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Week 7 Busts - Overvalued Players to Avoid In Fantasy Football

Top 10 potential lineup busts to avoid starting in fantasy football. Justin Carter lists NFL players to consider sitting or benching as Week 7 lineup disappointments.

Unless you play in a league with a Week 17 playoff round, which...no, no, no, stop it...then Week 7 represents the midway part of the fantasy football regular season, which feels shocking. It's gone so fast!

But why has it gone so quickly? Football feels like it just barely returned and now it's already Week 7! Here's my theory: football has been better this year after last year's weird offensive implosion, and when things are better they feel more fleeting. Every exciting touchdown pass makes it feel like football has only briefly existed. (It's why baseball is somehow still happening -- I stopped caring about it and thus it will never end.)

Anyway, you came here for the busts. Below are 10 lineup busts and avoids for Week 7 of NFL action.

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Top 10 Busts - NFL Week 7

Jameis Winston (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Fun fact: the Browns have held opposing quarterbacks to two or fewer touchdowns in all but one game this season. They've held them under 300 yards in all but two games. They've held them to under 20 fantasy points in all but one game. Cleveland quietly has a decent defense that just, uhh, happened to get carved up by Derek Carr once. Rookie defensive back Denzel Ward has been a revelation. I know Winston is coming off a pretty good game and I also know that if Winston has a strong game here I'm going to abandon ship and go jump on the "defense doesn't matter" bandwagon, but for now I'm not betting on him, even if his intended air yards and second only to Ryan Fitzpatrick.

C.J. Beathard (QB, San Francisco 49ers)

Beathard has put up decent numbers since becoming the starter in San Francisco, but Sunday's meeting with the Rams, who allow the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, coupled with Beathard ranking last in intended air yards, suggests a low ceiling for the former Iowa quarterback this week.

(By the way, I'm not putting Deshaun Watson on here because last week's poor performance was aided by a lack of rushing yardage. A healthier Watson will run more, Jacksonville showed last week that quarterbacks can run on them, and I think while he may not be a top-five quarterback this week, he should still put up solid numbers.)

Jordan Howard (RB, Chicago Bears)

In my home league, I chose Jordan Howard as my keeper this year after I built a depth-heavy team to win last year's title, so now I'm uncomfortably sitting at 4-2 with one of the lowest point totals in the league because of it. Howard has been a disaster this season, and the Patriots high scoring attack means we'll see plenty of Tarik Cohen in the passing game this week. Howard's best bet for doing anything will be the Bears getting into the red zone early and letting him carry it across the goal-line because he's bound for a small number of touches as Chicago tries to keep up with New England.

Lamar Miller (RB, Houston Texans)

Houston's had a funky red zone offense this year, which has led to Miller having just four carries for three yards inside the 10-yard line. He's seen Alfred Blue both eat into his touches and perform better than him on a per touch basis, and Jacksonville's defense has held him in check before.

Isaiah Crowell (RB, New York Jets)

I wrote a couple of weeks ago about how Crowell can make things happen once he gets past the initial line of defense, but the Jets offensive line has made that a very difficult task. Minnesota isn't the defense that Crowell wants to encounter if he's trying to have another of his breakout games, so I've got him pretty low this week on my list of running backs.

Will Fuller (WR, Houston Texans)

We enter the third week of not trusting Fuller based on his hamstring issues, and this time we add the Jaguars defense to the mix. I think Keke Coutee could have a really strong game based on what Cole Beasley was able to do from the slot in Week 6, and DeAndre Hopkins is a must-start, but a banged-up Fuller screams trouble for fantasy owners. He'll get back to those boom games at some point, but I don't think it's this week.

Calvin Ridley (WR, Atlanta Falcons)

I've really liked Ridley this year and have regretted passing on him in my rookie drafts, but Ridley gets a double dose of "stay away" this weekend: a bone bruise on his ankle that will limit his effectiveness, and a matchup with a Giants defense that's allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Demaryius Thomas (WR, Denver Broncos)

Thomas found the end zone in back-to-back weeks, but the Cardinals have been good against wide receivers this season thanks to the presence of Patrick Peterson. Peterson hasn't allowed a touchdown yet when targeted and is allowing a catch rate of just 55.3 percent. Per PlayerProfiler, Peterson ranks seventh in fewest fantasy points allowed per target and eighth in total fantasy points allowed per game. If he's on Thomas, don't expect much from Thomas.

Cameron Brate (TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

I started Brate in a dynasty league where injuries have ravished me -- I started the season with Delanie Walker and Jack Doyle at tight end -- and was happy with his touchdown, but that was the only time he was targeted, and was on the field just 33 percent of the time. Brate's a touchdown or bust option at this point, which is just grrrr-eat for those of us who are forced to start him.

Greg Olsen (TE, Carolina Panthers)

The Eagles allow the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends and while Olsen's return from a broken foot wasn't a disaster, I don't love starting him against this Philadelphia defense. (I will, though. He's solidly in my lineups wherever I have him despite a little lower floor this week because the tight end position in 2018 is my least favorite thing ever.)

More Weekly Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ausar Thompson

to Miss Multiple Games
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Throws Successful Bullpen Session
De'Anthony Melton

Won't Play Saturday Night
Anthony Black

Sustains Back Injury Saturday
Chandler Simpson

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Chet Holmgren

Out Saturday Due to Illness
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic to Be Re-Evaluated in 3-4 Weeks After Surgery
Roope Hintz

to Miss At Least a Couple of Weeks
Dylan Larkin

Ruled Out for Sunday
Adam Larsson

Ryan Lindgren Iffy for Saturday
Travis Konecny

Remains Out Saturday
Mikhail Sergachev

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Mason Marchment

Ready to Face Mammoth
Zach Werenski

Available Saturday
Brandon Woodruff

Making Cactus League Debut on Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Feels "Strong" After Throwing on Saturday
Carlos Correa

to Play Shortstop on Monday
Gavin Williams

has Another Good Spring Outing
Christian Vázquez

Astros Sign Christian Vazquez to Minor-League Deal
Byron Buxton

Leaves WBC Game After Being Hit by a Pitch on his Elbow
Jackson Holliday

Hitting Off a Tee
Carson Benge

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Andrei Kuzmenko

Done for Regular Season
Josh Morrissey

Activated From Injured Reserve
Jiri Kulich

Unlikely to Return This Season
Shayne Gostisbehere

Exits Early Friday
Roope Hintz

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Friday
Dylan Larkin

Not Expected to Be Out Long-Term
Evgeni Malkin

Suspended for Five Games
Maxx Crosby

Traded to Baltimore in Blockbuster Deal
Deni Avdija

to Miss Seventh Straight Game
Brandon Williams

is Returning on Friday
Klay Thompson

is Upgraded to Available on Friday
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is Available on Friday
Daniel Gafford

Won't Play on Friday
Andrew Wiggins

is Downgraded to Out
Deandre Ayton

is Ruled Out for Friday's Game
LeBron James

Won't Suit Up on Friday
Mattias Janmark

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
Dalton Schultz

Texans, Dalton Schultz Agree on One-Year Extension
John Gibson

Starting Against Panthers
Roope Hintz

Available Against Avalanche
Sidney Crosby

Rejoins Practice Friday
Bobby McMann

Traded to Seattle
Justin Faulk

Lands in Detroit
Nazem Kadri

Avalanche Bring Back Nazem Kadri
Joe Mixon

Texans Release Joe Mixon
Harrison Barnes

is Ruled Out for Friday
Quinn Priester

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Dejounte Murray

is Cleared for Friday's Game
VJ Edgecombe

Misses Friday's Practice
Corbin Carroll

Taking Live At-Bats in Camp
Joel Embiid

to be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

to Undergo Foot Surgery
Jayson Tatum

is Officially Returning on Friday
Ricky Tiedemann

Could Resume Throwing Soon
Jackson Chourio

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the Tournament Favorite at Bay Hill
Xander Schauffele

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Looking to Return to Top Form at Bay Hill
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Form at Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks to Build on Cognizant Classic Win at Arnold Palmer
Sam Burns

Searching for Consistency at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Daniel Berger

Offers Sneaky Upside at Bay Hill
Justin Thomas

Making Season Debut at API Following Lower-Back Surgery
NASCAR

Collin Morikawa Hopes To Better Last Year's Runner-Up Finish at API
Tommy Fleetwood

Isn't As Confident of a Start at Bay Hill as Previous Weeks
Kyler Murray

Will be Released
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Not Using the Franchise Tag on Trey Hendrickson
Daniel Jones

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Adam Scott

Might Endure Tough Times at Bay Hill
Aldrich Potgieter

Extremely Risky When it Comes to Bay Hill
PGA

Sungjae Im to Make Season Debut at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Jordan Spieth

an All-or-Nothing Option at Bay Hill
Harry Hall

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Needs Better Start at Bay Hill
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Still Plagued by Bad Putting Ahead of Arnold Palmer Invititational
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Breece Hall

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CFB

Mark Stoops Joining Texas Coaching Staff
Jason Day

Attempts to Bounce Back from The Genesis Invitational
Jacob Bridgeman

Rolling into Arnold Palmer Invitational
Russell Henley

Looks to Defend Title at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
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Lone'er Kavanagh Gets Back In The Win Column
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Loses Fourth Fight In A Row
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Christopher Bell

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Kyler Murray

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Tyler Reddick

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Texans Acquire David Montgomery From Lions
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