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2017 Rankings Analysis - Quarterbacks

Those of us who have been playing fantasy football for a long time know that quarterbacks can be fairly polarizing. Some folks tend to lean toward the "wait on QB" methodology while others are more in the "get yourself a stud" camp. Neither strategy is objectively wrong but each has its pros and cons.

Here we'll be looking at some early rankings for 2017, discussing who is too high, too low, and what each means for fantasy drafts come August/September.

It should be noted that the rankings referred to were submitted prior to free agency so obviously there's some wiggle room here. Throw in the upcoming NFL Draft and everything is bound to change once more. But for now, this is the list we'll be working with.

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Early 2017 Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

3. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

4. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Right off the bat we have ourselves a mini controversy with Matt Ryan coming in at No. 3 over Tom Brady. I think we're heading into a season where Matt Ryan is going to be the most over-drafted player in fantasy. Yes, he just had an MVP season and yes, he still has all the same weapons. You know what he doesn't have, though? His offensive coordinator. He's also coming off of his only season finishing above seventh in fantasy points among quarterbacks. I don't doubt that his 2016 line of 4,944 yards, 38 touchdowns, and seven interceptions is repeatable. The problem is, this ranking assumes that he will repeat. Look no further than Peyton Manning from a few years ago. Peyton was a first round pick in most leagues only to taper off a bit, negating his first round status. It's a nitpick, sure, but I won't be among those biting on Matt Ryan early on. There isn't much to say about Rodgers or Brees so it's best we shift our focus to the next batch.

 

Tier Two

5. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts

6. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

7. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

8. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton represent a tier of young QBs who are both stellar and frustrating. Luck has had interception issues and injury woes the past two seasons. Wilson is coming off an injury plagued year himself. And Cam Newton seems to have taken a step back a bit. Even with all of that in mind, each is still very much worth a mid-round pick. In fact, I'm in the camp that both Wilson and Newton are going to bounce back in a big way come 2017. Luck is what he is, but the other two should be trending upward as we inch closer to the upcoming season. Quarterbacks 8-13 are fairly interchangeable. The obvious standout of the bunch is Derek Carr, a young passer who was lighting the league on fire prior to a season ending injury late in the year. He'll definitely be the first one drafted among the group but this is where the "wait on QB" crowd will want to base their argument.

 

Tier Three

9. Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins

10. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

11. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

12. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans

Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston, Dak Prescott and Marcus Mariota are not only the future of the NFL but the future of the fantasy quarterback position. You can end up with any of these guys and be satisfied heading into next year. Sure, Mariota's off-season health will need to be monitored closely but there's no reason to suspect he won't be ready for camp. I expect Winston to take the biggest leap of the bunch. I'm glad he's coming in right behind Kirk Cousins who will be on a mission to prove he's worth a long-term investment. Winston at 10 is a bold call that should pan out. Lastly, Prescott is about as mistake free as you can get as a rookie so expect another step forward during his sophomore campaign. Like I said, this group is largely interchangeable.

 

Tier Four

13. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

14. Phillip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers

15. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

16. Eli Manning, New York Giants

17. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

If these rankings hold true, Ben Roethlisberger could come at a massive discount. I would argue he's way too low. I prefer him over the young guns simply based on track record. The knock on Big Ben is twofold; he isn't the same player on the road and he has a rough injury history. It's already baked into his value so no sweat at thirteen. Ben missed two games last year with an injury that would have sidelined most players for longer. Just pair him with someone from our next group of passers as an insurance policy and you'll be fine.

Philip Rivers, Matthew Stafford, Eli Manning, and Andy Dalton are the late round players who patient drafters usually end up with. I would have no problem with Rivers, Stafford or Eli as my starter provided I'm able to pair them with a suitable backup should things turn south. Dalton, on the other hand, gives me the willies. I would much rather pony up on a pick two-or-three rounds earlier than hitch my wagon to the Red Rifle. He had 18 touchdowns last year. What's there to be excited about? He's already hit his ceiling. The other three signal callers all had over 20 with Rivers tossing the most at 33. Dalton gets the rub of being a decent enough fantasy QB but I'll never buy into it.

 

Tier Five

18. Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings

19. Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars

20. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles

21. Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

22. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals

23. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

24. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins

25. Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills

From here on down we have ourselves some safe plays and some fliers. Sam Bradford isn't going to win you any weeks but he's also unlikely to gun sling himself to three picks a game. Blake Bortles will sloppily find himself into the top-15 every week but he's way too inconsistent to trust for fantasy. Carson Wentz and Jared Goff may take a leap in 2017 but it's unlikely to have any fantasy impact. Carson Palmer, Joe Flacco, and Ryan Tannehill are your prototypical bye week fill ins.

The last quarterback I really want to hone in on, though, is Tyrod Taylor. Taylor at 25 is just crazy. He shouldn't be any lower than Andy Dalton. Taylor's legs will not only keep him in the running (get it?) of a top-12 finish each week but he also has some solid weapons. Between Sammy Watkins and LeSean McCoy, the Bills have a nice foundation offensively. Bet you don't remember that Tyrod Taylor was the 11th best fantasy quarterback last year in standard scoring. 26? He should be almost 10 spots higher for me. Besides, ending up with Tyrod means you waited and he has considerable upside, something Dalton doesn't. The Bills don't seem overly committed to him, cutting him only to re-sign him at a discount, but that doesn't take away from his fantasy value as long as he's a starting QB.

 

Tier Six

26. Mike Glennon, Chicago Bears

27. Colin Kaepernick, Free Agent

28. Paxton Lynch, Denver Broncos

29. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs

30. Brock Osweiler, Cleveland Browns

 

All of these rankings are subject to change right after the NFL Draft. Stay tuned to RotoBaller for more updates as they roll in. It's never too early to look ahead to the upcoming season. Besides, fantasy is supposed to be fun right? Make it fun by obsessing over it like the rest of us.


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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Isaiah Horton Set to Take Over KC Concepcion's Role
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UCLA Transfer Karson Gordon Signs with Austin Peay
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Will Muschamp Bringing New Intensity to Texas Practices
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Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Memorial
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Still Searching for a Breakthrough
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Brings Elite Form to Memorial Tournament
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Looks to Recapture Memorial Tournament Success
Cameron Young

Looks to Get Back to His Contending Ways at Murifield Village
Chris Gotterup

Needs to Find Fairways at Muirfield Village
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Stay Hot at Memorial Tournament
Matt Fitzpatrick

Positioned for Success at Muirfield Village
Jalen Chatfield

Records Two Assists in Tuesday's Loss
Keegan Bradley

Looking for Another Strong Finish at Muirfield
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Nets Two Goals in Game 1 Loss to Golden Knights
Shea Theodore

Notches Three Points in Game 1 Win
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Sets Up Three Goals in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
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is an Exciting Play This Week in Ohio
Brett Howden

Starts Finals With Multi-Point Effort
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Memorial Tournament for Third Consecutive Year
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Scores Game-Winner in Finals Opener
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Looking for Better Performance at Muirfield Village
Drake Baldwin

Could Return During Braves Next Homestand
Garrett Crochet

Diagnosed With Low-Grade Lat Strain
Russell Henley

Coming to Ohio on the Heels of Latest Victory
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking for Better Iron Play at Memorial Tournament
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Continue Dominance at Muirfield Village
Ludvig Aberg

a Great Fit for Muirfield Village
Isaiah Hartenstein

Hopeful to Stay with Oklahoma City
Luguentz Dort

Wants to Remain with Thunder
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is Questionable for Game 1
Moussa Diabaté

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Oso Ighodaro

Gets Guaranteed Contract for Next Season
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Chris MacFarland Joins Predators as President and General Manager
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Brendan Gallagher

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Patrik Laine

Looking Forward to Free Agency
Jeremy Lauzon

Returns to Action Tuesday
Zach Werenski

Wins 2025-26 Norris Trophy
Aaron Judge

Out on Tuesday With Rib/Shoulder Injury
Josh Hader

Set to Return from Injured List on Tuesday
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Auburn a Sleeper in the SEC Under Alex Golesh?
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Noah Fifita Primed for Strong 2026 Campaign
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Oregon Assistant Coach Charged with DUII, Reckless Driving
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Tight End Nick Pollack Commits to Clemson
Akshay Bhatia

Needs the Driver to be True in Ohio
Aaron Rai

Primed to take on the Memorial Tournament
J.J. Spaun

Rebounded at Charles Schwab Challenge
Xander Schauffele

One to Watch This Week in Ohio
Elly De La Cruz

to Miss 2-4 Weeks of Action
Chase Burns

is Scratched Due to Illness
Deiveson Figueiredo

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Song Yadong

Gets Second-Round Submission Win
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers Back-To-Back Losses
Alonzo Menifield

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Scores First-Round Knockout Win
Cameron Smotherman

Suffers Third Loss In A Row
Edwin Arroyo

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Elly De La Cruz

Placed on IL with Right Hamstring Tightness
Denny Hamlin

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Christopher Bell

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Scores A Solid Top-10 Finish at Nashville
Kyle Larson

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Elly De La Cruz

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Tyler Reddick

Is One of the Top Favorites to Win at Nashville
Kyle Larson

May Continue his Top-10 Consistency at Nashville this week
Christopher Bell

Is One of the Top Competitors for the Win at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Is A Must Start for Nashville DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

has Plenty of Upside for Nashville DFS Lineups
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Carson Hocevar

Is Likely to have Another Solid Result at Nashville
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Chris Buescher

Is A Decent All-Around DFS Option for Nashville Lineups
Daniel Suarez

is Likely to Drop Positions during the Cracker Barrel 400
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Suffers Setback, Likely to Undergo MRI for Lat Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Could Denny Hamlin Dominate at Nashville?
Ryan Blaney

Is a DFS Tournament Option at Nashville
Ty Gibbs

Don't Overlook Ty Gibbs at Nashville
Joey Logano

Could Show Life at Nashville
Ross Chastain

Needs a Good Run at Nashville
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Fails to Step Up in the Season Finale
Cason Wallace

Ends Postseason with Strong Showing
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Caps MVP Season with Game 7 Exit
Stephon Castle

Continues Postseason Run with 16 Points
Julian Champagnie

Shines in Series-Clinching Win
De'Aaron Fox

Provides Secondary Punch in Game 7 Triumph
Victor Wembanyama

Earns Conference Finals MVP in Spurs' Game 7 Win
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Donovan Mitchell

Remains Cleveland's Top Priority
Adou Thiero

Remains a Lakers Development Project
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76ers Hire Mike Gansey as President of Basketball Operations
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Chicago Bulls Explore Kevin Young as Coaching Candidate
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
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Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
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Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
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Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
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Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
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Jacob Gonzalez

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Exits with Hamstring Tightness
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Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
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Cameron Smotherman

Looks To Bounce Back
Kai Asakura

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
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Faizon Brandon In Position to Start Week 1
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Dane Weber Commits to Cal
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Joey McGuire Attempts to Add Texas to Schedule
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RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF