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How should you bet on Super Bowl LVII? Dan Larocca looks at five early Super Bowl bets to make ahead of the big game.
The 2022 NFL season ends this coming Sunday in a battle of number-one seeds as the Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) take on the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) in Super Bowl LVII.
As one of the most highly anticipated events in all of sports, the Super Bowl draws in millions of fans every year, along with millions of dollars in bets. Whether you're a seasoned pro or a newcomer to the world of NFL betting, there is something for everyone when it comes to betting on the big game.
In this article, we'll be taking a look at some of the top bets to consider ahead of Super Bowl LVII.
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Super Bowl Bet #1
Eagles OVER 12.5 First-Half Points (-115)
The Eagles were the best first-half scoring team in the NFL in 2022, averaging 18.2 first-half points per game (most in the league by almost three points) and scoring 75% of their 47 offensive TDs before halftime. The bulk of this production has come in the second quarter specifically, with a whopping 51% of their offensive TDs being scored in this frame alone.
When it comes to scoring early, the Chiefs have been no slouch either, trailing only the Eagles in first-half points this season with 15.5. With these two teams combining for an average of 33.7 first-half points, the first-half game total of 23.5 points (-125) should also be heavily considered, albeit with less favorable odds.
Super Bowl Bet #2
Quez Watkins UNDER 1.5 Receptions (-155)
WR Quez Watkins is an enticing big-play threat for the Eagles, but with so many options in the passing game, he’s been an afterthought of late. The presence of Dallas Goedert has been particularly dooming for Watkins - in 14 games where both Watkins and Goedert have suited up this season, Watkins has gone for one catch or less in nine of them (64%), including failing to record a catch so far these playoffs.
With a career yards-per-catch rate of 13.3, Watkins has a higher chance of exceeding his yardage prop of 12.5 yards on one big catch than he does of reaching two catches or more. Consider the under here.
Super Bowl Bet #3
A.J. Brown OVER 71.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
While these two teams are pretty evenly matched, the Chiefs' passing defense is one unit the Eagles can look to exploit. Kansas City ranks as the 20th passing defense, according to Football Outsiders DVOA, and the 31st against WRs specifically. The Chiefs traditionally play more man coverage on defense, which is a significant opportunity for Brown, who excels against man coverage and is a matchup problem no matter which Chiefs corner lines up against him.
Kansas City has been especially susceptible to opposing WRs this year, giving up the most touchdowns to opposing WRs this past regular season and allowing the most red zone TDs through the air. Based on this, Brown can be considered for an anytime touchdown as well (+125).
Super Bowl Bet #4
Bonus: National Anthem Length
Novelty props add another level of excitement to Super Bowl betting for casual bettors.
This year, country star Chris Stapleton will have the honor of singing the National Anthem before kickoff, with opening lines set at or around two minutes and five seconds. The National Anthem length has finished under two minutes and five seconds in five of the last six Super Bowls. The last country singer to hold this honor was Luke Bryan for Super Bowl LI, who finished The Star-Spangled Banner in two minutes and four seconds. Consider the under here.
Super Bowl Bet #5
Bonus: Gatorade Bath Color
When it comes to the end-of-game Gatorade bath, Orange has been the most popular color for Super Bowl champions in the modern era, being the color of choice five times since 2001. Orange opened as the favorite again this year at +250 on many betting sites.
When the Chiefs won three years ago, Orange was dumped on head coach Andy Reid. Lemon/Lime was the flavor of choice when the Eagles beat the Patriots in 2018 and also this past week in the Eagles’ NFC Championship celebration. Depending on who you lean to win the game, stick with one of these two options. Give me the Eagles and Lemon/Lime (+350) this year.
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