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Five Boom or Bust Plays for Week 17

Nathan Powell analyzes fantasy football lineup sleepers and avoids for Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season. These are boom or bust plays for DFS and seasonal leagues.

Welcome back, RotoBallers. In this article, I will cover five of my favorite boom or bust plays for Week 17 of the fantasy football season.

The Boom or Bust play is one of the most talked about aspects of fantasy football each week. Boom or Bust players can be used as lineup options in deeper leagues, when it appears you are a heavy underdog in your head-to-head matchup or even in Guaranteed Prize Pool Tournaments in DFS. Let's get rolling.

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Quarterback

Kirk Cousins, Washington QB vs NYG

Through 16 weeks of the fantasy football season, Kirk Cousins sits at QB4 overall in fantasy points this season. Cousins has had a reliable floor, scoring 15 or more points in each game with 25 or more points in 5 of 15 games.

This week, Cousins faces a Giants defense that has been stout all season. They finished top 8 in fantasy points allowed at quarterback, running back and wide receiver. They allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, however Kirk Cousins did put up 22.80 fantasy points in these teams first matchup in New York. Additionally, the Giants have nothing to play for as they are locked in as the 5 seed. With a motivated Washington team that is in with a win and a Giants team that may rest starters in the 2nd half, this is a prime spot to play Cousins in DFS and week 17 seasonal leagues when finding players that are motivated are harder to find.

Verdict: Boom

 

Running Back

Latavius Murray, Raiders RB at DEN

Despite the drafting of Deandre Washington and the flashes shown by Jalen Richard, Latavius Murray has been the clear #1 in the Oakland backfield all season long. Murray finished the fantasy season as the RB11 overall despite missing 2 games with an injury.

In week 17, the Raiders have something to play for, even if the Patriots win at 1 PM to secure the #1 seed, the Chiefs and Raiders play at the same time, and in the event that the Raiders lose and Chiefs win, the Chiefs win the division. Latavius Murray has two main problems entering this week. First, he lost his starting quarterback Derek Carr, so the offense will likely not move the ball as well with Matt McGloin under center. Secondly, the Raiders are matched up against a Broncos defense that has shut down passing games, allowing the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks and wide receivers. While they are middle of the pack allowing the 12 most fantasy points to running backs, if the Raiders are unable to move the ball effectively, Murray won't put up good numbers.

Verdict: Bust

 

Wide Receiver

Marvin Jones, Lions WR vs GBP

The last time that Marvin Jones faced the Packers secondary was in week 3, he went off for 38.50 fantasy points with a line of 6 catches for 205 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. At that point, it appeared that Jones had secured the #1 wide receiver role in Detroit. However, since then, Golden Tate has reclaimed that role and even Anquan Boldin took the spot as the #2 target.

Since his week 3 explosion, Marvin Jones hasn’t surpassed 15 PPR points and has only eclipsed 10 PPR points once since week 8. In week 17, Boldin is out with an injury which opens up the opportunity for Jones to reclaim his early season role in the offense, particularly against a defense that didn't have an answer for him in their first matchup.

Verdict: Boom

 

Tight End

Antonio Gates, Chargers TE vs KC

Often times throughout the season, record chasing and narrative street type analysis can lead you astray because more often than not it doesn't have any real impact on the game. However, with Antonio Gates, he is possibly playing his final game, in what is likely the final home game for the Chargers in San Diego and Gates in 1 touchdown shy of tying Tony Gonzalez career record of 111 receiving touchdowns.

The Chargers have long been eliminated from the playoffs, so it wouldn't surprise me if they make Sunday being the “Antonio Gates show” as much as possible. Rivers will likely force the ball as much as possible to Gates, especially in the red zone. Kansas City allows the 3rd fewest fantasy points to tight ends, but I’m not sure that matters with the number of targets that Gates is likely to see.

Verdict: Boom

 

Hail Mary of the Week

In the Hail Mary of the Week, I will choose a Boom/Bust candidate who is available on the waiver wire or at the end of benches in most fantasy football leagues and could have a big week:

Terrance Williams, Cowboys WR at PHI

The Dallas Cowboys are one of the few playoff teams this weekend with nothing to play for as they already have the #1 seed in the NFC locked up. The Cowboys say they have no plans of resting starters in week 17, but if there is one player on their offense who may see some rest time, it is Dez Bryant. Bryant has missed games in each of the last two seasons and I wouldn't be surprised to see Bryant on the bench at halftime to ensure that he enters the playoffs healthy,

With Bryant on the bench, Terrance Williams becomes an intriguing option as he becomes the deep threat and likely #1 wide receiver in the offense. Cole Beasley may see a higher target volume, but the deep passes and red zone pssses will likely be replaced by Williams. Additionally, the Eagles have been one of the worst secondaries in the NFL this season, allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to wide receivers.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

De'Aaron Fox

Questionable Against the Cavaliers
Bam Adebayo

Expected Back on Monday Night
Kon Knueppel

Won't Suit Up Against Milwaukee
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Still Out on Monday
Parker Washington

Leads Jaguars in Targets, Receptions, and Receiving Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson

Posts Season-High 11 Receptions in Week 17
Josh Allen

Seen Limping From X-Ray Room, Says Foot Injury Didn't Affect Him
Geno Smith

Diagnosed With High-Ankle Sprain
John Collins

Won't Face the Pistons on Sunday Night
Trey McBride

Sets All-Time Tight End Receptions Record
Geno Smith

Exits Early With Ankle Injury
DJ Moore

Suiting Up Against 49ers on Sunday Night
Ricky Pearsall

Officially Active for Week 17 Against Bears
George Kittle

Officially Inactive for Week 17
Ja'Marr Chase

Snags Two Touchdowns in Week 17
Geno Smith

Questionable to Return With Ankle Injury
Chris Godwin Jr.

Goes Over 100 Yards in Loss to Miami
Matthew Tkachuk

Returns to Practice
Chris Olave

Extends Touchdown Streak in Win Over Titans
Linus Ullmark

Takes Leave of Absence
Travis Sanheim

Good to Go Against Kraken
Kyshawn George

Ruled Out on Sunday
Zach Charbonnet

Scores Twice in Lead-Back Role on Sunday
Nick Foligno

Set to Return Sunday
Chase Brown

Finds End Zone Twice in High-Volume Role on Sunday
Jock Landale

Out Again on Sunday
Rhamondre Stevenson

Scores Twice, Plays Major Pass-Catching Role
William Nylander

Out Against Red Wings
Stefon Diggs

Enjoys Another 100-Yard Performance in Week 17
Jared McCann

Available Sunday
Vince Dunn

on Track to Return Sunday
Breece Hall

Not Concerned About Knee Injury
Blake Lizotte

Activated From Injured Reserve
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers Not Expected to Fire Todd Bowles?
DK Metcalf

Steelers Won't Void the Guarantees in DK Metcalf's Contract
Drake Maye

Throws for Career-High Five Touchdowns in New York
Tyler Herro

Showing Progress but Still Without Timetable
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator
Zach Collins

Exits Late With Lower-Body Injury
Chris Boucher

Ruled Out Sunday for Personal Reasons
Gabe Vincent

Out Again Sunday With Back Issue
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Sunday Against Celtics
Collin Murray-Boyles

Unlikely to Play Sunday Due to Illness
Andrei Svechnikov

Extends Scoring Run With Three-Point Effort
Auston Matthews

Bags Three Points Saturday Night
Alex Laferriere

Records First Career Hat Trick
William Nylander

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Zach Werenski

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Jake Evans

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
J.J. Moser

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Ajay Mitchell

Cleared to Return Sunday
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyshawn George

Iffy for Sunday
De'Anthony Melton

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Jaxson Hayes

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

to Return From Knee Injury Sunday
Jock Landale

in Danger of Missing Another Game Sunday
Vince Williams Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
Ryan McDonagh

Misses Saturday's Action
Jordan Kyrou

Jimmy Snuggerud Back for Blues Saturday
Tanner Jeannot

Misses First Game of the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Won't Play on Saturday
Elias Pettersson

Ready to Return Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Available Against Kings
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach

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