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Fight Night 95: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament.

And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship.

Anyway, Jason and I will be taking a look at the main card for Fight Night 95. We will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers. We will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records.

Justin's Record: 38-15

Jason's Record: 30-23

Without anymore waiting, here are our picks and analysis for the main card at Fight Night 95.

 

Godofredo Pepey vs Mike De La Torre

 

Justin’s Pick

Pepey is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC to watch. He’s extremely unpredictable, as he has already won fights with a flying knee and a flying triangle choke. He gets a matchup against Mike De La Torre, who loves to stand and throw. Pepey is coming off a tough lose against Darren Elkins, who is one of the best grinders in the UFC. That isn’t the type of fighter that De La Torre is, which will work in favor of Pepey. Ultimately, De La Torre and Pepey will throw for a little before Pepey ends the fight with a flash knockout.

Godofredo Pepey via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Godofredo “Pepey” Pepey is definitely one of the most electric fighters in the UFC, but electricity does not always win fights. Mike “El Cucuy” De La Torre will come in with a gameplan, but it is tough to gameplan around someone that uses such out-of-the-box techniques. Ultimately, Pepey has the slight advantage. It is rare, but the element of surprise will have an impact in this fight. I do not think this will be so cut-and-dry, like Justin, but Pepey will find a way to win, even if the first two or three flash knockouts do not work.

Godofredo Pepey via Submission, 2nd Round

 

Thiago Santos vs Eric Spicely

 

Justin’s Pick

Santos and Spicely are both coming off tough loses. Santos has only lost to top talent in his last few fights, and he was on a four-fight win streak before losing to Gegard Mousasi. Spicely suffered the first loss of his career, as he was submitted by Sam Alvey, who has found his groove recently. Spicely is an elite submission artist, while Santos is an elite striker. Santos has serious power in both his punches and kicks, and that could cause problems for Spicely. While I do believe Spicely has good potential in his career, he’s unlikely to be able to take Santos to the ground, which will result in the second loss of his career.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

This is simply a bad matchup for Eric “Zebrinha” Spicely. Thiago “de Lima Marreta” Santos is out of his league in terms of power and finishing ability. Spicely needs to get this fight to the ground, and that is not going to happen. He is not going to be able to stand with Santos, and this should result in a very exciting knockout. This is one of the easiest fights on the card to predict. Barring a major mistake on Santos part, he will start his winning streak this Saturday.

Thiago Santos via TKO, 1st Round

 

Francisco Trinaldo vs Paul Felder

 

Justin’s Pick

This is an interesting matchup. Trinaldo is coming into this fight with six consecutive wins, and he has looked outstanding recently. Felder has been able to get back on track recently after two tough losses to two solid opponents. If Felder can keep his distance and use his spinning attacks, he’ll have the advantage over Trinaldo. On the other hand, Trinaldo has to work his way close to Felder and wear him down in the clinch. Trinaldo has displayed the ability to wear opponents down with power punches, clinch work, and takedowns. This is the most likely scenario to play out, and Trinaldo will be able to outpoint Felder in this fight.

Francisco Trinaldo via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

If Francisco “Massaranduba” Trinaldo can get his hands on Paul “The Irish Dragon” Felder, he is going to win this fight. Unfortunately for Trinaldo, Felder knows this already. He is going to keep his distance, and the longer he keeps his distance the more likely it is that he hits Trinaldo with a very powerful knockout punch or kick. Felder defends takedowns rather well, and he is going to out strike Trinaldo on his feet. As long as he does not get put up against the cage, he should be able to work his way to a finish.

Paul Felder via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Roy Nelson vs Antonio Silva

 

Justin’s Pick

Both of these fighters are nearing the end of their careers, and they have been on losing skids recently. The only difference is that Nelson has proven that his chin can still hold up. He was hit with a few huge shots by Derrick Lewis, but that wasn’t enough to knock him out. Silva, on the other hand, has been knocked out in five of his last seven fights, and he has fought fighters with much less power than Nelson. While Nelson has been fighting extremely conservatively recently, his game plan will likely be to attack Silva’s glass jaw. This will be Silva’s last fight in the UFC after Nelson knocks him out.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva deserves quite a bit of respect for his impressive UFC career, but Justin is likely right. This could very well be his last fight. Roy “Big Country” Nelson has a ton of knockout power, and he rarely losses when fighting against another knockout fighter, especially a fighter with the chin of Silva. This should be a very entertaining main card fight, as these fighters are going to throw until one of them goes down. The more likely scenario is that Nelson remains standing at the end of the fight.

Roy Nelson via KO, 1st Round

 

Renan Barao vs Phillipe Nover

 

Justin’s Pick 

This is Barao’s fight to lose. He has been skidding recently, but Nover is a giant step down in competition from fighters like T.J. Dillashaw and Jeremy Stephens. Barao has the takedown defense to keep this standing, and he has a huge edge in striking. He should have no problems picking Nover apart for fifteen minutes, as he works his way back into the win column. He’s one of the safer fighters on this card, as Nover doesn’t have the finishing capability to stop Barao, and he’s highly unlikely to be able to beat him on the judge’s scorecards.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick 

This should be an easy fight for Renan “The Baron” Barao. Phillipe “The Filipino Assassin” Nover simply does not have the finishing ability that is necessary to defeat someone like Barao. Barao will keep this fight standing, and he is going to out strike Nover on his way to a decision victory. He does have some finishing potential, but even if he does knockout Nover, that will not change the outcome of this fight. Barao is going to win, plain and simple.

