X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Eric Cross' Dynasty News and Notes: Rockies, Rookies and Mitch Keller - Oh My!

Mitch Keller - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

In the dynasty world, news and notes articles take on a whole new meaning. Not only are we discussing short-term value with these players, but we need to look long-term as well. A good dynasty manager is like Crazy Eyes from the movie Mr. Deeds. You have to have one eye on the present and one eye on the future. "I wasn't talking to you, Deeds. I was talking to that squirrel over there. [points at a goat]."

So that's what I'm going to do each week with this Dynasty News and Notes article here on RotoBaller. I'll be going around the league, discussing all the notable storylines and players both from a short-term and long-term perspective. Let's get to it.

In this week's report, I'll be discussing the rise of Mitch Keller, two rookie arms with the same last name, undervalued Colorado prospect bats, and so much more.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!

 

Fantasy Baseball Dynasty News and Notes

Trust in Mitch Keller?

Over the years, I’ve been lower on Mitch Keller than most, dating back to his days as a top pitching prospect. And up until the last 12 months or so, that has worked out fairly well. Now in 2023, Keller is looking better than he ever has, and this run even started over the second half of the 2022 season when he posted a 2.71 ERA over his final 15 starts. In 10 starts this season, Keller has been even better with a 2.44 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 5.6% walk rate, and a 30.7% strikeout rate. There's been no luck or flukiness in this performance either as Keller's xERA is 2.82.

Over the years, Keller has continuously tweaked his arsenal and usage rates, and that continued this season. Keller added a sweeper last season and brought back his cutter this season after ditching it in 2022. We're also seeing fewer 4-seamers from Keller as he really mixes up which fastballs he's attacking hitters with. The great thing about Keller's arsenal is that he'll throw all six of his pitches to left-handed batters and five of the six to right-handed batters.

You'll probably notice that Keller doesn't have any elite whiff-rate pitches or have a high whiff rate in general (22.1%), yet he's above a 30% strikeout rate. Well, Keller has exponentially improved both his command and control this season, which has definitely factored into his success. Keller is locating much better and his first-pitch strike rate is up 7.7% from last season. Is he going to be a fantasy ace? Probably not. But I'm buying into this new-look Keller as a back-end SP2 or solid SP3 for fantasy purposes moving forward and a top-100 overall player.

 

It’s Miller Time

Over the last few weeks, two of the top pitching prospects in the game, both with the last name Miller, have made their Major League debuts. And to put it simply, both Bobby Miller and Bryce Miller should be arms you're targeting in dynasty leagues right now. Bobby Miller made his debut on Tuesday night against a good Atlanta lineup and allowed just one earned run over five innings with five strikeouts. He averaged 99.4 mph on his four-seamer while mixing in a slider, changeup, curveball, and sinker. Miller's fastball and slider are easily plus pitches, probably double-plus, and he's flashed and above-average to plus changeup as well. The upside here is massive and you have to feel good about the organization he's in. Just check out this 4-seam and slider overlay below from his debut.

As for Bryce Miller, he had another impressive outing yesterday against Oakland, tossing six shutout innings with six strikeouts. The outing lowered his ERA to a sparkling 1.15 in five starts (31.1 IP). Miller has leaned heavily on his four-seamer in the Majors, throwing it more than 70% of the time. But hey, you would too if your fastball was as elite as Miller's is. And even though his slider hasn't registered a high whiff rate so far with Seattle, it's a legit plus offering that should be able to generate plenty of whiffs moving forward. Miller's dynasty stock is firmly on the rise.

 

Undervalued Rockies Prospects

Recently, I put out a poll asking the Twitter world which Rockies prospect they would take long-term between Zac Veen, Sterlin Thompson, Yanquiel Fernandez, and Jordan Beck. To no surprise, Veen won the poll, but getting a whopping 64.1% of the votes was certainly surprising. While I do have Veen ahead still in my overall rankings, this poll signaled that the other three are very underrated in the dynasty world.

Sterlin Thompson: While he doesn't have the buzziest profile around, Sterlin Thompson's bat is legit. He's a plus hitter with an advanced approach at the plate and has struck out only 7.7% of the time this season while slashing .463/.513/.746 in 78 plate appearances. Thompson also has above-average raw power, and both his hit tool and power should be elevated a bit in that think Rocky Mountain air. This could easily turn into a .275+ hitter with 20+ homers annually and maybe even 5-10 steals as well.

Yanquiel Fernandez: Fernandez fits the power-hitting corner outfield mold well and is proving to be a better hitter than most evaluators thought when he was signed a few years ago. In 205 career minor league games, Fernandez is slashing .301/.355/.527 with 61 doubles and 37 home runs. He's a bit on the aggressive side, but has shown solid contact skills with plus or better raw power and has had no issues translating that power into games. With minimal speed to add, Fernandez will need the bat to stand out for him to continue his rise up rankings, but I'm definitely a believer in that happening.

Jordan Beck: The Rockies selected Beck 38th overall in the 2022 draft and he's done nothing but hit since debuting in the minors late last season. In 156 plate appearances this season, Beck has a stellar .309/.391/.654 slash line with nine doubles and 12 home runs. He's also shown a solid approach with a 12.4% walk rate and 22.4% strikeout rate. Beck's power is his standout tool and grades as plus or better, and he's displaying an average to above-average hit tool as well. It'd be nice if he contributed some steals as Beck does have average or better speed, but even without the steals, this is a prospect that could wind up as a top-50 prospect by the end of the season.

As I was writing this article, both Beck and Fernandez went yard, their 13th and 11th home runs of the season respectively.

Adael AmadorEven though my poll didn't include him as I have him ranked considerably higher than the other four, I feel that Adael Amador should be included here as he's fairly underrated as well. In each of his three seasons in the minors, Amador has displayed an elite approach and currently sports a career .400 OBP with more walks (127) than strikeouts (113) in 192 games. This is a plus hitter with at least average power and speed that has taken a nice step forward in the power department this season. He's a borderline top-25 prospect for me right now and top-20 for OBP formats, but the perceived value doesn't appear to be that high. That makes Amador a great trade target in dynasty leagues.

 

Dynasty Quick Hits

It's been a rough 2023 season for Boston's Triston Casas, but I'm definitely looking to capitalize on the slow start and buy low in dynasty leagues. As I'm writing this, Casas is sitting with a .184/.312/.354 slash line and six home runs in 153 plate appearances this season. Many of his metrics still have me encouraged for a rebound and subsequent rise up dynasty rankings. Many of the attributes that made Casas a top prospect are still there. He's hitting the ball hard (13.8% barrel, 41.4% hard hit), walking at a high clip (16.2%), and not chasing much (23.1%). I'd definitely be looking to grab some dynasty shares as his price might be the lowest it will ever be.

We've already seen the debuts of Bobby Miller and Gavin Stone this season, but the pitching gravy train in the Los Angeles Dodgers organization doesn't stop there. With those two in the Majors, the next man up for exciting Dodgers' pitching prospects to garner top 100 overall love is Emmet Sheehan. The 6'5 right-hander has posted a stellar 1.66 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 38 Double-A innings this season, striking out a whopping 44.7% of the batters he's faced. Sheehan leads with a plus or better fastball and a trio of secondary offerings that can all miss bats. If he continues to pitch like this, Sheehan is going to be a top 50 overall fantasy prospect in short order, and it still feels like his perceived value hasn't fully caught up.

Another Dodgers prospect on the rise right now is Jonny DeLuca. In 32 games for Double-A Tulsa, DeLuca slashed .279/.380/.590 with eight doubles, 10 home runs, and nine steals. That performance earned him a promotion to Triple-A where he has yet to go yard in seven games.  This is another prime example of not counting out these prospects that might be a tad older for the level they're currently at.

As I've mentioned before, we need to focus on the profile, and DeLuca's is one that could lead to some decent fantasy value given his above-average or better power and speed. Even if the average is a bit lower in the .250 range, you'll take that if he can flirt with 20/20 annually. Will that come as a full-time starter for the Dodgers or on another team is still to be determined though. I'm not saying he's going to be another James Outman, but I can see DeLuca continuing to exceed expectations as Outman has.

Has Michael Kopech finally turned the corner? Over his last two starts, Kopech has combined for 15 shutout innings and 19 strikeouts while allowing only three hits and one walk. Granted, these two starts were against two bottom-10 offenses in Kansas City and Cleveland, but it's certainly encouraging to see after the underwhelming season Kopech had been having. Lance Brozdowski of Marquee Sports Network also noted that Kopech lowered his release point today which allowed him to add a tick of velo and an inch of run on his fastball.

Last, but certainly not least, we have Brayan Bello from my Boston Red Sox. After two underwhelming outings to open his 2023 season, Bello has rattled off five straight starts of five or more innings, two earned runs or less, and five or more strikeouts. His four-seamer has been very effective in the month of May (.118 BAA, 38.6% whiff), and Bello is missing plenty of bats with his elite changeup. I'd still love to see fewer sinkers, more four-seamers, and more sliders, but Bello appears to really be finding his groove. The window to buy-low in dynasty is about to be slammed shut.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Ketel Marte15 mins ago

Swats Seventh Home Run
Christian Walker51 mins ago

Logs Single In Saturday's Loss
John Collins7 hours ago

Still Available
Marcus Smart7 hours ago

Has Solid Showing In Game 6
Jaylen Brown7 hours ago

Has 26 Points In Win Over Miami
Robert Williams7 hours ago

III Finishes With 10 Points Saturday
Derrick White7 hours ago

Forces A Game 7
Jayson Tatum7 hours ago

Scores 31 Points In Game 6
Julio Urías8 hours ago

Julio Urias To Throw Bullpen Session Monday
Xander Bogaerts8 hours ago

Expected Back In The Lineup Sunday
Max Kepler8 hours ago

Almost "Fully Recovered"
Jesús Sánchez9 hours ago

Jesus Sanchez Will Return On Tuesday
Yu Chang9 hours ago

Pauses Rehab Assignment
Anthony Rizzo10 hours ago

Logs Base Hit As Yankees End Losing Streak
Matt McLain10 hours ago

Records Two Hits Saturday
Jose Trevino11 hours ago

Could Return Sunday
Drey Jameson11 hours ago

Recalled From Triple-A Reno
Rafael Devers11 hours ago

Dealing With Minor Calf Injury
DeAndre Hopkins11 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Roansy Contreras11 hours ago

Will Shift To The Bullpen In The Near Future
Travis Etienne Jr.11 hours ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Kevin Kiermaier11 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Lower-Back Discomfort
Arizona Cardinals11 hours ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Vince Velasquez12 hours ago

Removed With Elbow Discomfort
Austin Dillon12 hours ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones12 hours ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez12 hours ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola12 hours ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe13 hours ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs13 hours ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
Joey Logano13 hours ago

Tries To Bounce Back From Charlotte Mishap
Martin Truex Jr13 hours ago

. Wants To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Justin Haley13 hours ago

Might Have Challenge At Charlotte
Tyler Reddick13 hours ago

Aims To Move Up At Charlotte
Zack Wheeler14 hours ago

Fans Season-High 12 Batters In Fourth Win
Michael Lorenzen14 hours ago

Can’t Log Win Despite Strong Display
DJ LeMahieu14 hours ago

Emerges From Cold Spell With Homer
Justin Verlander14 hours ago

Aims To Build On Longest Start
Daniel Vogelbach15 hours ago

Sitting On Saturday Amidst Tough Year
Kris Bryant15 hours ago

Scuffling, Gets Night Off On Saturday
Ross Chastain15 hours ago

Looking For A Win At Charlotte
Harrison Burton15 hours ago

On The Hot Seat For Results
Kyle Larson15 hours ago

Fast And Furious At Charlotte
Chris Buescher16 hours ago

Risky But Could Provide Reward
Ricky Stenhouse Jr16 hours ago

. May Be On Borrowed Time At Charlotte
Christopher Bell16 hours ago

Trying To Improve On 2022 Charlotte Result
Ryan Blaney16 hours ago

Still Trying To Find The Checkered Flag
Kyle Busch16 hours ago

In Interesting Position For Charlotte
Denny Hamlin16 hours ago

Starts Fourth For Coca-Cola 600
Brad Keselowski16 hours ago

Rides Metric Wave At Charlotte
Kevin Harvick16 hours ago

Starts Second At Charlotte
Jerome Kapp21 hours ago

Jets Sign Jerome Kapp
San Francisco 49ers21 hours ago

Dre Greenlaw Recovering From Finger Surgery
Chris Moore21 hours ago

Willing To Play Any Role
Gary Brightwell21 hours ago

Could Be Buried On Depth Chart
Dallas Cowboys22 hours ago

Terence Steele Limited At OTAs
Marquise Brown22 hours ago

Becomes Cardinals' No. 1 Receiver
Deshaun Watson22 hours ago

Jordan Akins Eager To Work With Deshaun Watson Again
Deshaun Watson22 hours ago

Elijah Moore Building Chemistry With Deshaun Watson
Gabe Vincent1 day ago

Questionable On Saturday
Tyler Herro1 day ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Bam Adebayo1 day ago

Good To Go For Game 6
Malcolm Brogdon1 day ago

Questionable For Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins1 day ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams1 day ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 day ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Darren Waller1 day ago

Enjoying Time In New York
Dalvin Cook2 days ago

Now Considering A Pay Cut?
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Chiefs A Potential Landing Spot For DeAndre Hopkins?
Detroit Pistons2 days ago

Detroit Brings Kevin Ollie And Charles Lee In For Second Interviews
Atlanta Hawks2 days ago

Hawks Hire Igor Kokoskov As Lead Assistant Coach
Joel Embiid2 days ago

Still Considered Untouchable
D'Angelo Russell2 days ago

Lakers Won't Pursue The Max For D'Angelo Russell
Fred VanVleet2 days ago

Raptors Unsure If They Want To Re-Sign Fred VanVleet
Tyler Allgeier2 days ago

Not Concerned About Usage
Hendon Hooker2 days ago

Preparing Himself Mentally
Michael Gallup2 days ago

To Have Expanded Role
Indianapolis Colts2 days ago

Shaquille Leonard Remains Without A Timetable
Haywood Highsmith2 days ago

Fills In Well From The Bench
Jimmy Butler2 days ago

Held In Check For Just 14 Points
Duncan Robinson2 days ago

Leads The Heat In Scoring
Marcus Smart2 days ago

Swipes Five Steals In Big Game 5 Win
Jayson Tatum2 days ago

Secures Double-Double In Game 5
Derrick White2 days ago

Leads All Scorers In Game 5 Victory
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson2 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson2 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski2 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger3 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov3 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill3 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4
Jamie Benn3 days ago

Suspended For Two Games
Sergei Bobrovsky3 days ago

Remains Sharp In Series-Clincher
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 4 Victory
Matthew Tkachuk3 days ago

Late Goal Sends Panthers To Stanley Cup Final
Michael Block4 days ago

A Fade At Charles Schwab
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Looks To Regain Form
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

Teeing It Up After Close Call At PGA Championship
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Tough To Include In Fantasy Lineups
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Worth Fantasy Consideration Heading To Colonial
Billy Horschel4 days ago

Inconsistency Makes Him A Tough Choice
Ryan Fox4 days ago

An Intriguing Pick For Fantasy Lineups
Alex Smalley4 days ago

A Risky Option For Fantasy Lineups
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

To Bounce Back After Missed Cut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

A Risky Fantasy Play At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Byeong Hun An's Impressive Play Makes Him Strong Fantasy Option
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Continue Playing Well
Tom Hoge4 days ago

A Viable Fantasy Option At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Cameron Davis Playing Well Heading To Colonial
Max Homa4 days ago

A Reliable Fantasy Option At Colonial
Will Gordon4 days ago

A Solid Option In Texas
Cameron Champ4 days ago

Worth A Look At Colonial
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

A Solid Sleeper At Colonial
Sam Stevens4 days ago

Worth A Shot At Charles Schwab
Ryan Palmer4 days ago

Is It Safe To Start Ryan Palmer In Texas?
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

In A Major Slump
Aleksander Barkov4 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone4 days ago

Jamie Benn Ejected For Cross-Checking Mark Stone In Game 3
Ivan Barbashev4 days ago

Collects Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Adin Hill4 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Sergei Bobrovsky5 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Suffers Lower-Body Injury In Game 3
Angela Hill6 days ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Anthony Hernandez6 days ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
MMA6 days ago

Lupita Godinez Picks Up Decision Win
Joaquin Buckley6 days ago

Gets Back In Win Column
Diego Ferreira6 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Adin Hill6 days ago

Keeps Rolling With Victory In Game 2
Ryan Suter6 days ago

Collects Two Assists In Sunday's Loss
Mark Stone6 days ago

Scores A Power-Play Goal In Game 2
Mackenzie Dern6 days ago

Puts On Impressive Showing In Main Event
Edmen Shahbazyan6 days ago

Knocked Out Saturday
Emily Ducote6 days ago

Shows Out Well But Takes Decision Loss
Andre Fialho6 days ago

Takes Third Straight Defeat Saturday
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF