RADIO
James Outman 2024 Player Outlook: ADP Overvalued Versus The Field
11 months agoLos Angeles Dodgers outfielder James Outman enjoyed a big rookie season in 2023. In his age-26 season, the lefty-swinging Outman hit .248 with 23 home runs, 16 stolen bases, 86 runs, 70 RBI, and a .790 OPS across a hefty 567 trips to the plate. He played nearly every day and held his own with a .254 average against left-handed pitching (versus a .246 mark against righties), although his power almost exclusively came against opposite-handed pitching. However, ATC is projecting a dip in production across the board, namely in usage, home runs, stolen bases, batting average, runs, and RBI. It's important to note that his .326 xwOBA in his rookie season was well below his .344 wOBA while he ranked in the 44th percentile in hard-hit rate, 21st in average exit velocity, 32nd in xSLG, and 16th in xBA. His 179.72 ADP puts him ahead of outfielders such as Brandon Nimmo, Daulton Varsho, Kerry Carpenter, and Lars Nootbaar, all of whom hold far more value at prevailing ADPs.