Renan Barao via Unanimous Decision

 

 

Cris Cyborg vs Lina Lansberg

Justin’s Pick 

Until someone actually defeats Cyborg, there just isn’t a real reason to pick against her. She has dominated everyone and anyone in her path, as she has won 16 consecutive fights. She has stopped six of her last seven opponents in the first round, as well. Lina Lansberg has been impressive in her career, but she has not fought anyone nearly as powerful as Cyborg. There’s a reason Cyborg has a -885 finish prop this week. She will be able to handle Lansberg with relative ease.

Cris Cyborg via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Justin is correct. Yes, Ronda Rousey was undefeated, much like Cyborg, and she was defeated by Holly Holm, but Holm had elite kickboxing talent. Lina Lansberg is not going to be able to stop Cyborg. She is going to finish her in the first round without a problem. This is the easiest fight on the card to predict. There will be a few people who claim that Lansberg defeats Cyborg only to say that they said it, if it were to happen, but the chances are so slim that it isn’t even worth it. This fight, at least according to Vegas, was over before it even started.

Cris Cyborg via KO, 1st Round

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jarred Vanderbilt

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Jalen Williams

Ruled Out for Game 3 Against Lakers
Ayo Dosunmu

Cleared to Play Friday
Anthony Edwards

Available Friday Night
Joel Embiid

is Returning for Game 3 on Friday
Brandon Ingram

Undergoes Heel Surgery
Josh Hart

is Available to Play in Game 3
OG Anunoby

is Downgraded to Out for Game 3 on Friday
Mitchell Robinson

is Returning for Game 3
Mats Zuccarello

Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jonas Brodin

Still Out Saturday
Josh Manson

Could Return Saturday
Kaedan Korczak

Scratched for Game 3 Against Ducks
Radko Gudas

Likely to Remain Out Friday
Sam Carrick

Won't Play Friday
Isiah Pacheco

Can Isiah Pacheco Re-Establish His Dynasty Value in Detroit?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Ceiling Limited By Backfield Committee in Pittsburgh
Rashid Shaheed

a High-Risk, High-Reward Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Marcus Mariota

Is Marcus Mariota Worth Stashing as an Injury Replacement in Dynasty Leagues?
Jacoby Brissett

a Clear Sell-High Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
Najee Harris

Can Najee Harris Re-Establish Some Dynasty Value in 2026?
Cole Ragans

Royals Place Cole Ragans on Injured List With Elbow Impingement
Breece Hall

Jets Sign Breece Hall to Three-Year Extension Worth $45.75 Million
Sean Strickland

An Underdog At UFC 328
Khamzat Chimaev

Set For UFC 328 Main Event
Tatsuro Taira

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Joshua Van

Set For His First Title Defense
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Nick Lodolo

Officially Activated, Making Season Debut on Friday
Denver Broncos

Broncos Sign GM George Paton to New Five-Year Deal
Brandon McManus

Packers Release Kicker Brandon McManus
New York Jets

Jets Talking to a "Number of Veteran Quarterbacks"
Travis Etienne Jr.

a Reliable Dynasty Starter Entering First Season With Saints
Kenneth Gainwell

Is Kenneth Gainwell's Dynasty Stock Still Rising After Offseason Change of Scenery?
Mac Jones

a Deep-League Dynasty Stash Candidate
Tez Johnson

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Tampa Bay
Jared Goff

Remains a High-Floor Dynasty QB2 Heading into 2026
De'Von Achane

Remains a High-End Dynasty RB Despite Uncertain Supporting Cast
Xavier Worthy

Chiefs Limited Xavier Worthy's Usage After Injury Last Year
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Not Ready to Discuss Extension With Rashee Rice?
Cade Otton

Remains a Quality Dynasty Depth Piece
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
Austin Reaves

Scores 31 Points in Game 2 Defeat
T.J. Hockenson

Bounce-Back Chances Stifled by Improved Pass-Catching Depth
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
Chet Holmgren

Anchors Thunder Past Lakers in Game 2
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
Jordan Addison

Facing Competition for No. 2 Role?
Tobias Harris

Stays Hot in Game 2 Victory
Cade Cunningham

Pushes Pistons to 2-0 Series Lead
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
Jarrett Allen

Provides Bright Spot in Cavs' Game 2 Loss to Pistons
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
James Harden

Struggles in Game 2 Loss
Donovan Mitchell

Finishes Game 2 Loss with 31 Points
Gradey Dick

Open to Trade Away From Toronto
Michael Porter Jr.

Wants to Stay in Brooklyn
Charlotte Hornets

Hornets Extend Charles Lee After 25-Win Improvement
Jarred Vanderbilt

Ruled Out for Game 2 Against Thunder
Luke Kennard

Cleared to Play Thursday
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
Connor Dewar

Penguins Re-Sign Connor Dewar for Two Years
Mikko Rantanen

Played Through Torn MCL Late in the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Ready to Go Friday
Alexander Nikishin

Set to Return Thursday
Christian Dvorak

Available Thursday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
Tarik Skubal

Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Mark Stone

Nets Late Power-Play Goal in Losing Effort
Leo Carlsson

Pots Game-Winner Wednesday Night
Juraj Slafkovsky

Ends Point Drought in Game 1 Loss
Bowen Byram

Ties Franchise Record With Fourth Postseason Goal
Zach Benson

Posts Second Consecutive Multi-Point Game
Rasmus Dahlin

"Seems Fine" After Early Exit on Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Nils Hoglander

Will Miss World Championship Due to Injury
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
Tyler Glasnow

Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Brandon Woodruff

has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
Brandon Woodruff

to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
Carlos Correa

to Have Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski

Listed as Friday's Probable Starter
Logan Webb

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Headed for Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Carted Off With Apparent Hamstring Injury on Tuesday
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
MLB

Cardinals-Brewers Game Postponed on Tuesday
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF