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Thursday Night Football Matchups Analysis - Week 5

Thursday Night Football starts/sits and matchups analysis for Week 5 of the NFL season. Which Colts and Patriots to start or sit for fantasy football lineups.

Finally, football fans got the Thursday night shootout they were looking for! The Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings put up over 1,000 yards in total offense during their Thursday Night Football game in Week 4.

Fantasy owners who started most offensive pieces on either team were rewarded with a bevy of points to kick off the week, but it was those who started quarterback Jared Goff (465 passing yards, five touchdowns) and Cooper Kupp (162 receiving yards, two touchdowns) who were especially rewarded.

For this iteration of Thursday Night Football, the Indianapolis Colts are looking to rebound from a disappointing overtime loss while the New England Patriots will look to repeat their blowout win against the Miami Dolphins. Which players are worth slotting into your fantasy lineup? In not wasting any more time, let's dive into Thursday Night Football matchup analysis!

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Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots

Date and Start Time: Thursday, October 4 at 8:20 PM ET

Notable Injuries and Status:

  • Marlon Mack (RB, IND) - Hamstring - Out
  • T.Y. Hilton (WR, IND) - Chest/Hamstring - Out
  • Jack Doyle (TE, IND) - Hip - Out
  • Darius Leonard (LB, IND) - Ankle - Questionable
  • Quincy Wilson (DB, IND) - Concussion - Out
  • Kenny Moore II (DB, IND) - Concussion - Out
  • Nate Hairston (DB, IND) - Various - Questionable
  • Josh Gordon (WR, NE) - Hamstring - Questionable
  • Rob Gronkowski (TE, NE) - Ankle - Questionable

 

Offensive and Defensive Rankings:

Colts Patriots
Passing Yards 16th 22nd
Rushing Yards 29th 12th
Pass Defense  18th 8th
Run  Defense  17th  26th

 

Must Starts

Top Performers That Have To Be In Your Lineup

Eric Ebron (TE, IND)

Assuming fellow tight end Jack Doyle sits this game out, Ebron gains a significant boost as arguably the Colts' No. 1 receiving option with wide receiver T.Y. Hilton expected to be out on a short week. While he hasn't been particularly effective at converting his boatload of targets into fantasy points, Ebron has scored in a touchdown in three of his last four games and will undoubtedly dominate red zone work.

Sony Michel (RB, NE)

The spike from 11 touches to 15 to 25 all but signals the Patriots' plans for their first-round rookie. With Rex Burkhead on injured reserve and out of the picture, Michel rushed for 112 yards and a touchdown in Week 4 and should be incredibly effective with his volume on Thursday night with the Colts defense hobbled by numerous injuries.

Rob Gronkowski (TE, NE)

If Gronkowski is able to play through his ankle injury, I shouldn't have to tell you he is a must-start at a position with a great deal of scarcity for prolific fantasy assets. With at least four catches across his last two games and the Colts top-three cornerbacks hobbled by injuries, Gronk should be able to bully his way to the end-zone at some point in this game.

 

Consider Sitting

Players To Avoid Putting In Your Lineup If Possible

Andrew Luck (QB, IND)

While Luck performed admirably in Week 4 with his favorite target T.Y. Hilton coming in and out of the game and has attempted at least 40 pass attempts in every game this season, it is hard to imagine the Colts having much success through the air considering their overall lack of weapons. Fantasy owners should consider Luck to be outside of the QB1 conversation for Thursday and look for better options if they are available.

Chester RogersZach Pascal (WRs, IND)

In accordance with quarterback Andrew Luck having a difficult hill to climb, the success of his No. 2 and No. 3 wide receivers will be highly unpredictable. Neither Chester Rogers nor Zach Pascal is a standout athlete, and making projections about who will draw enough targets to be fantasy-relevant may be an exercise in throwing darts. In deeper PPR leagues with roster crunches, these players could be worth a look. But this is a risky situation for fantasy owners to rely upon for their lineups.

Josh Gordon, Chris Hogan (WRs, NE)

Pending tight end Rob Gronkowski's availability in Week 5, one of Gordon or Hogan could experience a marked increase in touchdown upside considering the number of holes the Colts have in their secondary at present. Gordon's snap count is likely to remain severely limited as he learns the nuances of the playbook while Hogan has yet to top three catches or 50 receiving yards in a game this season. For fantasy purposes, it is a good idea to monitor Gronkowski's health leading up to the game if owners are in a must-start situation for Gordon or Hogan.

 

Solid Options/Sleepers

Which Players Will Have Solid Games and Which Could Surprise?

Solid Option: Nyheim Hines (RB, IND)

Amid the inconsistent rotation of Colts running backs, Hines has successfully carved out a role as a receiver out of the backfield. The rookie rusher is averaging the fifth-most pass routes per game among running backs and is undoubtedly going to be involved in a game where the Colts could be trailing for a great deal of time.

Solid Option: Tom Brady (QB, NE)

The future Hall of Famer hasn't been quite so stellar in fantasy football, having yet to throw for over 300 yards in a game this season. Fortunately, Brady gets an exceptional bounce-back opportunity against a depleted Indianapolis Colts secondary. If his favorite target, tight end Rob Gronkowski, is able to play, most projections should slot Brady in as a QB1.

Solid Option: Julian Edelman (WR, NE)

Edelman returns from his four-game suspension ready to slide back into his role as a go-to slot receiver for the Patriots, meaning he draws immediate appeal in PPR formats despite the fact that he will need time to get used to being back on the field. He should see an immediate bump to his targets if tight end Rob Gronkowski is unable to play.

Solid Option: James White (RB, NE)

While the emergence of rookie running back Sony Michel is in the limelight, his backfield-mate has quietly accounted for an astonishing 26-percent of the New England fantasy production for skill players. The Colts defense at full strength has also been prone to giving up receptions to running backs, meaning White could be a sneaky play on Thursday.

Sleeper: Ryan Grant (WR, IND)

For fantasy owners in PPR leagues desperately looking for a plug-and-play option, Grant’s name should definitely be on your radar. While he hasn’t been able to come close to repeating a strong Week 1 performance where he led the team with eight receptions on nine targets, it is undeniable that he will be the most likely of the Colts wideouts to be peppered with targets now that T.Y. Hilton is confirmed to be sitting.

Sleeper: Phillip Dorsett (WR, NE)

Dorsett has probably been relegated to a lot of leagues' waiver wires now that the Patriots wide receiver room is looking awfully crowded. While it’s true that’s Josh Gordon is getting more comfortable with the playbook and Julian Edelman is returning from his suspension, it might be possible to squeeze one last ounce of fantasy production from Dorsett in a revenge game against his former team. His sure hands have resulted in quarterback Tom Brady targeting him at least seven times in three of his last four games and even with a decreased workload, Dorsett could be a WR3/4 play in deeper leagues before he fades into obscurity.

More Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Frank Vatrano

to Miss Six Weeks With Shoulder Injury
Conor Sheary

Noah Laba Exit With Injuries Wednesday
Brayden McNabb

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Wednesday
Miles Wood

Exits Early Wednesday
Gavin Brindley

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Michael Porter Jr.

Battling Illness, Questionable Thursday
Joel Embiid

Likely to Play Thursday
Anthony Davis

Available Thursday
Coby White

to Miss at Least One Week
Josh Giddey

to Be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas in Walking Boot After Suffering Calf Injury
Victor Wembanyama

Expects to Play Next Game After Suffering Minor Knee Injury
Davante Adams

Not Expected to Play in Week 18
Stephon Castle

Active on Wednesday
Tyler Kolek

Elevated to Available on Wednesday
Tari Eason

Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Tobias Harris

Not Expected to Suit Up on Thursday
Ariel Hukporti

Available For Wednesday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Mason Plumlee

Undergoes Groin Surgery
Zach Collins

Out at Least 10 More Days
Jerami Grant

Unavailable Again on Wednesday
Geno Smith

Won't Play in Week 18
Aaron Rodgers

Considering Playing Beyond 2025?
Sean Monahan

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Zach Werenski

Misses Fourth Straight Game Wednesday
Dougie Hamilton

Questionable Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Play in Week 18
Ilya Lyubushkin

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Lyon

to Miss "Bit of Time"
Erik Cernak

Rejoins Lightning Lineup Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Kon Knueppel

To Make Return For Charlotte On Wednesday, In Starting Lineup
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
CFB

Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Questionable Wednesday
Adam Gaudette

Unavailable Wednesday
Darcy Kuemper

Activated From Injured Reserve
Alex Lyon

Nursing Lower-Body Injury
William Karlsson

to Miss Olympics
Jack Eichel

a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Jason Dickinson

Hurt Versus Islanders
Mitchell Robinson

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Grayson Allen

Listed as Doubtful Wednesday
Mason Plumlee

Ryan Kalkbrenner, Mason Plumlee Remain Out Wednesday
Kon Knueppel

Likely to Return Wednesday
Connor Dewar

Available Tuesday
TOR

Chris Tanev to Miss Time With Lower-Body Injury
CFB

Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
Stefon Diggs

Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
CFB

Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Monday Night
Drake London

Active Against Rams
Justin Herbert

Won't Face Broncos in Week 18
Marcus Mariota

Considered "a Stretch" to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Dealing With Significant Ankle Injury
Dak Prescott

Will Play in Week 18
Lamar Jackson

Week 18 Status "to be Determined"
Joe Mixon

Won't Return This Season
T.J. Watt

a Long Shot to Play in Week 18?
CFB

Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
Joe Burrow

Will Play in Week 18 Against the Browns
CFB

Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
CFB

Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
CFB

Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer

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