X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Week 17 Dynasty Mailbag Q&A

For most fantasy leagues, Week 16 is championship week so for those that were victorious, congratulations. For those that did not win their dynasty league’s championship, this is a great time to evaluate your own roster heading into the offseason. Determining your roster’s own strengths and weaknesses is a must for dynasty teams as the calendar turns and the offseason comes knocking. Which players do you want to hold onto, which players could see an uptick in value due to free agents, which players could see a precipitous drop in value due to a player or two leaving in free agency or retiring are just some of the questions dynasty owners need to ask themselves.

In this mailbag we will take a look into players that could see their values take hits or skyrocket depending on the upcoming NFL offseason like Derrick Henry and Davante Adams. There is also a question about the worth of the number one rookie dynasty pick (presumably Saquon Barkley) compared to a current top running back plus much more.

If you would like to be included in next week’s mailbag, please email [email protected] or tweet with #dynastyadvice. Let’s get to the questions.

Editor's Note: Explore RotoBaller’s Dynasty Fantasy Football hub for year-round dynasty rankings, trade tips, rookie analysis, and long-term player outlooks. Dominate your league with our sleepers, stash targets, and dynasty draft advice. Click here for Dynasty rankings and strategy.

 

Dynasty Mailbag Questions

Checking the price in a half point PPR league. Ezekiel Elliott or the 1.01 (Saquon Barkley)? 

To make this call at the present time would require a lot of guesswork to say the least. Ezekiel Elliott has been a force since coming into the league averaging over 129 all-purpose yards per game and scoring 22 touchdowns in 24 career games. He has one of the best run blocking offensive lines locked up for at least the next couple of seasons and a young quarterback that should continue to improve. Saquon Barkley is ultra-talented as I’m sure most dynasty players have seen over the past few seasons at Penn State. Barkley can do it all from running in between the tackles to returning kick-offs. He is truly a talented player and should make an instant impact in the NFL. However, should and already has are two different things. Barkley could end up in an awful situation with a poor offensive line for the first few seasons. As a dynasty owner, I would take the sure thing over the speculative nature of a talent like Barkley. Elliott would be the choice here.

 

What's Derrick Henry's value in a 12-team PPR league?

For the last season and a half dynasty owners have waited for Derrick Henry to be the anointed one in Tennessee. Unfortunately for those owners, DeMarco Murray has consistently been playing more than Henry throughout most of the season. Murray has only gained a total of 925 yards from scrimmage this season in both the run and pass game on 223 total touches, but Henry has 763 on just 158 total touches. He should take over as the lead runner in Tennessee if he continues to improve as a pass blocker and receiver out of the backfield. Murray currently is grading out at a 83.9 according to Pro Football Focus in terms of pass blocking on 103 tries whereas Henry is only grading out at a 63.1 on just 42 tries. The Titans clearly value Murray in this role over Henry at the current time, but if that changes next season, Henry is worth a bottom six first round rookie pick in 2018. There will certainly be another back in the Titans backfield taking some of the snaps away from Henry, but he should start to return high-end RB2 value starting in 2018.

 

Is Dez Bryant's value really this low? I was offered 3.01 and 3.03 for Dez Bryant. Do the deal?

No, no it’s not that low. Sure the Cowboys offense and passing game in particular looked anemic at points this season, but that certainly had something to do with the loss of Ezekiel Elliott for six games in the middle of the season. Dez will go on to record his third straight season under 1,000 yards receiving and ten touchdowns, but that should not stop dynasty owners from holding onto Bryant for more than a couple of third round rookie picks. As he heads into his 30 year old season, Bryant’s game should age rather gracefully due to his sheer physical dominance on the outside versus smaller cornerbacks. He should be able rebound some of his statistics like catch rate and even potentially his yards per reception as Dak Prescott becomes even more comfortable with Bryant in his third season. Expect Bryant’s catch rate to improve to closer to his 2013 number of 58.5% instead of the 52% or 53% of the last two seasons.

 

What is Duke Johnson's value in a PPR right now?

Duke Johnson has been a fun piece for dynasty rosters. He is a nearly an every week flex due to his receiving floor, catching at least three passes in 13 of 15 games so far in 2017. He clearly is the second fiddle in the running game to Isaiah Crowell, but will continue to be involved in the passing game. He’s currently ranked the number seven receiving running back in terms of Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement according to Football Outsiders, so the Browns would be wise to continue to use him in that role. Will the Browns actually follow suit? No one really knows what the Browns will do next season or going forward. His six touchdowns this season could end up being a career high, especially three in the passing game with both Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman back and healthy. He should be valued as a mid to low-end second round rookie pick as Johnson’s upside is capped due to lack of touchdown upside, but offers a floor that is a useful to almost any dynasty roster.

 

Which receiver would you want in a half point PPR league? Amari Cooper, Davante Adams, Jarvis Landry or Allen Robinson?

This same time last season the easy answer would have been Amari Cooper as Cooper was coming off his second consecutive 1,000 yard receiving season in a row with a strong, young quarterback. In his 23 year old season, Cooper took a step backwards for sure due to injuries and inconsistent play at the quarterback position. The answer now to this question is Davante Adams. Adams is coming off his second double digit touchdown season, but his one was certainly different than his 2016 season. Adams has taken over as the number one receiver in Green Bay from Jordy Nelson, who will be 33 prior to the start of next season. If Adams is back with the Packers (it's looking like that will be the case at the time of this writing), he should be the beneficiary of even more success with a fully healthy Aaron Rodgers. Double digit touchdown and 1000 yard seasons should be plentiful in the coming years for Adams.

 

To be featured in a future mailbag article, email [email protected] or reach out to me on Twitter @TheRealHalupka using #dynastyadvice or #dynastytrades.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Jarquez Hunter

Picking Up Rams Offense Quickly
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Kirk Cousins

Feels Misled by Falcons
Bijan Robinson

Says Falcons Have "Outlandish Goals" for the Running Game
Luther Burden III

Bears Expect Luther Burden III to be Ready for Training Camp
Cole Kmet

an Unlikely Trade Piece
Tony Pollard

Titans Hope to Balance Rushing Attack With Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Quentin Johnston

Not Assured of Starting Role
Cordarrelle Patterson

on the Roster Bubble in Pittsburgh?
Shedeur Sanders

Not Assured of Roster Spot in Cleveland?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Hoping For More Downfield Opportunities
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome on the Trade Block?
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Zach Tom

An Extension Candidate in Green Bay
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Kyren Williams

Rams Not Willing to Pay Kyren Williams Top-Market Money?
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Christian Kirk

the No. 2 WR in Houston?
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Jerome Ford

the Likely Starter for Cleveland to Begin 2025
Chig Okonkwo

"Poised" for Best Season of Career
Xavier Watts

Falcons High on Xavier Watts
Xavier Restrepo

Training With Star Wideouts
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Chet Holmgren

Agrees to Rookie Max Extension
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Jhoan Duran

Unavailable Due to Illness
Shane McClanahan

Tosses Clean Frame in First Rehab Appearance
Jacob Wilson

Day-to-Day After HBP
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to be Reassessed Wednesday
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Malaki Branham

Traded to Washington
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Blake Wesley

Moves to Washington
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Kelly Olynyk

on the Move Again
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Anthony Davis

Recovering From Eye Surgery
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Cal Raleigh

Continues Historic Homer Pace Tuesday
Jacob Wilson

Exits Early On Tuesday With Left Hand Contusion
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
Luis Garcia

Fans Four in Rehab Outing
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF