X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Overvalued Fantasy Football Rookies for 2024

Adonai Mitchell - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Joel Smyth examines five overvalued rookies in 2024 fantasy football leagues. Fantasy managers should be cautious of these players at their current price.

Rookie Fever: the strong urge to draft an NFL rookie in fantasy football due to the fact that you’ve spent hours upon hours researching them during the NFL Draft season. It’s the primary factor in driving up rookie prices in fantasy drafts. 

In dynasty fantasy football, rookies are all the rave. The combination of youth being at utmost importance with the flashy new toy effect. 

At times, this can overinflate the cost of drafting NFL rookies in redraft fantasy football for various reasons. These are the five rookies who are overvalued in 2024 fantasy football.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Rome Odunze, WR, Chicago Bears

In dynasty fantasy football, draft, draft, draft. For season one alone, I’ll pass. Odunze’s talent is unquestioned, pushing him to an average draft position of WR42. Only a handful of NFL “WR2s” become valuable fantasy assets, with nearly all of them coming with elite quarterback play. Think Tee Higgins, Jaylen Waddle, DeVonta Smith, etc.

I love Caleb Williams; he could be on that level in Year 1. Rome Odunze isn’t even the WR2 on his team, he’s the WR3. And he is not a WR3 the way Adonai Mitchell is. Instead of a really good pair of Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs, the Bears have what could be the top pair in the NFL in Keenan Allen and DJ Moore. Both are elite receivers with a history of commanding volume at a top-10 level.

The main argument I come across is, “Well Keenan Allen always gets hurt.” First, banking on an injury is never a smart process. Second, there have been two wideouts in the last decade to finish better than WR20 in PPG with a rookie quarterback.

The goal of drafting a player at WR42 is not to have them become the WR41. The goal is to smash value, which I don’t see for Odunze with the volume he’s projected for.

Adonai Mitchell, WR, Indianapolis Colts

It’s okay to be a great NFL player and not great in fantasy. Just because a player isn’t startable in fantasy doesn’t mean they aren’t talented, especially in Year 1. For Adonai Mitchell, what was a draft-day steal for the Colts became a disappointment for future fantasy managers.

At the University of Texas, Mitchell averaged only 60 yards per game. As a newcomer to the offense, still growing in development, and alongside another top talent in Xavier Worthy, the stats weren’t what got him drafted on Day 2. He finds himself in a very similar situation to start his NFL journey.

Mitchell fits a very particular role in the Indy offense. Take the top off and provide a contested-catch wideout for a young Anthony Richardson. Such a role is vital for Indianapolis while, at the same time, resulting in inconsistency in fantasy.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Colts quarterback had the lowest completion rate over expected in the NFL. Pair that with what will be bottom-5 passing volume and Mitchell won’t be able to be trustworthy week-to-week.

Ray Davis, RB, Buffalo Bills

Most modern-day NFL teams will have an RB more fit for the goal line and a RB more fit for the passing game. Buffalo has that receiving back in James Cook. It also has a goal-line back as well. Not Ray Davis, but Josh Allen.

After Joe Brady took over, the hope was for James Cook to get more involved in the red zone. Brady laughed at that idea, giving nine of the 11 goal-line attempts to his quarterback.

Even if Davis carves out a role in the gold area, he will likely miss out on the majority of the attempts. With scarce volume available on the ground and through the air, Davis is nothing more than a shot-in-the-dark handcuff option.

Malachi Corley, WR, New York Jets

Every year, like clockwork, college wideouts will be comped to one man by draft experts. Deebo Samuel Sr. I’ll tell you why this keeps happening. Because Deebo is the only one of his breed to work. It would be weird to compare a college player to Laviska Shenault Jr. now that we’ve seen his career play out. Yards after the catch gadget heroes are usually just that: gadget guys. Deebo’s wide variety of skills allows him to break through that while still being the poster boy for NFL comps.

Corley, in college, did not come with a multitude of abilities. Since 2022, Corley led the country in missed tackles forced and yards after the catch. However, over half of his production came on screen passes alone. That has never resulted in fantasy success, particularly when you’re a rookie trying to command targets from Aaron Rodgers.

Roman Wilson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Can you name the Falcons WR2 in the Arthur Smith offense? I couldn’t...and I do this for a living.

Mack Hollins. 251 yards in 2023, the second most of the Atlanta position group. My Road to Glory player just had that in one game versus Michigan. This has nothing to do with Roman Wilson’s talent. The Arthur Smith offense just has a high tendency to do three things: run the ball, throw to tight ends, and throw to running backs. Pittsburgh’s rookie wideout success matters a whole lot less when the offense subdues any importance their role may have had.

At best, Wilson would be fourth in target volume (behind George Pickens, Jaylen Warren, and Pat Freiermuth) with a mess of a quarterback situation. Don’t submit yourself to voluntary torture by drafting an Arthur Smith role player.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tarik Skubal

Exits with Side Tightness
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
Ketel Marte

Scratched From Friday's Lineup
Brock Purdy

Officially Ruled Out Against Saints
Jauan Jennings

Given Questionable Tag for Week 2
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Dallas Goedert

Officially Ruled Out for Week 2
Xavier Worthy

Listed as Doubtful to Play in Week 2
Jayden Reed

Hopes to Return in November Following Surgery
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Kyle Tucker

"Unlikely" to Return When Eligible on Tuesday
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Ketel Marte

Expected to Return on Friday
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Quinshon Judkins

Questionable to Make NFL Debut in Week 2
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Alexander Hernandez

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Quang Le

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Card Opener
Santiago Luna

Set For His Debut At Noche UFC 3
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
CFB

David Sanders Jr. Won't Play Against Georgia
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks
CFB

Dylan Edwards Slated to Return on Friday
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Sees Little Usage in Week 2, Outlook Still Trending Upwards?
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Leads Commanders in Catches, Scores Touchdown Again
Tucker Kraft

Posts Huge Performance on Thursday
Joe Mixon

Lack of Joe Mixon Injury Updates Sparking Concern for Fantasy Managers?
Jayden Reed

Fractures Collarbone, Headed for Injured Reserve
Austin Ekeler

Commanders Fear Austin Ekeler Tore his Achilles
Jesús Luzardo

Jesus Luzardo Strikes Out 10 in Win
Aaron Judge

Matches Yankees Legend with Two-Homer Game
Austin Ekeler

Injured, Carried Off Field with Non-Contact Injury
Jayden Reed

Ruled Out with Shoulder Injury
Quinshon Judkins

Browns Insider Expects NFL to "Come Down Heavy" on a Quinshon Judkins Suspension
Jayden Reed

Questionable to Return on TNF With Shoulder Injury
Anthony Volpe

Playing Through Partially Torn Labrum in his Shoulder
Adam Lowry

Aims for Early-Season Return
Charles Oliveira

Not Eyeing Retirement
Tyreek Hill

Chiefs, Steelers Eyeing a Trade for Tyreek Hill?
CFB

Ryan Williams Expected to Play Against Wisconsin
CFB

Billy Edwards Jr. Unlikely to Play on Saturday
P.J. Washington

Officially Signs Contract Extension
CFB

David Sanders Jr. Questionable to Make Debut Against Georgia
Chris Godwin

to Be Limited in His Return Thursday
Brock Purdy

Out 2-5 Weeks With Turf Toe
Lauri Markkanen

Big at Both Ends as Finland Books Place in EuroBasket Semis
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Notches 39 Points in Losing Effort
NBA

Cam Reddish Expected to Move to Europe
NBA

Trey Lyles Joins Real Madrid
Kyle Monangai

to See More Carries Going Forward?
Quinshon Judkins

Plans to Practice Thursday
Charles Bassey

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Hawks
Sacramento Kings

Terence Davis Waived by Kings
Will Smith

Scratched With Hand Soreness on Wednesday
Ketel Marte

has Foot Contusion, Expected to Play Friday
Shohei Ohtani

Won't Pitch This Weekend
MacKenzie Gore

to Start on Thursday
Ketel Marte

Exits Early on Wednesday
Matthew Knies

Ready for Bigger Role With Maple Leafs
Jack Eichel

Unbothered by Lack of Extension
Sidney Crosby

Not Thinking About Leaving Pittsburgh
SJ

Michael Misa Signs Entry-Level Contract With Sharks
Rutger McGroarty

Nursing an Injury
Anthony Rizzo

Retires
Cameron Champ

the Ultimate Wild Card at Procore
Cameron Young

Looks to Extend Momentum in Napa
Davis Thompson

Searching for a Spark at Procore
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Reignite Form at Procore
Mackenzie Hughes

Aims for Another Strong Showing at Procore
Luke Clanton

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Napa
Seamus Power

Looking to Overcome Poor Course History at Procore
Joe Highsmith

Hoping to Find Form in Napa
Masyn Winn

Will Require Offseason Knee Surgery
Kristaps Porzingis

Reportedly Still Not Completely Healthy
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Reportedly on the Trade Block
Andre Drummond

Future in Philadelphia in Doubt
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Helps Greece Reach Semis at EuroBasket
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Posts Historic Triple-Double
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For 15 at Wyndham Championship
Bud Cauley

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied for Seventh at Tour Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 25th at Tour Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 19th at Tour Championship
Keith Mitchell

Misses Cut at Wyndham Championship
Ben Griffin

Finishes Tied for 10th at Tour Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for Second at Tour Championship
Gary Woodland

Could Hang Around at Procore Championship
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 12, Earns 12th Win on Tuesday
Karl Vilips

Ready for Napa Valley This Weekend
Taylor Montgomery

Heating Up at the Right Time
Jackson Koivun

May Be a Little Rusty at Procore Championship
Doug Ghim

Looking to Rise Up at Napa Valley
Josh Giddey

Re-Signs With Bulls for Four Years
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Joins Informal Skate
William Eklund

Skates With Sharks
Owen Power

Back at 100 Percent
Tyler Seguin

Cleared for Action
Mathew Barzal

Good to Go for Season Opener
Will Smith

Returns to Dodgers Lineup on Tuesday
Dustin Wolf

Signs Seven-Year Extension
Kyle Stowers

Dealing With Strained Side
Kyle Tucker

Placed on Injured List With Calf Strain
Bo Bichette

Goes on Injured List With Knee Sprain
Garrett Crochet

Shuts Out the Athletics
Royce Lewis

Launches Two Homers Monday Night
NBA

Mason Jones Takes His Talents to Australia
NBA

Talen Horton-Tucker Joins Reigning EuroLeague Champions
Malcolm Brogdon

on Knicks' Radar
Andrew Wiggins

Attracting Interest From Lakers
Miami Heat

Heat Interested in Reunion With Precious Achiuwa
New York Knicks

Ben Simmons Reportedly Declined Knicks' Contract Offer
Elias Pettersson

Feeling "Good" Ahead of Season
NHL

Alex Formenton Rejoins Swiss Team
NHL

Grigori Denisenko Heads Back Home
CAR

Kevin Labanc Joins Hurricanes for Tryout
Ross Colton

Healthy for Start of Season
Caio Borralho

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Nassourdine Imavov

Extends Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy

Gets Submitted
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Taps Out Mauricio Ruffy
Paul Craig

Retires After UFC Paris Loss
Denny Hamlin

Earns his First Cup Victory at Gateway
Kyle Larson

Damage Ruins Kyle Larson's Chance At a Top Finish at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Scores his Third Top-10 Finish at Gateway
Joey Logano

Maintains his Perfect Top-Five Streak at Gateway
Ryan Blaney

Struggles and Recovers for a Top-Five Finish at Gateway
Modestas Bukauskas

Scores First-Round Knockout
Bolaji Oki

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Mason Jones

Scores Comeback Win
Chase Elliott

Gets Lucky but Still Has Best Run at Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wins Stage 2, but Was Let Down by Strategy
Tyler Reddick

Despite Bad Luck, Tyler Reddick Does What he Needed to Do
Chase Briscoe

Recovers from Incident with Daniel Suarez to Finish Second
William Byron

Late Caution Foils William Byron's Shot at Gateway Victory
Ryan Blaney

Should Contend at Gateway
Denny Hamlin

Fastest in Qualifying, the Favorite to Win at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption at Gateway
Joey Logano

Has Been Elite at Gateway
Austin Cindric

Should Be On Your Radar at Gateway
AJ Allmendinger

Could Be a Sleeper Again at Gateway
Tyler Reddick

Southern 500 Near-Miss Makes Tyler Reddick a Stronger Option for Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace a Likely Gateway Contender
Alex Bowman

a Long Shot to Advance in Playoffs
Austin Dillon

Richard Childress Racing Looks Slower at Gateway, Which Will Hurt Austin Dillon
Shane Van Gisbergen

Starts 18th in Gateway Debut

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP