Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Week 12 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis


Last week's entree of fantasy choices was supposed to be a filet mignon which turned into a Salisbury Steak. Let’s hope this week doesn’t provide us with the same disappointment.

With Baltimore traveling across the country to face the struggling Los Angeles Rams, it looks like another good week for the Lamar Jackson MVP campaign. But who else is a good start in this game? Well, not many actually.

Sure, each team has a few guys to consider. But based on the perception of these offenses, it is less than you might think. That said, those players who are going to be in your starting lineup could pay off in a big way.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Game Time: Monday, November 25, 2019 @ 8:15 pm
Game Line: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 O/U 46.5
Team Records:
Baltimore Ravens 8-2
Los Angeles Rams 6-4
Baltimore Offensive Ranks: Pass 20th, Run 1st
Baltimore Defensive Ranks: Pass 18th, Run 7th
L.A. Rams Offensive Ranks: Pass 8th, Run 20th
L.A. Rams Defensive Ranks: Pass 15th, Run 5th

 

Must-Starts

Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL) - To quote the cinematic masterpiece A Knight’s Tale, “How would you beat him? With a stick while he slept. But on a horse? That man is unbeatable.”

This may not be a jousting ring. But it is still a field of play and right now, Jackson is unbeatable. He has taken his team and the league by storm this season. Something which should only continue against a struggling Rams team on Monday night in the Coliseum. There is not much more to say which has not already been said about Jackson. You start him and smile with the results.

Todd Gurley (RB, LAR) - Disappointed so far this season? Yes. But he is still Todd Gurley. This doesn’t have the prestige as it did, but he is still a top-10 back in the league and this means you cannot sit him.

Since acquiring Marcus Peters from, ahem, the Rams, the Baltimore pass defense has been a machine. This means if Los Angeles wants to get anything done, it will be done on the ground. So, start Gurley and hope he performs.

Mark Ingram (RB, BAL) - He did not have all the yardage last week. But he did have two rushing touchdowns and this makes up for a lot. The clear leader of the number one rushing attack in the NFL, Ingram needs to be in your lineup regardless of matchup. The ability Lamar Jackson has as a runner only increases the ability of Ingram to make plays. The threat of Jackson allows the big back to go almost unnoticed until it is too late to stop him. This means another touchdown should be in store behind what is quickly becoming one of the top offensive lines in the league.

Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR) - Despite last week's goose egg, this is the Rams wide receiver you want to start. He has come back from his ACL injury and dominated the league in most weeks. Coming off a zero-line last week, he will be determined to show it was a fluke. With Woods, Reynolds or Cooks likely to see Peters in coverage, Kupp in the slot will have double-digit targets and maybe 10+ catches in this game. He will have a real chance to finish yet another week as the WR1 for fantasy.

Mark Andrews (TE, BAL) - One of the true off-season darlings to work out for fantasy owners, Andrews should be in your lineup every week and this week is no different. After two more touchdowns last week against Houston, it will be good to see how he follows it up in a plus matchup this week.

Gerald Everett (TE, LAR) - We know one thing about struggling quarterbacks - they check down to the tight end a lot. After barely throwing to the tight end a year ago, Everett has become that checkdown target for Jared Goff in 2019. With the Ravens secondary playing improved ball over the last month, it will come down to the short passing game of Everett and Kupp in this one.

The tight end is a pretty weak position for fantasy this season like in recent years. If you have anyone of value at the position, it is hard not to start them. This is where Gerald Everett comes in. While he may not get you 10/100/1, he could easily get you five catches for 50 and maybe a score. Just beware his negative home split that is oddly in contrast to Jared Goff's success at home.

 

Consider Sitting

Brandin Cooks (WR, LAR) - He has been a great receiver in the past. But coming off a multiple-week absence due to a concussion, this may not be the game you want to start him. With concerns heightening around the league about concussions, it will only take one questionable hit and he will be out again. Or he might have a last-minute complication such as what happened with Sterling Shepard two weeks ago. This is not a player or a matchup you want to take a risk with. He should be sitting this one on your bench. Hopefully, he makes it back fully healthy. If so, plug him in next week.

 

Potential Sleepers

Jared Goff (QB, LAR) - With Brandin Cooks presumably coming back, there should be another weapon for Goff to use along with Cooper Kupp. But the Baltimore pass defense, ranked 18th on the season, is playing far better in the past month. With Marcus Peters and Earl Thomas, this secondary has been great. Meanwhile, Goff has been anything but this season with only 11 touchdowns through 10 games.

It seems like whatever magic was found in Goff’s game the past two seasons has faded quickly. But if you have someone on bye this week like Patrick Mahomes or Kirk Cousins, you might be forced to start him. If this is the case, don’t expect a fantasy QB1 week from him. Instead, expect him to land in the QB15-20 range and pray the rest of your team is good enough to compensate.

Gus Edwards (RB, BAL) - Edwards had a great game last week against the Texans. On only eight carries, he gained 112 yards and scored a touchdown. This shows his big-play potential. But he did so on only 38% of the snaps. This shows in close games, he is not the lead guy on the field. In most games this season, he has been below 25% snap count and there have been multiple games of single digits.

He is a big-play threat but if you are counting on him for a floor play, he is not the right guy. In this game he is a deep sleeper at best. He could reward you with a touchdown run but he will just as easily make you weep with a zero line.

Marquise Brown (WR, BAL) - If he were fully healthy, he would be a must-start. Because of the injury concern limiting his snaps, he is
firmly in the sleeper category. We have seen, even on limited targets that Hollywood can be a boom player in the mold of DeSean Jackson. Much like Gus
Edwards, if you need a Monday night miracle, Brown could be a good shot. If not, he probably belongs on the bench.

Josh Reynolds (WR, LAR) - If Brandin Cooks is unable to perform in his first game back or if Robert Woods misses another week, Reynolds will be the man to fill in. This doesn’t mean he is a great play as he might find Marcus Peters in coverage if these scenarios play out. But he might be your only option if you are planning on one of the others to play. If both Woods and Cooks are active, Reynolds is not a play. But if one or both end up missing? He could be started as a flex in your lineup.

Robert Woods (WR, LAR) - He missed the last game with a still undisclosed personal matter. If he comes back this week, he is in your lineup, no questions asked although the concerns surrounding his somewhat disappointing season won't completely disappear.

More Fantasy Football Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Can a New Coach Fix Baker Mayfield in 2020?

Another season has passed and another disappointment by Browns fans has been realized. Baker Mayfield got the head coach he wanted in Freddie Kitchens in 2019. In 2020, hopefully he's got the one he needs in Kevin Stefanski. Last season, under Kitchens, Mayfield had a coach he could control and manipulate. He did just that... Read More


Wide Receiver VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The one (and only) good thing about fantasy football season ending is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few months and put performances into context to prepare for next season. As football is an ever-evolving game, though, it makes sense to assess how good players were in fantasy... Read More


The King's Keeper Corner: NFL Postseason Impacts on Player Outlooks

With a break in the postseason NFL action, it is time to reflect on what we have seen in the playoffs so far and how certain performances will affect fantasy football outlooks in keeper and dynasty formats. How players respond and what they deliver at the most intense and critical times of the season can... Read More


Introducing Value Over Starter Football Metrics

When it comes to fantasy sports, we're always looking for the highest possible Return On Investment or ROI. This concept is easy to understand: in both Daily Fantasy and re-draft/fantasy leagues, ROI would come down to how many points a player returns relative to his salary, or the price you paid (given his ADP on... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More