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Week 7 Busts - Overvalued Players to Avoid In Fantasy Football

Top 10 potential lineup busts to avoid starting in fantasy football. Justin Carter lists NFL players to consider sitting or benching as Week 7 lineup disappointments.

Unless you play in a league with a Week 17 playoff round, which...no, no, no, stop it...then Week 7 represents the midway part of the fantasy football regular season, which feels shocking. It's gone so fast!

But why has it gone so quickly? Football feels like it just barely returned and now it's already Week 7! Here's my theory: football has been better this year after last year's weird offensive implosion, and when things are better they feel more fleeting. Every exciting touchdown pass makes it feel like football has only briefly existed. (It's why baseball is somehow still happening -- I stopped caring about it and thus it will never end.)

Anyway, you came here for the busts. Below are 10 lineup busts and avoids for Week 7 of NFL action.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Playoff Challenge is back with a massive $500,000 grand prize and $1.35 million total prize pool, paying down to 800th place. Here's the deal: no salary cap, no draft, no pickups, no subs. Choose 10 players, and as NFL teams get knocked out so will your players, so choose your team wisely. The 7,250 entries will sell out quickly, and registrations will close on Saturday January 10th at 4:30 pm ET . Don't wait - get your team now and end your fantasy football season with a shot at $500,000! Sign Up Now!

 

Top 10 Busts - NFL Week 7

Jameis Winston (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Fun fact: the Browns have held opposing quarterbacks to two or fewer touchdowns in all but one game this season. They've held them under 300 yards in all but two games. They've held them to under 20 fantasy points in all but one game. Cleveland quietly has a decent defense that just, uhh, happened to get carved up by Derek Carr once. Rookie defensive back Denzel Ward has been a revelation. I know Winston is coming off a pretty good game and I also know that if Winston has a strong game here I'm going to abandon ship and go jump on the "defense doesn't matter" bandwagon, but for now I'm not betting on him, even if his intended air yards and second only to Ryan Fitzpatrick.

C.J. Beathard (QB, San Francisco 49ers)

Beathard has put up decent numbers since becoming the starter in San Francisco, but Sunday's meeting with the Rams, who allow the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, coupled with Beathard ranking last in intended air yards, suggests a low ceiling for the former Iowa quarterback this week.

(By the way, I'm not putting Deshaun Watson on here because last week's poor performance was aided by a lack of rushing yardage. A healthier Watson will run more, Jacksonville showed last week that quarterbacks can run on them, and I think while he may not be a top-five quarterback this week, he should still put up solid numbers.)

Jordan Howard (RB, Chicago Bears)

In my home league, I chose Jordan Howard as my keeper this year after I built a depth-heavy team to win last year's title, so now I'm uncomfortably sitting at 4-2 with one of the lowest point totals in the league because of it. Howard has been a disaster this season, and the Patriots high scoring attack means we'll see plenty of Tarik Cohen in the passing game this week. Howard's best bet for doing anything will be the Bears getting into the red zone early and letting him carry it across the goal-line because he's bound for a small number of touches as Chicago tries to keep up with New England.

Lamar Miller (RB, Houston Texans)

Houston's had a funky red zone offense this year, which has led to Miller having just four carries for three yards inside the 10-yard line. He's seen Alfred Blue both eat into his touches and perform better than him on a per touch basis, and Jacksonville's defense has held him in check before.

Isaiah Crowell (RB, New York Jets)

I wrote a couple of weeks ago about how Crowell can make things happen once he gets past the initial line of defense, but the Jets offensive line has made that a very difficult task. Minnesota isn't the defense that Crowell wants to encounter if he's trying to have another of his breakout games, so I've got him pretty low this week on my list of running backs.

Will Fuller (WR, Houston Texans)

We enter the third week of not trusting Fuller based on his hamstring issues, and this time we add the Jaguars defense to the mix. I think Keke Coutee could have a really strong game based on what Cole Beasley was able to do from the slot in Week 6, and DeAndre Hopkins is a must-start, but a banged-up Fuller screams trouble for fantasy owners. He'll get back to those boom games at some point, but I don't think it's this week.

Calvin Ridley (WR, Atlanta Falcons)

I've really liked Ridley this year and have regretted passing on him in my rookie drafts, but Ridley gets a double dose of "stay away" this weekend: a bone bruise on his ankle that will limit his effectiveness, and a matchup with a Giants defense that's allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Demaryius Thomas (WR, Denver Broncos)

Thomas found the end zone in back-to-back weeks, but the Cardinals have been good against wide receivers this season thanks to the presence of Patrick Peterson. Peterson hasn't allowed a touchdown yet when targeted and is allowing a catch rate of just 55.3 percent. Per PlayerProfiler, Peterson ranks seventh in fewest fantasy points allowed per target and eighth in total fantasy points allowed per game. If he's on Thomas, don't expect much from Thomas.

Cameron Brate (TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

I started Brate in a dynasty league where injuries have ravished me -- I started the season with Delanie Walker and Jack Doyle at tight end -- and was happy with his touchdown, but that was the only time he was targeted, and was on the field just 33 percent of the time. Brate's a touchdown or bust option at this point, which is just grrrr-eat for those of us who are forced to start him.

Greg Olsen (TE, Carolina Panthers)

The Eagles allow the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends and while Olsen's return from a broken foot wasn't a disaster, I don't love starting him against this Philadelphia defense. (I will, though. He's solidly in my lineups wherever I have him despite a little lower floor this week because the tight end position in 2018 is my least favorite thing ever.)

More Weekly Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
Jet Greaves

Beats Mammoth With 25 Saves
Roman Josi

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Joonas Korpisalo

Shuts Door on Penguins
Jack Hughes

Has Two Helpers in Losing Effort
Tomas Hertl

Matches Vegas Record With Five Points
Justin Sourdif

Exits With Injury Versus Predators
Denton Mateychuk

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Sunday
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Aaron Holiday

is Moving into Starting Five
Aaron Gordon

is Available on Sunday
Christian Braun

is Downgraded to Out
Jamal Murray

is Unavailable on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

is Available to Play on Sunday
Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

Extends Goal Streak With Empty-Netter
Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season

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