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Week 16 Rankings Analysis - Pierre Camus vs Industry Consensus

To some extent, you can throw rankings out the window this week. Wait, keep reading! What I mean to say is that you already know who you're rolling with at nearly every position if you are playing for a championship, other than one or two flex spots. If you have a strong team at every other position, you'll want to play it relatively safe with a high-floor option. If you are the underdog and have benefited from some recent luck (read: you're the one guy who started Keelan Cole last week), then you need to go for a high-upside play instead. If you're a sad Antonio Brown owner still looking for a replacement, then you'll want to pay extra attention to the WR ranks. Finally, if you have been streaming QB and/or TE all year and made it this far, let me just say a hearty congrats, because you're doing fantasy football right.

As an expert ranker for RotoBaller and FantasyPros, I'll put my own personal rankings out on the table for you here and show you how they stack up against the consensus of the other 100+ experts at FantasyPros. Each week, I'll list my Top 10 per position, plus a few notable players that have risen or fallen in my rankings more than the expert consensus this week. In other words, it's where I zig when the others zag.

Note: all rankings are for standard leagues and all opinions are my own. If you have questions, comments, or incoherent ramblings related to fantasy sports, hit me up on Twitter @pfunk00 to continue the conversation.

Editor's Note: Stay on top of your draft prep with RotoBaller’s fantasy football rankings, featuring expert analysis, ADPs, and draft insights for both PPR and non-PPR leagues.

 

Week 16 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

After some debate with a couple of knowledgeable readers on Reddit, I'm holding firm on my ranking of Philip Rivers in the top 10, ahead of Nick Foles and Case Keenum. He is a riskier play, as they face an inconsistent Jets team that has been Jekyll and Hyde since their Week 11 bye. Rivers traditionally plays a bit worse in December and in his older age has faded down the stretch, which gives me reason for pause. On the other hand, he has the highest ceiling of the same QBs in his tier and the best weapons around him. If you're in a position where you could conceivably absorb the risk of a dud, Rivers has the most potential.

Dak Prescott may be bumped down the rankings by some, but let's remind ourselves that Ezekiel Elliott's return is a good thing for him. In the six games without Zeke, Prescott threw five touchdowns versus seven interceptions. In the eight games with Zeke, he posted a 16:4 TD:INT ratio. In case you're wondering, the rushing production was about the same either way. Prescott is a high-floor play and someone that can be comfortably started in championship games.

Deviation from expert consensus

There is some thought that the Eagles could rest Foles in the fourth quarter if they are up big and their game becomes meaningless after the Vikings' result on Saturday night if they somehow lose to Green Bay. For a team already out of the playoffs without Aaron Rodgers or Davante Adams, that seems very unlikely, but I suppose anything is possible in the NFL. Don't let this sway you in any form when making your decision. Foles has a great matchup with Oakland and showed he can bring just as much to the table as Carson Wentz. He is a top-10 QB easily.

Drew Brees has only thrown three touchdowns in a game once all year and gone over 300 passing yards three times. The last time he faced these Falcons two weeks ago, he finished with 271 yards and two TD. That's perfectly fine, but not terribly exciting either. I have him almost neck and neck with Prescott and Keenum as low-end yawn QB1s.

 

Week 16 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

Kareem Hunt finds himself all the up to No. 3 in Week 16, validating rattled Hunt owners who contemplated trading him before the playoffs. You didn't trade him right before the playoffs, did you??? Hunt should get plenty of run against the Dolphins, as the Chiefs are still fighting for their own playoff standing.

Elliott might rightfully be ranked higher, but we have to be sure all that running on the beach in Mexico equates to actual game shape before putting him at the top of the list. I have doubts that Seattle will let themselves get run over a second straight week, as they might choose to sell out against the run and force Dallas to pass. Even so, Elliott is a safe RB1 and if you held him this whole time, it wasn't to sit him with the 'ship on the line.

Deviation from expert consensus

Joe Mixon is practicing in full and just needs official clearance to play this weekend against a Lions team allowing 4.2 yards per carry. The Bengals were downright terrible without him the last two weeks, running for 116 total yards. He should go back to a full workload and be treated as an RB2.

Kapri Bibbs could be the man who wins you a championship this week. Samaje Perine is limited in practice and Bibbs is the only other RB on the roster with NFL experience. Rather than simply serving as a pass-catcher, he could see in excess of 20 touches if Perine is limited. Through sheer volume alone, he could make an intriguing flex play.

For some reason, I find myself overly bullish on the young Cardinals players auditioning for a bigger role next year, which includes Elijhaa Penny this week. For the record, I still prefer Kerwynn Williams, but Penny could be worth monitoring if the team decides to give him more carries. You can't really start either one this week, since we don't know what the usage for either will look like, but I have the feeling one or the other will make a great tournament play in Week 17.

 

Week 16 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

It's tempting to drop A.J. Green all the way out of the top 10, but with Mixon back and a slightly easier matchup this week, he can't fall behind the likes of a rookie and a banged-up Carolina receiver. If you have him, you're starting him, despite last week's two-catch, 20-yard dud.

Speaking of Carolina receivers, Devin Funchess has been limited in practice by a shoulder injury that may have affected him last week. He let down many a fantasy owner last week with one reception, but this week should see him improve due to rest and an even better matchup. Facing off against the Bucs' Ryan Smith, who is already questionable with an ankle injury, or his replacement should give Funchess the chance for a big play or two along with more red zone opportunities. I do like Damiere Byrd as well, but obviously that's for a far different situation. Funchess is a safe play this week, for those who may be nervous about rolling him out this week.

Deviation from expert consensus

Some quick hits on the receivers listed above:

  • If Green Bay's secondary can give up four passing touchdowns to Carolina, why shouldn't Stefon Diggs be treated at least like a strong WR2 this week?
  • With Foles at QB, Nelson Agholor saw his second-highest reception total and third-highest target total of the year. He's a firm WR3 this week in PPR leagues.
  • Kelvin Benjamin will be shadowed by Malcolm Butler this week. That's not the worst thing in the world. He has a six-inch height advantage and will get all the red zone targets he can handle against a bendable defense.
  • I don't know why Corey Coleman is ranked so high - I'm going to have to fix that later on. Chicago's defense is underrated, especially in the secondary. Don't start him if you can help it.
  • As much as Marquise Goodwin's stock has been rising lately, he gets A.J. Bouye this week and you don't want any part of that. He will be completely TD-dependent, so he can be benched in PPR leagues.
  • Same game, other side, don't hop on the Keelan Cole hype. It was one game. He was only targeted so much because Marqise Lee left in the first quarter. Lee won't play this week, but Allen Hurns is back and Dede Westbrook, who I still believe is better, is still around.
  • Jordy Nelson looks like a sell-low in dynasty and a bench player in re-draft. Davante Adams being out won't necessarily help Nelson, it just hurts Brett Hundley and the whole Packers offense. Pass.

 

Week 16 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

My Top 10 

The only comment to be made here is that I'm obviously a sucker for Ricky Seals-Jones and his athletic ability at the position. He could benefit from the switch back to Drew Stanton and has the best matchup possible against the Giants and their TE-friendly defense.

Deviation from expert consensus

Antonio Gates is a name I've already mentioned as someone that standard league owners might want to take a chance on over other less exciting names such as Vernon Davis or Charles Clay. If you're chasing scoring upside, he or Austin Seferian-Jenkins could be under-the-radar names to consider.

Davis has fallen completely out of starting consideration, as he seems to be fading hard while Jamison Crowder has been reintroduced to the offense. Jason Witten needs a favorable matchup to put up points and he doesn't have it this week with Seattle on tap.

 

More Week 16 Lineup Prep


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Probable for Thursday
Trae Young

Will Play Thursday Against the Hornets
Christian Watson

Questionable for Week 16
Gabe Vincent

Will Miss at Least a Week
Josh Jacobs

Listed as Questionable for Saturday Night
T.J. Watt

Unlikely to Play in Week 16
D'Andre Swift

Questionable to Face the Packers
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 16
Jawhar Jordan

Could be in for Significant Workload Against Raiders
Rome Odunze

Expected to Miss Third Straight Game
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 16
Sebastian Aho

Leads Hurricanes to Victory With Three-Point Period
Joel Hofer

Notches Third Shutout of the Season
Jordan Martinook

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Puka Nacua

Brother Charged With Stealing NBA Player's SUV
Jonathan Marchessault

Exits Early Wednesday
Evan Rodrigues

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Lars Eller

to Miss at Least Three More Weeks
Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Questionable for Thursday
Grayson Allen

Could Miss Clash Against Warriors
Deandre Ayton

May Skip Meeting With Jazz
Cole Anthony

Iffy for Thursday's Action
AJ Green

at Risk of Missing Another Game
Peyton Watson

Questionable for Thursday
Kyle Kuzma

Questionable for Thursday Due to Illness
Tim Hardaway Jr.

Questionable With Illness
Lauri Markkanen

Picks Up Questionable Tag Ahead of Thursday
Tristan da Silva

Questionable for Thursday
Pelle Larsson

Misses Second Straight Game
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Unavailable Against Nets
Pat Spencer

Ruled Out for Thursday
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Matthew Tkachuk

Status Uncertain for Winter Classic
Tyson Foerster

Ruled Out for Five Months
Quinton Byfield

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Available Against Kings
Pavel Dorofeyev

Good to Go Wednesday
Shea Theodore

Out Against Devils
Jack Eichel

Misses First Game of the Season Wednesday
Brett Pesce

Back in Action Wednesday
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
Rashee Rice

Won't Practice Due to Concussion
Marvin Harrison Jr.

to Take Part in Wednesday's Walkthrough Practice
Drake London

Day-to-Day, Will Practice on Wednesday
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
Quinn Ewers

Making First Career Start in Week 16
Tua Tagovailoa

Being Benched by Dolphins
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Thatcher Demko

Shuts Out Rangers With 23 Saves
Macklin Celebrini

Notches Four Points in Tuesday's Win
Leon Draisaitl

Reaches Special Milestone During Four-Point Night
Shea Theodore

Questionable for Wednesday Night
Jack Eichel

Battling Illness
Darcy Kuemper

Placed on Injured Reserve
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach

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