X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Running Backs Sending Out Warning Signals: Lamar Miller, DeMarco Murray, and Frank Gore

If you're still hanging around to read Warning Signals ahead of week 12 I have to assume that you're alive and well in the playoff hunt. With most fantasy leagues wrapping up their regular season in week 13, there isn't much time left to put together a late season charge. It's for that reason this week's piece is going to focus largely on players that warrant starting consideration as we inch closer to the playoffs.

Generally you'll want to stick with your studs this deep into the season but that doesn't mean there aren't any players out there who can be swayed onto your bench if the matchup doesn't line up properly. As the old saying goes, dance with who brought you...unless your partner can't dance and there's a much more attractive, compatible option waiting for you near the punch bowl.

One last little disclaimer before we dive into this week's players: you know your team better than I do. Just because someone has a tough schedule ahead of them doesn't mean you automatically need to yank them from your lineup. I say this now because in my experience as a fantasy analyst a lot of owners tend to overlook the obvious in that every league is different. Now's not the time to over think your lineup so don't start tinkering with success. That may sound simple but you'd be amazed how many people end up getting too far into their own head and knock themselves out of the playoffs. It's the homestretch, have confidence in what's kept you in it this long.

Holiday Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS

 

Running Backs Sending Out Warning Signals

Lamar Miller – RB, MIA

If you've read anything I've written about running backs this year you know I'm a big Lamar Miller fan. The change in head coach from Joe Philbin to Dan Campbell worked wonders for Miller. Unfortunately, Miller is now coming off of his worse performance since week four. Throw in the increased workload for rookie Jay Ajayi and I would understand if you're concerned about depending on Miller for the fantasy playoffs. That said, I think the panic is a bit premature.

Here's an interesting stat that shouldn't really come as a major surprise: in the six games in which Lamar Miller recorded under 12 carries this season, the Miami Dolphins are winless. That's right, 0-6 whenever the team fails to feed their star running back with high volume. Miami also has a pretty decent schedule down the stretch with matchups against the Giants, Chargers, and Colts during the fantasy playoffs. None of those defenses scare you so I'm looking at Miller's most recent outing against the Cowboys as an anomaly more than anything else.

I will say that anyone who owns Lamar Miller needs to handcuff him with Jay Ajayi immediately. With so many backs dropping like flies this year now would be the time to lock up any backup who has a clear path to starting. Realistically speaking, who is more valuable to your team in weeks 13-16? Your fifth wide receiver who's probably never going to so much as sniff your starting lineup (Doug Baldwin, Leonard Hankerson, Dorial Green-Beckham, etc.) or one of your top running back's handcuffs? The answer should be clear, it's the latter.

DeMarco Murray – RB, PHI

It honestly feels like we've talked about the Philadelphia Eagles to an obnoxious degree this season but nevertheless, here we are again. To be perfectly honest the only reason I decided to add DeMarco Murray to the list this week is because he had a poor showing in a game without fellow running back Ryan Mathews around to steal away carries. You would have thought that the Eagles would have leaned a little more heavily on their top offseason acquisition considering their lack of depth against the Buccaneers but Murray only ended up with 13 carries. The Tampa Bay run defense is actually a little underrated so it's not like I was expecting a massive game here or anything, it's just that Philly has turned into an extremely frustrating team to analyze for fantasy purposes.

Murray falls firmly into the category of the type of fantasy player you simply can't bench this late in the season. If that sounds like a familiar statement it's probably because I've said it practically a dozen times this year. Still, that doesn't make it any less true. I'd be worried about depending on Murray for the fantasy playoffs but like I said earlier, you know your team better than I do. There's a pretty good chance you don't have a better option than Murray at this point and besides, if you've been winning in spite of his inconsistencies it doesn't matter all that much anyway.

The Eagles have a quick turnaround as they face the Lions on Thanksgiving this week so it's possible that Mathews doesn't get cleared in time. If he were to miss a second straight game, you should expect DeMarco to have a much better showing in Detroit as long as the volume is there.

Frank Gore – RB, IND

Has there been a more disappointing group of players this year than the Indianapolis Colts? Between Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson, and Frank Gore, it's possible that this team has managed to become the most disappointing unit in all of my time playing fantasy football. If anything, Frank Gore should actually be improving in the absence of Andrew Luck but instead the Colts have decided to expand Ahmad Bradshaw's role in the offense. It's like this team is dead set on utilizing players who are well past their prime.

Granted, Frank Gore did get a little banged up against the Falcons on Sunday, but Gore should be doing more than 34 yards on 14 carries, especially when the only other person who's eating into his workload is Ahmad Bradshaw. Indy's next two matchups aren't all that great either so I would suggest benching Gore if you have better options. Both the Buccaneers and the Steelers have solid run defense and it's not like 40-year old quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is invoking any amount of fear into secondaries these days.

 

Updates From Last Week

Chris Ivory – RB, NYJ

I'd like to touch on Chris Ivory one last time this season just because of the fact that Bilal Powell has found himself getting more touches than anyone should be comfortable with. Powell out touched Ivory by a large enough margin against Houston (42-17) on Sunday that it's worth wondering if the Jets are trying to keep Ivory from getting hurt again. That's purely just speculation on my part but whatever the case may be, Ivory keeps plummeting down fantasy rankings. It's looking like he was a major sell high candidate around mid-season so there's likely not much you can do about owning him at this point.

Marshawn Lynch – RB, SEA

Marshawn Lynch has been dealing with an abdominal injury that could cause him to miss several more weeks of action. Remember earlier when I said now is the time to pickup any reliable handcuffs? Enter Thomas Rawls. If Rawls is still wandering around your league's waiver wire be sure to scoop him up as soon as possible. We'll have to wait and see just how long Lynch will be out. Until then, Rawls is a must start in Seattle.

James Starks – RB, GB

Just when we thought the Green Bay Packers had fully embraced a changing of the guard at running back, Eddie Lacy goes out and ruins the whole damn thing. Lacy exploded for the first time in forever during Sunday's divisional game against the Minnesota Vikings, relegating Starks back down to number two status on the depth chart. Head coach Mike McCarthy insists that this offense will continue to use a one-two punch at running back and I do still believe him. Both guys have been productive so it's looking like either player can be a usable RB2/flex play in most formats. It'll just be really difficult to predict who the more productive of the two is going to be. That said, I prefer Lacy over Starks against the Bears this week.

DeAngelo Williams– RB, PIT

The Steelers were on a bye in week 11 so we'll have to revisit DeAngelo's performance in another week or two. With a tough week 12 contest against the Seattle Seahawks looming, it's probably best to look ahead to that home game versus Indianapolis as the bounce back target for Williams.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

De'Aaron Fox

Questionable Against the Cavaliers
Bam Adebayo

Expected Back on Monday Night
Kon Knueppel

Won't Suit Up Against Milwaukee
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Still Out on Monday
Parker Washington

Leads Jaguars in Targets, Receptions, and Receiving Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson

Posts Season-High 11 Receptions in Week 17
Josh Allen

Seen Limping From X-Ray Room, Says Foot Injury Didn't Affect Him
Geno Smith

Diagnosed With High-Ankle Sprain
John Collins

Won't Face the Pistons on Sunday Night
Trey McBride

Sets All-Time Tight End Receptions Record
Geno Smith

Exits Early With Ankle Injury
DJ Moore

Suiting Up Against 49ers on Sunday Night
Ricky Pearsall

Officially Active for Week 17 Against Bears
George Kittle

Officially Inactive for Week 17
Ja'Marr Chase

Snags Two Touchdowns in Week 17
Geno Smith

Questionable to Return With Ankle Injury
Chris Godwin Jr.

Goes Over 100 Yards in Loss to Miami
Matthew Tkachuk

Returns to Practice
Chris Olave

Extends Touchdown Streak in Win Over Titans
Linus Ullmark

Takes Leave of Absence
Travis Sanheim

Good to Go Against Kraken
Kyshawn George

Ruled Out on Sunday
Zach Charbonnet

Scores Twice in Lead-Back Role on Sunday
Nick Foligno

Set to Return Sunday
Chase Brown

Finds End Zone Twice in High-Volume Role on Sunday
Jock Landale

Out Again on Sunday
Rhamondre Stevenson

Scores Twice, Plays Major Pass-Catching Role
William Nylander

Out Against Red Wings
Stefon Diggs

Enjoys Another 100-Yard Performance in Week 17
Jared McCann

Available Sunday
Vince Dunn

on Track to Return Sunday
Breece Hall

Not Concerned About Knee Injury
Blake Lizotte

Activated From Injured Reserve
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers Not Expected to Fire Todd Bowles?
DK Metcalf

Steelers Won't Void the Guarantees in DK Metcalf's Contract
Drake Maye

Throws for Career-High Five Touchdowns in New York
Tyler Herro

Showing Progress but Still Without Timetable
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator
Zach Collins

Exits Late With Lower-Body Injury
Chris Boucher

Ruled Out Sunday for Personal Reasons
Gabe Vincent

Out Again Sunday With Back Issue
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Sunday Against Celtics
Collin Murray-Boyles

Unlikely to Play Sunday Due to Illness
Andrei Svechnikov

Extends Scoring Run With Three-Point Effort
Auston Matthews

Bags Three Points Saturday Night
Alex Laferriere

Records First Career Hat Trick
William Nylander

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Zach Werenski

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Jake Evans

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
J.J. Moser

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Ajay Mitchell

Cleared to Return Sunday
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyshawn George

Iffy for Sunday
De'Anthony Melton

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Jaxson Hayes

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

to Return From Knee Injury Sunday
Jock Landale

in Danger of Missing Another Game Sunday
Vince Williams Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
Ryan McDonagh

Misses Saturday's Action
Jordan Kyrou

Jimmy Snuggerud Back for Blues Saturday
Tanner Jeannot

Misses First Game of the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Won't Play on Saturday
Elias Pettersson

Ready to Return Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Available Against Kings
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP