X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Aaron Jones 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook - Are You In or Out?

Aaron Jones - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Quincy Milton takes a deep dive into Vikings RB Aaron Jones' fantasy football value to determine if you should be in or out on him in 2024 fantasy drafts this summer.

Former Green Bay Packers and current Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones has been a solid-to-elite fantasy football asset for several years. Jones has had unbelievable boom games for the Packers that can frustrate opposing fantasy managers.

The Packers decided to move on from Jones this offseason, and he signed with Green Bay's NFC North rival Vikings on a one-year, $7 million contract. Jones should step into a starting role, but the question is whether an RB1-type finish is within the cards in 2024.

Make sure you keep up to date with all your fantasy football needs by following RotoBaller on X and checking out RotoBaller.com. Let’s discuss whether you should be in or out on Jones for the 2024 season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

The Bad - Consistent Decline With Age

Jones is heading into his age-30 season, where running backs tend to begin their decline in both fantasy and real-life production by the time they are 27 or 28. Since 2019, Jones has finished as the RB2, RB5, RB10, RB9, and RB37 in each subsequent year. He has finished as a top-10 back four times over the past five seasons, but the consistent decline and alarming drop-off in 2023 is cause for concern.

While Jones only played in 11 games in 2023, the decline in total fantasy finish has not all been due to injury. Jones' total touchdowns have declined every season in that same span, going from 19 to 11, 10, seven, and three touchdowns. Jones has not seen extraordinary volume throughout his career, but enough running back touches will eventually catch up with you.

 

The Good - The Efficiency Remains

Jones has never been a high-volume player in Green Bay's multi-headed rushing attack. However, he has been consistently efficient with his touches. Jones' rushing average has varied between 4.6 and 5.5 yards per carry throughout his whole career. Likewise, he has generally averaged between 6.7 and 7.9 yards per reception. Jones' two outlier seasons in that department came when he averaged 2.4 yards per reception on low receiving volume during his rookie year and 9.7 yards per reception during his breakout 2019 campaign.

Jones figures to inherit a similar role in Minnesota, especially with second-year back Ty Chandler poised to receive some work. If Jones receives 200-250 touches in 2024, then he will be in prime position to produce 1,200 or more total yards.

 

The Bad - What is the Vikings Offense?

Jones is stepping into an offense that was electric with Kirk Cousins, but will either be quarterbacked by Sam Darnold or rookie J.J. McCarthy in 2024. We all know what Darnold is as a player. While McCarthy could (and should) be a good NFL quarterback, he is still a rookie and will experience growing pains in this offense should he have the opportunity to play in 2024.

Luckily for the Vikings quarterbacks in 2024, there are already plenty of weapons in place like wide receivers Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and tight end T.J. Hockenson, who is coming off a torn ACL. The Vikings also have a very good defense, which should allow them to stay in games and remain balanced offensively. Lastly, the Vikings have a good offensive line, which should take pressure off the quarterback and allow the Vikings to run the ball.

If Darnold can capitalize on the opportunity in front of him or McCarthy turns out to be the real deal early on, then this offense may not struggle the way that some believe it might.

 

The Good - Draft Cost

Jones is being drafted as the RB18 in the fifth-to-seventh-round range depending on your league size. He is being drafted as a low-end RB2, which is probably about what you will want out of him for your team. Other running backs drafted in that range include Alvin Kamara, David Montgomery, Najee Harris, and Rhamondre Stevenson. Jones demonstrated in 2023 that when healthy, he is still far more explosive than any of those players.

If you miss on some of the running backs being drafted in the RB10-to-RB17 range, then Jones would be a very good option at his draft-day cost.

 

Are You In or Out?

Age, Jones' recent injury history, and a decline in fantasy production scream that we should avoid Jones in fantasy for 2024. However, Jones may have a sneaky good fantasy season. He is going to a Vikings offense with an excellent play-caller in head coach Kevin O'Connell. While this offense may not be elite, it should improve throughout the season.

Jones will not be the player you want to anchor your team like in past years. Fantasy managers love to avoid aging running backs, and rightfully so. However, you are drafting this player to be a low-end RB2 or a potential flex option. He will certainly provide that level of value when healthy.

There would be heightened concerns if we saw the efficiency decline like other recent aging running backs such as Ezekiel Elliott. Jones displayed that he still has juice in 2023. The Vikings will likely use Ty Chandler often to ensure that Jones stays healthy. If this team turns out to be competitive in most games, then Jones will have a solid chance to be productive for one more year. If you enter his draft range with one or no running backs on your roster, then do not be afraid to look Jones' way.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Najee Harris

Likely to Miss Time at Start of Training Camp
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Collin Morikawa

Misses The Cut at Genesis Scottish Open
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 13th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Brooks Koepka

Finishes Tied For 32nd at LIV Andalucia
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied For 34th at Genesis Scottish Open
Jason Day

Misses The Cut at John Deere Classic
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Cam Taylor-Britt

has Benefited From Addition of Al Golden
Rome Odunze

Could Take Off in Year 2
RJ Harvey

to Get "Significant" Work in Broncos' Passing Game
Jackson Powers-Johnson

More Comfortable Heading into Year 2
Luke McCaffrey

In Line for Larger Role?
Braelon Allen

Jets Viewing Braelon Allen as Long-Term Starter?
Joel Embiid

Participating in Partial Basketball Activities
Victor Wembanyama

Officially Cleared to Return After Blood-Clot Recovery
Mike Williams

Heading to PUP List
Garrett Wilson

Lands Historic Deal
Colston Loveland

Shoulder "Good" After Surgery
New York Jets

Jets Pushing Sauce Gardner to Strive for Perfection
Xavier Worthy

Chiefs to Open Up Offense in 2025
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Stefon Diggs

Likely to Begin Camp Working on the Side
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Xavier Legette

Should be More Productive
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Cole Bishop

has Good Shot to Win a Starting Job
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Nate Wiggins

Ravens Think Nate Wiggins has Star Potential
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Kel'el Ware

Collects 21 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Cam Spencer

Contract Being Restructured
Drew Timme

Scores 30 Points in Summer League Loss to Wizards
Quinshon Judkins

More Details Emerge on Quinshon Judkins' Arrest
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Alexandre Sarr

Logs Impressive Outing in Summer League Action on Sunday
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Kaden Elliss

Could be Atlanta's Most Impactful Pass-Rusher
Kyle Filipowski

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss to Warriors
Darius Robinson

Ready to Make his Mark in 2025?
Jauan Jennings

Expected to Report for Training Camp
Trey Smith

the Only Player Still on the Franchise Tag
Cody Williams

Collects 22 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Drawing Interest from the Celtics
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Kyle Stowers

Punishes Former Team with Three-Homer Game
St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals Select Liam Doyle with Fifth Overall Pick
Daniel Gafford

Agrees to Contract Extension with Dallas
Colorado Rockies

Rockies Select Ethan Holliday Fourth Overall
Seattle Mariners

Kade Anderson Selected Third Overall by Seattle
Ha-Seong Kim

X-rays on Ha-Seong Kim's Foot Come Back Negative
Los Angeles Angels

Tyler Bremner Selected Second Overall by Angels in 2025 MLB Draft
Washington Nationals

Nationals Select Eli Willits First Overall
Jake Meyers

to Miss More Than Three Weeks With Calf Injury
Cooper Flagg

Shut Down for Rest of Summer League
LeBron James

Hasn't Requested a Trade
Memphis Grizzlies

Cole Anthony, Grizzlies Agree to Contract Buyout
Edward Cabrera

Hopeful to Avoid Injured List
Oneil Cruz

Absent on Sunday
Lars Nootbaar

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Jake Burger

Scratched on Sunday
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF