponents. If Felder can keep his distance and use his spinning attacks, he’ll have the advantage over Trinaldo. On the other hand, Trinaldo has to work his way close to Felder and wear him down in the clinch. Trinaldo has displayed the ability to wear opponents down with power punches, clinch work, and takedowns. This is the most likely scenario to play out, and Trinaldo will be able to outpoint Felder in this fight.

Francisco Trinaldo via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

If Francisco “Massaranduba” Trinaldo can get his hands on Paul “The Irish Dragon” Felder, he is going to win this fight. Unfortunately for Trinaldo, Felder knows this already. He is going to keep his distance, and the longer he keeps his distance the more likely it is that he hits Trinaldo with a very powerful knockout punch or kick. Felder defends takedowns rather well, and he is going to out strike Trinaldo on his feet. As long as he does not get put up against the cage, he should be able to work his way to a finish.

Paul Felder via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Roy Nelson vs Antonio Silva

 

Justin’s Pick

Both of these fighters are nearing the end of their careers, and they have been on losing skids recently. The only difference is that Nelson has proven that his chin can still hold up. He was hit with a few huge shots by Derrick Lewis, but that wasn’t enough to knock him out. Silva, on the other hand, has been knocked out in five of his last seven fights, and he has fought fighters with much less power than Nelson. While Nelson has been fighting extremely conservatively recently, his game plan will likely be to attack Silva’s glass jaw. This will be Silva’s last fight in the UFC after Nelson knocks him out.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva deserves quite a bit of respect for his impressive UFC career, but Justin is likely right. This could very well be his last fight. Roy “Big Country” Nelson has a ton of knockout power, and he rarely losses when fighting against another knockout fighter, especially a fighter with the chin of Silva. This should be a very entertaining main card fight, as these fighters are going to throw until one of them goes down. The more likely scenario is that Nelson remains standing at the end of the fight.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Renan Barao vs Phillipe Nover

 

Justin’s Pick 

This is Barao’s fight to lose. He has been skidding recently, but Nover is a giant step down in competition from fighters like T.J. Dillashaw and Jeremy Stephens. Barao has the takedown defense to keep this standing, and he has a huge edge in striking. He should have no problems picking Nover apart for fifteen minutes, as he works his way back into the win column. He’s one of the safer fighters on this card, as Nover doesn’t have the finishing capability to stop Barao, and he’s highly unlikely to be able to beat him on the judge’s scorecards.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick 

This should be an easy fight for Renan “The Baron” Barao. Phillipe “The Filipino Assassin” Nover simply does not have the finishing ability that is necessary to defeat someone like Barao. Barao will keep this fight standing, and he is going to out strike Nover on his way to a decision victory. He does have some finishing potential, but even if he does knockout Nover, that will not change the outcome of this fight. Barao is going to win, plain and simple.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

 

Cris Cyborg vs Lina Lansberg

Justin’s Pick 

Until someone actually defeats Cyborg, there just isn’t a real reason to pick against her. She has dominated everyone and anyone in her path, as she has won 16 consecutive fights. She has stopped six of her last seven opponents in the first round, as well. Lina Lansberg has been impressive in her career, but she has not fought anyone nearly as powerful as Cyborg. There’s a reason Cyborg has a -885 finish prop this week. She will be able to handle Lansberg with relative ease.

Cris Cyborg via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Justin is correct. Yes, Ronda Rousey was undefeated, much like Cyborg, and she was defeated by Holly Holm, but Holm had elite kickboxing talent. Lina Lansberg is not going to be able to stop Cyborg. She is going to finish her in the first round without a problem. This is the easiest fight on the card to predict. There will be a few people who claim that Lansberg defeats Cyborg only to say that they said it, if it were to happen, but the chances are so slim that it isn’t even worth it. This fight, at least according to Vegas, was over before it even started.

Cris Cyborg via KO, 1st Round

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mitchell Robinson

Available for Game 3
Chicago Bulls

Bulls Hire Alex Kaufman as Windy City Bulls General Manager
E.J. Liddell

Agrees to Two-Year Deal with Greek Club Aris
Matas Buzelis

Will Play for Lithuania This Summer
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Has Concerns About Heat Roster If Traded to Miami
Bobby Witt Jr.

Exits Early with Knee Soreness
Mitchell Robinson

Has Technical Foul Rescinded After Game 2 Win
Jarquez Hunter

Is it Time for Dynasty Managers to Move on From Jarquez Hunter?
Elijah Arroyo

Worth Buying Low on in Dynasty Formats?
Tre Tucker

Profiles as a Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering 2026
Jack Bech

Should Dynasty Managers Target Jack Bech as a Buy-Low Candidate?
Jaydon Blue

a Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate After Underwhelming Rookie Year?
Saquon Barkley

in Line for Larger Pass-Catching Role in 2026?
Karl-Anthony Towns

Eligible for Massive Extension
Isaiah Stewart

Could Draw Trade Interest
Chase Briscoe

Is Chase Briscoe Worth Rostering for DFS at Michigan?
Philadelphia 76ers

Jameer Nelson Promoted to Executive Vice President
Domantas Sabonis

Could be Traded This Summer
Ty Gibbs

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering at Michigan This Week for DFS?
William Byron

Will Start at the Rear at Michigan After Unapproved Adjustments
NASCAR

Should DFS Managers Roster Bubba Wallace at Michigan?
Joey Logano

Is Joey Logano Worth Rostering In DFS Lineups for Michigan
Daniel Suarez

Might Have Tournament Appeal for Michigan DFS Lineups
Jonah Coleman

Is Jonah Coleman the Most Valuable Broncos Running Back in Dynasty Leagues?
William Carrier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury in Game 3 Versus Golden Knights
Darius Slayton

Will Darius Slayton Be Phased Out of New-Look Giants Offense?
Sebastian Aho

Records Two Assists in Losing Effort
Keaton Mitchell

Can Keaton Mitchell Carve Out a Large Enough Role for a Fantasy Breakout?
Jordan Staal

Scores in Third Consecutive Game
Shea Theodore

Caps Multi-Point Effort With Game-Winning Goal Saturday
Kayshon Boutte

Will Attend Mandatory Minicamp
Denny Hamlin

Puts DFS Managers in Tough Spot for Michigan
Chase Elliott

Can Chase Elliott Get Back to His Old Ways at Michigan?
Chris Buescher

Looking for Another Solid Run at Michigan
Tomas Hertl

Collects Two Points in Overtime Win
Jonathon Brooks

to Be Carolina's Lead Back in 2026?
Carson Hocevar

Qualifies Second, Seeking Redemption at Michigan
Ross Chastain

Can DFS Managers Trust Ross Chastain at Michigan?
Mitch Marner

Scores Fastest Hat Trick in Finals History
Brad Keselowski

Has Been Solid at Michigan
Will Smith

Scratched With Neck Stiffness, Expected to Return on Sunday
Kenneth Gainwell

Standing Out at OTAs
Bhayshul Tuten

"Picking Up Steam," More in-Tune With New Scheme
Auston Matthews

Maple Leafs Confident of Keeping Auston Matthews
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Wins Second Vezina Trophy
Brayden McNabb

Uncertain for Game 3 Against Hurricanes
Jadarian Price

Is Jadarian Price Still Undervalued in Dynasty Formats?
Isaiah Bond

Is Isaiah Bond Still Worthy of a Dynasty Roster Spot?
Michael Pittman Jr.

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Long-Term QB Uncertainty
Stefon Diggs

Win-Now Dynasty Managers Have a Buy-Low Window on Stefon Diggs
Will Howard

Is it Time for Dynasty Managers to Drop Will Howard?
DK Metcalf

Dynasty Stock is Declining Rapidly Entering 2026
Hunter Greene

Could Return Before the All-Star Break
Isaac TeSlaa

How Will Isaac TeSlaa Follow Up on a Strong 2025 Finish?
Troy Franklin

a Dynasty Hold with Potentially Rough Times Ahead
Dylan Harper

Remains a Bright Spot for San Antonio
De'Aaron Fox

Shoots Well in a Loss to the Knicks
Victor Wembanyama

Scores 29 Points in Game 2 Loss
OG Anunoby

Anchors Knicks' Defense in Finals Game 2
Mikal Bridges

Helps Knicks Secure a Game 2 Victory
Karl-Anthony Towns

Records Another Finals Double-Double
Jalen Brunson

Overcomes Cold Night to Seal Game 2
Michael Harris II

Dealing With Back Tightness, Not Believed to be Serious
Byron Buxton

Suffers Shoulder Contusion After Colliding With the Wall
Sacramento Kings

Kings Want to Trade Their Larger Contracts
Chicago Bulls

Darius Acuff Jr. Works Out for Bulls
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Could Get Traded
MIN

Marcus Johansson Returning to Europe
Thomas White

Likely to Miss Rest of Season With Shoulder Capsular Sprain
Mitchell Robinson

is Upgraded to Available for Game 2
Cole Caufield

Earns Lady Byng Trophy
Nick Suzuki

Lands Selke Trophy
Jose Altuve

Astros Reinstate Jose Altuve From the Injured List
CFB

Reed Harris Hoping to Fill Void in Arizona State Receiving Room
CFB

Nick Marsh Gearing Up for Breakout
CFB

Drew Mestemaker Looking to Catapult Oklahoma State Offense in 2026
CFB

Rocco Becht Brings Experience to New-Look Nittany Lions
CFB

Can Trey White, Adam Trick Keep Texas Tech's Defensive Front Elite?
CFB

Devon Dampier is Key to Success for Morgan Scalley in Year 1
Aaron Judge

Yankees Officially Place Aaron Judge on Injured List With Fractured Rib
Francisco Lindor

Expected to Return in "About a Couple Weeks"
Corey Seager

Rangers Activate Corey Seager From the Injured List
Gabriel Bonfim

Set For UFC Vegas 118 Main Event
Belal Muhammad

In Dire Need Of Win
Edmen Shahbazyan

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 118
Shayne Gostisbehere

Dishes Out Two Power-Play Assists in Comeback Win
Brendan Allen

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Seth Jarvis

Ties Finals With Power-Play Goal
Mark Stone

Scores Sixth Playoff Goal in Overtime Defeat
Tom Nolan

Searches For His Fifth Consecutive Win
Mitch Marner

Records Two Assists in Game 2 Loss
Farés Ziam

Fares Ziam A Favorite At UFC Vegas 118
Brett Howden

Matches Franchise Record With Another Productive Outing
Brayden McNabb

Hospitalized After Taking Puck to Face
Aaron Judge

Diagnosed with Stress Fracture, Out 4-6 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani

has "Small" Blister, a "Non-Issue" for his Pitching Starts
Brent Rooker

Out on Thursday Due to Knee Soreness
Frederik Andersen

Hurricanes Retain Confidence in Frederik Andersen
Vincent Trocheck

Maple Leafs Interested in Vincent Trocheck
Dylan Larkin

Requests Trade From Red Wings
Corey Seager

Expected to Return This Weekend
Lucas Erceg

Royals to Mix and Match in Ninth With Lucas Erceg Struggling
Aaron Judge

to Undergo Additional Imaging
Ketel Marte

Out on Wednesday With Back, Hamstring Injuries
Corbin Burnes

has Teres Major Strain, Unlikely to Return Until September
Rickie Fowler

Looks To Continue Resurgent Season At Memorial
CFB

Can Eric Singleton Jr. Fully Break Out at Third School?
CFB

Katin Houser Steps into QB1 Role for Illinois
CFB

Savion Hiter an Immediate Impact Freshman for Michigan
CFB

Isaiah Horton Set to Take Over KC Concepcion's Role
CFB

UCLA Transfer Karson Gordon Signs with Austin Peay
CFB

Will Muschamp Bringing New Intensity to Texas Practices
Gary Woodland

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Memorial
Jordan Spieth

Still Searching for a Breakthrough
Alex Smalley

Brings Elite Form to Memorial Tournament
Justin Rose

Looks to Recapture Memorial Tournament Success
Cameron Young

Looks to Get Back to His Contending Ways at Murifield Village
Chris Gotterup

Needs to Find Fairways at Muirfield Village
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Stay Hot at Memorial Tournament
Matt Fitzpatrick

Positioned for Success at Muirfield Village
Keegan Bradley

Looking for Another Strong Finish at Muirfield
Justin Thomas

is an Exciting Play This Week in Ohio
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Memorial Tournament for Third Consecutive Year
Rory McIlroy

Looking for Better Performance at Muirfield Village
Drake Baldwin

Could Return During Braves Next Homestand
Garrett Crochet

Diagnosed With Low-Grade Lat Strain
Russell Henley

Coming to Ohio on the Heels of Latest Victory
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking for Better Iron Play at Memorial Tournament
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Continue Dominance at Muirfield Village
Ludvig Aberg

a Great Fit for Muirfield Village
Aaron Judge

Out on Tuesday With Rib/Shoulder Injury
CFB

SEC Coach Calls Buster Faulkner a "Home-Run Hire"
CFB

Auburn a Sleeper in the SEC Under Alex Golesh?
CFB

Noah Fifita Primed for Strong 2026 Campaign
CFB

Oregon Assistant Coach Charged with DUII, Reckless Driving
CFB

Tight End Nick Pollack Commits to Clemson
Akshay Bhatia

Needs the Driver to be True in Ohio
Aaron Rai

Primed to take on the Memorial Tournament
J.J. Spaun

Rebounded at Charles Schwab Challenge
Xander Schauffele

One to Watch This Week in Ohio
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