👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy - The Home Run Elephant in the Room

We've all heard about the home runs. A total of 6,105 balls left the yard in 2017 - or avoided outfielders sufficiently for an inside-the-park home run. The previous record of 5,693 home runs was set in 2000 during the peak of the steroid era. This time, juiced balls and mechanical changes seem to be driving the spike. Hitters have also adjusted to the league-wide increase in fastball velocity.

What does this mean for fantasy and dynasty owners? When once we talked about a 15-homer guy with decent accompanying stats - think Josh Reddick - as a core performer, we're now forced to seek more power. Anything less than 20 home runs per active roster spot isn't competitive.

In fact, I took a peek under the hood in four of my leagues and found the following: competitive teams averaged 24 home runs per active slot. A couple of those were two-catcher formats and one was a deep 20-team dynasty. To roster Reddick's 13 home runs and healthy .314 batting average, you need to offset him with a 33-HR slugger. Can we go about doing this as easily as it sounds?

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

Prioritizing Power

Luckily it's never been easier to find affordable power. In all but the deepest dynasties, players like Justin Smoak, Logan Morrison, Scott Schebler, Lucas Duda, and Mark Reynolds were free or nearly free. The list goes on if you relax the constraints to "cheap to acquire." In shallower leagues, Aaron Judge, Joey Gallo, and Cody Bellinger supplied 39 or more home runs at a modest cost. More likely than not, new surprises will emerge in 2018. Even Scooter friggin' Gennett hit 27 home runs in only 497 plate appearances.

The power influx, especially from unanticipated sources, has major strategic implications for dynasty owners. It's more important than ever to churn the waiver wire. Even in my deepest league where we roster 900 players, prospects, and amateurs overall, guys like Tommy Pham, Paul DeJong, and Chris Taylor spent time on waivers. Finding these players will not only increase your competitive advantage in 2018, you can often convert them into long term assets. Whether your contending or rebuilding, plan to scour your free and cheap options.

A total of 117 players hit at least 20 home runs with another 70 or so showing the potential to reach that threshold. That's not including prospects set to graduate to the majors. Some of those players will fall under the 20-homer plateau. Others will exceed it. If I had to bet, I'd put money on more than 117 players reaching 20 home runs this coming season. If the World Series is any indication, the rate of balls leaving the yard won't slow down any time soon.

Since power is plentiful, it's never been harder to win the category. In the recent past, an owner could draft Giancarlo Stanton and Nelson Cruz in the early rounds then focus on other categories. While a Stanton and Cruz pair will help you to post a healthy homer total, they're now only a moderate disabled list stint away from looking an awful lot like a waiver wire guy. The real danger is with no-power hitters like DJ LeMahieu or Joe Mauer. You may find yourself tempted by their over-.300 batting average, but it's difficult to overcome a roster spot supplying under 10 home runs. This is less of an issue with counting stats like stolen bases, although it is still an important consideration.

Ultimately, the key to victory is vigilance. That was true before the home run spike, and it's especially true now. Make sure you're getting home runs from all of your roster spots. Try to upgrade those that project to supply 15 or fewer. If you happen to be using a no-power option like Billy Hamilton to stay competitive in another category, make sure you can offset the pain with a Khris Davis type. Even if you're rebuilding, make sure you stick your hand in the waiver wire lottery. You never know when you'll find a free core performer. They'll be out there.

 

More 2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy

 

2018 Draft Kit and Premium Pass

When you join early and purchase our Premium Pass for the entire MLB season, you get 50% off. Dominate your leagues all year long with our preseason, in-season, and DFS Premium Tools.

Sign Up Now!




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyren Williams

Have Timeshare Concerns Sunk Kyren Williams' Dynasty Value Too Low?
Ja'Marr Chase

Is Ja'Marr Chase the Most Valuable Player in Dynasty?
Javonte Williams

' Unusual Career Path Has Left Him Undervalued in Dynasty Leagues
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
Terry McLaurin

a Veteran Buy for Contending Dynasty Managers
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
Tee Higgins

Becoming an Underappreciated Dynasty Asset
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
Alex Caruso

Erupts for 31 Points in Game 1 Loss to Spurs
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
Jalen Williams

Productive in Comeback Game
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Records First Double-Double of Postseason
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Stephon Castle

Opens Conference Finals With Double-Double
Dylan Harper

Makes Outstanding Two-Way Impact in Game 1 Win
Victor Wembanyama

Dominates Game 1 Against Thunder
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Rasmus Dahlin

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Jakub Dobes

Records 37 Saves in Game 7 Win
Lane Hutson

Contributes Power-Play Assist in Game 7 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Extends Road Point Streak
Alex Newhook

Scores Series-Clincher in Overtime
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Larry Nance Jr.

is Questionable for Game 1 on Tuesday
OG Anunoby

is Probable for Tuesday's Game 1
Luke Kornet

is Cleared for Game 1
New Orleans Pelicans

Jamahl Mosley Agrees to Become Pelicans Next Head Coach
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 1 on Monday
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Set to Start Game 7
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Tage Thompson

Can Match Franchise Record With Another Multi-Point Game
Nick Suzuki

Seeks More Road Success Monday
Lane Hutson

Riding a Five-Game Assist Streak Into Game 7
Filip Gustavsson

Needs Offseason Surgery
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Cam Skattebo

Dynasty Stock Rising Following NFL Draft
Kaleb Johnson

Logging First-Team Reps in OTAs
Evan Engram

Dynasty Value Fading After Production Decline in 2025
TreVeyon Henderson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded By Split Backfield in New England
Caleb Williams

' Dynasty Upside Remains Sky-High Entering 2026
Bijan Robinson

Is Bijan Robinson the No. 1 Overall Player in Dynasty Formats?
Woody Marks

Should Have Plenty of Opportunities to Catch Passes
Drew Allar

Working as QB4 in First OTA Session
Aaron Rodgers

Reports to Steelers Facilities on Monday
Alvin Kamara

Saints Remain Non-Committal on Alvin Kamara's Future
Chris Olave

Saints Continue to Work on Extension With Chris Olave
Parker Washington

a Sneaky Trade Target in Dynasty Leagues?
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Jarquez Hunter

Can Jarquez Hunter's Dynasty Outlook Improve in Year 2?
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
James Conner

Off the Dynasty Radar Entirely?
Elijah Arroyo

Will Elijah Arroyo Continue to Have Trouble Getting on the Field?
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Tre Tucker

Not a Long-Term Solution in Dynasty Leagues
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Tobias Harris

Goes Cold in Game 7 Loss
Quinn Hughes

Open to Signing Extension This Offseason
Jalen Duren

Finishes Game 7 with Quiet Line
Cade Cunningham

Endures Cold Shooting Night Sunday
Joel Eriksson Ek

Misses Second Round Due to Heel Injury
Sam Merrill

Catches Fire in Game 7 Win
Evan Mobley

Posts Versatile Double-Double in Game 7
Jonas Brodin

Sits Out Round 2 Due to Toe Injury
Donovan Mitchell

Guides Cavaliers Into East Finals
Sam Malinski

Practices Fully Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Scores 23 Points in Cavs' Game 7 Rout of Pistons
Josh Manson

Rejoins Practice
Kevin Huerter

Active on Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert Available Sunday
Dean Wade

Max Strus Replaces Dean Wade in Starting Lineup Sunday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

to Have Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF