X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Horse For The Course: PGA DFS (Course History) - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Hello again PGA family and thanks for joining me here at RotoBaller! The Waste Management Phoenix Open is a fun event that always seems to produce an exciting finish. This year was no different, as two of our DFS favorites battled it out throughout the day. The tournament was Tony Finau's to lose and unfortunately that's exactly what happened, with Webb Simpson draining some incredibly clutch putts down the stretch and prevailing in a playoff. Huge win for Webb. Tough-luck loss for Finau.

While neither Webb nor Tony were listed in last week's HFTC, we didn't do too bad, as every player highlighted in last week's article made the cut at TPC Scottsdale! Let's keep the momentum going this week as the PGA Tour heads back one of its most classic venues.

Horse For The Course is an article that highlights players in this week's field with elite course history, for my favorite DFS plays of the week check out my Core Four article here at RotoBaller every Wednesday. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

Featured Promo: Golf is back! Come join the fun and win big with RotoBaller. Get our full-season PGA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off! Our exclusive DFS Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, DFS Projections and weekly DFS/betting articles! Sign Up Now!

 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Overview

After a fun week in Phoenix, the PGA Tour heads back to California for the long-running AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. After two-straight weeks of very strong fields at the Farmers and Waste Management, we're definitely taking a step down when considering the quality of this AT&T field. We can probably attribute the lack of star power to this week's Pro-Am format, which forces the pros in the field to pair up with amateurs and can often lead to mind-numbingly long rounds. It's not for everyone, as evidenced by the lack of elite golfers that are scheduled to tee it up this week.

One player that will be in attendance is the AT&T defending champ Phil Mickelson. 'Lefty' outlasted Paul Casey last year and proved that age is nothing but a number. Unfortunately, it was one of the last times we've seen quality golf out of Phil until the 49-year-old popped at the Saudi International last week, which means he heads to one of his favorite venues in what qualifies as trending form for him. This event isn't totally devoid of big guns, as Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, Patrick Cantlay, and last year's runner-up Paul Casey are set to tee it up at Pebble. In addition to the Pro-Am format, we will also be faced with a three-course rotation this week (two of which don't have Shot Tracker), which means a 54-hole cut similar to what we saw a few weeks ago at the American Express. All these variables make both projecting and tracking this tournament difficult and a little frustrating.

You can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week.

 

The Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links

Par 72 - 6,816 Yards, Greens: Poa

As mentioned in the intro, we are dealing with three different courses this week. In addition to Pebble, which players will play once in the first three rounds and again in the final round, Spyglass Hill (6,953 yds/Par-72/Poa) and Monterey Peninsula's Shore Course (6,958 yds/Par-71/Poa) will also be in the rotation. All three are ruggedly beautiful, with the famous Pebble Beach being the crown jewel.

All three courses measure less than 7,000 yards, so distance isn't a necessity this week. Players will need to find fairways and greens, but that can be more difficult than it sounds in often unpredictable conditions. All three of these courses are smack-dab on the Monterrey Peninsula coast and huge changes in weather can, and often does, influence the outcome of this tournament.

So...we are forced to deal with a lot of unpredictable variables this week. The course a player draws for each different day and the amount of wind during their rounds on those different courses is something that is unfortunately out of our hands. This event is famously tough on first-timers, so I'm targeting players with plenty of AT&T experience that are sharp on approach shots.

 

The Horse

Dustin Johnson (DraftKings - $11,600)

Notable Course History: Two Wins & Two Runner-Up Finishes

DJ looms large in this event. He's logged two wins and two runner-up finishes in 12 career starts at Pebble Beach, and ranks second in all-time tournament earnings. You never need an excuse to roster DJ, but just in case you do, he heads to California in sharp form on the heels of a runner-up finish at the Saudi International last week and appears to be fully healthy after an offseason surgical procedure to repair cartilage in his knee.

My one concern here is the travel issue. Johnson finished a lackluster T45 in last year's AT&T after winning the Saudi International, so I am a little bit worried as to how playing these events in consecutive weeks will effect him. However, DJ is without a doubt the class of this rather weak field and has proven himself to be something of the "anti-Koepka" throughout his career by routinely winning "regular" PGA Tour events in which he's the favorite. Overall there's a lot to love here...he's rounding into form, is the best player in the field, and has a dominant track record in this event.

 

The Ponies

Paul Casey (DraftKings - $10,500)

Notable Course History: 2nd ('19), T8 ('18)

Paul Casey doesn't have an extensive history at Pebble Beach, but has quickly shown an affinity for the legendary track. The Englishman was oh-so-close in last year's AT&T - finishing second to Phil Mickelson - and also recorded a T8 in 2018. Casey is easing into 2020 and has only made a couple of starts this year, a T19 at the Sentry TOC and a T21 at the American Express.

The form doesn't scream out at us, but we know what we're getting with Casey...a great ballstriker that will consistently find fairways and greens. He also possesses the perfect personality to handle the pro-am aspect of this tournament.

 

Jason Day (DraftKings - $10,300)

Notable Course History: T4 ('19), T2 ('18), T5 ('17), T11 ('16), T4 ('15)

I'm always at something of a loss for words when writing up Jason Day. If you follow golf closely, then you know there are some risks that are just part of the deal when rostering Day in DFS, as we're always looking over our shoulders for some flukey injury or WD from him. So while I never feel absolutely peachy about locking in the Aussie, this is one of the events on the schedule when I feel he without a doubt deserves our consideration.

Day has been truly dominant in this event and has done pretty much everything except actually win it. He has FOUR top-five finishes in the AT&T in his last five starts and he looked surprisingly sharp in what was supposed to be a knock-the-rust off outing at the Farmers a couple of weeks ago.

 

Max Homa (DraftKings - $8,300)

Notable Course History: T10 ('19), MC ('17), T29 ('15)

There are players in this field with more extensive Pebble Beach experience than Max Homa, but Homa brings an intriguing blend of trending form and previous AT&T success to the table. The 2019 Wells Fargo champion heads to Pebble Beach on the heels of T6 finish at the Waste Management, his second top-10 in as many weeks and third in three months.

After suffering a bit of "victory hangover" after his win at Quail Hollow last season, Homa has gotten things back on track over the last several months and he's ran off five straight made cuts since November. He gains an average of .097 strokes putting on Poa and it is by far his best surface. The California native should feel right at home in the AT&T this week.

 

Scott Stallings (DraftKings - $7,600)

Notable Course History: 3rd ('19), 7th ('18), T14 ('17)

A little shoutout for my East Tennessee homeboy Scott Stallings this week. The Oak Ridge native isn’t a player that’s consistently on our radar, but my Spidey Sense starts tingling when he’s on the West Coast. This rings especially true when Stallings heads to the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, a tournament where he’s been razor sharp over the last three years.

He logged a T14 in 2017, a seventh-place finish in 2018 and topped those with a solo-third last year. Since the 2019-20 season started at Greenbrier in September, Stallings has gained strokes T2G in nine of 10 tournaments and made the cut in eight of 10. He’s a Poa specialist and has demonstrated that he’s very comfortable on this trio of courses.

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Kenneth Walker III6 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Martin Fehervary10 mins ago

Won't Be Ready To Play Monday
Jaylen Waddle15 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Alex Pietrangelo20 mins ago

Still Out Monday
Hayden Hurst22 mins ago

Done For Rest Of Week 13
Jack Eichel31 mins ago

A Doubt For Monday
Jimmy Garoppolo31 mins ago

Won't Return On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo38 mins ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Jordan Kyrou39 mins ago

Battling An Illness
Treylon Burks2 hours ago

Ruled Out Sunday
Trae Young2 hours ago

Practices On Sunday
James Harden3 hours ago

On Pace To Play Monday
Brandon Bolden3 hours ago

Josh Jacobs, Brandon Bolden Officially Active In Week 13
Alex Caruso3 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Mikal Bridges3 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Joe Mixon3 hours ago

Not Cleared In Time For Week 13
NFL3 hours ago

Ja’Marr Chase Officially Active Sunday
Doug McDermott3 hours ago

Josh Richardson Out On Sunday
Courtland Sutton3 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Lamar Jackson3 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out Sunday
Deebo Samuel3 hours ago

Trent Williams Officially Active Sunday
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Returns Versus Bears
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Treylon Burks4 hours ago

Evaluated After Scary Hit
Lamar Jackson4 hours ago

Questionable To Return Sunday
Josh Jacobs6 hours ago

Will Play In Week 13
Zay Jones6 hours ago

Travis Etienne Jr., Zay Jones Active In Week 13
Darius Slayton6 hours ago

Active For Week 13
Michael Carter6 hours ago

Officially Out Against Vikings
Antonio Gibson6 hours ago

To Play In Week 13
Bryan Reynolds6 hours ago

Pirates Offered Bryan Reynolds Franchise-Record Deal
Dansby Swanson7 hours ago

Cubs, Phillies Showing Interest In Dansby Swanson
Mitchell Marner8 hours ago

Sets New Record With 19-Game Point Streak
Kasperi Kapanen8 hours ago

Hits His Second Career Hat Trick
Connor McDavid9 hours ago

Tallies Two Goals, Two Assists Saturday
Radko Gudas9 hours ago

Lasts For Just Two Minutes Saturday
Darcy Kuemper9 hours ago

Forced Off Early
Petr Mrazek9 hours ago

Suffers Another Groin Injury
Artturi Lehkonen9 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Anfernee Simons9 hours ago

Explodes For Career-High 45 Points
Andrew Wiggins9 hours ago

Scores Season-High 36 Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander10 hours ago

Returns With A 33-Point Effort
Pascal Siakam10 hours ago

Gets A Double-Double With Assists
Terry Rozier10 hours ago

Delivers 26 Points Saturday
Bobby Portis10 hours ago

Leads Bucks To Victory Saturday
Tim Hardaway10 hours ago

Jr. Hits Knicks With Eight Treys
Juancho Hernangomez10 hours ago

Exits With An Ankle Sprain
Jeremy Sochan17 hours ago

Out Versus The Suns On Sunday
Jakob Poeltl17 hours ago

Remains Out Versus Phoenix
Torrey Craig17 hours ago

Sidelined For Meeting With The Spurs
Mikal Bridges17 hours ago

Probable Against San Antonio
Chris Paul19 hours ago

Won't Be Back On Sunday
Herbert Jones19 hours ago

Sitting Again Versus The Nuggets
Brandon Ingram19 hours ago

Out Against Denver
Jeff Green19 hours ago

Questionable Against The Pelicans
Anthony Cirelli24 hours ago

Will Play Saturday
Brayden Schenn1 day ago

Good To Go Saturday
Josh Manson1 day ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Anton Lundell1 day ago

Unavailable Saturday
Thatcher Demko1 day ago

Out For Six Weeks
Lawson Crouse1 day ago

Returns For Coyotes
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Out As A Healthy Scratch
Bryan Reynolds1 day ago

Requesting A Trade
Kyle Gibson1 day ago

Orioles Agree With Kyle Gibson
Eddy Alvarez1 day ago

Brewers Sign Eddy Alvarez
Brandon Nimmo1 day ago

Yankees Have Met With Brandon Nimmo
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets, Yankees Interested In Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Jameson Taillon1 day ago

Mets, Rangers In On Jameson Taillon
Noah Syndergaard1 day ago

Orioles Meet With Noah Syndergaard
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets Now Looking At Justin Verlander
Trea Turner1 day ago

Padres Have Met With Trea Turner Twice
Kevin Holland1 day ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory
Stephen Thompson1 day ago

Set To Headline Main Event
Bryan Barberena1 day ago

Will Highlight Co-Main-Event Matchup
Rafael Dos Anjos1 day ago

Rafael dos Anjos In Saturday's Co-Main Event
Johnny Gaudreau1 day ago

Has Another Multi-Point Performance
Patrik Laine1 day ago

Returns With A Two-Goal Effort
Mathew Barzal1 day ago

Pots A Power-Play Goal
Matt Schnell2 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Hoping To Be A Tough Out
Matheus Nicolau2 days ago

Can Continue To Make Strides In The Division
Jacob deGrom2 days ago

Signs Five-Year Deal With Rangers
Jason Castro2 days ago

Announces His Retirement
Lewin Díaz2 days ago

Lewin Diaz Claimed By Orioles
Andrew Cave2 days ago

Phillies Claim Jake Cave Off Waivers From Orioles
Sergei Pavlovich2 days ago

Can Secure Fifth Straight Win Saturday
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Yankees In On Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Chris Martin2 days ago

Agrees With Red Sox
Jesse Winker2 days ago

Abraham Toro Heading To Brewers
Kolten Wong2 days ago

Mariners Acquire Kolten Wong From The Brewers
Tai Tuivasa2 days ago

Facing Off Against Dangerous Heavyweight
Jack Hermansson2 days ago

Looking For Victory Over Rising Star
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For Huge Test Saturday
Kyle Daukaus2 days ago

Looking For Big Finish Saturday
Zack Britton2 days ago

Should Be Full-Go For Spring Training
Salvador Perez2 days ago

White Sox Looking To Trade For Salvador Perez?
Eryk Anders2 days ago

Hoping To Prevent Losing Skid On Saturday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP