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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on July 3rd, 2019. Austyn Varney's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
Welcome to Wednesday baseball on DraftKings! We have been blessed with a 14-game main slate over on DK and there's a whole lot to dive into. From a game in Coors Field with a lack of solid cheap pitching to some expensive arms and cheap bats. There are a ton of ways to go tonight and it'll be a fun one in tournaments.
Over on DK, you can hop into the qualifier for $170 or go for a shot at $25k for just $12. I recommend putting together multiple lineups into that bad boy, as the possibilities are endless tonight and we're going to see a lot of runs. Walker Buehler gets away from Coors Field and should return to his normal dominant self at home against Arizona. With that said, it'll be tough to pay up at pitcher with so many quality bats. Let's dive in and figure out where we want to make a sacrifice.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 7/3/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, contact me on Twitter @varneydfs.
DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Walker Buehler - LAD vs. ARI ($10,900)
Chris Sale and Walker Buehler are in a tier of their own tonight. Chris Sale is facing the Jays and has as much upside as anyone, but he’s a full $1k more expensive and the projections aren’t much different. Walker Buehler has exceeded 100 pitches in four of his last five starts and has sported a 2.21 xFIP over that period. He’s striking out 11 batters per nine innings and walking just over two. The Diamondbacks aren’t a bad offense by any means, but they’re worse outside of Arizona and they do K 24% of the time against righties. Look for Buehler to get back on track tonight after a tough start in Coors a week ago.
Chris Archer - PIT vs. CHC ($7,700)
There’s not much to love on the cheap end of pitching tonight. If you can figure out paying up for both options and still liking your lineup, it’s a solid idea. With that said, there’s a ton of expensive bats on this slate and Archer is a route to those bats. He’s not the pitcher he once was, but he still has the K upside and the Pirates typically stretch him into the sixth or seventh inning. Don’t expect a clean slate against the hard-hitting lefties in the order, but he should offset those two or three runs with seven or eight strikeouts. Archer is a volatile arm, but he’s priced down on DK to $7.7k and will help you fit in a few big bats.
DraftKings DFS Infielders
C - James McCann - CWS vs. DET (Alexander - L) ($4,600)
James McCann may not have anywhere near the power of Gary Sanchez, but he’s far more consistent and not as expensive. McCann is hitting .309 on the season and sporting a .411 wOBA against righties. Tyler Alexander will make his debut for the Tigers after holding a 6.35 ERA in AAA. He’s not a big prospect and the White Sox should have their way with him. McCann is at a weak position and has a ton of upside for under 15% owned.
1B - Daniel Vogelbach - SEA vs. STL (Wainwright - R) ($4,300)
With so many offenses to choose from tonight, I don’t think the Mariners will get any attention at all against Adam Wainwright. With that said, he’s allowed a .405 wOBA to lefties on the season and has given up seven home runs in just 30 innings. This Mariners lineup is dangerous and Vogelbach is a big reason why vs righties (.391 wOBA) and his power is going to land him in the 40-50 range. He’s affordable on DK tonight and I can guarantee the Mariners won’t have much ownership. Against a guy holding a .400+ wOBA, that’s an advantage for you.
2B - Luis Arraez - MIN @ OAK (Anderson - R) ($3,500)
Arraez is finally looking at some major league struggles after going 22 for his first 50 and looking like an all-star. Everyone knew the drop would happen, but Arraez is still a solid player that’s going to hit for average. The Twins still have him high in the order and he’ll have numerous RBI opportunities. They’re facing off with Tanner Anderson, who hasn’t shown his worth in the majors yet and has allowed a 5.11 xFIP to opposing hitters. The Twins should have a nice night at the plate and look for an cheap Arraez to contribute.
3B - Yandy Diaz - TB vs. BAL (Means - L) ($4,400)
John Means is an average left-handed pitcher, giving up a 5.85 xFIP to righties while surviving on luck. The regression monster is ahead for Means and it could start here. Yandy Diaz has been one of the best bats in baseball against southpaws so far with a crazy .462 wOBA. He’s priced down a bit and has been swinging a hot stick. He won’t get much attention and is a solid pivot off of the obvious expensive bats.
SS - Trevor Story - COL vs. HOU (Miley - L) ($4,500)
You can play any of these Rockies righties, but Trevor Story has to be the best option all things considered. For one, he’s just as good, if not better vs lefties than Arenado. He’s also way cheaper and at a position without as many options. Story has sported a .462 wOBA at home vs southpaws and there’s nothing to signal that’s a fluke, either. Wade Miley is living on his last leg and this game in Coors Field could make it obvious. The bullpen behind him isn’t great either and it’s why these Rockies hold the highest implied team total on the slate.
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
Yordan Alvarez - HOU @ COL (Lambert - R) ($5,500)
You can play countless of these expensive outfielders, but let's get this Astros team under the microscope for a second. They're facing off with Peter Lambert, who's been quite bad in his short sample size. Against lefties, he's allowed a .46 wOBA and five home runs in just 10 innings of work. It's hard to judge a pitcher off if just a couple starts, but he's been terrible in Coors Field and this Astros team is not one to mess with. Alvarez is a phenomenal play himself, but the whole lineup is in play if you can afford them. Alvarez and his short sample has sported a .450 vs righties and it seems like he's hitting a HR every night. Coors Field should be very fun for him.
Jordan Luplow - CLE @ KC (Duffy - L) ($4,300)
Jordan Luplow will be heating cleanup, as he always does vs lefties. He's a specialist, holding onto a .411 wOBA vs southpaws and sporting a .204 ISO. Danny Duffy is on the downside of his career and is living on luck at this point. The Indians are projected for five + runs and I don't think they get much attention from the general public. Against right-handers, Duffy has allowed a .347 wOBA and 41% hard contact rate. Luplow will go overlooked and has a ton of upside in tournaments at an affordable price.
