X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Basketball Breakouts, Busts, and Locks - Milwaukee Bucks (2023-24)

Khris Middleton - NBA DFS Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

Welcome to yet another edition of RotoBaller's Fantasy Basketball Breakouts, Busts, and Locks for the 2023-24 season. Today, we will be looking at the Milwaukee Bucks; a team that has around two more seasons to convince Giannis Antetokounmpo to stay.

Last season was filled with ups and downs. They had a 9-0 start, but injuries and inconsistencies led to them sitting at the fourth seed by mid-January. They went on a 15-game winning streak and finished the season as the first seed, but were utterly humiliated by the Heat in the playoffs just like what happened in 2020. They traded for Damian Lillard in the offseason in hopes of running it back one more time.

In this article, we will highlight the breakout, bust, and lock picks for the 2023-2024 Bucks.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including NBA Writer of the Year, Best NFL Series, MLB Series, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Milwaukee Bucks Fantasy Breakout - Pat Connaughton

The Bucks have a pretty interesting decision to make for their fifth starter. We all know Giannis, Lillard, Khris Middleton, and Brook Lopez will be starting, but the fifth spot is wide open. The battle for that spot is primarily being fought between Connaughton, Malik Beasley, and MarJon Beauchamp.

HC Adrian Griffin has already been impressed with Beasley; however, he hasn't had a positive Plus/Minus Net Per 100 Possessions since he was a rookie and his supposedly "good shooting" isn't that good. He averaged a 53.1% True Shooting percentage last season, four percent below the league average for SGs (57.1%). He is also a pretty poor defender, which is why he got almost no minutes during the Lakers' playoff run. Even if he does start initially, he will likely get dropped shortly afterward. Beauchamp, on the other hand, is a very raw basketball player.

He has the tools to be a good defender and is a good athlete, but had a TS% of 51.3% last season and averaged a Plus/Minus Net Per 100 Possessions of -11.2. He has been compared to a rookie Khris Middleton in Detroit, but not even Middleton was that raw as a rookie. Rookie Middleton had superior advanced stats and efficiency compared to rookie Beauchamp.

It's clear that he needs a year or two to contribute, so for now, the best option will be Pat Connaughton. Connaughton has been around this core for five seasons and played three seasons with Damian Lillard, whom he has formed a friendship with. "It’s not just about basketball with [Lillard]," said Connaughton in 2019. "We’ve developed a friendship."

Connaughton isn't a star defensive presence by any means, but he is the most prepared to contribute on both sides of the ball out of the three. Considering that he had a down year in 2022-23, he has a very low ADP. Now, he could bounce back and give you 12 to 13 points on great shooting (62% TS percentage in 2021-22), which is great value considering his draft stock right now.

 

Milwaukee Bucks Fantasy Bust - Khris Middleton

Is Khris Middleton "washed"? He had a very disappointing regular season due to injuries but put up great numbers without Giannis in the playoffs. Even if he was completely healthy, I would expect his numbers to go down while playing with Damian Lillard. Lillard's usage percentage is way higher than Middleton's ex-backcourt partner Jrue Holiday.

Lillard averaged a usage percentage of 33.8% last season, which was fifth in the NBA. Even though his usage will go down with Giannis, he averaged a usage percentage of 26.9% in his last season with LaMarcus Aldridge, and that was when he was just 24. Holiday averaged a usage percentage of 23.6% in his time with the Bucks.

We could expect a usage percentage of around 29 to 30%, which could only mean bad things for Middleton's production. And again, we're assuming that he stays healthy, which is a pretty bold assumption for someone who has had surgery for two summers in a row now (left wrist in 2022 and right knee in 2023).

For his current ADP, you can get a bunch of guys who are not only healthy but have a shot at being their team's first option. For his ADP, you'll have many options like Anfernee Simons, who is now the top dog on the Blazers after replacing Lillard, Franz Wagner, who has been listed by NBA execs as the top breakout candidate this season, and other sleeper players like Jalen Williams, Keegan Murray, and Devin Vassell.

 

Milwaukee Bucks Fantasy Lock - Damian Lillard

Dame or Giannis? Well, Giannis certainly has the advantage in points leagues, but in category leagues, Giannis is a top-four player if you punt FTs and TOs, but you'd have to do so much more to maximize his potential. You have to find shooters, some passers, and even stock (steals + blocks) guys since Giannis has quietly declined in that category.

So, why not take a player where you don’t have to punt two categories? Damian Lillard will still keep on scoring, will have a field day with assists, and will shoot more efficiently than ever before in this Bucks offense. Even in points leagues, he's a very good option. Apart from a fluky injury in 2021-22, he has also been very durable.

Had he not been shut down by a tanking Blazers team last season, he would have finished with 68 games. If you take that number and add it up to his other seasons excluding 2021-22, you'll get 750 games out of 802, which is an astounding 93.5% of his games. It equates to almost 77 games played in an 82-game season.

No other guard with a high ADP is that durable. Luka Doncic has played in 84% of his games, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played in 80%, Tyrese Haliburton has played in 81%, while the likes of Stephen Curry and LaMelo Ball have dealt with multiple long-term injuries.

So many people this year are paying attention to a player's availability because as they say "availability is the best ability", and no top PG in the NBA has been as available for as long as Damian Lillard. I have vouched for the other typically injured NBA stars in my last few articles in this series, but even I have to admit that Lillard's durability is incredible and makes him worth drafting if you're drafting late in the first round.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alex Smalley19 mins ago

Brings Tee-To-Green Struggles To Mexico
John Tavares23 mins ago

Moved To Third-Line Center
PIT29 mins ago

Penguins Willing To Move Any Non-Core Player
Karel Vejmelka44 mins ago

To Start Wednesday Versus Maple Leafs
José Ramírez50 mins ago

Jose Ramirez Could Hit Second This Year
Jonny Brodzinski51 mins ago

Inks Two-Year Extension With Rangers
Nic Dowd57 mins ago

Listed As Day-To-Day For Capitals
Noelvi Marte1 hour ago

To Miss First Five Cactus League Games
Artemi Panarin1 hour ago

Jimmy Vesey Day-To-Day For Rangers
Nate Lashley1 hour ago

Struggling Outside Of Putting Aberration
Hunter Greene2 hours ago

Working On A Curveball
Gleyber Torres2 hours ago

Wants "To Be A Yankee For Life"
Brayan Bello2 hours ago

Red Sox's Extension Talks With Brayan Bello May Be Heating Up
Maverick McNealy2 hours ago

Trending Upwards Ahead Of Mexico Open
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.2 hours ago

Feeling Great
Tim Anderson2 hours ago

Marlins Offer Tim Anderson A Starting Job
Michael Kim3 hours ago

In Good Form Heading To Mexico
Davis Thompson3 hours ago

Set For Mexico Open Debut
Cameron Champ3 hours ago

Looks To Continue Success In Mexico
Aaron Rai3 hours ago

Heads To Mexico In Poor Form
Kyle Connor6 hours ago

Registers Third Consecutive Multi-Point Effort
Alex Ovechkin6 hours ago

Pushes Point Streak To Nine Games
Aaron Ekblad6 hours ago

Makes Scoring Return For Panthers
Zach Bogosian6 hours ago

Hurt In Tuesday's Loss
Nic Dowd6 hours ago

Taken Out By An Upper-Body Injury
Viktor Arvidsson7 hours ago

Injured On First Shift
Mark Stone7 hours ago

Exits With Injury Tuesday
De'Aaron Fox7 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Injury
Mitchell Robinson7 hours ago

Ditches Walking Boot
Aaron Nesmith7 hours ago

Limited In Practice But Injury Not As Bad As Feared
Patrick Williams7 hours ago

To Remain Out On Thursday
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7 hours ago

Cleared For Action
Jamal Murray7 hours ago

Good To Go Thursday
Washington Wizards8 hours ago

Justin Champagnie Signs 10-Day Contract With Wizards
Thomas Detry9 hours ago

Looking For Driver To Deliver
Liam Hendriks13 hours ago

Expects To Pitch By Trade Deadline
Luis Arraez13 hours ago

No Extension Talks Yet For Marlins, Luis Arraez
Gary Sánchez16 hours ago

Gary Sanchez's Deal With Brewers Is Back On
Mikal Bridges16 hours ago

Committed To Brooklyn
Thaddeus Young17 hours ago

Officially Signs With Phoenix
Isaiah Stewart17 hours ago

Might Play On Thursday
Lester Quinones17 hours ago

Getting A Standard Contract
Torrey Craig17 hours ago

Out At Least A Few Weeks
PGA17 hours ago

Chris Gotterup Is Struggling So Far In His Rookie Season
Chesson Hadley17 hours ago

Makes Debut At Mexico Open
Austin Eckroat17 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back
Charley Hoffman17 hours ago

Heads To Mexico Open
Doug Ghim17 hours ago

Heads To Mexico In Good Form
Ryo Hisatsune17 hours ago

Making Mexico Open Debut
Andrew Novak18 hours ago

Looking To Keep A Good Thing Going At Mexico Open
Nicolai Hojgaard18 hours ago

Offers Course-Fit Choice
Robert MacIntyre18 hours ago

Is A Shiny Name That Should Be Avoided
Emiliano Grillo19 hours ago

Continues To Improve Putting
Tyler Duncan19 hours ago

Is A Risky Pick With Upside In Mexico
Tony Finau19 hours ago

The Top Pick In Mexico
Erik Jones20 hours ago

Shows Speed At Daytona Despite Disappointing Run
Ross Chastain20 hours ago

Hail Mary Attempt Falls Short
Shohei Ohtani20 hours ago

Wants To Get 50 At-Bats This Spring
PGA20 hours ago

K.H. Lee Slumping Ahead Of Mexico Open
Michael Rasmussen20 hours ago

Inks Four-Year Extension With Red Wings
John Hunter Nemechek20 hours ago

Scores Career-Best Daytona Finish To Start 2024
Ryan Lindgren20 hours ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Brad Keselowski20 hours ago

Promising Daytona Run Ruined By Lap 191 Wreck
Matt Duchene21 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Miro Heiskanen21 hours ago

Back In Action Tuesday
Morgan Rielly21 hours ago

Suspension Upheld
Shea Theodore21 hours ago

Returns To Golden Knights Lineup
Pittsburgh Steelers21 hours ago

Cameron Heyward Undergoes Offseason Surgery
Alex Cobb22 hours ago

Throws Off Mound
Sonny Gray22 hours ago

To Start On Opening Day
Zay Flowers22 hours ago

Baltimore County Police Suspends Investigation Of Zay Flowers
Riley Greene22 hours ago

Faces Live Pitching Tuesday
Tarik Skubal23 hours ago

Throwing Gas In Camp
Amed Rosario23 hours ago

Agrees With Rays On One-Year Deal
Aaron Judge23 hours ago

Likely To Require "Constant Maintenance"
Michael McDowell1 day ago

Daytona 500 Race Marred By Mechanical Issue
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Has One Of Those Days At Daytona
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Ends Up 14th At Daytona
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Exceeds DFS Value In The Daytona 500
Kyle Bradish1 day ago

Plays Catch Tuesday
Andrew Benintendi1 day ago

Dealt With Hand Injury Last Year
Ryan Blaney1 day ago

Late Wreck Derails Ryan Blaney's Strong Start In Title Defense
Francisco Alvarez1 day ago

Close To Extension With Mets
Matt McLain1 day ago

Out 5-7 Days With Oblique Injury
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Set To Leave In Free Agency
Justin Fields1 day ago

Mike Tomlin A Big Fan Of Justin Fields
Christopher Bell1 day ago

Starts Off 2024 With Third-Place Finish At Daytona
Russell Wilson1 day ago

Not Expected Back In Denver
Matthew Slater1 day ago

Hangs Up His Cleats
Logan Thompson1 day ago

Posts First Shutout Versus Sharks
Evan Bouchard1 day ago

Records Three Assists In Monday's Win
Trae Young1 day ago

Remains Committed To Hawks
Christian Braun1 day ago

Confident Of Playing Better After Break
Kyle Lowry1 day ago

Saw 76ers As Best Fit For Him
Donte DiVincenzo1 day ago

On Track To Return Versus Philadelphia
Bojan Bogdanovic1 day ago

Ready To Rejoin Action Thursday
Isaiah Hartenstein1 day ago

Expected Back Right After Break
Bradley Beal1 day ago

On Track To Return Thursday
William Byron2 days ago

Wins Daytona 500 As Wrecks Break Out Late
Isaiah Stewart2 days ago

Gets Court Date For Assault Charge
Stephen Curry2 days ago

Doesn't Think He's "Anywhere Close" To Retirement
Noah Gragson2 days ago

Starts Comeback Season With Top-10 At Daytona
AJ Allmendinger2 days ago

Earns Fourth Straight Daytona 500 Top-10 Finish
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Narrowly Misses Out On Daytona 500 Victory
Joey Logano2 days ago

Wrecks Out Of Daytona 500 But Leads Most Laps
Tank Dell2 days ago

Expects To Be Back For OTAs
Joe Mixon2 days ago

Could Be A Salary Cap Casualty
Calvin Ridley2 days ago

Jaguars Plan To Bring Back Calvin Ridley
Tyler Boyd2 days ago

Bengals Expected To Let Tyler Boyd Walk
Deshaun Watson2 days ago

On Track In Rehab From Shoulder Surgery
Ilia Topuria2 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Featherweight Champion
Alexander Volkanovski2 days ago

Loses Title At UFC 298
Henry Cejudo2 days ago

Merab Dvalishvili Defeats Henry Cejudo By Unanimous Decision At UFC 298
Henry Cejudo2 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Roman Kopylov2 days ago

Gets Submitted At UFC 298
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Aggressiveness Could Pay Dividends at Daytona
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Searching for First-Ever Top 5 in Daytona 500
Chris Buescher3 days ago

No Worries About Chris Buescher Missing Daytona 500 Practice
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace: 'The Best I've Felt Mentally'
Michael McDowell3 days ago

Avoid Michael McDowell in DFS for Daytona
Jimmie Johnson3 days ago

Sneaks Into Daytona 500 Field Despite Wreck
Anthony Hernandez3 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 298
Geoff Neal3 days ago

Drops Split Decision At UFC 298
MMA3 days ago

Ian Machado Garry Remains Undefeated
Paulo Costa3 days ago

Loses Entertaining Fight At UFC 298
Robert Whittaker3 days ago

Edges Out Competitive Decision At UFC 298
Pittsburgh Steelers4 days ago

Steelers Appear To Have Internal Division Over QB Position
Kansas City Chiefs5 days ago

Chiefs Pick Up Chris Jones' Option
Saquon Barkley5 days ago

Giants Considering Letting Saquon Barkley Test Free Agency?
Las Vegas Raiders5 days ago

Raiders In The Market For A QB In 2024
Jimmy Garoppolo5 days ago

Suspended Two Games For PEDs
Alexander Volkanovski5 days ago

Set For Sixth Title Defense At UFC 298
Ilia Topuria5 days ago

Has A Chance To Become The New UFC Featherweight Champion
Henry Cejudo5 days ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Merab Dvalishvili5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 298
San Francisco 49ers6 days ago

Dre Greenlaw Has Successful Surgery
Cody White6 days ago

Bears Release Eddie Jackson, Cody Whitehair
Daniel Jones6 days ago

Says Rehab Is Going Well
Rhamondre Stevenson6 days ago

Wants To Be Featured Back
Anthony Hernandez6 days ago

Gets Short-Notice Opponent At UFC 298
Geoff Neal6 days ago

Gets Rebooked Against Ian Machado Garry At UFC 298
MMA6 days ago

Ian Machado Garry Gets Top-10 Opponent At UFC 298
Paulo Costa6 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC 298
Robert Whittaker6 days ago

Looking To Return To Win Column At UFC 298
Geno Smith6 days ago

Seahawks Lock In Geno Smith For 2024
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

2024 NFL Draft Top 10 QB Rankings: Pre-Combine Rookie Quarterback Analysis

The Super Bowl might be over, but football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The countdown is on for 2024 fantasy football drafts and NFL teams are preparing for the Combine and upcoming Draft. Matt Donnelly discusses his favorite quarterback in the 2024 NFL Draft class and ranks his top-10 QBs. The season may be over but... Read More


Sam LaPorta - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Breakout Fantasy Football Tight Ends From The 2023 Season

The tight end group is always one of the hardest positions to navigate in fantasy every year. That continued during the 2023-2024 season because taking a tight end early might not have been the right strategy. Travis Kelce, who was a top-seven overall pick in fantasy drafts, was arguably one of the biggest busts at... Read More


Joe Flacco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Is Joe Flacco A Free Agent? Which Teams Would Be The Best Fit? Fantasy Football Outlook

Veteran quarterback Joe Flacco has played for multiple teams during his 16-year NFL career. He started with the Baltimore Ravens, playing 11 years with the franchise. The former first-round pick had over 38,000 passing yards and 136 touchdowns with the Ravens. Flacco has played for three different teams over the past five years. He spent... Read More


Tee Higgins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Top Landing Spots For Tee Higgins In Free Agency: 2024 Offseason Outlook

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins is one of the better young wide receivers in the NFL. The star receiver totaled at least 900 receiving yards and six touchdowns in each of his first three career years. Unfortunately, he had a disappointing 2023 season. Higgins set career lows in receptions (42), targets (76), receiving yards... Read More


Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Top Landing Spots For Saquon Barkley In Free Agency: 2024 Offseason Outlook

New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley is one of the most talented players in the NFL. The superstar running back has had at least 960 rushing yards in four of six career seasons, including back-to-back years. The former Penn State star has struggled with injuries in his career. He missed at least three games... Read More


Blake Corum - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, RB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Early Look At The 2024 RB Rookie Class For Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues

The 2024 rookie running back class isn't as good as last year's class. After two running backs were picked in the top 12 in 2023, some analysts are projecting there won't be a single running back picked in the first round. There's no clear-cut number one like Bijan Robinson was last year. Rankings are fluid.... Read More


Dak Prescott - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Biggest Positional Needs for All 32 NFL Teams - NFC East Edition

Following the 2023 NFL Season, it's quite easy to make the argument that every fanbase for each of the four teams in the NFC East is disappointed with how the season went. The Eagles imploded in the last two months of the season. Hard. The Cowboys got blown out at home in the first round... Read More


Malik Nabers - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

2024 NFL Mock Draft Round 1 Predictions (February Update) - Picks from All 32 Teams

That first dreaded Sunday of the year without football arrived and there's no doubt many of you all across the country needed something to fill the void over the weekend. Have no fear, NFL Mock Draft Season is here! While we are still about seven months away from official 2024 NFL action, the good news... Read More


Marvin Mims Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Dynasty Sleepers Heading Into 2024: Undervalued Wide Receivers

With the 2023 NFL season officially in the books, it's time to turn our attention to the future. The weeks before the 2024 NFL Draft are a busy time for fantasy football managers in dynasty leagues as they wheel and deal in an attempt to improve their position during the offseason. Often, certain players will... Read More


josh allen fantasy football rankings NFL injury news DFS lineup picks

Biggest Positional Needs For All 32 NFL Teams - AFC East Edition

The AFC East was expected to have three teams vying for a playoff spot -- the Bills, Dolphins, and Jets -- but only two of them were able to accomplish those goals. The Jets were forced to pivot very early in the season when star quarterback and offseason acquisition Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles in... Read More


Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Targets, NFL Injury News

Biggest Breakouts of the 2023 NFL Season: Quarterback

The value of quarterbacks in the fantasy football realm has never been higher. Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson are or have been in the MVP conversation more often than not. The next generation of signal callers are all pushing to have their names listed among the best. First, they have to... Read More


Raheem Mostert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Dynasty Sleepers Heading Into 2024: Undervalued Running Backs

With the 2023 NFL season officially over, it's time to turn our attention to the future. This pre-draft time is a busy one for fantasy football managers in dynasty leagues as they wheel and deal in an attempt to improve their position during the offseason. Often, certain players will go under the radar in dynasty... Read More


Kirk Cousins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Biggest Positional Needs for All 32 NFL Teams - NFC North Edition

The NFC North featured two playoff teams - the Packers and the Lions - from this past season. This division looks to be one of the strongest in the NFL. Detroit is already seen as a Super Bowl and major NFC contender. The Packers started to take steps toward that last season. With the expected... Read More