Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers: Week 16


We're getting closer to the trade deadline, so we may be seeing some pitchers on the move very soon. With pitchers potentially on the move, that could make for some interesting new names popping up in this column through the rest of the season.

So while we wait to see who goes on the move, lets take a look at how last week's column is looking. To be frank...it could be better. Andrew Cashner was lit up for five earned runs over five innings (boy could you imagine if somebody ranked him as the best two-start pitcher last week?), and Drew Pomeranz is currently leading the way after allowing one run with four strikeouts over five innings.

There's still time for last week's guys to turn it around, but for now let's take a look at who you need to add for Week 16.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, premium rankings, projections, player outlooks, top prospects, dynasty rankings, 15 in-season lineup tools, and over 200 days of expert DFS research. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 16 Streamers - Under 50% Owned

Daniel Ponce de Leon, STL - 37% owned

Probable opponents: @ PIT, vs HOU

Despite coming off his shortest start of the season, Ponce de Leon has been solid as a starter for St. Louis this year. Currently sporting a 2.90 ERA over five starts with a 9.2 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings, Ponce de Leon struggled against Pittsburgh his last time out as he allowed four runs over 3 2/3 innings. Now he'll get the chance for revenge as he opens the week with another start against the Pirates.

While the Pirates may have had some success against Ponce de Leon in their last matchup, they have shown some struggles over their past 10 games, averaging 4.3 runs and 7.2 strikeouts per game. Ponce de Leon has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his five starts, and he could very easily reach that mark in his second start against Pittsburgh. The biggest challenge for him this week comes in his second outing against Houston. The Astros have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the last two weeks, averaging 6.7 runs and hitting .298 over their last 10 games, but they have also been striking out at a high clip by averaging 8.6 per game in that span. Ponce de Leon will get a slight boost though thanks to the Astros' batting splits, as they are hitting worse against right-handed starters (.262 average, .804 OPS) than left-handers (.288, .855) and they are also hitting worse on the road (.266, .816) than at home (.275, .823).

Ponce de Leon has a fair amount of risk this week, but there are definitely indicators that he could put up a good week for fantasy. If owners are willing to gamble on the Astros splits favoring Ponce de Leon, they could be rewarded with some good strikeout numbers and maybe a win or two this week.

Martin Perez, MIN - 34% owned

Probable opponents: vs NYY, @ CHW

Perez is in the midst of his best season since his rookie year, as he currently owns an 8-3 record and 4.10 ERA with a career-high 7.9 K/9 with Minnesota. His ERA took a hit during June, but he kept up the strikeouts as he recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his five starts.

Owners looking for strikeouts will love Perez's first start against the Yankees, who are averaging 8.9 strikeouts over their last 10 games. On top of that, the Yankees are also striking out at a slightly higher rate against left-handed starters (24.4 percent) than against right-handers (22.5 percent). The strikeout potential gets even better in his second start against Chicago, as they are averaging 9.4 strikeouts over their last 10 games. Along with the strikeouts, Perez should see a nice week for his ERA, as the Yankees and White Sox are both averaging fewer than 4.4 runs per game over their last 10 games.

It seems like all the pieces are there for Perez to have a big week in fantasy, and after a rough June things appear to be settling down for him in July. If you're looking for the guy with the highest potential this week, look no further than Perez.

 

Week 16 Streamers - Under 25% Owned

Homer Bailey, OAK - 17% owned

Probable opponents: @ HOU, vs TEX

One of the hottest starting pitchers since the beginning of June, Bailey shined in his Oakland debut with six strikeouts over six innings while allowing just two runs against Seattle. He'll start his week against the Astros, and while he won't benefit from the home-road splits that Ponce de Leon will, Bailey will still get the benefit of Houston's struggles against right-handed starters. After Houston, Bailey will face the Rangers for the third time this season. Bailey struggled in his earlier outings against Texas, but both those starts came before his recent hot streak. The Rangers are averaging 11.5 strikeouts per game over their last 10 games, and Bailey will also get to benefit from their home-road splits, as they are hitting 10 points worse on the road with an OPS nearly 50 points lower than at home.

This week could pose some risk for Bailey's ERA, as the Rangers are averaging 4.7 runs over their last 10 games, while the Astros are averaging 6.7 runs in the same span. But if owners are willing to risk a hit to their ERA, Bailey should provide plenty of strikeouts against a pair of Texas opponents.

Chase Anderson, MIL - 15% owned

Probable opponents: vs CIN, vs CHC

It's been an up-and-down season for Anderson this year, but right now he's on the upswing. Over his last five starts, Anderson has posted a 2.45 ERA with 20 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings. He'll start off the week against Cincinnati, which is averaging 5.7 runs per game over their last 10 games. While that looks scary to fantasy owners, it looks less daunting once you take out a 17-run and 11-run performance and see that they are averaging 3.6 runs in that span outside of those two games. The Reds are also averaging 8.8 strikeouts over that span, and Anderson will benefit from Cincinnati's struggles against right-handed starters, as they are hitting 32 points worse against them than left-handers. The Cubs on the other hand will provide a greater challenge, as they are averaging 5.8 runs over their last 10 games while hitting .276.

Despite a tough start against Chicago, Anderson should still have a chance to rack up strikeouts as the Cubs are averaging 9.6 strikeouts over their last 10 games. Owners looking at Anderson will have to judge whether they want to risk the Cubs start in order to get the Reds start, but he should provide solid value in Week 16.

Peter Lambert, COL - 2% owned

Probable opponents: @ WAS, @ CIN

Lambert is this week's high-risk, high-reward lottery pick. He has struggled when pitching in Denver, but this week he gets a pair of road starts which should allow him to be a sneaky play in fantasy. He'll start the week off against Washington, which is currently averaging 5.2 runs and 7.4 strikeouts over their last 10 games. Then he'll travel to Cincinnati for (as mentioned before) a much easier start against the Reds, where he will benefit from the same splits that Anderson will.

Lambert is a lottery pick that should be available in virtually any league. If you're picking him up this week, you're hoping for a high-strikeout performance with a potentially lower ERA pitching outside of Coors Field.

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Bases Loaded Podcast - Relief Pitchers Preview

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez, Zach Braff and Mike Simione as they jump into their relief pitcher preview! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Jose Urquidy

It's been a tumultuous winter for the Houston Astros. Not only were they embroiled in a sign-stealing scandal (which has, naturally, progressed apace to unsubstantiated conspiracy theories about ever more sophisticated methods of cheating), but they watched staff ace Gerrit Cole sign a mammoth free-agent deal with the Yankees. Plenty of virtual ink has been... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Mark Canha

Mark Canha had a solid 2019 campaign and is one player that probably deserves more attention heading into 2020 than he is currently receiving. He finished the season hitting .273/.396/.517 with 26 HR, 58 RBI, 80 R, and 67 BB in 410 at-bats. It was a very productive line for a guy that played in... Read More


Four Prospect Sleepers for 2020 Redraft Leagues

Recently, Rotoballer launched a list of the Top 50 MLB prospects for the coming year. The top of the list was populated by names such as Gavin Lux, Luis Robert, and Brendan McKay. These players, among others, feature a promising combination of talent and favorable playing time projections to suggest they’ll be the cream-of-the-crop among... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis – Robbie Ray vs Trevor Bauer

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Second Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as "the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – C.J. Cron

As another fantasy baseball season approaches, we once again have the chance to discuss C.J. Cron as a fantasy sleeper. Cron will be playing for his third team in three seasons. It is tough to wrap one's head around the idea that a player of Cron's talent continues to be undervalued by professional and fantasy... Read More


2020 Starting Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a very different strategy if you wish to truly compete. All preseason long, RotoBaller has you covered with the latest rankings for all fantasy baseball league types. Here we present our points league rankings... Read More


Second-Half Improvements: Buy Into These Starting Pitchers

The second half of the season is always put under a microscope for starting pitchers. Fantasy players have a love for the second half of the season, as the belief is that pitchers who take a step forward could carry over that success the next season and perhaps even build upon it. But, as we... Read More


How to Attack RP in SV+HLD Leagues

No position has seen as much evolution in recent seasons as the relief pitcher. Gone are the days where starters were expected to go seven innings as most teams have embraced the idea of "super-bullpening" and try to fit as many pitchers that can throw 95+ MPH into their bullpen as they can. Many fantasy... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitch Info

One of the most fundamental questions in fantasy sports is if a player's current performance is sustainable. More than any other sport, baseball has a slew of statistical measures that can be dissected in numerous ways to analyze player performance. Pitch Info is a publicly-available pitch tracking system that provides a lot of different data to... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Mock Draft Review: Best Late-Round Targets

Last week, some members of the RotoBaller staff completed a 12-team mock draft for standard 5x5 format. After the draft, we each broke down our strategy and some of our favorite picks, which can be found here. However, I want to take a closer look at one portion of the draft in particular. Since we know that... Read More


Faster and Furious: Pitchers with Rising Velocity/Performance

Welcome fantasy baseball players! I’m sure that you, like me, are anxiously counting down the days until your drafts and Opening Day. While the fantasy season may not start for several weeks, there are plenty of things we can do to start preparing for a successful season. One of those things is to take a good... Read More


James Karinchak Is A Relief Pitcher To Know in 2020

One of the lesser-known players that intrigues me for the 2020 MLB season is Indians relief pitcher James Karinchak. The former Bryant Bulldog was drafted by Cleveland in the ninth round in the 2017 draft and went on to have one of the most outrageous statistical seasons in minor league baseball history. As someone who... Read More