RADIO
It’s been a very solid run of late for this column. In Week 10, we identified Christian Kirk, Justin Fields, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Harrison Bryant, and Donovan Peoples-Jones as strong DFS options. They all appeared in winning lineups last weekend.
We move to Week 11, a week that features 11 main-slate games. No games feature a Vegas total above 50, and only three surpass 47. Chicago-Atlanta, Buffalo-Cleveland, and Dallas-Minnesota should garner your attention on Sunday — as they are the most advantageous fantasy environments. Let’s get to the slate. My recommendations here are leaning more into contrarian stacks.
Each section will feature a stack for each major site (DraftKings & FanDuel), along with a preferred bring-back and possible leverage piece to make your lineup different from the field. The labeling of each stack is based on the QB’s pricing, not necessarily the weapons they’ll be throwing to.
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High-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Joe Burrow ($6800) + Tee Higgins ($7100) AND/OR Tyler Boyd ($6500), Hayden Hurst ($3500)
Pittsburgh is a secondary we have picked on all season. They have surrendered the third-most passing TDs (17), the second-most DraftKings points to WRs, and the most TDs to wideouts (13). Enter Joe Burrow and his cast of weapons.
Burrow went for 26.22 DK points in Week 1 of this season against this same Pittsburgh team. However, he did have his top receiving option, Ja’Marr Chase, at his disposal in that game. The Steelers picked off the third-year signal-caller four times and sacked him seven times in their early-season meeting, yet the Bengals’ QB still posted a strong fantasy day.
Tee Higgins has posted at least seven targets in six of his last seven games, but the talented young receiver has not posted a signature game in 2022. Could Week 11 be it? The Steelers are one of nine teams allowing at least 7.0 yards per attempt in the league, and they’ve been torched by opposing wideouts all year long.
Tyler Boyd has two ceiling games under his belt already this year, and he, too, is set up to succeed much like Higgins. Boyd has the second-most slot snaps of any player this year, and with T.J. Watt back for Pittsburgh, the ball could be coming out quickly for Burrow.
Preferred bring-back: George Pickens ($5200)
Leverage piece: Joe Mixon ($7400)
Joe Mixon is fresh off his 201-total-yard, five-total-touchdown performance in Week 9. In projected positive game script, one of the league’s best red-zone weapons could cash in again. Mixon is tied with Jamaal Williams and Jalen Hurts for the most red-zone rushing attempts in the league (30).
High-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Lamar Jackson ($8400) + Kenyan Drake ($6800) + Ravens Defense ($4700)
Baltimore is a HEAVY favorite in Week 11 against lowly Carolina. Lamar Jackson’s bevy of pass catchers have been going down left and right (Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman). They’re fresh off a trampling of the Saints that featured 40 rushing attempts to just 22 Jackson dropbacks.
Carolina has permitted the second-most rushing attempts of any team in 2022 (306). That should be par for the course yet again for the hapless Panthers, especially with Baker Mayfield under center. The Panthers are one of 12 teams that have allowed 12 or more rushing touchdowns.
Kenyan Drake has been rolling of late, with 14.7 or more FanDuel points in three of his last four games. With Gus Edwards practicing in a limited fashion this week, Drake could be in line for another big workload. Drake and Jackson could go both bananas in this matchup.
The second-worst offense in the NFL based on total yardage per game, Carolina might struggle to move the ball here. If Baltimore holds up their end of the bargain on the scoreboard, Baltimore’s pass rush could pin their ears back and make some big plays. That is why I’m advocating for a Baltimore onslaught.
Preferred bring-back: D.J. Moore ($6700)
Leverage piece: Isaiah Likely ($5400)
Rookie tight end Isaiah Likely’s role has expanded (as expected) with the injury to Andrews. He’s played 66.2 and 87.5% of the team’s snaps in the last two games, and drawn 12 total targets. As arguably Baltimore’s No. 1 receiving option currently, he could also pop off this weekend.
Mid-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Daniel Jones ($5700) + Darius Slayton ($5000)
I feel like I’m beating a dead horse with this attack Detroit’s defense thing. But it continues to be profitable week after week, so there’s no reason to stop now. Detroit continues to lead the league (in the bad way) in many defensive categories — including points per game allowed (29.3), which is almost a full three points more than the next-closest team (Cleveland).
Dan Campbell’s league-worst defense has yielded the most yards per pass attempt of any team. Additionally, only the Dolphins have served up more QB rushing yards than the Lions (372). Daniel Jones has topped 20 rushing yards in 8-of-9 outings this year, and topped 65 on three separate occasions. The floor/ceiling combo here is strong for “Danny Dimes”.
Darius Slayton seemed to fall out of favor during the preseason and early on this year, but the 25-year-old has resurrected his 2022 season with strong production of late. He’s notched 11.6 or more DraftKings points in four of his last five outings. A date with Detroit can only benefit his recent production and usage. Wan’Dale Robinson has been battling a hamstring issue this week, so that could add some upside to Slayton’s outlook.
Preferred bring-back: Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7200)
Leverage piece: Kenny Golladay ($3400)
#RevengeNarrative anyone? It’s hard to believe I’m writing up Kenny Golladay, but 2022’s been pretty bizarre. The former Lion has just two receptions for 22 yards across five appearances this season. But if Robinson is declared out, Golladay could benefit from a bigger slice of the target-share pie. At just $3400 and garnering minimal ownership, Golladay could easily pay off that price tag and provide salary relief for the remainder of your lineup.
Mid-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Dak Prescott ($7500) + CeeDee Lamb ($8100) OR Michael Gallup ($5600)
Cowboys-Vikings features a tight Vegas spread and two explosive offenses. That’s music to any DFS player’s ears. Dak Prescott has been relatively sharp since returning from injury in Week 7, having thrown for 250 or more yards in 2-of-3 starts. He’ll face a Minnesota defense in Week 11 that profiles as a heavy pass funnel.
Minnesota has served up the fourth-most passing yards per game and fourth-most total yards per game. The Vikings feature the 11th-worst PFF coverage grade of any team while sporting the league’s second-best run defense grade. If Dallas is going to move the ball on Sunday, it will come via the aerial attack.
CeeDee Lamb showed his immense upside last week against the Packers, piecing together an 11/150/2 stat line on a whopping 15 targets. In a projected back-and-forth affair, don’t be surprised to see the former Oklahoma Sooner draw double-digit targets again.
As for Michael Gallup, the big-play threat hasn’t made a splash yet in 2022 — but the big week could be coming soon. He’s seen at least one red-zone target in half of his games this season, and he’s played over 85% of Dallas’ offensive snaps in back-to-back games. Against a Minnesota defense that is very susceptible to the pass, a volatile option like Gallup could win people tournaments.
Preferred bring-back: Justin Jefferson ($9100)
Leverage piece: Dalton Schultz ($5900)
Dalton Schultz’s rapport with Dak Prescott has been on full display the last three weeks, as he’s posted TE12, TE5, and TE3 finishes in PPR formats. Schultz has also seen six red-zone targets combined over his last five games, so including him in your Dak stacks looks like a strong idea in this plus matchup.
Low-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Baker Mayfield ($5000) + D.J. Moore ($5700) AND/OR Terrace Marshall Jr. ($4400)
Merely a game-script stack recommendation, Baker Mayfield and Co. will be trailing for much of Sunday’s contest. Mayfield came on in relief of P.J. Walker in Week 9 against the Bengals and threw two touchdown passes. The passing volume should be there to rack up DraftKings points, so Mayfield stacks aren’t the worst idea in the world.
Much like the aforementioned Vikings, Baltimore profiles as a pass funnel; they’ve allowed the fifth-most receptions and fourth-most yards to WRs this season. Against opposing ground games, John Harbaugh’s team ranks third best in rushing yards allowed per outing (92.0).
D.J. Moore and Mayfield showed no chemistry during the early part of 2022, but I’m of the opinion that Moore can overcome that in this matchup. The fifth-year receiver is still too cheap for his role within Carolina’s offense, as he’s seen six or more targets in all 10 games this year.
Terrace Marshall has seemingly found his groove during Year 2 of his NFL career, as he’s tallied 10 receptions over his last four games — which is a stark improvement compared to his early-career production. He’s also been on the field a ton lately, playing 86.0% or more of the teams snaps in four straight.
Preferred bring-back: Kenyan Drake ($5900)
Leverage piece: Laviska Shenault Jr. ($3700)
Looking for a dart throw for Sunday? Here’s your guy. Laviska Shenault Jr. is not playing many snaps at all — he’s topped 32.0% of snaps just twice all year — but maybe Carolina will get him more involved after his strong 14.9 PPR-point performance last week against Atlanta. He’s cheap, he has big-play ability, and what do the Panthers have to lose?
Low-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Kenny Pickett ($6900) + George Pickens ($6000) OR Pat Freiermuth ($5400)
Another game-script recommendation for a stack here, as I’m of the mindset that Cincinnati is going to put up points early and often. Though Cincinnati has been stout defensively this season, the Steelers could keep up here at home. Kenny Pickett hasn’t set the world on fire by any means, but he provides a decent rushing floor (at least 20 rushing yards in three straight outings).
Cincinnati lost top CB Chidobe Awuzie to season-ending ACL surgery a few weeks ago. Additionally, the Bengals have multiple defensive backs on the injury report this week. George Pickens has yet to hang a huge fantasy number, but the rookie has produced double-digit PPR points in four of his last six games. He’ll be Pickett’s main target here in a likely come-from-behind effort.
Pat Freiermuth is the 1B to Pickens’ 1A role in terms of fantasy production for Pittsburgh. He’s caught 16 passes over the course of the last three games. He ranks top six in the league in targets, target share, and target rate at the tight end position. Along with that, the former Penn State Nittany Lion ranks second in the league with nine deep targets among TEs.
Preferred bring-back: Tee Higgins ($7600)
Leverage piece: Jaylen Warren ($5700)
Siphoning off more and more of Najee Harris’ work each week, Jaylen Warren could be busy in Week 11. He’s set new season highs each of the last two weeks with six and nine carries, and he’s racked up multiple receptions in four of his last five games. The Bengals have yielded the 12th-most targets to RBs (60), and the Steelers will undoubtedly be chasing here. As a very low-owned running back, Warren could be a nice differentiator in DFS.
Good luck this weekend! Feel free to contact me on Twitter about DFS or fantasy football in general. I can be found here -- @thejacksonkane.
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