Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Buy or Sell - Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 11

Today's piece covers a set of players who either should not be available on waivers or will return back there soon. Most of the earlier editions of this recurring buy or sell article have included several universally owned players whose values have been manipulated enough by early season performances. Unfortunately, as we get deeper into the year, the regression fairies come to ruin every savvy owner's fun.

Nevertheless, there is nothing worse than seeing one of your guys continually underperform. However, if that is the case, eight times out-of-ten it is most prudent to hold on until they at least get hot to then sell. Contrarily, do not buy high, unless it is in your best interest to win now and that player fills a particular need.

Anyway, these buys and sells are where your focus should be for this upcoming week. Best of luck dealing.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, premium rankings, projections, player outlooks, top sleepers, dynasty and prospect rankings, 15 in-season lineup tools, and over 200 days of expert DFS research. Sign Up Now!


Undervalued Players - Week 11

These players could be worth trying to add or acquire as long as you're not paying for preseason value. Ideally, they are just lying around on your wire and you can add them straight up or for a few extra FAAB dollars.


Cesar Hernandez - 2B, PHI

63% owned

With Andrew McCutchen unfortunately out for the rest of 2019, Cesar Hernandez inherits the leadoff spot in Philadelphia. Although Hernandez's walk rate is down this season, he is still an absolute threat there. Hitting leadoff in most batting orders would make even the most average baseball player fantasy viable.

Prior to this season, he was always a run-scoring machine. Now, with batters like Bryce Harper and Jean Segura behind him rather than Odubel Herrera and Maikel Franco, he can thrive. Hernandez's power has jumped this season and could push him to the 20 home run mark for the first time ever. With the leadoff spot, he should also have more opportunities to steal. A ROS projection of 15 HR/15 steals is not unreasonable. Add him everywhere he's available (especially points leagues) while he's hitting at the one-spot. He could probably be traded for the cheap right now too. Throw a back-end starter to one of your league-mates for him.


Zach Plesac - SP, CLE

29% owned

The Cleveland Indians keep pumping out viable fantasy starters. With Carlos Carrasco out indefinitely, Plesac should have a rotation spot locked up until he proves unworthy. His time in the rotation was my biggest concern a week ago in regards to adding him, but now, I am all in. Plesac is relatively young at 24 years old and has a solid minor league career backing up his current performance in the majors.

Plesac has given up just four runs in 19 and a third and struck out a respectable 14 batters. He limits walks and home runs. Works with a solid four-pitch mix featuring a mid-90's fastball. Plesac gets outs. While regression should be expected in the coming weeks, Plesac will prove to be a respectable back-end starter in fantasy rotations going forward.


Brandon Belt - 1B, SF

14% owned

Brandon Belt has gone under the radar this season. Primarily because the Giants stink, but also because he has not been too healthy since 2017. Belt has missed 50 or more games each of the past two seasons and has struggled to match his hitting from 2015-2016. This season, the batting average is about the same, but his walks are up, strikeouts down, and power is peaking (possibly due to the juiced ball).

My expectation, given the Giants' struggles, is that Belt could be dealt at the deadline to a contender which would then skyrocket his value. Not only will he move into a better lineup, but leaving San Francisco benefits just about any hitter (just ask Hunter Pence). Belt in a lineup/ballpark like Milwaukee is a dream come true for his run and RBI production. Until then, he should provide solid value regardless. Belt is someone who should be owned in almost all OBP leagues.


Overvalued Players - Week 11

Overvalued does not always mean SELL. Players here are just showing enough red flags that warrant the overvalued tag.


Joe Musgrove - SP, PIT

43% owned

Joe Musgrove is an absolute miss for me. I disregarded the preseason injury and drafted him anyway. While his April proved quite fruitful, his May...was not. With an awesome eight-inning start this past week, he might still have some value in leagues. He should be sold, not dropped (for now). The strikeout rate is down, the walk rate is up, and hard contact is up. Your league-mates might still have interest in him based off name value, low WHIP and sub-four FIP.

The real peripherals are just ugly. The xFIP and SIERA are both in the mid-fours which indicate that he is just not pitching that well. Musgrove's fastball is valued as one of the worst in baseball, and this is likely due to the loss in velocity this season. Although a mile-and-a-half might not seem like a lot, it is killing him. Every Musgrove start going forward is a crapshoot until he can somehow get his velo back up. I want no part in rougher ballparks and against even above-average offenses.


Jay Bruce - OF, PHI

57% owned

Jay Bruce is going nuts in Philadelphia. Great news for anyone who picked him up because now is the time to SELL. Get Jay Bruce off of your fantasy teams.

"Why?" You may ask. Well...because he's Jay Bruce. He's 32. He is what he is. The ISO is ridiculously near .400 and he is striking out more than ever. Do not fall for this trap if you're considering buying. Will there be some value throughout the year in Philly? sure. He should get some play time and hit some more home runs. But the average will be awful and he will disappoint you more than he helps you. More likely than not, the days he produces are the days he'll be on your bench. If someone wants to trade you a closer or middling starter like Joey Lucchesi for him, take it ASAP. Bruce is not someone I want all season outside of 14-plus team leagues. He'll probably be on your waiver wire by late July, especially if Philly trades for another outfielder.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice

More Recent Articles


Tight End VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The 2019 fantasy football season is over. That is not something we like to say considering the empty path we have ahead of us until we reach draft season again in eight months. The good thing about it, though, is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few weeks... Read More

Biggest Surprises of 2019: Running Back

The 2019 NFL season was an interesting year for the running back position. Christian McCaffrey was the overall RB1, but some of the other top players fell below expectations. That led to some interesting final results when the final season standings came around. And while some of those -- Dalvin Cook as the RB3, Leonard... Read More

Quarterback VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The 2019 fantasy football season is over. That is not something we like to say considering the empty path we have ahead of us until we reach draft season again in eight months. The good thing about it, though, is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few weeks... Read More

2019 RotoBaller NFL Challenge - And The @Fleaflicker Winner Is...

What a season, RotoBallers. Fantasy football is always a fun, interesting, and long season - filled with injuries, breakout players, and different strategies. It takes stamina and endurance to win the marathon, and we're here today to recognize those who pulled it off. With 343 teams - across two divisions - competing to be crowned champ... Read More

Introducing the 2020 Rookie Tight End Class

Out of all the skill positions, tight end is the one where rookies have the most issue making an immediate impact. But there's still always some value at every position in every NFL Draft, and the 2020 one is no exception, even if people are very down on this year's crop of tight ends. Let's... Read More

Can a New Coach Fix Baker Mayfield in 2020?

Another season has passed and another disappointment by Browns fans has been realized. Baker Mayfield got the head coach he wanted in Freddie Kitchens in 2019. In 2020, hopefully he's got the one he needs in Kevin Stefanski. Last season, under Kitchens, Mayfield had a coach he could control and manipulate. He did just that... Read More

Wide Receiver VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The one (and only) good thing about fantasy football season ending is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few months and put performances into context to prepare for next season. As football is an ever-evolving game, though, it makes sense to assess how good players were in fantasy... Read More

The King's Keeper Corner: NFL Postseason Impacts on Player Outlooks

With a break in the postseason NFL action, it is time to reflect on what we have seen in the playoffs so far and how certain performances will affect fantasy football outlooks in keeper and dynasty formats. How players respond and what they deliver at the most intense and critical times of the season can... Read More

Introducing Value Over Starter Football Metrics

When it comes to fantasy sports, we're always looking for the highest possible Return On Investment or ROI. This concept is easy to understand: in both Daily Fantasy and re-draft/fantasy leagues, ROI would come down to how many points a player returns relative to his salary, or the price you paid (given his ADP on... Read More

Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More

Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More

Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More

Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More

Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More

Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More