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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/7/17): MLB DFS Advice

The top FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for 4/7/17 by Kevin Luchansky. Expert MLB DFS advice, sleepers & player recommendations for FanDuel.

I can't really explain how excited I am that baseball is back. This week actually feels surreal with basketball, that big golf event down at Augusta, and the boys of summer returning to the diamond. Year after year, baseball sneaks up on me - despite me anticipating it! - and I think it's due to March Madness, but nonetheless, it's here and I guess what I'm really trying to say is that we are going to have some fun together on Friday's this year.

On deck tonight we have a lovely 10 game slate. There are a couple day games to, but looking at the entry pool sizes and payouts (they're low!), it's really not worth a lot of time investing in as the returns are minuscule. If I were to play any afternoon contests, I'd probably build them around the Rockies at Coors. Yea, that seems like the easy way out to play the guys at the park that's best to the hitters, and while that's a factor, there's more to it.

Dodgers' starter Hyun-Jin Ru has had bad injuries and missed nearly all of the past two seasons and I think this talented Rockies' lineup could take advantage. The weight on-based average's of the Rockies' 2-3-4 hitters - DJ LeMahieu, Carlos Gonzalez, and Trevor Story, respectively - were all very high in 2016, with Story posting an incredible 4.12 wOBA and .299 ISO. Two big names are missing from that list in Charlie Blackmon and Nolan Arenado. Their splits honestly aren't all too attractive, but they're talented enough where it's worth taking a shot on one if you'd like to roll out a complete stack. On top of that the Rockies Dodgers contest, of the 10 teams playing under the sun, they current have the second highest run total I've seen, in the range of 5 to 5.5 runs. Only their opponent, the Dodgers, have a higher one as theirs is somewhere just north of six runs.

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Intro

As for pitching, Max Scherzer is on the hill against the Phillies and I really can't see a "safer" pick, if their is such a thing, especially for cash games. Max is an excellent pick on most any night really, and he posted excellent numbers in 2016. The rest of the slate is really lacking. Vincent Velasquez is worth a flier in tournaments as he's an excellent strikeout artist (10.61 K/9 in 2016), but the pick certainly carries risk against a talented and top heavy Nationals lineup in Philadelphia's hitter friendly park.

Before I get into the player analysis, I like to take a look at Vegas lines and run totals, particularly ones that might be helpful when making decisions for your lineup. More particularly, this can be helpful if your strategy is to use a stack or two or know which pitchers are best avoided.

In thiss article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 4/7/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays on FanDuel. You can read our DraftKings and Yahoo DFS lineup picks as well.

 

FanDuel DFS Pitchers

Let me open up this by saying navigating through these pitchers is somewhat like that of a minefield. Based on projections and looking at stats from seasons past, there isn't a ton to get excited about from a point ceiling perspective, and a "safe" pick is not really existent. At this point in the young season, no team has played more than five games, so we're seeing the very back-end of the rotation for most staffs, with the exception of Max Scherzer (who plays in the early slate).

Mike Fiers - P, vs. KC ($7,300)

As I alluded to above, tonight's slate is full of mines. At no point in any of the past seasons can I recall looking at the pitching options and seeing higher (worse) WHIP stats and lower strikeout stats than I am seeing today. That said, I am going to roll with Fiers tonight in this situation, as I believe he provides a little bit of safety relative to the rest of the slate, while also sporting some upside in the form of racking up strikeouts. He's pitching at home tonight, where he should receive solid run support, is a pretty big moneyline favorite in Vegas at -172, and in 2016, allowed a slugging percentage at home more than 50 points lower than he did on the road. In addition to that, while the Royals lineup isn't a bad one, it's somewhat top heavy and doesn't provide much in respect to power numbers. The lineup they're projected to trot out tonight has struck out in nearly 25% of their at-bats versus right-handers in the past year, while only posting a collective .274 wOBA.

Also Consider: Zach Wheeler - P, vs MIA ($6,500) and Francisco Liriano - P, at TB ($8,000)

 

FanDuel DFS Infielders

Evan Gattis - C, SEA ($2,900)

Like many of his Astros teammates, I am counting on Evan Gattis for big production tonight on this murky and hard-to-predict slate. Looking at the splits for all the backstops today, not a whole lot jumps out in terms of favor-ability for matchups, splits, 2016 stats, or park factors. Gattis does provide a solid blend of the aforementioned stats/factors, while also representing big tournament upside with all his power. The game being played in Houston's hitter-friendly stadium certainly helps as well, as do his 2016 splits (.247 ISO, .532 slugging %) in convincing me he's the right call to make tonight. As so many of these catchers are similarly priced, it should make for an easy pivot if you want to differentiate your lineup (or if Gattis happens to get the night of). Jonathon Lucroy is certainly in the mix for me, more as a cash game play, and Gary Sanchez, despite his slow start, is an intriguing tournament option. 

Also Consider: Jonathon Lucroy - C, SEA ($3,000)

Carlos Santana - 1B, at ARI ($3,800)

Believe it or not, Santana's price has already started climbing in 2017 after only three games. The rise is certainly justified, though, as Santana has been absolutely scorching the ball and hitting triple his value with ease this week. Tonight, Santana gets a juicy matchup against Shelby Miller out in Arizona, a favorable park for hitters and upgrade for Santana and his Indians teammates. Santana hits right atop this order - one I'm quite enthralled with and will certainty deploy a stack or two with this evening - and posted excellent splits against right-handers last season, with a .380 wOBA and .279 ISO. Santana, a switch-hitter, is much stronger from the left side and his opposition, Mr. Miller, allowed a .400 wOBA and .541 slugging percentage to lefty bats last season.

Also Consider: Paul Goldschmidt - 1B, vs CLE ($4,500)

Rougned Odor - 2B, vs TEX ($3,200)

For such a small guy in stature, Odor certainly doesn't let his physical attributes rob him of impressive power hitting numbers. Odor has already knocked two home runs this season in three games, and his price has only risen a chunk of change in that time. As such, he's got a great chance to hit and surpass his price implied total today. Why? A few reasons, namely the platoon advantage, favorable spot in the middle of the order, an inexperienced and exploitable opposing starter and a .346 wOBA, .257 ISO split over the past 365 days.

Also Consider: Brian Dozier - 2B, at CWS ($3,600)

Jake Lamb - 3B, vs CLE ($3,100)

It's a little too early - check that, way too early - to look at this seasons' statistics and make any decisions based entirely on those numbers. That said, I'm not keen on jumping on anyone that had a terrible spring and/or is off to a cold start. Lamb is someone that has entered his 2017 campaign with a bang, is priced very favorably, and has a nice matchup tonight in a great hitter's park. Lamb hits right in the meat of this order, posted excellent splits in 2016 against right-handed pitching (.377 wOBA, .291 ISO) and faces a mistake prone pitcher in Josh Tomlin. In 2016, Tomlin allowed 1.64 home runs per nine innings to left-handed batters.

Also Consider: Miguel Sano - 3B, at CWS ($3,100)

Jean Segura - SS, at LAA ($3,200)

Segura burned me once to start the season, so he owes me in this spot. In all seriousness, though, he's in an even better matchup than he was on Tuesday, he's priced at a point that wont cripple your wallet, and he offers a very high floor. That floor is so high thanks to his slate-best .378 wOBA split (among shortstops) and due to his speed on the base-paths. Segura is a threat to steal any time he reaches, and his .21 stolen bases per game is top 10 on this slate and best among shortstops. A steal has risen in value this year in FanDuel's new scoring model, as it was given equivalent value to hitting a double. In addition to his positive numbers, Segura and his Seattle teammates get to face off against the lowly Jesse Chavez.

Also Consider: Carlos Correa - SS, vs KC ($3,900)

 

FanDuel DFS Outfielders

Nomar Mazara - OF, vs. OAK ($3,100)

Mazara and his long, beautiful swing are off to a hot start this season, as the young outfielder has collected at least two hits in each game he's played this season, while driving in three runs. Tonight, he has a pretty strong matchup at home in Arlington - a favorable hitters park - against a pitcher in Raul Alcantara that has little experience at the major league level. For what experience he's had, let's say that it has been less than memorable for him. Mazara owns the platoon advantage here, hits in a great spot in the order, and is in prime position to take advantage of Alcantara, who allowed a .612 slugging percentage to left-handed hitters in 2016. 

Khris Davis - OF, at TEX ($3,200)

On the opposing side of this Oakland - Texas game we have value in the outfield position as well. Considering that he's already done some damage to baseballs this season and that he's in favorable spot tonight, I was expecting to see him priced much higher. Nonetheless, he gets a park upgrade tonight, faces a right-handed pitcher (last season, he had nearly double the wRC against right-handed pitching as compared to when facing left-handers) and Rangers' starter AJ Griffin is prone to giving up the deep fly. Last season, Griffin allowed more than two home runs per nine innings and 1.44 per nine against right-handed hitters.

George Springer - OF, vs KC ($4,100)

Springer is another bright young star that is off to a hot start and happens to find himself in another favorable spot this evening. His matchup against Jason Vargas is one he can certainly take advantage of, and I can see him leaving the yard tonight. He hits atop a very talented Astros order, posted a .371 wOBA and .289 ISO against southpaws over the past year, and, frankly, Vargas is a mediocre pitcher at best. If you need any other convincing points, Springers' ISO split is top three among all outfielders in competition tonight.

Also Consider: AJ Pollock - OF, vs CLE ($3,600) and Seth Smith - OF, vs NYY ($2,600)

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Give Trey Hendrickson a Raise
Amari Cooper

Signs One-Year Deal With Raiders
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Back in Toronto's Lineup
Joe Mixon

to Start Season on Non-Football Injury List
Jaylen Wright

Not Expected to Play in Week 1
Jakobi Meyers

Requests Trade
Jauan Jennings

Not Practicing on Monday, has Avoided IR for Now
Matthew Stafford

Taking 11-On-11 Reps on Monday
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Aljamain Sterling

Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Chris Sale

Penciled in to Start on Saturday
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Wins Decision At UFC Shanghai
Terry McLaurin

Signs Three-Year Extension with Commanders
Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
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Still Winless In The UFC
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Gets His First UFC Win
Ryan Blaney

Earns his Second Daytona Cup Series Win
Tyler Reddick

Locks Into the 2025 Playoffs Despite Underwhelming Daytona Performance
Erik Jones

Misses the 2025 Playoffs Despite Top-Five Run at Daytona
Justin Haley

Best Performance of 2025 Falls Short of Victory at Daytona
Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame-Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Logan Gilbert

Punches Out 13 in Victory
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Battling Arm Soreness
Marcus Semien

Out 4-6 Weeks, Could Miss Rest of Season
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 11 in Win
Cal Raleigh

Sets Catcher Home Run Record
Yordan Alvarez

Likely to Return on Tuesday
Jacob deGrom

to Start on Monday
Kyle Tucker

Homers Twice in Win
Chris Sale

Likely to Return Next Weekend
Brian Robinson Jr.

to be RB2
Najee Harris

to be Ready Week 1?
De'Von Achane

Making Good Progress
Jaylen Wright

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Marcus Semien

Placed on Injured List
Jackson Merrill

Heads to 10-Day Injured List
Jordan Love

Says He'll Play in Week 1
Brice Turang

Absent on Saturday, "Touch-and-Go" With Wrist Injury
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Lamar Jackson

Should Practice on Monday
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Matt Chapman

Activated and Starting on Saturday
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
Zack Wheeler

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Yoán Moncada

Yoan Moncada Hits a Pair of Home Runs on Friday
Willy Adames

Belts Two Solo Home Runs on Friday
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
Matthew Tkachuk

Recovering From Surgery
Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
Bubba Chandler

Records Four-Inning Save in Debut
Walker Buehler

Officially Moving to Bullpen
NBA

Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Brian Robinson Jr.

Traded to 49ers
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Shanghai Main Event
Johnny Walker

In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

Set For UFC Shanghai Co-Main Event
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Shanghai
Kevin Borjas

Set for UFC Shanghai Main-Card Bout
Sumudaerji

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Set To Open Up UFC Shanghai Main Card
Taiyilake Nueraji

Set For His UFC Debut
Connor Ingram

Clears Player Assistance Program
Frank Nazar

Inks Seven-Year Extension With Blackhawks
COL

Victor Olofsson Signs One-Year Deal With Avalanche
Tee Higgins

has Injury Scare on Thursday
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parsons Expected to Play in Week 1
Chris Godwin

Expected to be Activated from the PUP List
Dru Smith

Aims to Be Healthy for Training Camp
Jayson Tatum

Provides Injury Update
RJ Barrett

Considered a Trade Candidate
Golden State Warriors

Warriors "Remain Very Confident" About Signing Al Horford
Jahmir Young

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Devaughn Vele

Traded to Saints
Demarcus Robinson

Issued Three-Game Suspension
Lamar Jackson

Dealing With Minor Foot Injury
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Tour Championship
Corey Conners

Looking to Reverse Struggles at East Lake
Cameron Young

Stays Hot Ahead of Tour Championship
Harris English

Aims for Complete Game at East Lake
Sepp Straka

Back in Action at East Lake
Ben Griffin

a Strong Value Play at East Lake
Rory McIlroy

Chasing Another Win at East Lake
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for 30th at BMW Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Seventh at BMW Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Keegan Bradley

Finishes Tied for 17th at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Second at BMW Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 23rd at BMW Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Wins BMW Championship
Harry Hall

Hot at the Right Time for Tour Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound at Tour Championship
Jacob Bridgeman

has One Weakness Heading to Atlanta
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Not Expecting to Be Moved Before the Season
Nick Taylor

a Long Shot to Win Tour Championship
Josh Giddey

Bulls Not Interested in Sign-and-Trade Deal Involving Josh Giddey
Brian Harman

Trying to Crack Top 20 at Tour Championship
Andrew Novak

Attempts to Bounce Back in Atlanta
Oscar Tshiebwe

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Justin Rose

Seeks Even More Success at Tour Championship
Washington Wizards

Alondes Williams Joins Wizards for Training Camp
Washington Wizards

Wizards Add Skal Labissiere for Training Camp

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP