Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks- Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (5/8/23)

Stephen Curry - NBA DFS Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

Monday night of the NBA playoff slate showcases two series in critical game fours. The Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers both have the opportunity to take commanding 3-1 series leads. Being that only 13 teams in NBA history have come back down 3-1, the New York Knicks and Golden State Warriors need to be sharp with hopes of evening their series.

I'm on a bit of a roll in my article picks (hopefully I didn't just jinx it). On Saturday, the Knicks and Heat flawlessly hit under 209.5 when they only combined for 191 points. Los Angeles found themselves down 30-23 after the first quarter in game three. Flipping the script, they used a 36-18 second quarter and outscored the Warriors 104-67 in quarters two through four, leading to a 127-97 blowout victory. The Lakers easily covered -2.5 which gave me a nice 2-0 night. I've now hit my last four picks and got myself over .500 with an 8-7 record.

In this article, I’ll be providing my favorite picks against the spread and game totals for the NBA playoff games that tip off at 7:30 PM EST on Monday, May 8th.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

New York Knicks (+4.5) @ Miami Heat (206 total)

Series: Heat lead 2-1

Game three was bad for New York Knicks from the start. Looking discombobulated and out of sorts, Miami was able to take advantage and built a 29-21 lead after the first quarter. The Heat took a 58-44 lead into halftime but the 14 felt more like 30 and the Knicks could never make this a game.

Jimmy Butler returned after missing game two and made his presence felt early. Looking healthy after turning his ankle in game one, Butler played all 12 minutes in the first and scored 10 points. He would finish with 28 and pick up right where he left off in the 2023 playoffs.

Miami dominated in the paint in the first quarter, hitting 9/13 field goals inside the foul line and scoring 18 points. That was a big story of this game, the Heat were more physical than the Knicks and had a 50-36 points in the paint advantage.


I liked the under in game three because the Knicks were coming off a game that saw them hit 16/40 three-pointers. It was only the second time all playoffs they hit 10+ three-pointers in a game. On Saturday, they fell back down when they only hit 8/40 (20%) attempts from deep. This team has had a hard time hitting threes and is dead last in the playoffs in three-point percentage.

Something that is interesting is the open shots New York is getting. According to NBA.com, the Knicks attempted 19 threes with 4-6 feet of space (another way to say open threes) and shot 2/19 (10.5%) on those attempts. They also only hit 8/17 (47.1%) two-point field goals with the same 4-6 feet of open space. Both the 19 threes and 17 twos of open shots were the most among the four teams that played Saturday. If we want to stretch it back further, the Knicks went 6/20 (30%) from three with 6+ feet of open space, the worst of all four teams.

This shows me the Knicks just flat-out missed a ton of open looks. They haven't been a good shooting team all season but I think it'd be hard to be that bad again. If the Heat are going to give the Knicks those same open shots in a game New York desperately needs to win, I can see the result going differently.

Miami didn't shoot too well from three themselves, only hitting 7/32 (22%) attempts. Miami is shooting 39.2 percent from three while hitting over 14 threes in the 2023 playoffs. Though I don't think 39.2 percent accurately depicts this Heat team, the 13/39 (33%) from three they shot in game one of this series feels more their pace. Nonetheless, I would expect them to shoot a little better in game four.


Despite the low scoring in game three, these two teams combined to take 181 field goals, 72 three-pointers, and 53 free throws. I wasn't expecting them to shoot well and they didn't but now I'm looking for a turnaround. The Knicks put up 105 in game one and 111 in game two, they are better than their 86-point showing on Saturday.

New York has to shoot better on catch & shoot shots which typically are those open threes they are missing. They are only shooting 31.6 percent on catch & shoot shots in the playoffs compared to the 36.7 percent they shot in the regular season. They also need to get back to attacking the basket. In the playoffs, the Knicks are scoring 28.5 points per game on drives. In the regular season, they finished second in the NBA behind the Oklahoma City Thunder for drive points per game.

Miami has scored 100+ in all three games and I think they will stick to their same game plan. We've seen this team pop with games of 130, 122, 121, and 119 in their first-round series against the Milwaukee Bucks. If they are on, they can put up points.

There is a ton of room for improvement for the Knicks in game four.

The Pick: Over 206 (-110 PointsBet)


Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code SUMMER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!


Golden State Warriors (+3.5) @ Los Angeles Lakers (227.5 total)

Series: Lakers lead 2-1

Game three of this series looked a lot like game two just with the outcomes reversed. The Warriors lead 30-23 after the first quarter in game three. Los Angeles would then outscore them 104-67 over the next three quarters. In game two, the Lakers held a 33-26 lead after one and the Warriors outscored them 101-67 in the final three quarters.

Back-to-back blowouts in the series that was the most anticipated of all the second-round matchups are not what most people expected.


This Lakers team really goes as Anthony Davis goes and Davis had a big game to take a 2-1 series lead. AD scored 25 points, grabbed 13 rebounds, and also had four blocks and three steals. He was everywhere and finished as a +28 in his 33 minutes of action. Davis has literally alternated between having an awesome game and a bad game all playoffs, that will be something to watch for. He seemed to be playing through pain which is nothing new but also another thing to monitor.


Golden State had 19 turnovers in game three. The Lakers were able to capitalize and generate 27 points off of Warriors turnovers. Turning the ball over has been a problem for the Warriors all season as they led the league in turnovers per game and are second in turnovers per game in the playoffs. Steve Kerrs' team had eight turnovers in game one and 15 in game two, so the 19 likely shouldn't happen again in this game. Los Angeles is averaging around 17 points per game off turnovers, again, showing the 27 is unlikely to repeat.

The Warriors ebb and flow on their shooting. Typically, if they shoot badly, they lose. In the first quarter of game three, they hit 5/8 from deep to have the seven-point advantage. The second quarter saw them go 3/10 from three but they also shot 3/8 from very close to the basket. This gave the Lakers a chance to pounce and a 36-18 second quarter gave them a 59-48 halftime lead. The third quarter wasn't any better for the Dubs where they hit just 2/8 from three. With the game pretty much decided going into the fourth quarter, the Warriors capped off their night by going 2/11 from deep in the final quarter.

Overall, they shot 13/44 (29%) from three in game three. It was bad but I do think this team has more fight in them. Stephen Curry has had a relatively quiet series scoring the basketball. If history shows us anything (Does game 7 against the Kings ring a bell), Steph can't be held down for too long before going off. The Lakers are a tough defensive matchup for him but I'm not going to doubt him in a pretty much must-win game.

Golden State continues to lead all teams in assists per game and just has to find a way to knock down shots. They are last among playoff teams in drive points per game and field goals attempted on drives. This also offers a chance for progression and it will be interesting to see if the Warriors try to match the Lakers' physicality in game four.


I'm not going to count the Warriors out yet until they give me a reason to. This team is still shooting 45.5 percent from 20-24 feet which is first among all playoff teams. They had a poor shooting game three but history would show these guys have found ways to bounce back.

I expect a close game, a Steph sighting, and a Warriors cover.

The Pick: Warriors +3.5 (-112 FanDuel)


Check out the RotoBaller Discord on a nightly basis for additional content - if you're not a premium member for NBA content you can change that by signing up here!

We just added a new player prop tool that is available to our NBA premium and betting premium members, too!

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts


Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Tristan Da Silva38 mins ago

Stays Hot From Deep Versus Grizzlies
Scotty Pippen Jr.49 mins ago

Totals 25 Points, Nine Assists Wednesday
Taylor Hendricks58 mins ago

Notches 23 Points With Near-Perfect Shooting
David Roddy1 hour ago

Pushes Suns Past Thunder
Keon Ellis1 hour ago

Bounces Back With 29 Points Versus Knicks
Bronny James1 hour ago

Helps Lakers To Victory With 12-Point Effort
Kodai Senga12 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start This Weekend
Josh Richardson13 hours ago

Hopes To Be Ready For Training Camp
Julius Randle13 hours ago

Recovery "Going Incredibly Well"
Khris Middleton20 hours ago

Has Surgery On Both Ankles This Offseason
Houston Texans20 hours ago

Laremy Tunsil Fully Healthy After Arthroscopic Surgery
Xavier Worthy20 hours ago

Won't Start Training Camp On PUP List
Deshaun Watson21 hours ago

Hasn't Had Setbacks With His Shoulder
1 day ago

Usman Garuba Heading Back To Spain
Jarace Walker1 day ago

Stays Hot From Deep Tuesday
Marcus Sasser1 day ago

Enjoys Good Two-Way Outing
Jalen Wilson1 day ago

Leads Nets Past Knicks With 27-Point Effort
Karlo Matkovic1 day ago

Puts In Big Performance Versus Spurs
Alexandre Sarr1 day ago

Goes Scoreless On 15 Shots
Mason Miller1 day ago

Earns All-Star Game Win
Jarren Duran1 day ago

Wins All-Star Game MVP Award
Nicolai Hojgaard1 day ago

Continues Playing Well Before The Open Championship
Russell Henley1 day ago

Eyeing Strong Performance At The Open Championship
PGA1 day ago

Sungjae Im Playing Some Of His Best Golf In Lead-Up To The Open Championship
Dustin Johnson1 day ago

Lacking Major Championship Form In 2024
Jordan Spieth1 day ago

Struggling Ahead Of The Open Championship
Max Homa1 day ago

Slipping In Form Heading To Royal Troon
Charles Bassey2 days ago

Returning To The Spurs
Sandro Mamukelashvili2 days ago

Re-Signs With San Antonio
Kyrie Irving2 days ago

Undergoes Hand Surgery
Theo Johnson2 days ago

Giants Place Theo Johnson On PUP List
Daniel Jones2 days ago

Healthy, Won't Be Placed On PUP List
Ricky Pearsall2 days ago

Lands On Non-Football Injury List
Denver Broncos2 days ago

Quinn Meinerz Inks Four-Year Extension With Broncos
Dean Burmester2 days ago

May Be A Risk Worth Taking
Justin Rose2 days ago

Making His 22nd Career Open Championship Appearance
Robert MacIntyre2 days ago

Robert Macintyre Hoping To Take Momentum From Historic Win To Royal Troon
2 days ago

Patrick Beverley Signs With Team In Israel
Christian Watson2 days ago

Health Imperative For Packers WR Corps
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

An Interesting But Risky Option At Royal Troon
Matt Fitzpatrick2 days ago

Looking For Consistent Ball-Striking At Open Championship
Davante Adams2 days ago

Expected To Stay With Raiders
Gary Trent Jr.2 days ago

Signs A One-Year Deal With Bucks
Wyndham Clark2 days ago

Rolling Into Royal Troon After Intriguing Run Of Form
Caleb Williams2 days ago

Bears, Caleb Williams Agree On Rookie Deal
Keegan Bradley2 days ago

Looks To End Cut Streak At 2024 Open Championship
Brian Harman2 days ago

Looks To Defend The Claret Jug
Carlos Correa2 days ago

Won't Play In All-Star Game
Corey Conners2 days ago

Brings Strong Form To Royal Troon Debut
Cameron Young2 days ago

Readies For Third Open Championship
Tony Finau2 days ago

Returns To Royal Troon
Justin Thomas2 days ago

Returns To The Site Of His First Open
Brooks Koepka2 days ago

Debuts At Royal Troon
Daniel Jones2 days ago

Hasn't Had Any Setbacks
Rome Odunze2 days ago

Signs Rookie Deal
Brandon Aiyuk2 days ago

Officially Requests A Trade
Bryson DeChambeau2 days ago

Bryson Dechambeau Looking To Finish Off Historic Major Run At Royal Troon
Ludvig Aberg2 days ago

Debuts At The Open Championship
Kel'el Ware2 days ago

Bags Another Double-Double Versus Thunder
Pete Alonso2 days ago

Prefers Not To Be Traded
Cleveland Guardians2 days ago

Chase Mobley Slides To 10th Round
San Francisco Giants2 days ago

Dakota Jordan Slips To Fourth Round
Miami Marlins2 days ago

Gage Miller Headed To Marlins
Los Angeles Angels2 days ago

Angels Tab Ryan Prager As Third-Round Selection
Washington Nationals2 days ago

Kevin Bazzell Selected By Nationals In Third Round
Corbin Burnes2 days ago

Named American League Starter For All-Star Game
Bobby Witt Jr.2 days ago

Finishes Second In Home Run Derby
Teoscar Hernández2 days ago

Teoscar Hernandez Wins 2024 Home Run Derby
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Hopes For Playoffs Take Another Hit At Pocono
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Struggles Continue At Pocono
James Conner3 days ago

Hopes To Build On 2023 Campaign
AJ Dillon3 days ago

Enters Training Camp On Roster Bubble
Dustin Hopkins3 days ago

Browns, Dustin Hopkins Agree To Three-Year Extension
NASCAR3 days ago

Martin Truex Jr Won Stage 1 at Pocono, but Foiled by Strategy Yet Again
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Denny Hamlin Finished Second at Pocono but Matched Ryan Blaney in Performance
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Had Speed at Pocono, but Hindered by Strategy, Speeding Penalty, and Sour Engine
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Scores Penske's First Pocono Win Since 2011
Keaton Mitchell3 days ago

Placed On PUP List
Mike Trout3 days ago

Targeting Late-July Return
Tracy Cortez3 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Dominates Tracy Cortez
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Incredible Consistency Continues At Pocono
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Captures Third Place At Pocono
Muslim Salikhov3 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Denver
Santiago Ponzinibbio3 days ago

Loses Second Fight In A Row
Ange Loosa3 days ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Gabriel Bonfim3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Denver
Brad Keselowski3 days ago

Finishes Seventh At The Great American Getaway 400
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Earns Spot In DraftKings Winning Lineup At Pocono
Nick Chubb3 days ago

Making Good Progress After Knee Surgery
Joey Logano3 days ago

Finishes Fifth At Pocono On Sunday
William Byron3 days ago

Still Ends Up In Top Five At Pocono
Miami Marlins3 days ago

Marlins Tab Carter Johnson With Pick No. 56
Minnesota Twins3 days ago

Billy Amick Slips To Twins At Pick No. 60
Seattle Mariners3 days ago

Ryan Sloan Slips To Mariners With 55th Pick
Oakland Athletics3 days ago

Tommy White Lands With Athletics At Pick No. 40
Michael Toglia3 days ago

Belts Three Homers On Sunday
Lawrence Butler3 days ago

Hits Three Homers, Drives In Six
Texas Rangers4 days ago

Malcolm Moore Selected By Texas Rangers At Pick 30
Abdul Razak Alhassan4 days ago

Gets a NC At UFC Denver
Cody Brundage4 days ago

Fight Ends Early Due To Illegal Shots
Christian Rodriguez4 days ago

Gets Submitted At UFC Denver
Julian Erosa4 days ago

Pulls Off Upset At UFC Denver
Drew Dober4 days ago

Suffers Stoppage Loss At UFC Denver
Drew Dober4 days ago

Jean Silva Dominates Drew Dober At UFC Denver
Jordan Addison4 days ago

Arrested On Friday Night
Caleb Williams4 days ago

Not Involved In Contract Discussions
Tyreek Hill4 days ago

Still Not Concerned About A New Deal
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Pocono
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Is A Top Favorite To Win At Pocono
Joey Logano4 days ago

Will Start 10th At Pocono This Week
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Brad Keselowski At Pocono?
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Will Start 11th At Pocono This Week
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Is A Capable Value Pick For Pocono
William Byron4 days ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Pocono
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

The Favorite To Win At Pocono
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Should Be Strong At Pocono




DeVonta Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Philadelphia Eagles 2024 Fantasy Football Team Preview - QB, RB, WR, TE Outlooks

Welcome to my 2024 fantasy football preview for the Philadelphia Eagles as part of my team-by-team fantasy football outlooks series. This new 32-part series will dissect each NFL team through a fantasy football lens. We'll look at each of the four primary positions—quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end—and identify each player's value at... Read More

Dak Prescott - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Players to Target and Avoid - NFC East

Fantasy football managers are gearing up for the 2024 NFL season and preparing for their fantasy football drafts. Evaluating the NFC East rosters to determine which players to target and which to avoid is crucial for these drafts. This article tackles fantasy targets and those to avoid from each NFC East team. The NFC East... Read More

Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Best Ball Running Back Rankings for 2024 Fantasy Football Drafts (Tiers 1-3) - July Updates

Some of you have been building rosters in best ball drafts since the initial weeks of the offseason, and participation in this format has accelerated as we have advanced through the summer. Enthusiasm for these leagues remains enormous as it provides the opportunity to satisfy your passion for involvement in the draft process while completing... Read More

Rachaad White - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

One-Man Backfields To Avoid In 2024 Fantasy Football Drafts

Bell-cow running backs in the NFL have become about as rare as having a positive interaction on social media. As a result, it's getting extremely difficult to find a workhorse back in fantasy football drafts. That makes our job as fantasy players trickier. While we typically want to target backfields with bell-cow rushers, there are... Read More

Harrison Butker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Kickers

Fantasy Football Kicker Rankings (K)

    Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF   Kicker (K) Rankings Articles On this page you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings for kicker (K) and the NFL season. All of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings analysis, advice and articles related to the kicker position appear here. Our fantasy football rankings articles include analysis on numerous league formats... Read More

CeeDee Lamb - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

11 Fantasy Football Wide Receivers With Target Hog Potential

For a wide receiver to be good in fantasy, they must get the football. Duh, right? But you know what I mean: the more targets a player receives, the more opportunities exist for them to score points in fantasy. Sometimes, you get players who are their team's No. 1 receiver, which leads to a high... Read More

Chris Olave - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

The Best Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Tandems for 2024 Drafts

Being successful in your fantasy football league will require drafting players who will be able to score fantasy points consistently every week as well as offer a very high ceiling of potential when it comes to fantasy scoring. The wide receiver position is the one that tends to offer the highest fantasy ceiling in a... Read More

Jahmyr Gibbs - Fantasy Football, Rankings, Draft, Sleeper, DFS, Running Back

NFL Power Rankings: All 32 Teams Ahead of Training Camp

The countdown to the NFL season is on, and with training camps just around the corner, it's the perfect time to look into the ever-evolving world of NFL Power Rankings. As we gear up for another rollercoaster of a season, each team’s potential is meticulously dissected, scrutinized, and ranked. From future champions to underdogs, our... Read More

Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Washington Commanders Fantasy Football Team Preview - QB, RB, WR, TE Outlooks

Welcome to my 2024 fantasy football preview for the Washington Commanders as part of my team-by-team fantasy football outlooks series. This new 32-part series will dissect each NFL team through a fantasy football lens. We'll look at each of the four primary positions -- quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end -- and identify each... Read More

DeAndre Hopkins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Yardage Regression Candidates - 2024 NFL Sleepers and Busts

The 2023 NFL season featured some impressive performances by wide receivers, but not all of those performances feel sustainable heading into the future. Various factors should lead to various shifts in production. Today, we'll be looking at some wide receivers who had a lot of receiving yards in 2023 and discussing why their 2024 outlook... Read More

Rashee Rice - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL wr, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Outlook: Where to Draft Rashee Rice in Fantasy Football

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice had a promising rookie campaign last year. The young wideout gained steam as the season progressed, and he finished as a key contributor to Kansas City's run to a Super Bowl victory. However, a lot has transpired since February. Between multiple relevant roster moves and a series of... Read More

Jaymyr Gibbs - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

2024 Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2024 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More

DeVon Achane - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Injury News

Fantasy Football Draft Targets And Avoids - AFC East Breakdowns

Fantasy football draft season is right around the corner. What better way to start your preparation than by looking at some targets and avoids from around the league? That's exactly what we'll aim to do in this article Here, we'll take a look specifically at the AFC East. Which players should you be targeting in... Read More