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2017 Rankings Analysis - Quarterbacks

Those of us who have been playing fantasy football for a long time know that quarterbacks can be fairly polarizing. Some folks tend to lean toward the "wait on QB" methodology while others are more in the "get yourself a stud" camp. Neither strategy is objectively wrong but each has its pros and cons.

Here we'll be looking at some early rankings for 2017, discussing who is too high, too low, and what each means for fantasy drafts come August/September.

It should be noted that the rankings referred to were submitted prior to free agency so obviously there's some wiggle room here. Throw in the upcoming NFL Draft and everything is bound to change once more. But for now, this is the list we'll be working with.

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Early 2017 Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

3. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

4. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Right off the bat we have ourselves a mini controversy with Matt Ryan coming in at No. 3 over Tom Brady. I think we're heading into a season where Matt Ryan is going to be the most over-drafted player in fantasy. Yes, he just had an MVP season and yes, he still has all the same weapons. You know what he doesn't have, though? His offensive coordinator. He's also coming off of his only season finishing above seventh in fantasy points among quarterbacks. I don't doubt that his 2016 line of 4,944 yards, 38 touchdowns, and seven interceptions is repeatable. The problem is, this ranking assumes that he will repeat. Look no further than Peyton Manning from a few years ago. Peyton was a first round pick in most leagues only to taper off a bit, negating his first round status. It's a nitpick, sure, but I won't be among those biting on Matt Ryan early on. There isn't much to say about Rodgers or Brees so it's best we shift our focus to the next batch.

 

Tier Two

5. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts

6. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

7. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

8. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton represent a tier of young QBs who are both stellar and frustrating. Luck has had interception issues and injury woes the past two seasons. Wilson is coming off an injury plagued year himself. And Cam Newton seems to have taken a step back a bit. Even with all of that in mind, each is still very much worth a mid-round pick. In fact, I'm in the camp that both Wilson and Newton are going to bounce back in a big way come 2017. Luck is what he is, but the other two should be trending upward as we inch closer to the upcoming season. Quarterbacks 8-13 are fairly interchangeable. The obvious standout of the bunch is Derek Carr, a young passer who was lighting the league on fire prior to a season ending injury late in the year. He'll definitely be the first one drafted among the group but this is where the "wait on QB" crowd will want to base their argument.

 

Tier Three

9. Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins

10. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

11. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

12. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans

Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston, Dak Prescott and Marcus Mariota are not only the future of the NFL but the future of the fantasy quarterback position. You can end up with any of these guys and be satisfied heading into next year. Sure, Mariota's off-season health will need to be monitored closely but there's no reason to suspect he won't be ready for camp. I expect Winston to take the biggest leap of the bunch. I'm glad he's coming in right behind Kirk Cousins who will be on a mission to prove he's worth a long-term investment. Winston at 10 is a bold call that should pan out. Lastly, Prescott is about as mistake free as you can get as a rookie so expect another step forward during his sophomore campaign. Like I said, this group is largely interchangeable.

 

Tier Four

13. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

14. Phillip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers

15. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

16. Eli Manning, New York Giants

17. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

If these rankings hold true, Ben Roethlisberger could come at a massive discount. I would argue he's way too low. I prefer him over the young guns simply based on track record. The knock on Big Ben is twofold; he isn't the same player on the road and he has a rough injury history. It's already baked into his value so no sweat at thirteen. Ben missed two games last year with an injury that would have sidelined most players for longer. Just pair him with someone from our next group of passers as an insurance policy and you'll be fine.

Philip Rivers, Matthew Stafford, Eli Manning, and Andy Dalton are the late round players who patient drafters usually end up with. I would have no problem with Rivers, Stafford or Eli as my starter provided I'm able to pair them with a suitable backup should things turn south. Dalton, on the other hand, gives me the willies. I would much rather pony up on a pick two-or-three rounds earlier than hitch my wagon to the Red Rifle. He had 18 touchdowns last year. What's there to be excited about? He's already hit his ceiling. The other three signal callers all had over 20 with Rivers tossing the most at 33. Dalton gets the rub of being a decent enough fantasy QB but I'll never buy into it.

 

Tier Five

18. Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings

19. Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars

20. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles

21. Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

22. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals

23. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

24. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins

25. Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills

From here on down we have ourselves some safe plays and some fliers. Sam Bradford isn't going to win you any weeks but he's also unlikely to gun sling himself to three picks a game. Blake Bortles will sloppily find himself into the top-15 every week but he's way too inconsistent to trust for fantasy. Carson Wentz and Jared Goff may take a leap in 2017 but it's unlikely to have any fantasy impact. Carson Palmer, Joe Flacco, and Ryan Tannehill are your prototypical bye week fill ins.

The last quarterback I really want to hone in on, though, is Tyrod Taylor. Taylor at 25 is just crazy. He shouldn't be any lower than Andy Dalton. Taylor's legs will not only keep him in the running (get it?) of a top-12 finish each week but he also has some solid weapons. Between Sammy Watkins and LeSean McCoy, the Bills have a nice foundation offensively. Bet you don't remember that Tyrod Taylor was the 11th best fantasy quarterback last year in standard scoring. 26? He should be almost 10 spots higher for me. Besides, ending up with Tyrod means you waited and he has considerable upside, something Dalton doesn't. The Bills don't seem overly committed to him, cutting him only to re-sign him at a discount, but that doesn't take away from his fantasy value as long as he's a starting QB.

 

Tier Six

26. Mike Glennon, Chicago Bears

27. Colin Kaepernick, Free Agent

28. Paxton Lynch, Denver Broncos

29. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs

30. Brock Osweiler, Cleveland Browns

 

All of these rankings are subject to change right after the NFL Draft. Stay tuned to RotoBaller for more updates as they roll in. It's never too early to look ahead to the upcoming season. Besides, fantasy is supposed to be fun right? Make it fun by obsessing over it like the rest of us.


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Bucky Irving

Expected to Be Ready for Training Camp
Kyle Williams

Deep Threat Kyle Williams Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time
Michael Pittman Jr.

Could Receive Short-Term Value Uptick in PPR Leagues
Stefon Diggs

Chiefs, Commanders Could Make Sense for Stefon Diggs
Will Howard

Dynasty Value Dealt a Blow
Jaylen Warren

Should Benefit From Veteran QB's Return to Pittsburgh
Drew Allar

Could Continue to Hold Dynasty Value
Pat Freiermuth

Could See a Small Dynasty Bump With Veteran QB Returning
DK Metcalf

A Dynasty Sell Candidate With Veteran QB Returning?
Bones Hyland

Wants to Stay in Minnesota
Mike Conley

Hints He Will Continue Playing Next Season
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Questionable for Game 7
Duncan Robinson

Back on Injury Report Ahead of Game 7
Larry Nance Jr.

Likely Out Sunday Due to Illness
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Aaron Rodgers

Signs One-Year Deal With Steelers
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Alex Lyon

Likely to Start Game 6 Against Canadiens
Owen Power

Available Saturday
Isaac TeSlaa

Can Isaac TeSlaa Carve Out a Larger Role in Detroit Going Forward?
Troy Franklin

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Denver
Trevor Lawrence

Should Trevor Lawrence Be Valued as a Dynasty QB1?
Courtland Sutton

in Line for Reduced Role in Denver?
KC Concepcion

Can KC Concepcion Immediately Assume the WR1 Role in Cleveland?
George Pickens

' Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Uncertain Future in Dallas
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Brandon Aiyuk

a Huge Question Mark for Dynasty Managers
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Now Only a Gadget Player/Kick Returner?
Elic Ayomanor

Offseason Additions Hurt Elic Ayomanor's Dynasty Outlook
Tyler Warren

a Clear Top-Five Dynasty Tight End
Jonathon Brooks

a Dynasty RB to Target Despite Injury History?
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Duncan Robinson

Nets 14 Points With Four Triples
Cade Cunningham

Contributes 21 Points in Game 6 Win
Jalen Duren

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Anthony Edwards

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 24 Points
Victor Wembanyama

Tallies 19 Points in Friday's Win
De'Aaron Fox

Highly Effective in Blowout Win
Stephon Castle

Shines in Series-Clincher
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Austin Reaves

Could Command $40M Per Year With New Contract
Jalen Duren

Available to Finish Game 6
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Not Expected to Be Ready for Start of Next Season
Jalen Williams

Declares Himself Healthy for Conference Finals
Terrence Shannon Jr.

Will Play Friday Night
Kevin Huerter

is Available for Game 6
Duncan Robinson

is Returning for Game 6
Caris LeVert

is Cleared for Game 6 on Friday
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

to Have Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Tarik Skubal

Resumes Playing Catch, Ahead of Schedule?
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
Pavel Dorofeyev

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Shea Theodore

Records Two Points in Game 6 Win
Mitchell Marner

Scores Special Goal in Series-Clincher
Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
Radko Gudas

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Jeremy Lauzon

Remains Out Thursday
Mark Stone

Misses Third Consecutive Game
EDM

Kris Knoblauch Fired as Oilers Head Coach
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Quinn Hughes

Finishes Postseason With 15 Points
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
Juan Soto

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Juan Soto's Ankle
Jacob Misiorowski

Pulled Early With Possible Leg Injury
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
RANKINGS
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1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

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WR
TE
K
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