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Wild Card Round Busts - Overvalued Players to Avoid In Fantasy Football

Eight potential lineup busts to avoid starting in fantasy football. Justin Carter lists NFL players to consider sitting or benching as Wild Card round lineup disappointments.

The NFL's regular season is over, but there's still daily fantasy for you to tackle, which means there are still players who need to be avoided when constructing those lineups because of bad matchups, poor recent play, and other factors.

With eight teams playing this week, I've decided to highlight one guy from each team who I'll be avoiding as much as a I can when building my lineups this weekend.

Here are eight lineup busts and avoids for the NFL's Wild Card Round.

Editor's Note: Identify fantasy football draft busts, overvalued ADPs, and key players to avoid so you can draft with confidence this season.

 

Top Eight Busts - NFL Wild Card Round

Indianapolis Colts: Marlon Mack (Running Back)

Mack has 100-yard efforts in two of the last three games, but the Texans held him to 33 yards on 14 carries the last time the teams played. Overall, Houston allows the seventh-fewest fantasy points to running back on the season, and with a banged-up secondary that should allow the Colts to pass the ball effectively, I'd avoid the Colts run game and embrace their passing attack.

Houston Texans: Keke Coutee (Wide Receiver)

Coutee is expected to return for Saturday's game after not having played since Week 12. Coutee's NFL debut had people thinking he was the perfect piece to get this offense running like one of the NFL's best with an 11-catch, 109-yard effort, but he hasn't reached those numbers since. The Colts allow the third-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers and quarterback Deshaun Watson should spend a lot of time looking in the direction of DeAndre Hopkins, setting Coutee up for a disappointing return.

Seattle Seahawks: Tyler Lockett (Wide Receiver)

The Cowboys allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers during the regular season, and while Lockett did catch four passes for 77 yards and a touchdown when the teams met earlier in the year, that was before Doug Baldwin was worked back into the offense. Over the last five games, Lockett received just two targets three times, and while he found the end zone in two of those three games, there are likely better options than a touchdown-dependent Lockett during the Wild Card round.

Dallas Cowboys: Blake Jarwin (Tight End)

Let's talk about recency bias.

Jarwin had seven catches for 119 yards and three touchdowns last week, and it's possible that someone looks at that and says oh, the Cowboys got themselves a Jason Witten replacement! But Jarwin had never caught a touchdown before Sunday's game, and while he's seen an uptick in usage lately, he gets a tough matchup against Seattle, who allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends and just one touchdown over the season's final three games.

Los Angeles Chargers: Melvin Gordon (Running Back)

This is obviously the biggest "uhh, should I really be picking this guy to bust" pick of the week, but Gordon is going to be an expensive piece in DFS lineups while going against a Ravens defense that allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs this season. Gordon is likely to still put up good numbers as he's useful as a runner and a receiver, but Baltimore presents such a tough test that playing Gordon and paying his salary is going to hurt your team-building while not really giving you the same upside as Ezekiel Elliott or some of the lower cost options like Lamar Miller or Tarik Cohen.

Baltimore Ravens: Wide Receivers

Of the four wide receivers who'll receive playing time this week for Baltimore, only one (John Brown) has a 100-yard game this year, and those came way back in Weeks 4 and 7. With Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens run game has taken center stage, and against a tough Chargers passing defense there's really no reason to put any Ravens wide receivers in any lineups unless you're just going for the most off the wall lineup possible.

Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Foles (Quarterback)

Yeah, Foles was the Super Bowl MVP last year, but there's no quarterback who scares me more this weekend. The Bears held opposing quarterbacks to the second-fewest fantasy points per game during the season, and while Foles threw six touchdowns to two interceptions over his last two starts of the year, his other three games in place of Carson Wentz resulted in just one touchdown pass and a pair of picks. It's possible we get a good Nick Foles this week, but it seems more likely that the Bears defense makes it a long, long day for the Eagles offense.

Chicago Bears: Trey Burton (Tight End)

No playoff team allowed fewer fantasy points to tight ends than the Eagles. Meanwhile, Trey Burton last topped 50 yards back in Week 7. Since then, he's averaging 24.4 receiving yards per game and has caught a pair of touchdowns. One factor that's hurt Burton? The return of Adam Shaheen, who last week saw his highest snap share of the season (57.4 percent) at the same time that Burton had his lowest (69.1 percent).

More Weekly Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Romeo Doubs

Questionable to Return Against Bears in Week 16
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion, Replaced by Malik Willis
Jalen Smith

Expected to Remain in Lineup Sunday
Ayo Dosunmu

Probable for Meeting With Hawks
Jordan Love

Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
Coby White

Iffy for Sunday
Andrew Wiggins

May Remain Out Sunday
Davion Mitchell

Questionable for Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Sunday
Trae Young

Available for Sunday's Tilt
Doug McDermott

Active on Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Misses Battle of Los Angeles
Jerami Grant

Won't Play Saturday Night, Kris Murray Joins Starting Unit
Jonathan Isaac

Tristan da Silva Out, Jonathan Isaac Returns for Magic Saturday
Jalen Suggs

Out Against Jazz
Lauri Markkanen

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Grayson Allen

Unavailable Against Warriors
Jonathan Kuminga

Misses Saturday's Action Due to Illness
Cam Spencer

Makes Third Career Start Saturday
Cam Whitmore

Jamir Watkins Out Against Grizzlies
Bilal Coulibaly

Departs Lineup Saturday
Khris Middleton

Ready to Face Grizzlies
Pat Connaughton

Tre Mann, Pat Connaughton Active Saturday
D'Andre Swift

Officially Active Against Packers on Saturday
Dontayvion Wicks

Christian Watson and Dontayvion Wicks Active for Week 16
Caris LeVert

Cleared for Action Saturday
Marcus Mariota

Questionable to Return with Hand Injury
Josh Jacobs

Active for Saturday's Game
Ricky Pearsall

Ruled Out for Week 16
Mike Matheson

Returns Against Former Team Saturday
Timothy Liljegren

Misses Saturday's Game
Mackie Samoskevich

Out on Saturday
Anthony Cirelli

Available Against Hurricanes
Brandon Hagel

Added to Injured Reserve
Nikita Kucherov

a Game-Time Call Saturday
J.T. Miller

Injured in Saturday's Win
Christian Watson

Should Be Able to Go Against Bears
Zach Bogosian

Unavailable Saturday
Marcus Johansson

Questionable for Saturday
Bo Horvat

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Saturday
Seth Jarvis

to Be "Out for a While"
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Rejoins Canadiens for Draft Pick
Mason Marchment

Blue Jackets Acquire Mason Marchment
Brandon Lowe

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Out Day-to-Day
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Oilers Place Tristan Jarry on Injured Reserve
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to Remain Out Saturday
Shea Theodore

Considered Week-to-Week
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to Miss at Least Two More Games
Davante Adams

Likely Won't Play in Week 17
Jordan Martinook

Misses Friday's Contest
Evan Rodrigues

Available Against Hurricanes
Tyler Seguin

Undergoes Surgery, to Be Re-Evaluated After Olympics
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Listed as Questionable for Week 16
Drake London

Expected to Play Sunday
Tee Higgins

Questionable to Play in Week 16
Michael Carter

Will Start at RB in Week 16
Dalton Kincaid

Will Practice on Friday, Expected to Play on Sunday
Garrett Wilson

Shelved for Remainder of 2025
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Josh Hoover Linked to Indiana in Transfer Portal
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Arch Manning Agrees to Reduced Compensation for 2026 Season
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Racks Up Highest Yardage Total in Over a Decade
Puka Nacua

Delivers Career-Best Performance on Thursday Night Football
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
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Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
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Jaguars Agree to Three-Year Extension With Jakobi Meyers
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Thursday Night
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Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
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Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
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Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
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Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
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Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
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Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
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Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
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Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
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Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
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East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
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Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

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Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
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And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
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Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
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Gets Back In The Win Column

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