X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Wide Receiver Risers for Fantasy Football Drafts - ADP Analysis for Marvin Jones, Nico Collins, Robbie Anderson

Antonio Losada looks at wide receiver risers for 2022 fantasy football drafts. These NFL WRs are rising up draft boards, and he analyzes their ADPs for value.

I am going to start this column by introducing the concept of ADP, which I'm pretty sure you know what it is about. Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to draft and get a player on your team. A high ADP (that is actually a low-numbered ADP) means that a player is getting off draft boards early, and thus you'll need to draft him in the first rounds if you truly want him.

Low or high ADP values are not gospel. Each of us fantasy GMs have our strategies and value players differently depending on what we think is the most important for them to have in terms of abilities. No matter what, ADPs are good to know how the "average value" of the "average GM" you'll be drafting against is for each asset (in this case, the players). By now, with free agency and the draft well finalized and just a few players left to be signed, it makes sense to go look at how ADPs are varying during the last month as we get closer to peak draft season.

In this series, I’ll highlight players at each skill position seeing significant fluctuation from mid-June to mid-July using data from FFPC drafts. Today, it's time to look at three wide-receiver risers.

Editor's Note: Discover RotoBaller’s top Fantasy Football Sleepers to gain an edge in your drafts. Our free who to draft tool and expert picks spotlight undervalued players, breakout candidates, and late-round gems for all league formats.

 

Wide Receivers - ADP Risers

 

Marvin Jones Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars

Of course, Christian Kirk signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars to kick off the wideout-offseason, got a deal barely understandable, and fooled fantasy GMs into believing he was going to be--and more worryingly, perform--as a bona fide WR1.

Color me shocked if that happens, because I don't trust it one single bit. I'm buying Trevor Lawrence's bounceback season in 2022 after struggling in his first year among men and that will undoubtedly help everybody in the offense, but that's pretty much it. One thing is that little T-Law Boost, another (very different) one is to all of a sudden have a legit WR1 in popping out of left field.

Jones Jr. is in the same line as Kirk in that he's a good-not-great wide receiver and though I expect him to get better numbers, that's mostly where you should set your expectations. Fantasy GMs seem to be of the same thinking, with MJJ's ADP steady rising and sitting at nearly 200th-overall and WR76 these days.

Of course, that's nothing to call home about, but that's almost already a draftable ADP for those in 12-team drafts (it translates to an early 17th-round pick) so watch out if you don't want to make Jones one of your last targets come draft day.

The slightest bump up in production would have Jones as a massive value play as he's projected (via PFF) to hit 185+ PPR points and reach the WR43 in what would be a disappointing season to my eyes. I expect more, and if he reaches 200+, he'd already be entering the WR3 realm and becoming an extraordinary set-it-and-forget-it option at the FLEX spot.

 

Nico Collins, Houston Texans

The latest news on the sophomore beat spoke of the second-year receiver of the Texans having "a good grasp of the offense" and "talent off the charts" as said by his very own QB, Davis Mills.

He added that the Texans need "to find ways to get the ball to Collins," which is zero percent surprising to find Mills saying considering that 1) Collins is his teammate and 2) Collins is probably the best wideout in the Texans' depth chart right now other than Brandin Cooks. The conundrum for fantasy GMs regarding Collins and Cooks is very simple: expensive floor or cheap ceiling?

Obviously, Cooks is going to deliver the goodies no matter what. Cooks has been a top-20 wide receiver in all but two years (his rookie season with 10 games played and 2019 with 14). Even last year, already playing under Davis Mills, Cooks found a way to 231.8 PPR points and a WR20 finish with an average of 14.5 FPPG, only one (15.5) fantasy points per game down from his average in 2020 already in Houston.

Collins kicked his career off with a forgettable WR87 finish in 14 games, only eight of them "starts." Easier to understand: 66-33-446-1 was his line and 54.1% was his catch rate. Of course, Cooks is getting drafted with the 59th pick on average compared to Collins' ADP of 220+. Any player drafted past the 180th-overall point is more probably than not going to return some value.

A WR2 in his team playing under a developing quarterback in a team barren of talent, if only because of the number of opportunities he could get, should be on that group all day. Don't overspend/overdraft on Collins, but definitely make him one of your early-WW targets.

 

Robbie Anderson, Carolina Panthers

It's been a minute now, but we have to thank Robbie for giving us the glory sauce of the offseason this spring into the summer. When Anderson got word of Baker possibly arriving in Carolina via trade, he said "hell no" and then, in early June, we came to know that he was even thinking about retiring because of that situation. LOL.

Take it for whatever you want (he has recently clarified that it's not that he didn't want Baker, but that he would prefer the Panthers trusting Sam Darnold as a long-time/future/franchise QB), but one thing is clear and that is that Anderson isn't remotely pleased with what is going on in Carolina of late.

Nobody fell for the retirement thing because we all troll the internet on Twitter, and so do famous athletes. Fantasy GMs, in fact, stayed put and their feelings didn't change at all. That, of course, and unexpectedly, changed when the Panthers acquired... Baker Mayfield (!) to have him (we assume) as the QB1 of the team next season and all of a sudden Robbie started to see a steady bump up the drafting boards in his ADP.

Anderson was an afterthought not long ago--while still a WR1 in the Panthers offense, mind you--but he's now breaking the 200th-ADP barrier and going higher by the day. Yes, the WR has had some dubious seasons of late, but the talent has always been inside of him. We don't know how the whole Mayfield/Robbie pairing might work.

The Panthers have DJ Moore and Robbie Anderson as their main targets with no real threat anywhere else on the WR/TE corps that could end up eating from their opportunities. Please, draft Robbie whether it takes a 250th, 200th, or 150-OVR pick. He might not be a WR1 anymore, but I'm convinced he won't fall from the WR3/FLEX-viable realm anytime soon.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Signs Massive Extension With Oklahoma City
Corbin Carroll

Eyeing Return Before All-Star Break
New York Knicks

Knicks Pick Up Guerschon Yabusele
Yordan Alvarez

Could Return Early Next Week
NFL

Negotiations on 18-Game Season Not Expected Until Next Year
Indiana Pacers

Myles Turner Leaves Indiana, Signs With Milwaukee
Kerry Carpenter

Shelved with Hamstring Issue
Tyler Boyd

Steelers Have Talked With Tyler Boyd
Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Waived By Milwaukee
Darren Waller

Coming Out of Retirement to Play for Dolphins
Alexander Romanov

Islanders Retain Alexander Romanov on $50 Million Contract
Andrei Kuzmenko

Signs Up for One More Year with Kings
Morgan Geekie

Signs Long-Term Extension with Bruins
Ivan Provorov

Stays in Columbus on Seven-Year Deal
Alex Pietrangelo

Stepping Away From Golden Knights for Health Reasons
Matias Maccelli

Maple Leafs Bring in Matias Maccelli
Evan Bouchard

Inks $42 Million Contract with Oilers
Vladimir Tarasenko

Wild Acquire Vladimir Tarasenko From Detroit
Patrick Kane

Signs New One-Year Deal with Red Wings
Brad Marchand

Lands Six-Year Extension
Aaron Ekblad

Remains a Panther on Eight-Year Deal
Mitchell Marner

Heads to Vegas
Randy Arozarena

Homers Twice, Plates Four Monday
Shea Langeliers

Hits Three-Run Homer In Return From Injured List Monday
Wilyer Abreu

Belts Grand Slam and Hits Inside-the-Park Home Run
Philadelphia 76ers

Trendon Watford Lands in Philadelphia
New York Knicks

Jordan Clarkson Expected to Sign With Knicks
Zack Wheeler

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings, Punches Out 10
Santi Aldama

Remains with Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Lands in Atlanta
George Springer

Exits Early Monday With Neck Injury
Jalen Ramsey

Could Move Around in Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Clippers

Brook Lopez Strikes Deal With Clippers
Jonnu Smith

to be Used in Hybrid Role
Terry McLaurin

Commanders, Terry McLaurin Not Close on Contract Extension
Hunter Goodman

Likely Headed to Injured List
Chicago Bulls

Tre Jones Remaining in Chicago
Michael Mayer

Raiders Not Interested in Trading Michael Mayer
Houston Rockets

Dorian Finney-Smith Signing With Rockets
Trent Grisham

Exits With Hamstring Tightness
Atlanta Hawks

Caris LeVert Joining Pistons
Milwaukee Bucks

Kevin Porter Jr., Bucks Reach Agreement on a New Contract
Brooklyn Nets

D'Angelo Russell Heading to Dallas
Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Jr. Heading Back to Denver
Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Returning to Houston
Cameron Johnson

Traded to Denver
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Signs Massive Extension
Michael Porter Jr.

Traded to Brooklyn
Matt Chapman

Could Return for Start of Giants Homestand
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Return on Saturday
Yanquiel Fernández

Yanquiel Fernandez Called Up to Majors
Tyler Mahle

Dealing With Rotator-Cuff Strain
Brooklyn Nets

Ziaire Williams Expected to Return to Nets
Austin Wells

to Miss Next Two Games
Charlotte Hornets

Tre Mann Set to Become an Unrestricted Free Agent
Bo Bichette

Scratched With Sore Knee
Jurickson Profar

to Return on Wednesday
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Colby Thomas

Called Up From Triple-A
Shea Langeliers

A's Reinstate Shea Langeliers From Injured List
Pittsburgh Steelers

Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Bryce Harper

Activated and Starting on Monday
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Lands on Injured List With Fractured Ribs
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Minkah Fitzpatrick

Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
Dante Fabbro

Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
Joel Hofer

Commits to Blues for Two More Years
Kevin Bahl

Signs Long-Term Extension with Flames
Jordan Spence

Traded to Ottawa
Petr Mrazek

Heads to Anaheim
John Gibson

Red Wings Acquire John Gibson
Matthew Knies

Inks Six-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
NFL

NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Ty Dillon

Could Benefit from Kaulig Speed
Dylan Sampson

Being Used as a Receiver
Carson Schwesinger

Figures to be in Full-Time Role in 2025
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Renato Moicano

Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF