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Corey Johnson's NFL DFS prop picks for the 49ers vs. Seahawks Monday Night Football contests. Use these Week 10 recommendations to win on Monkey Knife Fight.
Week 10 Monday Night Football features a matchup between the San Fransisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks. The game will be played in San Fransisco, has an implied total of 47.5 points, and a spread of around six points favoring the 49ers. Both offenses offer really some exciting plays on Monkey Knife Fight!
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Pick 1: Over/Under (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chris Carson OVER 78.5 Rushing Yards and Tevin Coleman OVER 50.5 Rushing Yards
Chris Carson has been excellent this season. Over the past six weeks, he has seen at least 19 touches and has run for over 100 yards in four of the games. Against a league-average 49ers run defense, there is no reason to believe that Carson won't continue his productive ways. With his line sitting at just 78.5 rushing yards on MKF, Carson should be able to surpass that on Monday night. A 100-yard rushing game would not be a surprise as the Seahawks will be sure to lean on Carson in an attempt to give the 49ers their first loss of the season.
As for Coleman, he has been somewhat less consistent, but the way he has played the last month or so makes that 50.5 rushing yard mark seem extremely reasonable. Over the last five games Coleman has seen 16, 18, 20, 11, and 12 carries. It is somewhat discouraging to see those carries dropping over the last two games, but I think projecting him for 14-15 carries in Week 10 is reasonable. With that many carries, Coleman has enough talent to destroy that 50.5 rushing yard mark.
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Pick 2: Touchdown Dance
Recommended Prop Pick: Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett, and Deebo Samuel To Score 1.5+ Touchdowns
As mentioned above, Carson should be a workhorse on Monday Night and goal line touches should come along with the workload. Carson has just three touchdowns this season but with the goal line touches and his involvement in the passing game, he has as good of a chance to score a touchdown or two as any player in this game.
If the Seahawks go down early, as the implied total suggests, Lockett will likely see 10+ targets, including numerous red zone looks. Lockett has six touchdowns this season, including two last week. Lockett has been Wilson's favorite target this season and his speed has allowed him to break off some huge plays. All we can hope for is that one of those big plays will find the end zone on Monday night.
With George Kittle doubtful, Deebo Samuels should see some additional targets on Monday night. Samuels has seen at least three targets per game this season, including seven targets last week. Samuels will more than likely be covered by Tre Flowers for the majority of the game which is nothing to be concerned with. Flowers hasn't been terrible but has allowed a couple of big games to some underwhelming receivers this season. This is far from a "safe" play but with some additional targets, there is no reason to believe that Samuel can't find the end zone.
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Pick 3: Over/Under Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Tyler Lockett OVER 16.5 Fantasy Points and Emmanuel Sanders UNDER 13.5 Fantasy Points
As mentioned previously, Lockett has been an elite pass-catcher for the Seahawks this season and there is no reason to believe it can't continue in Week 10. With the 10+ targets that Lockett should see, 16.5 fantasy points in the PPR format that MKF offers should be easy to surpass. We hope that he finds the end zone to help the above prop bet but even if he doesn't, seven catches for 100 yards (17 fantasy points) sees like an extremely reasonable game for Lockett.
Since being acquired by the 49ers, Sanders has actually been well involved and productive. Regardless, this is a game that will likely have Jimmy G spreading the ball out more and being a game- manager as Kittle, his top receiver, will likely be sidelined. As long as Sanders see under seven targets and doesn't find the end zone, he should stay below that 13.5 fantasy point mark more often than not.
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